River Flood Warning 2, NWS Jackson, KY

000 
WGUS83 KJKL 080248
FLSJKL
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
948 PM EST WED JAN 07 2009

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
KENTUCKY...
 
  THE CUMBERLAND RIVER AT WILLIAMSBURG 
  THE SOUTH FORK OF THE KENTUCKY RIVER AT BOONEVILLE 
  THE KENTUCKY RIVER NEAR RAVENNA 

.RUNOFF FROM RECENT RAINFALL CONTINUES TO RESULT IN RISES ON THE
KENTUCKY AND CUMBERLAND RIVERS WITH MINOR FLOODING FORECAST AT
WILLIAMSBURG... BOONEVILLE AND RAVENNA. IN ADDITION TO THE RIVER
FLOODING... WATER WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO BACK UP ON TRIBUTARY
CREEKS AND STREAMS THAT FLOW INTO THE CUMBERLAND AND KENTUCKY RIVERS
THROUGH THE DAY ON THURSDAY RESULTING IN HIGH WATER IN LOW LYING
AREAS AND AT LOW WATER CROSSINGS. 

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.

CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE LOCAL MEDIA 
OUTLET FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION. IF YOU ARE IN AREAS AFFECTED BY 
THE FOLLOWING FORECAST TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS. 

THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED BY 8 AM THURSDAY MORNING.

KYC235-081448-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0003.090108T1500Z-090110T0600Z/
/WLBK2.1.ER.090108T1500Z.090109T1200Z.090110T0000Z.NO/
948 PM EST WED JAN 07 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUMBERLAND RIVER AT WILLIAMSBURG
* UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT.
* AT 9 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THURSDAY 
  MORNING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO A CREST NEAR 21.8 FEET BY FRIDAY   
  MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY EVENING.
* AT 21.0 FEET...LOW-LYING AREAS ALONG GEORGE HAY ROAD AND 10TH 
  STREET BEGIN TO FLOOD. FLOODING ALSO THREATENS OTHER LOW LYING 
  ROADS AND STRUCTURES. 

$$

KYC189-081200-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-090108T1200Z/
/BOOK2.1.ER.090108T0600Z.090108T0600Z.090108T0600Z.NO/
948 PM EST WED JAN 07 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH FORK OF THE KENTUCKY RIVER AT BOONEVILLE
* UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING.
* AT 9 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.3 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 27.0 FEET. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE SHORTLY AFTER  
  MIDNIGHT TONIGHT BEFORE BEGINNING TO FALL.
* AT 27.0 FEET...LOW LYING AREAS FLOOD.

$$

KYC065-081448-
/O.CON.KJKL.FL.W.0002.090108T1000Z-090109T1100Z/
/RAVK2.1.ER.090108T1000Z.090108T1800Z.090109T0500Z.UU/
948 PM EST WED JAN 07 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE KENTUCKY RIVER NEAR RAVENNA
* UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING.
* AT 9 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.2 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE EARLY THURSDAY  
  MORNING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO A CREST NEAR 21.8 FEET BY EARLY 
  THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL THEN FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  AROUND MIDNIGHT THURSDAY NIGHT. 
* AT 21.5 FEET...SANG BRANCH ROAD IS UNDER WATER AT RED LICK CREEK.

$$

000 
WGUS83 KJKL 081118
FLSJKL
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
618 AM EST THU JAN 08 2009

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
KENTUCKY...
 
  THE CUMBERLAND RIVER AT BARBOURVILLE 
  THE CUMBERLAND RIVER AT WILLIAMSBURG 
  THE KENTUCKY RIVER NEAR RAVENNA 

.RUNOFF FROM RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL CONTINUES TO RESULT IN RISES ON
THE KENTUCKY AND CUMBERLAND RIVERS WITH MINOR FLOODING FORECAST AT
BARBOURVILLE...WILLIAMSBURG...AND NEAR RAVENNA. IN ADDITION TO THE
RIVER FLOODING...WATER WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO BACK UP ON TRIBUTARY
CREEKS AND STREAMS THAT FLOW INTO THE KENTUCKY AND CUMBERLAND
RIVERS...RESULTING IN HIGH WATER IN LOW LYING AREAS AND AT LOW WATER
CROSSINGS.

