Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 187

May 17, 202128 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 17, 2021, 10:58 PM CDT for 28 counties in Texas. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 17, 2021, 10:58 PM CDT (03:58 UTC)
Expired
May 18, 2021, 6:00 AM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
3 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 28 counties

Andrews County, TX, Borden County, TX, Brown County, TX, Coke County, TX, Coleman County, TX, Concho County, TX, Crane County, TX, Crockett County, TX, Dawson County, TX, Ector County, TX, Gaines County, TX, Glasscock County, TX, Howard County, TX, Irion County, TX, Martin County, TX, McCulloch County, TX, Menard County, TX, Midland County, TX, Mitchell County, TX, Pecos County, TX, Reagan County, TX, Runnels County, TX, Schleicher County, TX, Sterling County, TX, Sutton County, TX, Terrell County, TX, Tom Green County, TX, Upton County, TX

The radar

The Midland/Odessa radar (KMAF), 59 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:02 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
10%
Ten or more severe wind reports
20%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
40%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

13 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 18, 1:08 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTConcho, Tom Green52 min
May 18, 1:43 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFCrane, Midland, Upton62 min
May 18, 1:50 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFCrane, Pecos, Ward40 min
May 18, 1:59 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTConcho, Tom Green46 min
May 18, 2:30 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFCrane, Pecos60 min
May 18, 2:43 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFCrane, Ector, Glasscock, Howard, Martin, Midland and 2 more62 min
May 18, 3:11 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningMAFCrane, Glasscock, Midland, Upton3 hr
May 18, 3:29 AM CDTTornado WarningMAFGlasscock, Howard31 min
May 18, 3:42 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningMAFBorden, Scurry3 hr
May 18, 3:44 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFGlasscock, Howard, Martin46 min
May 18, 3:53 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFCrane, Glasscock, Midland, Pecos, Reagan, Upton67 min
May 18, 4:18 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTIrion, Sterling, Tom Green57 min
May 18, 5:03 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTCoke, Irion, Sterling, Tom Green57 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 00:00Z, 4.0 hours before the alert went out and 60 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Midland Regional, TX at 00:00Z on 2021-05-18Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 953 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Midland Regional, TX at 00:00Z on 2021-05-18The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 5 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
953 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-44 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1920 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
25 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
5 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
36 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

764 
WWUS20 KWNS 180355
SEL7  
SPC WW 180355
TXZ000-181100-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 187
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1100 PM CDT Mon May 17 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  West Texas

* Effective this Monday night and Tuesday morning from 1100 PM
  until 600 AM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3
    inches in diameter possible
  Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...Redevelopment of discrete cells quickly growing upscale
into one or more clusters is expected overnight across the Permian
Basin towards the Concho Valley. Very large hail during the initial
phase of storm development should be the primary hazard.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 80
statute miles north and south of a line from 45 miles west of
Midland TX to 45 miles north northeast of Junction TX. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 181...WW 182...WW
183...WW 184...WW 185...WW 186...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
25025.

...Grams

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 17, 7:04 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArcher, Bosque, Brown, Clay, Comanche, Eastland and 15 more86 min
May 17, 7:23 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarson, Dallam, Gray, Hansford, Hartley, Hemphill and 8 more2 hr
May 17, 7:32 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBrown, Callahan, Coke, Coleman, Concho, McCulloch and 4 more3 hr
May 17, 7:37 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCallahan, Coke, Coleman, Glasscock, Howard, Jones and 6 more83 min
May 17, 8:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCArcher, Clay, Comanche, Eastland, Erath, Hamilton and 11 more5 hr
May 17, 8:34 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtascosa, Dimmit, Frio, La Salle, McMullen, Maverick and 2 more116 min
May 17, 9:28 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarson, Collingsworth, Donley, Gray, Hansford, Hemphill and 7 more2 hr
May 17, 9:44 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArmstrong, Borden, Briscoe, Childress, Collingsworth, Cottle and 15 more91 min
May 17, 10:23 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArcher, Brown, Callahan, Clay, Coke, Coleman and 16 more97 min
May 17, 10:35 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndrews, Borden, Brewster, Crane, Crockett, Dawson and 13 more85 min
May 17, 11:37 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBosque, Brown, Comanche, Denton, Eastland, Erath and 9 more83 min
May 18, 1:02 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrooks, Duval, Jim Hogg58 min
May 18, 1:29 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCoke, Concho, Crane, Crockett, Ector, Glasscock and 13 more91 min
May 18, 5:07 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCoke, Concho, Irion, Reagan, Runnels, Schleicher and 2 more53 min
May 18, 1:18 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtascosa, Austin, Bastrop, Bexar, Brazos, Burleson and 28 more117 min
May 18, 1:57 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBailey, Castro, Deaf Smith, Parmer, Randall, Swisher3 hr
May 18, 2:29 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAnderson, Atascosa, Austin, Bastrop, Bexar, Blanco and 30 more7 hr
May 18, 2:30 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBowie, Camp, Cass, Cherokee, Franklin, Gregg and 12 more2 hr
May 18, 3:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBowie, Camp, Cass, Cherokee, Franklin, Gregg and 11 more5 hr
May 18, 3:52 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBastrop, Caldwell, Colorado, Fayette, Gonzales, Guadalupe and 2 more83 min
May 18, 5:10 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCLa Salle, McMullen, Webb95 min
May 18, 5:39 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBowie, Cass, Gregg, Harrison, Marion, Morris and 1 more2 hr
May 18, 6:07 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArmstrong, Borden, Briscoe, Carson, Castro, Cochran and 17 more113 min
May 18, 6:13 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAustin, Brazos, Burleson, Colorado, DeWitt, Fayette and 14 more92 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.