Alert archive / Michigan / Isabella County

Weather alerts in Isabella County, Michigan, 2012

137 weather alerts in 2012, from the National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center. An alert counts here when it covered this county.

Isabella County and its neighbors

Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2012. Tap one for its archive.

Alerts
137
Warnings
36
Watches
15
Advisories
35
Busiest month
July26 alerts
Busiest day
May 3, 20129 alerts

Over time

By month

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

0 of 1 tornado warnings covering Isabella County in 2012 had a tornado report inside them.

Isabella County, 2012

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
Tornado warnings10100%0
Severe thunderstorm warnings10550%967%30 min
Flash flood warnings10100%0

Each office's whole area, 2012

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
NWS Grand Rapids, MI: tornado warnings60100%0
NWS Grand Rapids, MI: severe thunderstorm warnings683943%14059%21 min
NWS Grand Rapids, MI: flash flood warnings7443%1675%241 min

An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

The alerts

Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Eastern Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Jan 12, 2:55 AM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryGRR39 hr
Jan 16, 4:32 PM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryGRR35 hr
Jan 22, 1:25 PM ESTFreezing Rain AdvisoryGRR14 hr
Jan 23, 12:41 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementGRR2 hr
Jan 23, 1:41 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementGRR2 hr
Jan 23, 2:33 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementGRR87 min
Jan 23, 4:03 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementGRR57 min
Feb 22, 4:58 PM ESTWinter Storm WatchGRR18 hr
Feb 23, 11:19 AM ESTWinter Storm WarningGRR26 hr
Feb 23, 11:19 AM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryGRR10 hr
Feb 27, 4:41 AM ESTWinter Storm WatchGRR34 hr
Feb 28, 2:41 PM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryGRR21 hr
Feb 29, 12:28 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPC6 hr
Mar 2, 3:22 AM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryGRR13 hr
Mar 2, 3:53 PM ESTHigh Wind WarningGRR15 hr
Mar 12, 4:22 PM EDTTornado WatchSPC7 hr
Mar 12, 4:33 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRR21 min
Mar 12, 6:08 PM EDTTornado WarningGRR37 min
Mar 13, 3:30 PM EDTRiver Flood AdvisoryGRR30 hr
Mar 15, 7:23 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGRR52 min
Mar 15, 7:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRR46 min
Mar 15, 8:20 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGRR25 min
Mar 15, 8:30 PM EDTDense Fog AdvisoryGRR16 hr
Mar 22, 3:51 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGRR69 min
Mar 22, 5:04 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGRR56 min
Mar 25, 3:53 AM EDTFreeze WatchGRR12 hr
Mar 25, 3:59 PM EDTFreeze WarningGRR19 hr
Mar 26, 11:18 AM EDTFreeze WarningGRR22 hr
Mar 28, 3:43 AM EDTFreeze WatchGRR12 hr
Mar 28, 3:17 PM EDTFreeze WarningGRR17 hr
Mar 29, 3:08 PM EDTWinter Weather AdvisoryGRR22 hr
Mar 30, 3:18 PM EDTFreeze WarningGRR13 hr
Apr 4, 11:38 AM EDTFreeze WarningGRR21 hr
Apr 5, 10:28 AM EDTFreeze WarningGRR23 hr
Apr 6, 2:26 PM EDTFreeze WarningGRR19 hr
Apr 10, 3:28 PM EDTFreeze WarningGRR41 hr
Apr 12, 11:04 AM EDTFreeze WarningGRR22 hr
Apr 15, 9:41 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGRR64 min
Apr 16, 12:07 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGRR53 min
Apr 16, 12:22 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGRR53 min
Apr 16, 1:10 AM EDTWind AdvisoryGRR19 hr
Apr 16, 4:22 PM EDTFreeze WarningGRR17 hr
Apr 17, 12:52 PM EDTFreeze WarningGRR19 hr
Apr 20, 3:52 PM EDTFreeze WarningGRR17 hr
Apr 21, 3:24 PM EDTFreeze WarningGRR18 hr
Apr 22, 3:59 PM EDTFreeze WarningGRR16 hr
Apr 25, 3:23 PM EDTFreeze WatchGRR12 hr
Apr 26, 3:32 AM EDTFreeze WarningGRR29 hr
Apr 27, 3:19 PM EDTFreeze WarningGRR17 hr
Apr 28, 3:13 AM EDTFreeze WarningGRR30 hr
May 3, 2:55 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGRR80 min
May 3, 5:30 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGRR60 min
May 3, 6:08 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRR67 min
May 3, 10:22 AM EDTFlash Flood WatchGRR22 hr
May 3, 11:34 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC86 min
May 3, 12:41 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC5 hr
May 3, 2:39 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC66 min
May 3, 3:20 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGRR115 min
May 3, 4:16 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRR38 min
May 9, 11:57 AM EDTFrost AdvisoryGRR20 hr
May 10, 2:16 PM EDTFrost AdvisoryGRR17 hr
May 11, 12:13 PM EDTFire Weather WatchGRR4 hr
May 11, 4:16 PM EDTRed Flag WarningGRR5 hr
May 15, 5:44 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGRR61 min
May 16, 4:01 PM EDTFrost AdvisoryGRR16 hr
