Severe Thunderstorm Warning 5, NWS San Angelo, TX

028 
WWUS54 KSJT 192235
SVSSJT

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
535 PM CDT MON MAR 19 2012

TXC095-307-319-327-192300-
/O.CON.KSJT.SV.W.0005.000000T0000Z-120319T2300Z/
MCCULLOCH TX-MASON TX-MENARD TX-CONCHO TX-
535 PM CDT MON MAR 19 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN CONCHO...NORTHEASTERN MENARD...NORTHWESTERN MASON
AND SOUTHWESTERN MCCULLOCH COUNTIES...

AT 530 PM CDT... A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR THE
INTERSECTION OF US-190 AND RANCH ROAD 1311...OR 14 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
BRADY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

  STORM HAZARDS INCLUDE...
  HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL
  DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.

  WITH POSSIBLE STORM IMPACTS...
  VEHICLE DINGS...
  MINOR DAMAGE TO ROOFS...
  DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS...
  LIGHT OBJECTS BLOWN AROUND...

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  BRADY LAKE BY 545 PM CDT...
  BRADY BY 550 PM CDT...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT MONDAY EVENING
FOR WEST CENTRAL TEXAS.

&&

LAT...LON 3078 9946 3109 9979 3135 9950 3094 9912
TIME...MOT...LOC 2235Z 230DEG 37KT 3104 9948

$$
NR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
307 PM CDT MON MAR 19 2012

.SHORT TERM...
BUSY WITH ACTIVE WEATHER THIS AFTERNOON. TORNADO WATCH 85 UNTIL 10
PM FOR AREAS ALONG AND EAST OF A COLD FRONT FROM JUNO TO SONORA TO
COLEMAN. POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES AND LARGE HAIL. LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL POSSIBLE ALSO AS STORM TRAIN NORTHEAST ALONG THE FRONT.
SB CAPES OVER 2500 J/KG AND 0 TO 6 KM SHEARS OF 70 KTS ARE
IMPRESSIVE. SUPER CELLS WITH HOOKS WERE MOVING TOWARD SUTTON COUNTY AT 3
PM...AND MAY SEE TORNADO WARNINGS ISSUED SHORTLY.

04

.LONG TERM...
MODELS ARE SIMILAR...INDICATING THE UPPER TROUGH TO CLOSE OFF AS
IT MOVES INTO WEST CENTRAL TEXAS TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.
BEST CHANCES OF RAIN WILL BE NORTH OF THE UPPER LOW...ACROSS THE
BIG COUNTRY. UNFORTUNATELY FOR RAIN CHANCES...MOST OF THE MODELS
ARE DRIER. THE NAM MODEL IS THE WETTEST AND ITS ALGORITHM ONLY
OUTPUTS SOME SCATTERED SHOWERS OVER THE BIG COUNTRY WEDNESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. AT THE SURFACE WINDS ARE DRY AND WESTERLY. IF WE
DO HAVE RAIN FROM MID LEVEL SHOWERS WEDNESDAY...COULD HAVE WITH
STRONG GUSTY WINDS BELOW. WENT COOLER WEDNESDAY...CLOSER TO MET
MOS TEMPERATURES.... ESPECIALLY FOR THE BIG COUNTRY...AS EXPECT
MID AND UPPER LEVEL CLOUDINESS.

FOR THURSDAY INTO THE WEEKEND...DRY WITH UPPER RIDGE BUILDING IN

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ABILENE 	 43  64  40  59  45 /  30  20  20  30  10
SAN ANGELO 	 45  59  40  63  43 /  20  10  20  20  10
JUNCTION 	 50  66  39  69  42 /  80  30  20  20  10

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES: BROWN...COLEMAN...CONCHO...MCCULLOCH.

&&

99/04

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
419 AM CDT MON MAR 19 2012

TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-
140-154-155-168>170-200930-
FISHER-NOLAN-STERLING-COKE-RUNNELS-IRION-TOM GREEN-CONCHO-
CROCKETT-SCHLEICHER-SUTTON-HASKELL-THROCKMORTON-JONES-SHACKELFORD-
TAYLOR-CALLAHAN-COLEMAN-BROWN-MCCULLOCH-SAN SABA-MENARD-KIMBLE-
MASON-
419 AM CDT MON MAR 19 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL
TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER MAINLY ALONG AND EAST
OF JUNCTION...TO BRADY...TO BROWNWOOD LINE. THERE IS ALSO A SLIGHT
RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT MAINLY ALONG AND
EAST OF A SONORA...TO SAN ANGELO...TO ROCHESTER LINE. THE MAIN
HAZARDS WILL BE LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES.
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL LOW MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. THE MAIN
HAZARD WILL BE DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
219 PM CDT MON MAR 19 2012

TXZ072-077-191945-
SCHLEICHER TX-TOM GREEN TX-
219 PM CDT MON MAR 19 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 245 PM CDT FOR
SCHLEICHER AND TOM GREEN COUNTIES...

AT 215 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED ABOUT 9 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF ELDORADO...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH. OTHER STRONG
STORMS WERE DEVELOPING ACROSS SOUTHEAST TOM GREEN COUNTY.

