Alert archive / Kentucky / Estill County

Weather alerts in Estill County, Kentucky, 2009

212 weather alerts in 2009, from the National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center. An alert counts here when it covered this county.

Estill County and its neighbors

Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2009. Tap one for its archive.

Alerts: 212
Warnings: 68
Watches: 34
Advisories: 68
Busiest month: May50 alerts
Busiest day: May 8, 200913 alerts

Over time

By month

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

2 of 8 tornado warnings covering Estill County in 2009 had a tornado report inside them; 1 of 3 tornado reports fell inside a warning, on average 10 minutes after it went out.

Estill County, 2009

	Warnings	With a report	False alarm ratio	Reports	Inside a warning	Mean lead time
Tornado warnings	8	2	75%	3	33%	10 min
Severe thunderstorm warnings	26	19	27%	13	85%	23 min
Flash flood warnings	9	5	44%	0

Each office's whole area, 2009

	Warnings	With a report	False alarm ratio	Reports	Inside a warning	Mean lead time
NWS Jackson, KY: tornado warnings	43	3	93%	10	30%	5 min
NWS Jackson, KY: severe thunderstorm warnings	241	131	46%	359	73%	23 min
NWS Jackson, KY: flash flood warnings	68	33	51%	117	79%	105 min

An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

The alerts

Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Eastern Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jan 7, 10:24 AM EST	River Flood Warning	JKL	39 hr
Jan 9, 1:17 AM EST	River Flood Advisory	JKL	36 hr
Jan 15, 3:24 PM EST	Wind Chill Advisory	JKL	18 hr
Jan 17, 10:24 PM EST	Freezing Rain Advisory	JKL	14 hr
Jan 18, 3:34 PM EST	Winter Weather Advisory	JKL	20 hr
Jan 25, 3:56 AM EST	Winter Storm Watch	JKL	25 hr
Jan 26, 4:50 AM EST	Winter Storm Warning	JKL	59 hr
Jan 26, 10:36 AM EST	Flood Watch	JKL	48 hr
Jan 27, 12:44 AM EST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	5 hr
Jan 27, 7:06 AM EST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	5 hr
Jan 27, 7:25 PM EST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	6 hr
Jan 27, 10:35 PM EST	Areal Flood Advisory	JKL	8 hr
Jan 28, 10:54 AM EST	Areal Flood Advisory	JKL	5 hr
Jan 28, 11:22 AM EST	River Flood Advisory	JKL	42 hr
Jan 28, 11:22 AM EST	River Flood Advisory	JKL	36 hr
Jan 28, 11:22 AM EST	River Flood Advisory	JKL	44 hr
Jan 28, 5:40 PM EST	River Flood Warning	JKL	42 hr
Jan 28, 10:24 PM EST	River Flood Warning	JKL	34 hr
Jan 29, 8:50 PM EST	River Flood Advisory	JKL	34 hr
Jan 30, 7:10 AM EST	River Flood Advisory	JKL	11 hr
Feb 2, 4:30 PM EST	Winter Weather Advisory	JKL	51 hr
Feb 10, 3:48 AM EST	High Wind Watch	JKL	11 hr
Feb 10, 2:25 PM EST	High Wind Warning	JKL	38 hr
Feb 11, 11:02 AM EST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	88 min
Feb 11, 1:35 PM EST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	85 min
Feb 11, 1:59 PM EST	Tornado Watch	SPC	7 hr
Feb 11, 3:19 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JKL	56 min
Feb 11, 3:37 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JKL	53 min
Feb 18, 12:09 PM EST	Tornado Watch	SPC	6 hr
Feb 18, 2:14 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JKL	18 min
Feb 18, 2:17 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JKL	43 min
Feb 18, 2:55 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JKL	50 min
Feb 21, 5:06 AM EST	Winter Weather Advisory	JKL	35 hr
Feb 27, 5:07 AM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JKL	53 min
Feb 27, 5:27 AM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JKL	63 min
Feb 28, 3:55 AM EST	Winter Weather Advisory	JKL	27 hr
Mar 8, 5:36 PM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	54 min
Mar 8, 6:21 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	4 hr
Mar 8, 7:32 PM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	58 min
Mar 8, 8:16 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JKL	29 min
Mar 12, 3:33 PM EDT	Winter Weather Advisory	JKL	16 hr
Mar 12, 10:39 PM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	3 hr