May 27, 3:57 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGRR63 min
May 27, 9:00 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGRR60 min
May 27, 9:31 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGRR59 min
May 27, 9:50 AM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryGRR3 hr
May 27, 2:21 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGRR69 min
May 28, 8:42 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC93 min
May 30, 3:30 AM EDTFrost AdvisoryGRR28 hr
Jun 11, 11:27 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGRR63 min
Jun 18, 12:46 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGRR89 min
Jun 18, 5:46 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC6 hr
Jun 22, 12:28 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC92 min
Jun 22, 2:33 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGRR87 min
Jun 27, 9:49 AM EDTRed Flag WarningGRR11 hr
Jun 27, 3:20 PM EDTHeat AdvisoryGRR30 hr
Jul 3, 2:10 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGRR65 min
Jul 3, 3:24 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC96 min
Jul 3, 3:45 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGRR60 min
Jul 3, 10:46 AM EDTExcessive Heat WatchGRR17 hr
Jul 4, 3:24 AM EDTHeat AdvisoryGRR3 days
Jul 4, 3:59 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC91 min
Jul 4, 4:37 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRR53 min
Jul 4, 4:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC5 hr
Jul 4, 4:55 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryGRR3 hr
Jul 4, 5:31 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRR59 min
Jul 4, 6:15 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningGRR4 hr
Jul 4, 6:32 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRR58 min
Jul 4, 11:54 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC96 min
Jul 5, 2:52 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRR53 min
Jul 16, 3:07 PM EDTHeat AdvisoryGRR29 hr
Jul 17, 5:55 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC65 min
Jul 19, 4:43 AM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryGRR5 hr
Jul 25, 7:25 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC95 min
Jul 25, 7:38 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC7 hr
Jul 25, 9:28 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC92 min
Jul 25, 11:23 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGRR67 min
Jul 25, 11:40 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRR80 min
Jul 26, 12:09 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC96 min
Jul 26, 2:40 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC65 min
Jul 27, 2:06 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGRR54 min
Jul 31, 1:39 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC96 min
Aug 10, 3:49 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryGRR18 hr
Aug 14, 4:12 AM EDTDense Fog AdvisoryGRR6 hr
Aug 14, 5:08 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGRR67 min
Aug 16, 6:28 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC92 min
Aug 19, 1:34 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGRR56 min
Aug 19, 2:30 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGRR60 min
Aug 19, 3:32 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGRR58 min
Aug 19, 4:27 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGRR63 min
Sep 14, 4:15 AM EDTDense Fog AdvisoryGRR5 hr
Sep 17, 4:56 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGRR109 min
Sep 18, 7:58 PM EDTFrost AdvisoryGRR13 hr
Sep 22, 1:27 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGRR93 min
Sep 23, 2:48 PM EDTFrost AdvisoryGRR18 hr
Sep 26, 3:47 PM EDTFrost AdvisoryGRR16 hr
Oct 5, 2:33 PM EDTFreeze WatchGRR24 hr
Oct 6, 2:38 PM EDTFreeze WarningGRR12 hr
Oct 6, 2:38 PM EDTFreeze WarningGRR43 hr
Oct 11, 10:45 AM EDTWind AdvisoryGRR7 hr
Oct 11, 3:56 PM EDTFreeze WarningGRR17 hr
Oct 14, 3:27 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRR48 min
Oct 14, 5:18 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGRR57 min
Oct 14, 6:16 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGRR59 min
Oct 17, 4:46 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGRR119 min
Oct 28, 3:45 PM EDTWind AdvisoryGRR48 hr
Nov 16, 9:34 PM ESTDense Fog AdvisoryGRR14 hr
Nov 18, 8:51 PM ESTDense Fog AdvisoryGRR11 hr
Nov 20, 5:51 PM ESTDense Fog AdvisoryGRR17 hr
Dec 2, 8:54 PM ESTDense Fog AdvisoryGRR15 hr
Dec 9, 5:54 PM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryGRR10 hr
Dec 18, 3:40 PM ESTWinter Storm WatchGRR23 hr
Dec 19, 2:57 PM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryGRR52 hr
Dec 27, 9:40 PM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryGRR13 hr

By product

Every kind of product issued here, grouped by hazard. Each opens the same place narrowed to that product.

The busiest days

Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.

Nearby

Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20112013

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.