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO
GREAT FOR YOU TO CROSS SAFELY.

CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE LOCAL MEDIA 
OUTLET FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION. IF YOU ARE IN AREAS AFFECTED BY 
THE FOLLOWING FORECAST TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS. 

THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED BY 5 PM.

KYC121-081844-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-090108T1844Z/
/BBVK2.1.ER.090108T0651Z.090108T1200Z.090108T1244Z.NO/
618 AM EST THU JAN 08 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUMBERLAND RIVER AT BARBOURVILLE
* UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON. 
* AT 5 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 27.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 27.0 FEET. 
* THE RIVER WAS NEARING CREST...AND WILL BEGIN TO FALL THIS
AFTERNOON.
* AT 27.0 FEET...LOW LYING ROADS FLOOD. MANCHESTER STREET FLOODS
THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 26.9 FEET ON SEPTEMBER 18 
2004.

$$

KYC235-082318-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0003.090108T1110Z-090110T0600Z/
/WLBK2.1.ER.090108T0953Z.090109T1200Z.090110T0000Z.NO/
618 AM EST THU JAN 08 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING
CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUMBERLAND RIVER AT WILLIAMSBURG
* FROM LATE THIS MORNING UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT.
* AT 5 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 21.8 FEET BY TOMORROW 
  MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW EVENING.
* AT 21.0 FEET...FLOODING THREATENS LOW LYING ROADS AND STRUCTURES. 
  LOW-LYING AREAS ALONG GEORGE HAY ROAD AND 10TH STREET BEGIN TO 
  FLOOD
THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 21.3 FEET ON DECEMBER 10 
2004.

$$

KYC065-082318-
/O.CON.KJKL.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-090109T1100Z/
/RAVK2.1.ER.090108T1207Z.090108T1800Z.090109T0500Z.UU/
618 AM EST THU JAN 08 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE KENTUCKY RIVER NEAR RAVENNA
* FROM THIS MORNING UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING.
* AT 5 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.4 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* THE RIVER WILL RISE TO 21 FEET THIS MORNING AND CREST NEAR 21.8
  FEET THIS AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY
  FRIDAY MORNING.
* AT 21.5 FEET...SANG BRANCH ROAD IS UNDER WATER AT RED LICK CREEK
THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 21.4 FEET ON APRIL 16 
2007.

$$

WJM

000 
WGUS83 KJKL 081919
FLSJKL
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
219 PM EST THU JAN 08 2009

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
KENTUCKY...
 
  THE CUMBERLAND RIVER AT WILLIAMSBURG 
  THE KENTUCKY RIVER NEAR RAVENNA 

.RIVER LEVELS WILL CONTINUE TO REMAIN STEADY OR SLIGHTLY RISE THROUGH
THIS EVENING AS RUNOFF FROM RECENT RAINFALL CONTINUES TO MAKE ITS WAY 
DOWNSTREAM. CURRENTLY...THE WILLIAMSBURG GUAGE IS READING SLIGHTLY 
BELOW FLOOD STAGE...HOWEVER A SECONDARY CREST IS EXPECTED BY FRIDAY 
AFTERNOON AND THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO REMAIN VERY NEAR FLOOD STAGE 
UNTIL THAT TIME. THE RIVER IS NOT EXPECTED TO FALL SUBSTANTIALLY BELOW 
FLOOD STAGE UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING. 

THE RIVER GUAGE AT RAVENNA IS CURRENTLY SHOWING THE RIVER RIGHT AT 
FLOOD STAGE THERE. THE RIVER SHOULD CONTINUE A STEADY RISE THE 
REMAINDER OF THIS AFTERNOON AND IS EXPECTED TO CREST AROUND 1 AM...
THEN FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT.

...THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
KENTUCKY...

