Alert archive / Michigan / Special Weather Statements in 2012

Special Weather Statement, NWS Grand Rapids, MI

May 15, 20129 counties in Michigan

NWS Grand Rapids, MI issued this special weather statement at May 15, 2012, 5:44 PM EDT for 9 counties in Michigan. It was in force for 61 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 15, 2012, 5:44 PM EDT (21:44 UTC)
Expired
May 15, 2012, 6:45 PM EDT
In force
61 min
Issued by
NWS Grand Rapids, MI

Counties Clare County, MI, Isabella County, MI, Lake County, MI, Mason County, MI, Mecosta County, MI, Muskegon County, MI, Newaygo County, MI, Oceana County, MI, Osceola County, MI

The radar

The Grand Rapids radar (KGRR), 80 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:44 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Green Bay/Straub, WI (KGRB), launched 12:00Z, 9.7 hours before the alert went out and 201 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Green Bay/Straub, WI at 12:00Z on 2012-05-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Green Bay/Straub, WI at 12:00Z on 2012-05-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 63 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2744 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
30 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
63 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
167 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Grand Rapids, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at May 15, 3:44 PM EDT, 2 hours earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 15, 3:44 PM EDT, 2 hours before
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Hazardous weather outlook, May 15, 4:51 PM EDT, 53 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
451 PM EDT TUE MAY 15 2012

LMZ844>849-MIZ037>040-043>046-050>052-056>059-064>067-071>074-
160915-
ST JOSEPH TO SOUTH HAVEN MI-SOUTH HAVEN TO HOLLAND MI-
HOLLAND TO GRAND HAVEN MI-GRAND HAVEN TO WHITEHALL MI-
WHITEHALL TO PENTWATER MI-PENTWATER TO MANISTEE MI-MASON-LAKE-
OSCEOLA-CLARE-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-ISABELLA-MUSKEGON-MONTCALM-
GRATIOT-OTTAWA-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-ALLEGAN-BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-
VAN BUREN-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
451 PM EDT TUE MAY 15 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST LOWER
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS ALL OF SOUTHWEST LOWER
MICHIGAN THIS EVENING.  ISOLATED STRONGER STORMS COULD BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING HAIL TO AROUND ONE INCH IN DIAMETER...WIND GUSTS TO NEAR
60 MPH AND LIGHTNING.

LATER TONIGHT...THE THREAT OF STORMS WILL END ACROSS CENTRAL LOWER
MICHIGAN BY 11 PM...AND ACROSS SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN BY 5 AM.
STORM MOVEMENT WILL BE TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST AROUND 35 MPH.

AN ELEVATED FIRE DANGER EXISTS ACROSS CENTRAL LOWER MICHIGAN THROUGH
THIS EVENING WITH WARM AND BREEZY CONDITIONS EXPECTED. COMPOUNDING
THE FIRE THREAT WILL BE THE CHANCE OF LIGHTNING AS STORMS MOVE
THROUGH THE AREA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE LATE SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS POSSIBLE THROUGH 1100 PM.

LMZ844>849-160915-
ST JOSEPH TO SOUTH HAVEN MI-SOUTH HAVEN TO HOLLAND MI-
HOLLAND TO GRAND HAVEN MI-GRAND HAVEN TO WHITEHALL MI-
WHITEHALL TO PENTWATER MI-PENTWATER TO MANISTEE MI-
451 PM EDT TUE MAY 15 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST LOWER
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

WINDS AND WAVES WILL BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT THROUGH TONIGHT.
THUNDERSTORMS WITH GUSTY WINDS AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING WILL BE
POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE LATE SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

OSTUNO/DUKE/JK

In the hours before

Special weather statement, May 15, 5:44 PM EDT, 0 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
544 PM EDT TUE MAY 15 2012

MIZ037>040-043>046-050-152245-
CLARE-ISABELLA-LAKE-MASON-MECOSTA-MUSKEGON-NEWAYGO-OCEANA-OSCEOLA-
544 PM EDT TUE MAY 15 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

AT 535 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SHOWERS EXTENDING THROUGH A LITTLE SABLE POINT TO CADILLAC
LINE. THIS LINE WAS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH...AND SHOULD REACH A
MUSKEGON TO HARRISON LINE BY 630 PM.

THESE SHOWERS ARE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS OVER 40 MPH. A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP ALONG THE LINE...RESULTING IN OCCASIONAL
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  FERRY...              WALKERVILLE...
  DUCK LAKE STATE PARK...                     MONTAGUE...
  WHITEHALL...          NEWKIRK TWP...        LAKE TWP...
  TROY TWP...           LAKEWOOD CLUB...      BALDWIN...
  DALTON...             IDLEWILD...           LUTHER...
  BITELY...             TWIN LAKE...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

GUSTY WINDS MAY CAUSE SMALL BRANCHES TO BE BLOWN DOWN...AND LOOSE
OBJECTS TO BLOW AROUND. STAY AWAY FROM HIGH OBJECTS OUTDOORS SUCH AS
TREES. SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE IF THUNDERSTORMS
APPROACH.

&&

LAT...LON 4367 8654 4382 8643 4406 8652 4418 8639
      4416 8461 4347 8461 4347 8556 4330 8556
      4329 8579 4321 8579 4321 8591 4312 8591
      4312 8627 4361 8654
TIME...MOT...LOC 2138Z 301DEG 24KT 4386 8607

TJT

The office that day

Everything else NWS Grand Rapids, MI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 15, 3:53 PM EDTSmall Craft AdvisoryGRR15 hr
May 15, 6:43 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGRRMuskegon, Newaygo62 min
May 15, 6:49 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRRMuskegon, Oceana41 min
May 15, 7:08 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRRNewaygo41 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Michigan, 2012Every special weather statement in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.