* THE STRONGEST THUNDERSTORM WILL CONTINUE ACROSS CENTRAL AND
  EASTERN SCHLEICHER COUNTY...PASSING NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF
  US-190 AND RANCH ROAD 2084 BY 230 PM CDT.

PEA SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE LIKELY WITH THESE STORMS.
HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON AREA ROADWAYS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. RESIDENTS ARE ENCOURAGED TO
MONITOR THE SITUATION CLOSELY AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE THE PROPER
ACTIONS SHOULD A WARNING BE ISSUED.

LAT...LON 3105 10058 3145 10011 3076 10011 3071 10050
      3071 10060
TIME...MOT...LOC 1916Z 228DEG 42KT 3079 10046

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
244 PM CDT MON MAR 19 2012

TXZ066-073-139-192030-
RUNNELS TX-COLEMAN TX-CONCHO TX-
244 PM CDT MON MAR 19 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 330 PM CDT FOR
RUNNELS...COLEMAN AND CONCHO COUNTIES...

AT 238 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS INDICATED BY NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF PAINT ROCK...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

* THE STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  US-83 NEAR THE CONCHO-RUNNELS COUNTY LINE AND ROWENA BY 300 PM CDT
  BALLINGER BY 305 PM CDT
  BENOIT AND HATCHEL BY 310 PM CDT
  TALPA BY 315 PM CDT
  GLEN COVE BY 320 PM CDT

DIME SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE LIKELY WITH THIS STORM.
HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON AREA ROADWAYS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. RESIDENTS ARE ENCOURAGED TO
MONITOR THE SITUATION CLOSELY AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE THE PROPER
ACTIONS SHOULD A WARNING BE ISSUED.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT MONDAY EVENING
FOR WEST CENTRAL TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3143 10011 3158 10011 3158 10012 3199 9998
      3180 9947 3132 9988
TIME...MOT...LOC 1943Z 208DEG 57KT 3152 9999

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
315 PM CDT MON MAR 19 2012

TXZ066-139-192045-
RUNNELS TX-COLEMAN TX-
315 PM CDT MON MAR 19 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 345 PM CDT FOR
RUNNELS AND COLEMAN COUNTIES...

AT 312 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS INDICATED BY NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR 6 MILES SOUTHEAST OF TALPA...OR ABOUT
15 MILES SOUTHWEST OF COLEMAN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

* THE STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  GLEN COVE BY 325 PM CDT
  HORDS CREEK RESERVOIR BY 330 PM CDT
  COLEMAN AND SILVER VALLEY BY 335 PM CDT
  ECHO BY 345 PM CDT
  BURKETT AND US-283 NEAR THE COLEMAN-CALLAHAN COUNTY LINE BY 350 PM
  CDT

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE LIKELY WITH THIS STORM.
HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON AREA ROADWAYS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. RESIDENTS ARE ENCOURAGED TO
MONITOR THE SITUATION CLOSELY AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE THE PROPER
ACTIONS SHOULD A WARNING BE ISSUED.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT MONDAY EVENING
FOR WEST CENTRAL TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3180 9920 3158 9962 3171 9978 3208 9956
      3208 9920
TIME...MOT...LOC 2014Z 222DEG 43KT 3173 9962

NR

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
459 PM CDT MON MAR 19 2012

TXZ168>170-192230-
KIMBLE TX-MASON TX-MENARD TX-
459 PM CDT MON MAR 19 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 530 PM CDT FOR
KIMBLE...MASON AND MENARD COUNTIES...

AT 458 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS INDICATED BY NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR 17 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HEXT...OR ABOUT
14 MILES SOUTH OF MENARD...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

* THE STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  THE INTERSECTION OF RANCH ROAD 1773 AND RANCH ROAD 1221 BY 510 PM
  CDT
  ERNA AND US-377 NEAR THE KIMBLE-MENARD COUNTY LINE BY 515 PM CDT
  HEXT BY 520 PM CDT
  THE INTERSECTION OF HIGHWAY 29 AND RANCH ROAD 1222 AND STREETER BY
  525 PM CDT

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE LIKELY WITH THIS STORM.
HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON AREA ROADWAYS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. RESIDENTS ARE ENCOURAGED TO
MONITOR THE SITUATION CLOSELY AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE THE PROPER
ACTIONS SHOULD A WARNING BE ISSUED.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT MONDAY EVENING
FOR WEST CENTRAL TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3072 9987 3094 9949 3094 9941 3079 9928
      3063 9980
TIME...MOT...LOC 2159Z 239DEG 40KT 3072 9974

NR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
501 PM CDT MON MAR 19 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0125 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 1 ESE WALL              31.37N 100.29W
03/19/2012  M60 MPH          TOM GREEN          TX   MESONET

            WINDS RESULTED FROM THE INTERACTION OF THE LOW LEVEL
            JET AND A DECAYING SHOWER.

&&

EVENT NUMBER SJT1200064

JOHNSON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
510 PM CDT MON MAR 19 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0402 PM     HAIL             16 W ROOSEVELT          30.48N 100.32W
03/19/2012  E1.75 INCH       SUTTON             TX   BROADCAST MEDIA

            REPORTED BY TRAVELER VIA LOCAL RADIO STATION. TIME WAS
            ESTIMATED PER RADAR.

&&

EVENT NUMBER SJT1200065

JOHNSON