  THE KENTUCKY RIVER AT HEIDELBERG 

.RUNOFF FROM RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL CONTINUES TO RESULT IN THE
KENTUCKY RIVER AT HEIDELBERG RUNNING HIGH. THE RIVER WAS NEARING
CREST...AND SHOULD BEGIN TO FALL LATER THIS EVENING.

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO
GREAT FOR YOU TO CROSS SAFELY.

CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE LOCAL MEDIA 
OUTLET FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION. IF YOU ARE IN AREAS AFFECTED BY 
THE FOLLOWING FORECAST TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS. 

THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED BY 5 PM.

KYC235-090719-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-090110T0400Z/
/WLBK2.1.ER.090108T0953Z.090109T1800Z.090109T2200Z.NO/
219 PM EST THU JAN 08 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUMBERLAND RIVER AT WILLIAMSBURG
* FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING.
* AT 1 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO REMAIN NEAR FLOOD STAGE THIS AFTERNOON
  AND TONIGHT WITH A SECONDARY CREST OF 21.3 FEET FORECAST FOR EARLY 
  FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL SUBSTANTIALLY BELOW FLOOD STAGE
  BY FRIDAY EVENING.
* AT 21.0 FEET...FLOODING THREATENS LOW LYING ROADS AND STRUCTURES. 
  LOW-LYING AREAS ALONG GEORGE HAY ROAD AND 10TH STREET BEGIN TO 
  FLOOD
THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 21.3 FEET ON DECEMBER 10 
2004.

$$

KYC129-090719-
/O.ROU.KJKL.HY.S.0000.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HLDK2.N.UU.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
219 PM EST THU JAN 08 2009

THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR
  THE KENTUCKY RIVER AT HEIDELBERG
* UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING. 
* AT 12 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST AT NEAR 19.2 FEET THIS EVENING 
  BEFORE DECLINING.
* AT 20.0 FEET...LOW LYING AREAS FLOOD

$$

KYC065-090719-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-090109T1300Z/
/RAVK2.1.ER.090108T1800Z.090109T0000Z.090109T0700Z.UU/
219 PM EST THU JAN 08 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE KENTUCKY RIVER NEAR RAVENNA
* UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING. 
* AT 1 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST AT NEAR 21.5 FEET AROUND 7 PM THIS 
  EVENING BEFORE BEGINNING A SLOW DECLINE.
* AT 21.5 FEET...SANG BRANCH ROAD IS UNDER WATER AT RED LICK CREEK
THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 21.4 FEET ON APRIL 16 
2007.

$$

000 
WGUS83 KJKL 081921 CCA
FLSJKL

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
221 PM EST THU JAN 8 2009

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
KENTUCKY...
 
  THE CUMBERLAND RIVER AT WILLIAMSBURG 
  THE KENTUCKY RIVER NEAR RAVENNA 

.RIVER LEVELS WILL CONTINUE TO REMAIN STEADY OR SLIGHTLY RISE THROUGH
THIS EVENING AS RUNOFF FROM RECENT RAINFALL CONTINUES TO MAKE ITS 
WAY DOWNSTREAM. CURRENTLY...THE WILLIAMSBURG GUAGE IS READING 
SLIGHTLY BELOW FLOOD STAGE...HOWEVER A SECONDARY CREST IS EXPECTED 
BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO REMAIN VERY NEAR 
FLOOD STAGE UNTIL THAT TIME. THE RIVER IS NOT EXPECTED TO FALL 
SUBSTANTIALLY BELOW FLOOD STAGE UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING. 

THE RIVER GUAGE AT RAVENNA IS CURRENTLY SHOWING THE RIVER RIGHT AT 
FLOOD STAGE THERE. THE RIVER SHOULD CONTINUE A STEADY RISE THE 
REMAINDER OF THIS AFTERNOON AND IS EXPECTED TO CREST AROUND 1 AM...
THEN FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT.

...THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
KENTUCKY...

  THE KENTUCKY RIVER AT HEIDELBERG 

.RUNOFF FROM RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL CONTINUES TO RESULT IN THE
KENTUCKY RIVER AT HEIDELBERG RUNNING HIGH. THE RIVER WAS NEARING
CREST...AND SHOULD BEGIN TO FALL LATER THIS EVENING.