Mar 15, 1:36 PM EDT	River Flood Advisory	JKL	66 hr
Mar 16, 9:16 PM EDT	Dense Fog Advisory	JKL	14 hr
Mar 17, 7:05 AM EDT	River Flood Advisory	JKL	23 hr
Mar 29, 10:18 AM EDT	Lake Wind Advisory	JKL	5 hr
Apr 2, 4:35 AM EDT	Lake Wind Advisory	JKL	35 hr
Apr 2, 5:35 PM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	85 min
Apr 2, 6:27 PM EDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	3 hr
Apr 3, 10:56 AM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	JKL	6 hr
Apr 4, 5:55 AM EDT	Dense Fog Advisory	JKL	4 hr
Apr 5, 8:12 PM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	63 min
Apr 5, 8:53 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	5 hr
Apr 5, 9:46 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JKL	44 min
Apr 6, 12:08 AM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	67 min
Apr 6, 3:55 AM EDT	Freeze Watch	JKL	37 hr
Apr 6, 3:55 AM EDT	Freeze Warning	JKL	31 hr
Apr 6, 3:55 AM EDT	Winter Weather Advisory	JKL	40 hr
Apr 7, 4:36 PM EDT	Freeze Warning	JKL	17 hr
Apr 10, 2:26 PM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	64 min
Apr 10, 2:51 PM EDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	6 hr
Apr 10, 3:18 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	JKL	27 min
Apr 10, 3:40 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JKL	50 min
Apr 10, 3:54 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	JKL	36 min
Apr 10, 3:56 PM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	64 min
Apr 10, 4:03 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JKL	42 min
Apr 10, 4:13 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	JKL	32 min
Apr 10, 4:25 PM EDT	Flash Flood Watch	JKL	5 hr
Apr 10, 4:41 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JKL	49 min
Apr 10, 5:09 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	JKL	4 hr
Apr 11, 3:20 PM EDT	Frost Advisory	JKL	19 hr
Apr 25, 2:41 PM EDT	Red Flag Warning	JKL	5 hr
Apr 26, 3:48 PM EDT	Fire Weather Watch	JKL	17 hr
Apr 27, 9:07 AM EDT	Red Flag Warning	JKL	10 hr
May 3, 10:33 PM EDT	Flood Watch	JKL	12 hr
May 4, 3:35 AM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	JKL	5 hr
May 4, 7:47 AM EDT	River Flood Warning	JKL	50 hr
May 5, 4:00 PM EDT	Flood Watch	JKL	29 hr
May 6, 10:12 AM EDT	River Flood Advisory	JKL	35 hr
May 8, 3:52 AM EDT	Flash Flood Watch	JKL	35 hr
May 8, 10:30 AM EDT	River Flood Advisory	JKL	7 hr
May 8, 1:08 PM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	97 min
May 8, 1:44 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	6 hr
May 8, 4:15 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	JKL	3 hr
May 8, 4:29 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	JKL	3 hr
May 8, 4:49 PM EDT	River Flood Warning	JKL	3 days
May 8, 5:13 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	JKL	32 min
May 8, 5:38 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JKL	37 min
May 8, 7:15 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	JKL	3 hr
May 8, 7:30 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	JKL	3 hr
May 8, 7:33 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JKL	27 min
May 8, 7:41 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	JKL	34 min
May 8, 8:23 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	JKL	37 min
May 8, 10:00 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	JKL	4 hr
May 8, 11:31 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	7 hr
May 9, 1:58 AM EDT	Flash Flood Warning Emergency	JKL	3 hr
May 9, 2:07 AM EDT	Areal Flood Warning	JKL	6 hr
May 9, 4:39 AM EDT	Flash Flood Warning Emergency	JKL	3 hr
May 9, 4:47 AM EDT	Areal Flood Warning	JKL	3 hr
May 9, 7:30 AM EDT	Areal Flood Warning	JKL	30 hr
May 9, 1:51 PM EDT	River Flood Advisory	JKL	3 days
May 10, 6:52 AM EDT	River Flood Advisory	JKL	36 hr
May 10, 1:30 PM EDT	Areal Flood Warning	JKL	6 hr
May 10, 2:06 PM EDT	Areal Flood Warning	JKL	6 hr
May 10, 8:00 PM EDT	Areal Flood Warning	JKL	60 hr
May 15, 1:57 PM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	63 min
