Alert archive / New Mexico / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 225
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 30, 2021, 11:41 AM MDT for 9 counties in Colorado; 15 counties in New Mexico. It was in force for 8 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- May 30, 2021, 11:41 AM MDT (17:41 UTC)
- Expired
- May 30, 2021, 8:00 PM MDT
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 24 counties
Baca County, CO, Bent County, CO, Costilla County, CO, Crowley County, CO, Custer County, CO, Huerfano County, CO, Las Animas County, CO, Otero County, CO, Pueblo County, CO, Chaves County, NM, Colfax County, NM, Curry County, NM, De Baca County, NM, Guadalupe County, NM, Harding County, NM, Lincoln County, NM, Mora County, NM, Quay County, NM, Roosevelt County, NM, San Miguel County, NM, Santa Fe County, NM, Taos County, NM, Torrance County, NM, Union County, NM
The radar
The Cannon AFB radar (KFDX), 190 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:42 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 5%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 40%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 50%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 90%
Warnings issued inside it
42 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 11:52 AM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Lincoln | 29 min |
| May 30, 12:15 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Torrance | 32 min |
| May 30, 12:17 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Lincoln | 23 min |
| May 30, 12:31 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Colfax, Mora, Taos | 59 min |
| May 30, 1:02 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | Las Animas | 28 min |
| May 30, 1:30 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | De Baca, Quay, Roosevelt | 16 min |
| May 30, 1:31 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | Las Animas | 29 min |
| May 30, 1:32 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Torrance | 58 min |
| May 30, 1:49 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Lincoln | 56 min |
| May 30, 1:56 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Santa Fe | 25 min |
| May 30, 1:57 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | Las Animas | 33 min |
| May 30, 2:07 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | Las Animas | 23 min |
| May 30, 2:11 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Colfax, Mora | 64 min |
| May 30, 2:17 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | ABQ | Lincoln | 43 min |
| May 30, 2:19 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | ABQ | Lincoln | 3 hr |
| May 30, 2:23 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | Baca, Las Animas | 37 min |
| May 30, 2:23 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | PUB | Las Animas | 21 min |
| May 30, 2:29 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | Las Animas | 31 min |
| May 30, 2:33 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | Las Animas | 42 min |
| May 30, 2:42 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Harding, Mora, San Miguel | 21 min |
| May 30, 2:43 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | PUB | Las Animas | 32 min |
| May 30, 2:54 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | PUB | Baca, Las Animas | 36 min |
| May 30, 3:08 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Chaves, Lincoln | 37 min |
| May 30, 3:11 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Mora | 23 min |
| May 30, 3:25 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | PUB | Baca, Las Animas | 35 min |
| May 30, 3:28 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | Custer, Fremont, Pueblo | 32 min |
| May 30, 3:31 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | ABQ | Union | 44 min |
| May 30, 3:33 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Chaves, Lincoln | 27 min |
| May 30, 3:53 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | Las Animas | 37 min |
| May 30, 3:55 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | Pueblo | 35 min |
| May 30, 3:57 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | PUB | Baca, Las Animas | 21 min |
| May 30, 3:59 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Chaves | 46 min |
| May 30, 4:23 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | Pueblo | 37 min |
| May 30, 4:41 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | ABQ | Chaves | 34 min |
| May 30, 4:45 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Chaves | 60 min |
| May 30, 5:15 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Roosevelt | 60 min |
| May 30, 5:15 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | ABQ | Chaves | 29 min |
| May 30, 5:37 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Chaves | 27 min |
| May 30, 5:45 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | ABQ | Chaves | 3 hr |
| May 30, 6:06 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Chaves | 43 min |
| May 30, 6:25 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Roosevelt | 25 min |
| May 30, 7:26 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Roosevelt | 12 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Amarillo Airport, TX (KAMA), launched 12:00Z, 5.7 hours before the alert went out and 254 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 64 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -307 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1320 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 39 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 51 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 188 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
351
WWUS20 KWNS 301739
SEL5
SPC WW 301739
COZ000-NMZ000-310000-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 225
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1140 AM MDT Sun May 30 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
southeastern Colorado
much of eastern New Mexico
* Effective this Sunday morning and evening from 1140 AM until
600 PM MDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to steadily increase in
coverage through this afternoon, spreading eastward across the watch
area with time. Large hail will likely be the primary threat
initially, with damaging wind potential expected to gradually
increase later this afternoon as storms congeal into one or more
eastward-moving clusters. In addition, a tornado or two will also
be possible with any sustained supercellular storm.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 75
statute miles east and west of a line from 10 miles north of Pueblo
CO to 15 miles south southeast of Roswell NM. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
26035.
...GossSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 29, 10:37 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baca, Bent, Prowers | 53 min |
| May 30, 11:08 AM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Costilla, Huerfano, Las Animas | 97 min |
| May 29, 6:28 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Harding, Union | 8 hr |
| May 29, 8:20 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Harding, Union | 85 min |
| May 29, 10:59 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Harding, Union | 61 min |
| May 30, 5:03 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Eddy, Lea | 7 hr |
| May 30, 5:43 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Chaves, De Baca, Guadalupe, Lincoln, Roosevelt, Torrance | 62 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New Mexico, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Colorado, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.