Alert archive / Michigan / Special Weather Statements in 2012

Special Weather Statement, NWS Grand Rapids, MI

July 3, 20124 counties in Michigan

NWS Grand Rapids, MI issued this special weather statement at Jul 3, 2012, 2:10 AM EDT for 4 counties in Michigan. It was in force for 65 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 3, 2012, 2:10 AM EDT (06:10 UTC)
Expired
Jul 3, 2012, 3:15 AM EDT
In force
65 min
Issued by
NWS Grand Rapids, MI

Counties Clare County, MI, Isabella County, MI, Mecosta County, MI, Osceola County, MI

The radar

The Grand Rapids radar (KGRR), 108 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 06:10 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Detroit, MI (KDTX), launched 00:00Z, 6.2 hours before the alert went out and 179 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Detroit, MI at 00:00Z on 2012-07-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Detroit, MI at 00:00Z on 2012-07-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 1 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2618 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
32 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
1 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
114 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Grand Rapids, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jul 2, 11:47 PM EDT, 2 hours 23 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 2, 11:47 PM EDT, 2 hours 23 minutes before
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Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 2, 2:55 PM EDT, 11 hours 15 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
255 PM EDT MON JUL 2 2012

MIZ037>040-043>046-050>052-056>059-064>067-071>074-030900-
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-CLARE-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-ISABELLA-MUSKEGON-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-OTTAWA-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-ALLEGAN-BARRY-EATON-
INGHAM-VAN BUREN-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
255 PM EDT MON JUL 2 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST LOWER
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON MAINLY
NEAR AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 96 AND EAST OF ROUTE 131. A SLIGHTLY
BETTER CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL COME LATE THIS EVENING THROUGH
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THESE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE.
GUSTY WINDS...SMALL HAIL AND LOCAL HEAVY RAINFALL ARE THE EXPECTED
HAZARDS. STORMS WOULD MOVE SOUTHEAST AROUND 30 MPH.

FIRE DANGER WILL REMAIN HIGH DUE TO THE HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. SOME OF
THESE STORMS COULD BE STRONG WITH GUSTY WINDS AND HAIL. THE STORMS
WILL CONTAIN LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE AGAIN SATURDAY. SOME OF THEM MAY BE
SEVERE IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH DAMAGING WINDS. NON-SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN MONDAY.

FIRE DANGER WILL REMAIN HIGH DUE TO THE HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS WHICH
WILL CONTINUE ALL WEEK. THIS BEING THE FOURTH OF JULY WEEK...
SETTING OFF FIRE WORKS COULD RESULT IN GRASS FIRES.

AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY BE IN THE MID 90S TUESDAY
THROUGH SATURDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN HEAT STRESS ISSUES FOR
THOSE OUTSIDE...ESPECIALLY THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS POSSIBLE TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

LMZ844>849-030900-
ST JOSEPH TO SOUTH HAVEN MI-SOUTH HAVEN TO HOLLAND MI-
HOLLAND TO GRAND HAVEN MI-GRAND HAVEN TO WHITEHALL MI-
WHITEHALL TO PENTWATER MI-PENTWATER TO MANISTEE MI-
255 PM EDT MON JUL 2 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST LOWER
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE MID TO LATE THIS AFTERNOON. A
SLIGHTLY BETTER CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL COME LATE THIS EVENING
AND OVERNIGHT. ANY THUNDERSTORM MAY HAVE GUSTY WINDS THAT WOULD
LOCALLY INCREASE WAVE HEIGHTS. VISIBILITY WOULD BE SIGNIFICANTLY
LOWER IN RAIN SQUALLS IN ANY OF THE STORMS. CLOUD TO WATER LIGHTING
WOULD ALSO BE A HAZARD WITH THESE STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

PERIODS OF THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY...ON
SATURDAY...AND ARE POSSIBLE AGAIN MONDAY. GUSTY WINDS...HAIL AND
CLOUD TO WATER LIGHTING ARE THE EXPECTED HAZARDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS POSSIBLE TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

WDM/LAURENS/TJT

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 3, 2:10 AM EDT, 0 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
210 AM EDT TUE JUL 3 2012

MIZ039-040-045-046-051-052-030715-
CLARE-GRATIOT-ISABELLA-MECOSTA-MONTCALM-OSCEOLA-
210 AM EDT TUE JUL 3 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

AT 206 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF  RAPIDLY DEVELOPING THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM
CENTRAL OSCEOLA COUNTY TO CENTRAL MUSKEGON COUNTY...MOVING EAST AT 15
MPH.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS...ARE
POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  HERSEY...             HARTWICK TWP...       MIDDLE BRANCH TWP...
  EVART...              GRANT TWP...          SYLVAN TWP...
  ORIENT TWP...         SEARS...              COLFAX TWP...
  CHIPPEWA LAKE...      STANWOOD...           RODNEY...
  BARRYTON...           MORLEY...             FREEMAN TWP...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STAY AWAY FROM HIGH OBJECTS OUTDOORS SUCH AS TREES. SEEK SHELTER IN A
STURDY STRUCTURE UNTIL THESE STORMS HAVE PASSED.

&&

LAT...LON 4407 8482 4339 8482 4339 8545 4407 8546
TIME...MOT...LOC 0610Z 259DEG 11KT 4398 8533 4329 8610

93

The office that day

Everything else NWS Grand Rapids, MI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 3, 3:45 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGRRClare, Gratiot, Isabella, Montcalm60 min
Jul 3, 4:40 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGRRGratiot50 min
Jul 3, 5:32 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGRRLake, Osceola58 min
Jul 3, 6:35 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGRRClare55 min
Jul 3, 10:46 AM EDTExcessive Heat WatchGRRClare, Clinton, Gratiot, Ionia, Isabella, Kent and 9 more17 hr
Jul 3, 10:46 AM EDTExcessive Heat WarningGRRAllegan, Barry, Calhoun, Clinton, Eaton, Gratiot and 9 more4 days
Jul 3, 4:54 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGRRIngham66 min
Jul 3, 5:06 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRRIngham, Jackson24 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Michigan, 2012Every special weather statement in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.