Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 227
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 30, 2021, 5:03 PM MDT for Eddy County, Lea County, New Mexico; 36 counties in Texas. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- May 30, 2021, 5:03 PM MDT (23:03 UTC)
- Expired
- May 31, 2021, 12:00 AM MDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 38 counties
Eddy County, NM, Lea County, NM, Andrews County, TX, Bailey County, TX, Borden County, TX, Briscoe County, TX, Castro County, TX, Childress County, TX, Cochran County, TX, Cottle County, TX, Crosby County, TX, Dawson County, TX, Dickens County, TX, Ector County, TX, Floyd County, TX, Gaines County, TX, Garza County, TX, Hale County, TX, Hall County, TX, Hockley County, TX, Howard County, TX, Kent County, TX, King County, TX, Lamb County, TX, Loving County, TX, Lubbock County, TX, Lynn County, TX, Martin County, TX, Midland County, TX, Mitchell County, TX, Motley County, TX, Parmer County, TX, Scurry County, TX, Stonewall County, TX, Swisher County, TX, Terry County, TX, Winkler County, TX, Yoakum County, TX
The radar
The Lubbock radar (KLBB), 9 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:04 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 5%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 40%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
21 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 5:13 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | MAF | Lea | 20 min |
| May 30, 5:33 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Lea | 57 min |
| May 30, 5:52 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Cochran | 53 min |
| May 30, 7:25 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Eddy | 65 min |
| May 30, 7:30 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Bailey, Cochran | 60 min |
| May 30, 8:20 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Cochran | 25 min |
| May 30, 8:35 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Hale, Lamb | 55 min |
| May 30, 8:40 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | LUB | Bailey, Cochran, Hockley, Lamb, Terry, Yoakum | 2 hr |
| May 30, 9:03 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Borden, Dawson | 42 min |
| May 30, 9:06 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Garza, Lynn | 24 min |
| May 30, 9:23 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Hale, Lamb | 22 min |
| May 30, 9:29 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Garza, Lynn | 61 min |
| May 30, 9:30 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | MAF | Borden | 15 min |
| May 30, 10:06 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Crosby, Lubbock, Lynn | 25 min |
| May 30, 10:11 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Hale, Hockley, Lamb, Lubbock | 49 min |
| May 30, 10:24 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Garza | 66 min |
| May 30, 10:33 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | LUB | Hale, Hockley, Lamb, Lubbock | 79 min |
| May 30, 10:38 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | LUB | Garza | 75 min |
| May 30, 11:06 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Garza, Kent | 54 min |
| May 30, 11:46 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | MAF | Borden, Dawson | 3 hr |
| May 30, 11:58 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Kent | 62 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Amarillo Airport, TX (KAMA), launched 12:00Z, 11.1 hours before the alert went out and 183 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 64 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -307 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1320 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 39 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 51 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 188 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
606
WWUS20 KWNS 302259
SEL7
SPC WW 302259
NMZ000-TXZ000-310600-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 227
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
600 PM CDT Sun May 30 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southeast New Mexico
West/Southwest Texas
* Effective this Sunday night and Monday morning from 600 PM
until 100 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Isolated severe storms including supercells will persist
generally eastward across southeast New Mexico into parts of west
Texas this evening. Large hail and possibly some tornado risk will
exist with some potential for an increasing risk of severe-caliber
wind gusts this evening as storms merge into one or more
semi-organized MCS.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 95
statute miles east and west of a line from 40 miles north northeast
of Plainview TX to 50 miles west of Midland TX. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 225...WW 226...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
28020.
...GuyerSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 29, 6:28 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Harding, Union | 8 hr |
| May 29, 8:20 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Harding, Union | 85 min |
| May 29, 10:59 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Harding, Union | 61 min |
| May 30, 11:08 AM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Chaves, Colfax, Curry, De Baca, Eddy, Guadalupe and 10 more | 97 min |
| May 30, 11:41 AM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Chaves, Colfax, Curry, De Baca, Guadalupe, Harding and 9 more | 8 hr |
| May 30, 5:43 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Chaves, De Baca, Guadalupe, Lincoln, Roosevelt, Torrance | 62 min |
| May 30, 1:00 AM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Castro, Deaf Smith, Oldham, Parmer, Potter, Randall | 60 min |
| May 30, 2:52 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Armstrong, Briscoe, Carson, Castro, Childress, Collingsworth and 20 more | 113 min |
| May 30, 3:42 PM MDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Armstrong, Carson, Dallam, Deaf Smith, Donley, Gray and 10 more | 7 hr |
| May 30, 4:37 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bailey, Briscoe, Castro, Cochran, Cottle, Crosby and 16 more | 83 min |
| May 30, 5:04 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Dallam, Hansford, Hartley, Hemphill, Hutchinson, Moore and 3 more | 86 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New Mexico, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.