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO
GREAT FOR YOU TO CROSS SAFELY.

CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE LOCAL MEDIA 
OUTLET FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION. IF YOU ARE IN AREAS AFFECTED BY 
THE FOLLOWING FORECAST TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS. 

THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED BY 10 PM.

KYC235-090719-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-090110T0400Z/
/WLBK2.1.ER.090108T0953Z.090109T1800Z.090109T2200Z.NO/
221 PM EST THU JAN 8 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUMBERLAND RIVER AT WILLIAMSBURG
* FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING.
* AT 1 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO REMAIN NEAR FLOOD STAGE THIS AFTERNOON
  AND TONIGHT WITH A SECONDARY CREST OF 21.3 FEET FORECAST FOR EARLY 
  FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL SUBSTANTIALLY BELOW FLOOD    
  STAGE BY FRIDAY EVENING.
* AT 21.0 FEET...FLOODING THREATENS LOW LYING ROADS AND STRUCTURES. 
  LOW-LYING AREAS ALONG GEORGE HAY ROAD AND 10TH STREET BEGIN TO 
  FLOOD
THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 21.3 FEET ON DECEMBER 10 
2004.

$$

KYC129-090719-
/O.ROU.KJKL.HY.S.0000.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HLDK2.N.UU.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
221 PM EST THU JAN 8 2009

THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR
  THE KENTUCKY RIVER AT HEIDELBERG
* UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING. 
* AT 12 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST AT NEAR 19.2 FEET THIS EVENING 
  BEFORE DECLINING.
* AT 20.0 FEET...LOW LYING AREAS FLOOD

$$

KYC065-090719-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-090109T1300Z/
/RAVK2.1.ER.090108T1800Z.090109T0000Z.090109T0700Z.UU/
221 PM EST THU JAN 8 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE KENTUCKY RIVER NEAR RAVENNA
* UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING. 
* AT 1 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST AT NEAR 21.5 FEET AROUND 7 PM THIS 
  EVENING BEFORE BEGINNING A SLOW DECLINE.
* AT 21.5 FEET...SANG BRANCH ROAD IS UNDER WATER AT RED LICK CREEK
THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 21.4 FEET ON APRIL 16 
2007.

$$

SCHOETTMER/GREIF

000 
WGUS83 KJKL 090253
FLSJKL
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
953 PM EST THU JAN 08 2009

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
KENTUCKY...
 
  THE KENTUCKY RIVER NEAR RAVENNA 

.THE RIVER HAS CRESTED...BUT WILL CONTINUE TO HOVER NEAR FLOOD STAGE
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. 

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.

CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE LOCAL MEDIA 
OUTLET FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION. IF YOU ARE IN AREAS AFFECTED BY 
THE FOLLOWING FORECAST TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS. 

THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED BY 3 AM.

KYC065-090835-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-090109T0835Z/
/RAVK2.1.ER.090108T1800Z.090108T2345Z.090109T0235Z.UU/
953 PM EST THU JAN 08 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE TONIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE KENTUCKY RIVER NEAR RAVENNA
* UNTIL 3 AM FRIDAY MORNING. 
* AT 9PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND EXPECTED TO CONTINUE.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* THE RIVER CRESTED AT A STAGE OF 21.1 FEET AT APPROXIMATELY 6:45 PM
  THURSDAY. THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO HOVER NEAR FLOOD STAGE FOR THE 
  NEXT SEVERAL HOURS...BEFORE FALLING BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY AROUND 3 
  AM FRIDAY MORNING. 
* AT 21.0 FEET...LOW LYING AREAS FLOOD. RED LICK ROAD, MILLERS CREEK,
  DARK HOLLOW ROAD AND HIGHWAY 594 FLOOD IN SEVERAL PLACES.

THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 21.4 FEET ON APRIL 16 
2007.

$$

000 
WGUS83 KJKL 090608
FLSJKL
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
108 AM EST FRI JAN 09 2009

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS
IN KENTUCKY...
 