May 15, 4:12 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JKL	48 min
May 15, 4:17 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	JKL	3 hr
May 15, 4:27 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JKL	48 min
May 15, 4:43 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	JKL	92 min
May 15, 4:59 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JKL	31 min
May 16, 2:46 PM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	59 min
May 16, 4:16 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	JKL	3 hr
May 17, 3:44 PM EDT	Frost Advisory	JKL	17 hr
May 27, 4:15 PM EDT	Flash Flood Watch	JKL	4 hr
May 27, 5:19 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	JKL	116 min
May 28, 1:28 PM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	62 min
May 28, 2:21 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	8 hr
May 30, 3:51 PM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	84 min
May 30, 4:49 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	11 hr
May 30, 7:01 PM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	59 min
May 30, 9:53 PM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	67 min
May 30, 11:37 PM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	23 min
May 31, 2:54 AM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	2 hr
Jun 2, 4:46 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JKL	59 min
Jun 2, 4:47 PM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	88 min
Jun 3, 12:12 PM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	93 min
Jun 3, 9:28 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JKL	29 min
Jun 10, 2:50 PM EDT	Flash Flood Watch	JKL	5 hr
Jun 11, 4:15 AM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	60 min
Jun 11, 10:26 AM EDT	Flash Flood Watch	JKL	17 hr
Jun 12, 12:57 PM EDT	River Flood Advisory	JKL	7 hr
Jun 13, 6:25 AM EDT	Dense Fog Advisory	JKL	4 hr
Jun 14, 12:33 PM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	87 min
Jun 14, 2:26 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	7 hr
Jun 14, 5:03 PM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	57 min
Jun 14, 7:05 PM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	55 min
Jun 15, 6:17 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	JKL	58 min
Jun 15, 6:19 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	JKL	56 min
Jun 16, 2:10 PM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	35 min
Jun 16, 2:42 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	6 hr
Jun 16, 4:29 PM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	61 min
Jun 16, 7:13 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	JKL	32 min
Jun 17, 11:29 AM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	61 min
Jun 17, 12:54 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	9 hr
Jun 17, 3:17 PM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	28 min
Jun 17, 4:07 PM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	23 min
Jun 18, 10:39 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch PDS	SPC	7 hr
Jun 18, 11:52 AM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	JKL	113 min
Jun 18, 12:26 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JKL	64 min
Jun 25, 6:00 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	JKL	2 hr
Jun 25, 6:43 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	JKL	6 min
Jun 26, 3:08 AM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	2 hr
Jun 26, 4:35 AM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	JKL	55 min
Jun 26, 4:53 AM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	JKL	52 min
Jun 26, 3:34 PM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	86 min
Jul 1, 1:58 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JKL	32 min
Jul 5, 2:16 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	JKL	3 hr
Jul 6, 4:00 AM EDT	Dense Fog Advisory	JKL	6 hr
Jul 12, 6:14 PM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	61 min
