Alert archive / Texas / Tornado Watches in 2012

Tornado Watch 87

March 19, 201232 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 19, 2012, 6:21 PM CDT for 32 counties in Texas. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 19, 2012, 6:21 PM CDT (23:21 UTC)
Expired
Mar 20, 2012, 12:53 AM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
3 in
Strongest gust expected
70 kt
All 32 counties

Atascosa County, TX, Bandera County, TX, Bastrop County, TX, Bexar County, TX, Blanco County, TX, Burnet County, TX, Caldwell County, TX, Comal County, TX, Dimmit County, TX, Edwards County, TX, Fayette County, TX, Frio County, TX, Gillespie County, TX, Gonzales County, TX, Guadalupe County, TX, Hays County, TX, Karnes County, TX, Kendall County, TX, Kerr County, TX, Kinney County, TX, La Salle County, TX, Lee County, TX, Llano County, TX, McMullen County, TX, Medina County, TX, Real County, TX, Travis County, TX, Uvalde County, TX, Webb County, TX, Williamson County, TX, Wilson County, TX, Zavala County, TX

The radar

The Laughlin AFB radar (KDFX), 136 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:25 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
70%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
50%
Ten or more severe wind reports
80%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
50%
Ten or more severe hail reports
80%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
80%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

33 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 19, 6:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXFrio, Medina, Uvalde, Zavala67 min
Mar 19, 6:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBandera, Kerr, Real57 min
Mar 19, 6:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXFrio, Medina60 min
Mar 19, 6:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCRPLa Salle41 min
Mar 19, 6:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXGillespie, Kerr55 min
Mar 19, 7:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXAtascosa, Frio58 min
Mar 19, 7:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXEdwards, Kerr, Real46 min
Mar 19, 7:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBandera, Kerr, Real55 min
Mar 19, 7:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXUvalde53 min
Mar 19, 7:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXGillespie29 min
Mar 19, 7:44 PM CDTTornado WarningEWXAtascosa, Medina31 min
Mar 19, 8:02 PM CDTTornado WarningEWXBandera, Kerr43 min
Mar 19, 8:02 PM CDTTornado WarningEWXAtascosa, Bexar, Medina48 min
Mar 19, 8:07 PM CDTTornado WarningEWXAtascosa, Frio53 min
Mar 19, 8:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBandera, Medina, Real, Uvalde65 min
Mar 19, 8:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXReal, Uvalde61 min
Mar 19, 8:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXGillespie, Kendall, Kerr66 min
Mar 19, 8:56 PM CDTTornado WarningEWXAtascosa, Bexar22 min
Mar 19, 9:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXKinney, Uvalde53 min
Mar 19, 9:23 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXBandera, Gillespie, Kerr, Real, Uvalde3 hr
Mar 19, 9:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBandera, Kerr, Medina, Uvalde60 min
Mar 19, 9:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXKinney, Maverick, Real, Uvalde, Zavala59 min
Mar 19, 9:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBandera, Gillespie, Kendall, Kerr61 min
Mar 19, 10:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBlanco, Gillespie44 min
Mar 19, 10:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBandera, Kendall, Kerr41 min
Mar 19, 10:58 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXBandera, Kinney, Medina, Real, Uvalde4 hr
Mar 19, 11:03 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXBandera, Blanco, Burnet, Gillespie, Kendall, Kerr and 2 more3 hr
Mar 19, 11:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXMedina, Uvalde42 min
Mar 19, 11:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBandera, Gillespie, Kendall, Kerr, Medina44 min
Mar 19, 11:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCRPWebb48 min
Mar 19, 11:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXMedina21 min
Mar 20, 12:15 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCRPWebb45 min
Mar 20, 12:49 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCRPLa Salle41 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Del Rio, TX (KDRT), launched 12:00Z, 11.4 hours before the alert went out and 189 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Del Rio, TX at 12:00Z on 2012-03-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2784 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Del Rio, TX at 12:00Z on 2012-03-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 284 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2784 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-36 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
528 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
47 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
284 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
337 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
4.3
Supercell composite
18.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

020 
WWUS20 KWNS 192321
SEL7
SPC WW 192321
TXZ000-200600-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 87
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
625 PM CDT MON MAR 19 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS

EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING FROM 625 PM UNTIL
100 AM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF
LAREDO TEXAS TO 25 MILES NORTHEAST OF AUSTIN TEXAS.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 85...WW 86...

DISCUSSION...SEVERAL DISCRETE SUPERCELLS HAVE FORMED TO THE WEST AND
SOUTHWEST OF SAN ANTONIO...AND APPEAR LIKELY TO MAINTAIN INTENSITY
THROUGH MUCH OF THE EVENING.  A MOIST AND VERY UNSTABLE AIR
MASS...COUPLED WITH STRONG LOW LEVEL AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR...WILL
PROMOTE THE RISK OF TORNADIC SUPERCELLS ALSO CAPABLE OF DAMAGING
WINDS AND VERY LARGE HAIL.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.


...HART

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 18, 7:37 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChildress, Collingsworth, Cottle, Dickens, Fisher, Foard and 13 more53 min
Mar 18, 9:10 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChildress, Collingsworth, Cottle, Crosby, Dickens, Donley and 7 more35 min
Mar 18, 10:09 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndrews, Borden, Crane, Crosby, Dawson, Ector and 13 more96 min
Mar 18, 10:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAndrews, Borden, Briscoe, Castro, Childress, Coke and 39 more11 hr
Mar 18, 11:23 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBriscoe, Crosby, Floyd, Garza, Hale, Hall and 6 more4 hr
Mar 18, 11:37 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCollingsworth, Donley, Gray, Hemphill, Lipscomb, Ochiltree and 2 more53 min
Mar 19, 1:37 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBorden, Childress, Coke, Collingsworth, Cottle, Dickens and 25 more83 min
Mar 19, 1:56 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCArcher, Baylor, Clay, Foard, Hardeman, Knox and 2 more4 hr
Mar 19, 3:34 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCWilbarger86 min
Mar 19, 4:13 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCoke, Fisher, Foard, Glasscock, Haskell, Howard and 16 more92 min
Mar 19, 4:39 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCallahan, Coke, Coleman, Concho, Crockett, Fisher and 22 more7 hr
Mar 19, 10:05 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Cooke, Grayson, Montague115 min
Mar 19, 10:46 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCallahan, Coke, Irion, Jones, Nolan, Runnels and 4 more89 min
Mar 19, 2:15 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBosque, Brown, Collin, Comanche, Concho, Cooke and 26 more90 min
Mar 19, 2:39 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBandera, Blanco, Bosque, Brown, Burnet, Coleman and 42 more7 hr
Mar 19, 6:05 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtascosa, Bandera, Bastrop, Bexar, Blanco, Bosque and 47 more85 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Texas, 2012Every tornado watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.