  THE KENTUCKY RIVER NEAR RAVENNA

.THE RIVER HAS CRESTED AND HAS FALLEN BELOW FLOOD STAGE.
THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RUN HIGH THROUGH FRIDAY.

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.

CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE LOCAL MEDIA 
OUTLET FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION. IF YOU ARE IN AREAS AFFECTED BY 
THE FOLLOWING FORECAST TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS. 

THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED BY 2 AM FRIDAY.

KYC065-090638-
/O.CAN.KJKL.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-090109T0835Z/
/RAVK2.1.ER.090108T1800Z.090108T2345Z.090109T0226Z.UU/
108 AM EST FRI JAN 09 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE KENTUCKY RIVER NEAR RAVENNA.
* UNTIL EARLY THIS MORNING. 
* AT 12AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL THROUGH FRIDAY. 
* AT 21.0 FEET...LOW LYING AREAS FLOOD. RED LICK ROAD, MILLERS CREEK,
  DARK HOLLOW ROAD AND HIGHWAY 594 FLOOD IN SEVERAL PLACES
THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 21.4 FEET ON APRIL 16 
2007.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
658 AM EST WED JAN 7 2009

.SHORT TERM.../THE REST OF TODAY/...UPDATED

OTHER THAN A THIN LINE OF SHRA THAT IS PUSHING ACROSS THE ERN THIRD
OF OUR CWFA... MOST PCPN IS LIGHT... WITH ANY OTHER MODERATE SHRA
VERY ISOLATED. REPORTS FROM THE FIELD INDICATE THAT ALTHOUGH THERE
ARE NUMEROUS CREEKS AND STREAMS OUT OF THEIR BANKS THERE ARE VERY FEW
ROADS CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER. THE RAIN EVENT HAS NOT BEEN AS HEAVY
AS INITIALLY FORECAST AND HAS BEEN OVER SUCH A PROLONGED PERIOD OF
TIME THAT THE RUNOFF HAS BEEN MORE CONTINUOUS THAN OF A FLASH FLOOD
NATURE. HAVE CANCELLED THE FLOOD WATCH BUT WILL CONTINUE THE CURRENT
FLOOD WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES. DO NOT EXPECT VERY MANY ADDITIONAL
PROBLEM AREAS UNTIL THE WATER REACHES THE LARGER RIVERS... WHICH WILL
THEN REQUIRE THE APPROPRIATE RIVER STATEMENTS.

THE PREVIOUS SHORT TERM FORECAST DISCUSSION FOLLOWS...

/TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/

CURRENT WEATHER HAS LIGHT TO MOD SHRA CONTINUING IN THE ERN 2/3 OF
THE CWFA. EVEN AS THIS CONTINUES THE BEST PCPN IS EXITING TO THE NE
WITH ONLY LIGHT PCPN IN TN TO ADVECT INTO AREA. FAIRLY SHARP LINE FOR
ENDING PCPN TO OUR SOUTH RUNS FROM NEAR CSV TO THE WRN FL PANHANDLE.
THIS AREA CONTINUES TO SWING EAST AND CURRENT FCST SEEMS TO HAVE THIS
WELL IN HAND WITH THE EXCEPTION THAT PCPN MAY NOT ACCUMULATE AS MUCH
AS PREV THOUGHT. WILL CONTINUE THE FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 AM AS PLANNED.
DO NOT THINK THAT THERE IS GOING TO BE ANY WIDESPREAD AREAL FLOODING
BUT WE HAVE SEVERAL RIVERS THAT ARE GOING TO COME CLOSE TO FLOODING
AS THE RUNOFF CONTINUES TO SEEP INTO THE LARGER WATERWAYS.

