Alert archive / Michigan / Mesoscale Discussions in 2012

Mesoscale Discussion 1372

July 3, 201230 counties in Michigan

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jul 3, 2012, 3:24 AM EDT for 30 counties in Michigan. It was in force for 96 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 3, 2012, 3:24 AM EDT (07:24 UTC)
Expired
Jul 3, 2012, 5:00 AM EDT
In force
96 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
20%
All 30 counties

Antrim County, MI, Bay County, MI, Benzie County, MI, Charlevoix County, MI, Cheboygan County, MI, Chippewa County, MI, Clare County, MI, Crawford County, MI, Emmet County, MI, Gladwin County, MI, Grand Traverse County, MI, Gratiot County, MI, Isabella County, MI, Kalkaska County, MI, Lake County, MI, Leelanau County, MI, Mackinac County, MI, Manistee County, MI, Mecosta County, MI, Midland County, MI, Missaukee County, MI, Montcalm County, MI, Montmorency County, MI, Newaygo County, MI, Ogemaw County, MI, Osceola County, MI, Oscoda County, MI, Otsego County, MI, Roscommon County, MI, Wexford County, MI

The radar

The NCL Michigan radar (KAPX), 35 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 07:23 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Alpena, MI (KAPX), launched 00:00Z, 7.4 hours before the alert went out and 216 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Alpena, MI at 00:00Z on 2012-07-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 38 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Alpena, MI at 00:00Z on 2012-07-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 29 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
38 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-104 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2191 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
32 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
29 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
175 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 2, 10:17 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaraga, Dickinson, Gogebic, Houghton, Iron, Keweenaw and 3 more118 min
Jul 2, 11:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBaraga, Dickinson, Gogebic, Houghton, Iron, Keweenaw and 3 more4 hr
Jul 3, 12:17 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlger, Baraga, Delta, Dickinson, Gogebic, Houghton and 6 more88 min
Jul 3, 4:34 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGenesee, Lapeer, Lenawee, Livingston, Macomb, Monroe and 4 more86 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Michigan, 2012Every mesoscale discussion in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.