Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 187
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 17, 2021, 10:58 PM CDT for 28 counties in Texas. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- May 17, 2021, 10:58 PM CDT (03:58 UTC)
- Expired
- May 18, 2021, 6:00 AM CDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 3 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 28 counties
Andrews County, TX, Borden County, TX, Brown County, TX, Coke County, TX, Coleman County, TX, Concho County, TX, Crane County, TX, Crockett County, TX, Dawson County, TX, Ector County, TX, Gaines County, TX, Glasscock County, TX, Howard County, TX, Irion County, TX, Martin County, TX, McCulloch County, TX, Menard County, TX, Midland County, TX, Mitchell County, TX, Pecos County, TX, Reagan County, TX, Runnels County, TX, Schleicher County, TX, Sterling County, TX, Sutton County, TX, Terrell County, TX, Tom Green County, TX, Upton County, TX
The radar
The Midland/Odessa radar (KMAF), 59 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:02 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 10%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 20%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 40%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 60%
Warnings issued inside it
13 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 18, 1:08 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Concho, Tom Green | 52 min |
| May 18, 1:43 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Crane, Midland, Upton | 62 min |
| May 18, 1:50 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Crane, Pecos, Ward | 40 min |
| May 18, 1:59 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Concho, Tom Green | 46 min |
| May 18, 2:30 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Crane, Pecos | 60 min |
| May 18, 2:43 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Crane, Ector, Glasscock, Howard, Martin, Midland and 2 more | 62 min |
| May 18, 3:11 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MAF | Crane, Glasscock, Midland, Upton | 3 hr |
| May 18, 3:29 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | MAF | Glasscock, Howard | 31 min |
| May 18, 3:42 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MAF | Borden, Scurry | 3 hr |
| May 18, 3:44 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Glasscock, Howard, Martin | 46 min |
| May 18, 3:53 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Crane, Glasscock, Midland, Pecos, Reagan, Upton | 67 min |
| May 18, 4:18 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Irion, Sterling, Tom Green | 57 min |
| May 18, 5:03 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Coke, Irion, Sterling, Tom Green | 57 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
- Mesoscale Discussion 658 Severe potential...watch likely
- Mesoscale Discussion 660 Tornado watch 182...183...185
- Mesoscale Discussion 663 Tornado watch 182...183
- Mesoscale Discussion 664 Tornado watch 185
- Mesoscale Discussion 665 Severe potential...severe thunderstorm watch likely
- Mesoscale Discussion 666 Severe thunderstorm watch 186
- Mesoscale Discussion 668 Severe thunderstorm watch 187
- Mesoscale Discussion 670 Severe thunderstorm watch 187
The nearest sounding before it
Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 00:00Z, 4.0 hours before the alert went out and 60 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 953 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -44 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1920 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 25 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 5 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 36 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.8
The text
As transmitted.
764
WWUS20 KWNS 180355
SEL7
SPC WW 180355
TXZ000-181100-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 187
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1100 PM CDT Mon May 17 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
West Texas
* Effective this Monday night and Tuesday morning from 1100 PM
until 600 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3
inches in diameter possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Redevelopment of discrete cells quickly growing upscale
into one or more clusters is expected overnight across the Permian
Basin towards the Concho Valley. Very large hail during the initial
phase of storm development should be the primary hazard.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 80
statute miles north and south of a line from 45 miles west of
Midland TX to 45 miles north northeast of Junction TX. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 181...WW 182...WW
183...WW 184...WW 185...WW 186...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
25025.
...GramsSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 7:04 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Archer, Bosque, Brown, Clay, Comanche, Eastland and 15 more | 86 min |
| May 17, 7:23 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Carson, Dallam, Gray, Hansford, Hartley, Hemphill and 8 more | 2 hr |
| May 17, 7:32 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Brown, Callahan, Coke, Coleman, Concho, McCulloch and 4 more | 3 hr |
| May 17, 7:37 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Callahan, Coke, Coleman, Glasscock, Howard, Jones and 6 more | 83 min |
| May 17, 8:04 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Archer, Clay, Comanche, Eastland, Erath, Hamilton and 11 more | 5 hr |
| May 17, 8:34 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Atascosa, Dimmit, Frio, La Salle, McMullen, Maverick and 2 more | 116 min |
| May 17, 9:28 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Carson, Collingsworth, Donley, Gray, Hansford, Hemphill and 7 more | 2 hr |
| May 17, 9:44 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Armstrong, Borden, Briscoe, Childress, Collingsworth, Cottle and 15 more | 91 min |
| May 17, 10:23 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Archer, Brown, Callahan, Clay, Coke, Coleman and 16 more | 97 min |
| May 17, 10:35 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Andrews, Borden, Brewster, Crane, Crockett, Dawson and 13 more | 85 min |
| May 17, 11:37 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bosque, Brown, Comanche, Denton, Eastland, Erath and 9 more | 83 min |
| May 18, 1:02 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Brooks, Duval, Jim Hogg | 58 min |
| May 18, 1:29 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Coke, Concho, Crane, Crockett, Ector, Glasscock and 13 more | 91 min |
| May 18, 5:07 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Coke, Concho, Irion, Reagan, Runnels, Schleicher and 2 more | 53 min |
| May 18, 1:18 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Atascosa, Austin, Bastrop, Bexar, Brazos, Burleson and 28 more | 117 min |
| May 18, 1:57 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bailey, Castro, Deaf Smith, Parmer, Randall, Swisher | 3 hr |
| May 18, 2:29 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Anderson, Atascosa, Austin, Bastrop, Bexar, Blanco and 30 more | 7 hr |
| May 18, 2:30 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bowie, Camp, Cass, Cherokee, Franklin, Gregg and 12 more | 2 hr |
| May 18, 3:51 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Bowie, Camp, Cass, Cherokee, Franklin, Gregg and 11 more | 5 hr |
| May 18, 3:52 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bastrop, Caldwell, Colorado, Fayette, Gonzales, Guadalupe and 2 more | 83 min |
| May 18, 5:10 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | La Salle, McMullen, Webb | 95 min |
| May 18, 5:39 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bowie, Cass, Gregg, Harrison, Marion, Morris and 1 more | 2 hr |
| May 18, 6:07 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Armstrong, Borden, Briscoe, Carson, Castro, Cochran and 17 more | 113 min |
| May 18, 6:13 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Austin, Brazos, Burleson, Colorado, DeWitt, Fayette and 14 more | 92 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.