THE MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT ALOFT INITIALLY...BUT
THEIR SIMILARITIES DEGRADE WITH TIME. THEY ALL TAKE A DEEP TROUGH
THROUGH THE MIDWEST AND ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY ON WEDNESDAY. EVEN BY
36 HOURS THE GFS IS DEVIATING FROM THE NAM BY SWINGING ITS UPPER
TROUGH EAST QUICKER...EVEN THOUGH ITS VERSION IS THE STRONGER
ONE...ESPECIALLY FURTHER SOUTH. THE HIGHER RESOLUTION NAM12 IS ALSO
DEPICTING A PARTICULARLY STRONG AND POTENT BATCH OF ENERGY PUSHING
THROUGH KENTUCKY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WITH HINTS ALSO SEEN IN THE ECMWF.
THIS ENERGY MOVING THROUGH THE BASE OF THE TROUGH WILL BE SUPPORTED
BY A DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL JET AND IS MODELED TO COME ACROSS THE CWA
WITH VERY ROBUST LIFT AND ENOUGH QPF TO RESULT IN ACCUMULATING SNOWS.
FOR NOW...THIS SOLUTION LOOKS REASONABLE SO HAVE INCLUDED THE
SCENARIO IN THE GRIDS AND THE FORECAST...THOUGH NOT QUITE TO THE
MAGNITUDE SUGGESTED BY THE NAM12. FOLLOWING THIS...THE STRONG
SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVES OUT OF THE OHIO VALLEY ON THURSDAY...AS
NORTHWEST FLOW CONTINUES OVER KENTUCKY AND HEIGHTS RISE.

SENSIBLE WEATHER WILL FEATURE THE STREAM OF RAIN EXITING TO THE EAST
EARLY WEDNESDAY WITH PLENTY OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE LEFT BEHIND. COLD
ADVECTION IN THE WAKE OF THIS WILL COOL THE COLUMN SUFFICIENTLY
ENOUGH TO ALLOW A TRANSITION OF ANY LINGERING PCPN TO SNOW TOWARD
EVENING. AFTER AN EVENING LULL...A SECONDARY COLD FRONT CHARGES
THROUGH KENTUCKY BRINGING A LIKELIHOOD OF LIGHT TO MODERATE AND
ACCUMULATING SNOW TO EAST KENTUCKY FROM LATE WEDNESDAY EVENING INTO
EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. THE PREFERRED NAM SOLUTION COUPLED WITH HPC
GUIDANCE WOULD YIELD A SWATH OF 1 TO 3 INCH SNOWFALL SPREADING
ACROSS THE EASTERN COUNTIES OF THE CWA WITH GENERAL 1/2 TO ONE IN
ELSEWHERE. HAVE INTRODUCED THIS POSSIBILITY IN THE GRIDS AND ZONES.
THIS FRONT THEN MOVES EAST EARLY THURSDAY TAKING ITS SNOW ALONG WITH
IT AND TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN A SLOW MODERATION TREND DURING THE DAY
THURSDAY.

.LONG TERM.../WEDNESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/

DUE TO SOME QUESTIONS WITH A COUPLED JET DEPICTED IN THE GFS EARLY
ON...HAVE FOLLOWED A NAM/ECMWF BLEND MORE CLOSELY THROUGH FRIDAY
NIGHT.  THE PATTERN CONTINUES TO DEAMPLIFY OVER THE REGION
THROUGH THE DAY FRIDAY BEFORE THE NEXT TROUGH TAKES AIM AT THE
NORTHERN UNITED STATES...COMING OUT OF WESTERN CANADA. AS PROGGED BY
THE PREFERRED ECMWF...THIS TROUGH SLIDES THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES AND
OHIO VALLEY OVER THE WEEKEND...BUT WITH A MUCH SHALLOWER ARC THAN THE
GFS/S VERSION. THE ECMWF THEN TAKES A WEAKER...BUT DEEPENING...WAVE
INTO THE PLAINS AND QUICKLY ACROSS KENTUCKY ON MONDAY. MEANWHILE...
THE GFS IS MAINTAINING SOUTHWEST FLOW THROUGH THE EASTERN HALF OF THE
NATION IN RESPONSE TO A MORE PHASED SOUTHERN AND NORTHERN STREAM
TROUGH THROUGH THE FOUR CORNERS REGION. THE LARGE MODEL DIFFERENCES
EARLY NEXT WEEK LEAD TO LOWERED CONFIDENCE IN EITHER SOLUTION...BUT
THE MORE CONSISTENT ECMWF... SHOWING A TROUGH CENTERED OVER THE GREAT
LAKES AND OHIO VALLEY ON TUESDAY...WAS FOLLOWED AS OPPOSED TO THE GFS
AND ITS PROLONGED PERIOD OF MOIST SOUTHWEST FLOW.

