Alert archive / Michigan

Weather alerts in Isabella County, Michigan

2,223 weather alerts since 1986, from the National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center. An alert counts here when it covered this county.

Isabella County and its neighbors

Each county as a circle sized by its count since 1986. Tap one for its archive.

Alerts
2,223
Warnings
445
Watches
351
Advisories
658
Busiest year
2008187 alerts
Average year
57over 39 years on file

Over time

By year

Before late 2005 the archive holds only tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings, and from 1997 SPC's watches, so the jump that year is the archive widening, not the weather.

By month of the year

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

From 2008 to 2025, of tornado reports in Isabella County fell inside a tornado warning, and 100% of the tornado warnings had no report inside them.

Tornado warnings by year

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
200810100%0
201110100%0
201210100%0
202120100%0

Severe thunderstorm warnings by year

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
2008191237%1346%38 min
20096183%20%
201010730%5100%31 min
201112558%10100%24 min
201210550%967%30 min
20134250%425%44 min
20149544%1392%16 min
20154175%250%13 min
201620100%0
2017110%367%5 min
20186433%956%27 min
20194250%450%12 min
20207529%667%26 min
20215420%771%31 min
20229278%250%52 min
20234175%1100%26 min
20243233%1100%40 min
202530100%10%

Flash flood warnings by year

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
2008110%1100%27 min
201010100%10%
2011110%0
201210100%0
201410100%0

Years from 2008, the first full year of storm-based warnings. The year still running is on its own page.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

By product

Every kind of product issued here, grouped by hazard. Each opens the same place narrowed to that product.

The latest warnings

The most recent on file, newest first.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Sep 3, 1:31 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRR44 min
Jun 28, 1:26 PM EDTExtreme Heat WarningGRR4 days
Jun 16, 5:28 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRR47 min
Jun 10, 7:39 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRR66 min
May 18, 4:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRR30 min
May 18, 3:07 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatGRR53 min
May 11, 1:34 PM EDTFreeze WarningGRR18 hr
May 10, 1:10 PM EDTFreeze WarningGRR19 hr
May 6, 1:57 PM EDTFreeze WarningGRR18 hr
May 4, 2:46 PM EDTRed Flag WarningGRR4 hr
May 1, 12:01 PM EDTFreeze WarningGRR21 hr
Apr 16, 8:25 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningGRR4 days

Nearby

Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.