Jul 25, 4:09 AM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	96 min
Jul 25, 12:24 PM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	2 hr
Jul 25, 2:38 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	6 hr
Jul 27, 3:50 AM EDT	Dense Fog Advisory	JKL	5 hr
Jul 30, 3:59 PM EDT	Flash Flood Watch	JKL	19 hr
Aug 1, 3:22 AM EDT	Dense Fog Advisory	JKL	8 hr
Aug 4, 10:57 AM EDT	Flash Flood Watch	JKL	25 hr
Aug 4, 11:44 AM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	JKL	3 hr
Aug 4, 1:21 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	7 hr
Aug 4, 2:47 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	JKL	13 min
Aug 4, 2:57 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	JKL	4 hr
Aug 4, 3:27 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JKL	48 min
Aug 4, 6:49 PM EDT	River Flood Advisory	JKL	29 hr
Aug 5, 4:17 PM EDT	River Flood Advisory	JKL	19 hr
Aug 10, 3:24 PM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	96 min
Aug 13, 12:15 AM EDT	Dense Fog Advisory	JKL	10 hr
Aug 20, 11:42 AM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	2 hr
Sep 7, 10:30 PM EDT	Dense Fog Advisory	JKL	12 hr
Sep 8, 3:23 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JKL	52 min
Sep 25, 4:19 AM EDT	Flash Flood Watch	JKL	41 hr
Sep 27, 10:45 AM EDT	River Flood Advisory	JKL	12 hr
Oct 8, 4:07 PM EDT	Lake Wind Advisory	JKL	26 hr
Oct 9, 1:08 PM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	67 min
Oct 9, 3:09 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	JKL	36 min
Oct 9, 3:17 PM EDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	4 hr
Oct 9, 3:18 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JKL	42 min
Oct 9, 3:39 PM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	96 min
Oct 9, 3:45 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JKL	23 min
Oct 9, 3:49 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JKL	41 min
Oct 17, 4:20 PM EDT	Frost Advisory	JKL	12 hr
Oct 17, 4:20 PM EDT	Freeze Watch	JKL	12 hr
Oct 18, 3:51 AM EDT	Freeze Warning	JKL	5 hr
Oct 18, 3:51 AM EDT	Freeze Warning	JKL	30 hr
Oct 28, 3:48 PM EDT	Dense Fog Advisory	JKL	18 hr
Oct 30, 3:59 PM EDT	Lake Wind Advisory	JKL	6 hr
Dec 7, 3:42 PM EST	High Wind Watch	JKL	24 hr
Dec 8, 3:12 PM EST	High Wind Warning	JKL	30 hr
Dec 8, 11:53 PM EST	Areal Flood Advisory	JKL	9 hr
Dec 9, 3:29 AM EST	Areal Flood Advisory	JKL	4 hr
Dec 9, 7:31 AM EST	Areal Flood Advisory	JKL	6 hr
Dec 9, 7:54 AM EST	River Flood Advisory	JKL	23 hr
Dec 9, 7:58 AM EST	Areal Flood Warning	JKL	6 hr
Dec 9, 2:01 PM EST	Areal Flood Warning	JKL	18 hr
Dec 9, 2:11 PM EST	River Flood Warning	JKL	18 hr
Dec 10, 6:02 AM EST	River Flood Advisory	JKL	25 hr
Dec 10, 7:53 AM EST	Areal Flood Warning	JKL	12 hr
Dec 10, 8:19 AM EST	River Flood Advisory	JKL	22 hr
Dec 11, 11:01 AM EST	River Flood Advisory	JKL	5 hr
Dec 18, 4:50 AM EST	Winter Storm Warning	JKL	46 hr
Dec 18, 4:50 AM EST	Winter Weather Advisory	JKL	53 hr
Dec 22, 4:03 AM EST	Freezing Fog Advisory	JKL	6 hr
Dec 23, 4:35 PM EST	Lake Wind Advisory	JKL	47 hr

By product

Every kind of product issued here, grouped by hazard. Each opens the same place narrowed to that product.

Product	Alerts
Severe storms
Severe Thunderstorm Warning	26
Tornado Warning	8
Severe Thunderstorm Watch	12
Tornado Watch	5
Mesoscale Discussion	42
Flooding
Areal Flood Warning	9
Flash Flood Warning	9
River Flood Warning	6
Flash Flood Watch	8
Flood Watch	3
Areal Flood Advisory	21
River Flood Advisory	20
Winter
Winter Storm Warning	2
Winter Storm Watch	1
Freezing Rain Advisory	1
Winter Weather Advisory	7
Cold
Freeze Warning	4
Freeze Watch	2
Frost Advisory	3
Wind Chill Advisory	1
Wind and dust
High Wind Warning	2
High Wind Watch	2
Lake Wind Advisory	5
Fire
Red Flag Warning	2
Fire Weather Watch	1
Fog and smoke
Dense Fog Advisory	9
Freezing Fog Advisory	1

The busiest days

Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.

Nearby

Alerts in force now Tornadoes on record Forecast The radar archive 2008 2010

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.