COOL HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP CONDITIONS DRY AND QUIET INTO THE
WEEKEND AS THE NEXT SFC WAVE SETS UP A WARM FRONT TO THE NORTH OF THE
CWA. AS A RESULT...WE WARM UP QUITE NICELY ON FRIDAY AND STAY MILD
THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT BEFORE THE NEXT DEVELOPING LOW MOVES IN FROM THE
WEST LATER SATURDAY. THIS LOW AND ITS ELONGATED COLD FRONT SLIPS EAST
SATURDAY NIGHT ALLOWING COLDER AIR TO MOVE BACK INTO THE AREA AND
PERHAPS CHANGE ANY LEFT OVER PCPN TO ALL SNOW ON SATURDAY NIGHT. WEAK
HIGH PRESSURE IN THE WAKE OF THE LOW AND ITS FRONT WILL HOLD ON FOR
THE DAY SUNDAY BEFORE THE NEXT NORTHERN STREAM SYSTEM DIPS INTO THE
OHIO VALLEY WITH A RENEWED CHANCE FOR RAIN OR SNOW MONDAY NIGHT INTO
TUESDAY. THIS SYSTEM NOW LOOKS TO TAKE ITS COLD FRONT THROUGH
KENTUCKY LATER TUESDAY WITH VERY COLD AIR POISED TO CHILL THE AREA
FOR THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

IN GENERAL...GIVEN MY PREFERENCE FOR ITS PARENT MODEL...FOLLOWED THE
MET GUIDANCE MORE CLOSELY THAN THE MAV FOR BOTH TEMPERATURES AND
POPS THROUGH FRIDAY. LATER ON...UNDERCUT THE TEMPS AND POPS THROUGH
THE LONG TERM FROM THE MEX...GOING CLOSER TO CONTINUITY AND HPC
GUIDANCE.

&&

.AVIATION.../12Z TO 12Z/

LOW PRESSURE OVER OHIO WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHEAST...DRAGGING A
COLD FRONT THROUGH THE AREA. EXPECTING GENERALLY LOW END MVFR
CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH TEMPO IFR. RAIN WILL BE SLOWLY
TAPERING OFF FROM WEST TO EAST. COLDER AIR ALOFT...INCREASED
MOISTURE...AND AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING...PRODUCING SOME SNOW SHOWERS. THERE IS A
POTENTIAL FOR SOME TEMPO IFR CONDITIONS IN THESE...BUT LEFT THIS OUT
OF THE TAF FOR NOW UNTIL TIMING CAN BE PINNED DOWN MORE. EXPECT SOME
SHSN ACTIVITY TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT AS A SECONDARY DISTURBANCE SWINGS
THROUGH.

&&

.JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
THURSDAY FOR KYZ087-088-110-113-115-117-118-120.

&&

SHORT TERM...DUSTY
LONG TERM....GREIF
AVIATION...WJM

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
358 AM EST WED JAN 7 2009

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-083-104-106-108-111-081200-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-
JACKSON-PULASKI-WAYNE-ELLIOTT-MORGAN-WOLFE-LEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...MOUNT STERLING...
OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...IRVINE...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...
MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...SOMERSET...MONTICELLO...SANDY HOOK...
WEST LIBERTY...CAMPTON...BEATTYVILLE
358 AM EST WED JAN 7 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SNOW WILL BEGIN TO FALL LATE TODAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. LOOK
FOR ACCUMULATIONS OF AN INCH OR LESS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

EXPECT A FEW FLURRIES TO CONTINUE EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. SNOW
SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT AND AGAIN
MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO CALL IN RAINFALL TOTALS TODAY AND ANY
OBSERVATIONS OF FLOODING.

