Alert archive / Texas / Tornado Watches in 2012
Tornado Watch 87
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 19, 2012, 6:21 PM CDT for 32 counties in Texas. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 19, 2012, 6:21 PM CDT (23:21 UTC)
- Expired
- Mar 20, 2012, 12:53 AM CDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 3 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 70 kt
All 32 counties
Atascosa County, TX, Bandera County, TX, Bastrop County, TX, Bexar County, TX, Blanco County, TX, Burnet County, TX, Caldwell County, TX, Comal County, TX, Dimmit County, TX, Edwards County, TX, Fayette County, TX, Frio County, TX, Gillespie County, TX, Gonzales County, TX, Guadalupe County, TX, Hays County, TX, Karnes County, TX, Kendall County, TX, Kerr County, TX, Kinney County, TX, La Salle County, TX, Lee County, TX, Llano County, TX, McMullen County, TX, Medina County, TX, Real County, TX, Travis County, TX, Uvalde County, TX, Webb County, TX, Williamson County, TX, Wilson County, TX, Zavala County, TX
The radar
The Laughlin AFB radar (KDFX), 136 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:25 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 70%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 50%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 80%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 50%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 80%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 80%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 95%
Warnings issued inside it
33 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 6:23 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Frio, Medina, Uvalde, Zavala | 67 min |
| Mar 19, 6:33 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Bandera, Kerr, Real | 57 min |
| Mar 19, 6:45 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Frio, Medina | 60 min |
| Mar 19, 6:49 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CRP | La Salle | 41 min |
| Mar 19, 6:54 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Gillespie, Kerr | 55 min |
| Mar 19, 7:17 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Atascosa, Frio | 58 min |
| Mar 19, 7:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Edwards, Kerr, Real | 46 min |
| Mar 19, 7:35 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Bandera, Kerr, Real | 55 min |
| Mar 19, 7:37 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Uvalde | 53 min |
| Mar 19, 7:42 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Gillespie | 29 min |
| Mar 19, 7:44 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | EWX | Atascosa, Medina | 31 min |
| Mar 19, 8:02 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | EWX | Bandera, Kerr | 43 min |
| Mar 19, 8:02 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | EWX | Atascosa, Bexar, Medina | 48 min |
| Mar 19, 8:07 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | EWX | Atascosa, Frio | 53 min |
| Mar 19, 8:25 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Bandera, Medina, Real, Uvalde | 65 min |
| Mar 19, 8:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Real, Uvalde | 61 min |
| Mar 19, 8:39 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Gillespie, Kendall, Kerr | 66 min |
| Mar 19, 8:56 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | EWX | Atascosa, Bexar | 22 min |
| Mar 19, 9:07 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Kinney, Uvalde | 53 min |
| Mar 19, 9:23 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EWX | Bandera, Gillespie, Kerr, Real, Uvalde | 3 hr |
| Mar 19, 9:30 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Bandera, Kerr, Medina, Uvalde | 60 min |
| Mar 19, 9:31 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Kinney, Maverick, Real, Uvalde, Zavala | 59 min |
| Mar 19, 9:59 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Bandera, Gillespie, Kendall, Kerr | 61 min |
| Mar 19, 10:31 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Blanco, Gillespie | 44 min |
| Mar 19, 10:34 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Bandera, Kendall, Kerr | 41 min |
| Mar 19, 10:58 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EWX | Bandera, Kinney, Medina, Real, Uvalde | 4 hr |
| Mar 19, 11:03 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EWX | Bandera, Blanco, Burnet, Gillespie, Kendall, Kerr and 2 more | 3 hr |
| Mar 19, 11:03 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Medina, Uvalde | 42 min |
| Mar 19, 11:16 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Bandera, Gillespie, Kendall, Kerr, Medina | 44 min |
| Mar 19, 11:27 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CRP | Webb | 48 min |
| Mar 19, 11:39 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Medina | 21 min |
| Mar 20, 12:15 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CRP | Webb | 45 min |
| Mar 20, 12:49 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CRP | La Salle | 41 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Del Rio, TX (KDRT), launched 12:00Z, 11.4 hours before the alert went out and 189 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 2784 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -36 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 528 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 47 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 284 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 337 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 4.3
- Supercell composite
- 18.4
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
020
WWUS20 KWNS 192321
SEL7
SPC WW 192321
TXZ000-200600-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 87
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
625 PM CDT MON MAR 19 2012
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING FROM 625 PM UNTIL
100 AM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF
LAREDO TEXAS TO 25 MILES NORTHEAST OF AUSTIN TEXAS. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 85...WW 86...
DISCUSSION...SEVERAL DISCRETE SUPERCELLS HAVE FORMED TO THE WEST AND
SOUTHWEST OF SAN ANTONIO...AND APPEAR LIKELY TO MAINTAIN INTENSITY
THROUGH MUCH OF THE EVENING. A MOIST AND VERY UNSTABLE AIR
MASS...COUPLED WITH STRONG LOW LEVEL AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR...WILL
PROMOTE THE RISK OF TORNADIC SUPERCELLS ALSO CAPABLE OF DAMAGING
WINDS AND VERY LARGE HAIL.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.
...HARTSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 7:37 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Childress, Collingsworth, Cottle, Dickens, Fisher, Foard and 13 more | 53 min |
| Mar 18, 9:10 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Childress, Collingsworth, Cottle, Crosby, Dickens, Donley and 7 more | 35 min |
| Mar 18, 10:09 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Andrews, Borden, Crane, Crosby, Dawson, Ector and 13 more | 96 min |
| Mar 18, 10:50 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Andrews, Borden, Briscoe, Castro, Childress, Coke and 39 more | 11 hr |
| Mar 18, 11:23 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Briscoe, Crosby, Floyd, Garza, Hale, Hall and 6 more | 4 hr |
| Mar 18, 11:37 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Collingsworth, Donley, Gray, Hemphill, Lipscomb, Ochiltree and 2 more | 53 min |
| Mar 19, 1:37 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Borden, Childress, Coke, Collingsworth, Cottle, Dickens and 25 more | 83 min |
| Mar 19, 1:56 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Archer, Baylor, Clay, Foard, Hardeman, Knox and 2 more | 4 hr |
| Mar 19, 3:34 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Wilbarger | 86 min |
| Mar 19, 4:13 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Coke, Fisher, Foard, Glasscock, Haskell, Howard and 16 more | 92 min |
| Mar 19, 4:39 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Callahan, Coke, Coleman, Concho, Crockett, Fisher and 22 more | 7 hr |
| Mar 19, 10:05 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clay, Cooke, Grayson, Montague | 115 min |
| Mar 19, 10:46 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Callahan, Coke, Irion, Jones, Nolan, Runnels and 4 more | 89 min |
| Mar 19, 2:15 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bosque, Brown, Collin, Comanche, Concho, Cooke and 26 more | 90 min |
| Mar 19, 2:39 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Bandera, Blanco, Bosque, Brown, Burnet, Coleman and 42 more | 7 hr |
| Mar 19, 6:05 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Atascosa, Bandera, Bastrop, Bexar, Blanco, Bosque and 47 more | 85 min |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.