Alert archive / Michigan / Mesoscale Discussions in 2012

Mesoscale Discussion 1658

July 31, 2012Lake County, McHenry County, Illinois; 17 counties in Michigan; 6 counties in Wisconsin

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jul 31, 2012, 12:39 AM CDT for Lake County, McHenry County, Illinois; 17 counties in Michigan; 6 counties in Wisconsin. It was in force for 96 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 31, 2012, 12:39 AM CDT (05:39 UTC)
Expired
Jul 31, 2012, 2:15 AM CDT
In force
96 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
20%
All 25 counties

Lake County, IL, McHenry County, IL, Allegan County, MI, Barry County, MI, Bay County, MI, Clinton County, MI, Eaton County, MI, Genesee County, MI, Gratiot County, MI, Ingham County, MI, Ionia County, MI, Isabella County, MI, Kent County, MI, Midland County, MI, Montcalm County, MI, Ottawa County, MI, Saginaw County, MI, Shiawassee County, MI, Van Buren County, MI, Jefferson County, WI, Kenosha County, WI, Milwaukee County, WI, Racine County, WI, Walworth County, WI, Waukesha County, WI

The radar

The Grand Rapids radar (KGRR), 59 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 05:41 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Detroit, MI (KDTX), launched 00:00Z, 5.7 hours before the alert went out and 233 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Detroit, MI at 00:00Z on 2012-07-31Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 30 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Detroit, MI at 00:00Z on 2012-07-31The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 28 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
30 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-170 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2207 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
20 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
28 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
61 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 31, 12:11 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChampaign, Clark, Clay, Coles, Crawford, Cumberland and 16 more64 min
Jul 31, 1:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCChampaign, Clark, Clay, Coles, Crawford, Cumberland and 19 more6 hr
Jul 31, 3:35 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChampaign, Clark, Clay, Coles, Crawford, Cumberland and 16 more55 min
Jul 31, 6:42 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrawford, Edwards, Jasper, Lawrence, Richland, Wabash and 1 more33 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Michigan, 2012Mesoscale Discussions in Wisconsin, 2012Mesoscale Discussions in Illinois, 2012Every mesoscale discussion in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.