KYZ080-084>086-107-109-112-114-116-119-081200-
LAUREL-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-JOHNSON-MAGOFFIN-BREATHITT-OWSLEY-CLAY-
MARTIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LONDON...WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...
WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...PAINTSVILLE...SALYERSVILLE...JACKSON...
BOONEVILLE...MANCHESTER...INEZ
358 AM EST WED JAN 7 2009

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

RAIN WILL TAPER OFF TODAY... BUT AREA RIVERS WILL CONTINUE TO RISE
WITH THE HEAVY RUNOFF.

SNOW WILL BEGIN LATE TODAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT WITH
ACCUMULATIONS OF AROUND AN INCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

EXPECT A FEW FLURRIES TO CONTINUE EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. SNOW
SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT AND AGAIN
MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO CALL IN RAINFALL TOTALS TODAY AND ANY
OBSERVATIONS OF FLOODING.

KYZ087-088-110-113-115-117-118-120-081200-
BELL-HARLAN-FLOYD-KNOTT-PERRY-LESLIE-LETCHER-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...HARLAN...
PRESTONSBURG...HINDMAN...HAZARD...HYDEN...WHITESBURG...PIKEVILLE
358 AM EST WED JAN 7 2009

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM
EST THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

RAIN WILL TAPER OFF TODAY... BUT AREA RIVERS WILL CONTINUE TO RISE
WITH THE HEAVY RUNOFF.

SNOW WILL BEGIN LATE TODAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT WITH
ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES POSSIBLE. HIGHER ELEVATIONS ALONG THE
VIRGINIA BORDER COULD RECEIVE TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF NEARLY 4 INCHES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

EXPECT A FEW FLURRIES TO CONTINUE EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. SNOW
SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT AND AGAIN
MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO CALL IN RAINFALL TOTALS TODAY AND ANY
OBSERVATIONS OF FLOODING.

DUSTY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
528 AM EST WED JAN 07 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0443 AM     FLOOD            BARBOURVILLE            36.87N 83.88W
01/07/2009                   KNOX               KY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SEVERAL ROADS AROUND BARBOURVILLE WERE UNDER
            WATER...INCLUDING SHYMUG HOLLOW...STATE HIGHWAY GARAGE
            ROAD...KENTUCKY 3153...BLACK LICK...GREEN...WALER
            ROAD...HASHER HOLLOW...EMANUEL HOLLOW...AND KENTUCKY
            1527.

&&

WJM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
558 AM EST WED JAN 07 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0550 AM     FLOOD            BARBOURVILLE            36.87N 83.88W
01/07/2009                   KNOX               KY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            STANDING WATER WAS REPORTED ON CALIFORNIA HOLLOW
            ROAD...DISAPOINTMENT HOLLOW ROAD...HAMMONS FORK
            ROAD...AND BULL CREEK ROAD.

&&

WJM

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
639 AM EST WED JAN 7 2009

KYZ085-087-088-110-113-115-117>120-071245-
MARTIN-WHITLEY-FLOYD-PIKE-KNOTT-PERRY-LESLIE-LETCHER-HARLAN-BELL-
639 AM EST WED JAN 7 2009

...A LINE OF HEAVY SHOWERS TO AFFECT MARTIN...FLOYD...PIKE...
KNOTT...PERRY...LESLIE...LETCHER...HARLAN...WHITLEY...AND BELL
COUNTIES THROUGH 745 AM EST WEDNESDAY MORNING.

AT 639 AM EST...A LINE OF HEAVY SHOWERS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM HODE TO IVEL TO GARNER TO DAVISBURG...MOVING EAST AT
25 MPH.

THESE SHOWERS WILL BE NEAR STONY FORK JUNCTION AROUND 645 AM
EST...YEADDISS AROUND 650 AM EST...MELDRUM AROUND 655 AM
EST...VARILLA AROUND 700 AM EST...AND ULVAH AROUND 705 AM EST...AND
PIKEVILLE AROUND 715 AM.

RESIDENTS SHOULD EXPECT BRIEF HEAVY RAIN...WHICH WILL LIKELY CAUSE
PONDING OF WATER ON AREA ROADWAYS. MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO DRIVE
CAREFULLY.