Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 227

May 30, 2021Eddy County, Lea County, New Mexico; 36 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 30, 2021, 5:03 PM MDT for Eddy County, Lea County, New Mexico; 36 counties in Texas. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 30, 2021, 5:03 PM MDT (23:03 UTC)
Expired
May 31, 2021, 12:00 AM MDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 38 counties

Eddy County, NM, Lea County, NM, Andrews County, TX, Bailey County, TX, Borden County, TX, Briscoe County, TX, Castro County, TX, Childress County, TX, Cochran County, TX, Cottle County, TX, Crosby County, TX, Dawson County, TX, Dickens County, TX, Ector County, TX, Floyd County, TX, Gaines County, TX, Garza County, TX, Hale County, TX, Hall County, TX, Hockley County, TX, Howard County, TX, Kent County, TX, King County, TX, Lamb County, TX, Loving County, TX, Lubbock County, TX, Lynn County, TX, Martin County, TX, Midland County, TX, Mitchell County, TX, Motley County, TX, Parmer County, TX, Scurry County, TX, Stonewall County, TX, Swisher County, TX, Terry County, TX, Winkler County, TX, Yoakum County, TX

The radar

The Lubbock radar (KLBB), 9 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:04 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

21 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 30, 5:13 PM MDTTornado Warning Tornado observedMAFLea20 min
May 30, 5:33 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFLea57 min
May 30, 5:52 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBCochran53 min
May 30, 7:25 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFEddy65 min
May 30, 7:30 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBBailey, Cochran60 min
May 30, 8:20 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBCochran25 min
May 30, 8:35 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBHale, Lamb55 min
May 30, 8:40 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningLUBBailey, Cochran, Hockley, Lamb, Terry, Yoakum2 hr
May 30, 9:03 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFBorden, Dawson42 min
May 30, 9:06 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBGarza, Lynn24 min
May 30, 9:23 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBHale, Lamb22 min
May 30, 9:29 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBGarza, Lynn61 min
May 30, 9:30 PM MDTTornado WarningMAFBorden15 min
May 30, 10:06 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBCrosby, Lubbock, Lynn25 min
May 30, 10:11 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBHale, Hockley, Lamb, Lubbock49 min
May 30, 10:24 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBGarza66 min
May 30, 10:33 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningLUBHale, Hockley, Lamb, Lubbock79 min
May 30, 10:38 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningLUBGarza75 min
May 30, 11:06 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBGarza, Kent54 min
May 30, 11:46 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningMAFBorden, Dawson3 hr
May 30, 11:58 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBKent62 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Amarillo Airport, TX (KAMA), launched 12:00Z, 11.1 hours before the alert went out and 183 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Amarillo Airport, TX at 12:00Z on 2021-05-30Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 64 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Amarillo Airport, TX at 12:00Z on 2021-05-30The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 51 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
64 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-307 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1320 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
39 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
51 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
188 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

606 
WWUS20 KWNS 302259
SEL7  
SPC WW 302259
NMZ000-TXZ000-310600-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 227
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
600 PM CDT Sun May 30 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Southeast New Mexico
  West/Southwest Texas

* Effective this Sunday night and Monday morning from 600 PM
  until 100 AM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
    inches in diameter possible
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...Isolated severe storms including supercells will persist
generally eastward across southeast New Mexico into parts of west
Texas this evening. Large hail and possibly some tornado risk will
exist with some potential for an increasing risk of severe-caliber
wind gusts this evening as storms merge into one or more
semi-organized MCS.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 95
statute miles east and west of a line from 40 miles north northeast
of Plainview TX to 50 miles west of Midland TX. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 225...WW 226...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
28020.

...Guyer

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 29, 6:28 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCHarding, Union8 hr
May 29, 8:20 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHarding, Union85 min
May 29, 10:59 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHarding, Union61 min
May 30, 11:08 AM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChaves, Colfax, Curry, De Baca, Eddy, Guadalupe and 10 more97 min
May 30, 11:41 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCChaves, Colfax, Curry, De Baca, Guadalupe, Harding and 9 more8 hr
May 30, 5:43 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChaves, De Baca, Guadalupe, Lincoln, Roosevelt, Torrance62 min
May 30, 1:00 AM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCastro, Deaf Smith, Oldham, Parmer, Potter, Randall60 min
May 30, 2:52 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArmstrong, Briscoe, Carson, Castro, Childress, Collingsworth and 20 more113 min
May 30, 3:42 PM MDTTornado WatchSPCArmstrong, Carson, Dallam, Deaf Smith, Donley, Gray and 10 more7 hr
May 30, 4:37 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBailey, Briscoe, Castro, Cochran, Cottle, Crosby and 16 more83 min
May 30, 5:04 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDallam, Hansford, Hartley, Hemphill, Hutchinson, Moore and 3 more86 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New Mexico, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.