Alert archive / Kentucky / Tornado Watches in 2018

Tornado Watch 289

July 20, 201824 counties in Indiana; 60 counties in Kentucky; 10 counties in Ohio

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jul 20, 2018, 1:37 PM EDT for 24 counties in Indiana; 60 counties in Kentucky; 10 counties in Ohio. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 20, 2018, 1:37 PM EDT (17:37 UTC)
Expired
Jul 20, 2018, 8:58 PM EDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 94 counties

Bartholomew County, IN, Clark County, IN, Crawford County, IN, Dearborn County, IN, Decatur County, IN, Dubois County, IN, Fayette County, IN, Floyd County, IN, Franklin County, IN, Harrison County, IN, Jackson County, IN, Jefferson County, IN, Jennings County, IN, Lawrence County, IN, Martin County, IN, Ohio County, IN, Orange County, IN, Perry County, IN, Ripley County, IN, Scott County, IN, Switzerland County, IN, Union County, IN, Washington County, IN, Wayne County, IN, Adair County, KY, Allen County, KY, Anderson County, KY, Barren County, KY, Boone County, KY, Bourbon County, KY, Boyle County, KY, Bracken County, KY, Breckinridge County, KY, Bullitt County, KY, Butler County, KY, Campbell County, KY, Carroll County, KY, Casey County, KY, Clark County, KY, Clinton County, KY, Cumberland County, KY, Edmonson County, KY, Fayette County, KY, Franklin County, KY, Gallatin County, KY, Garrard County, KY, Grant County, KY, Grayson County, KY, Green County, KY, Hancock County, KY, Hardin County, KY, Harrison County, KY, Hart County, KY, Henry County, KY, Jefferson County, KY, Jessamine County, KY, Kenton County, KY, Larue County, KY, Lincoln County, KY, Logan County, KY, Madison County, KY, Marion County, KY, Mason County, KY, Meade County, KY, Mercer County, KY, Metcalfe County, KY, Monroe County, KY, Nelson County, KY, Nicholas County, KY, Ohio County, KY, Oldham County, KY, Owen County, KY, Pendleton County, KY, Robertson County, KY, Russell County, KY, Scott County, KY, Shelby County, KY, Simpson County, KY, Spencer County, KY, Taylor County, KY, Trimble County, KY, Warren County, KY, Washington County, KY, Woodford County, KY, Brown County, OH, Butler County, OH, Clermont County, OH, Clinton County, OH, Greene County, OH, Hamilton County, OH, Highland County, OH, Montgomery County, OH, Preble County, OH, Warren County, OH

The radar

The Louisville radar (KLVX), 102 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:41 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
60%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
90%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
80%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
80%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

86 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 20, 1:40 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKFloyd, Harrison50 min
Jul 20, 1:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKFloyd, Harrison, Washington31 min
Jul 20, 1:50 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningINDJackson, Jennings40 min
Jul 20, 1:53 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKClark, Jefferson, Scott37 min
Jul 20, 2:00 PM EDTTornado WarningLMKHarrison45 min
Jul 20, 2:08 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKWashington37 min
Jul 20, 2:10 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNDearborn, Ohio, Ripley, Switzerland50 min
Jul 20, 2:11 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningILNDearborn, Ripley3 hr
Jul 20, 2:20 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKFloyd70 min
Jul 20, 2:20 PM EDTTornado WarningLMKJefferson25 min
Jul 20, 2:21 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKHarrison24 min
Jul 20, 2:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKScott, Washington36 min
Jul 20, 2:27 PM EDTTornado WarningILNCarroll33 min
Jul 20, 2:28 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningINDJennings32 min
Jul 20, 2:28 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKFloyd, Harrison16 min
Jul 20, 2:28 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKClark, Scott, Washington32 min
Jul 20, 2:32 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKJefferson28 min
Jul 20, 2:36 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNBoone, Campbell, Kenton39 min
Jul 20, 2:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKHarrison34 min
Jul 20, 2:46 PM EDTTornado WarningLMKJefferson29 min
Jul 20, 2:49 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNOhio, Switzerland25 min
Jul 20, 2:49 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKJefferson26 min
Jul 20, 3:09 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKBullitt, Jefferson, Shelby, Spencer36 min
Jul 20, 3:14 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKJefferson16 min
Jul 20, 3:15 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNBracken, Campbell, Pendleton30 min
Jul 20, 3:23 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKBullitt, Nelson, Spencer52 min
Jul 20, 3:34 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNGrant, Owen, Pendleton18 min
Jul 20, 3:38 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKAnderson, Franklin, Scott, Shelby, Woodford37 min
Jul 20, 3:39 PM EDTTornado WarningLMKBullitt, Nelson51 min
Jul 20, 3:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKHarrison, Nicholas, Scott31 min
Jul 20, 3:51 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKAnderson, Fayette, Jessamine, Scott, Woodford39 min
Jul 20, 3:55 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKBourbon, Scott, Woodford20 min
Jul 20, 3:58 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKAnderson, Nelson, Spencer, Washington62 min
Jul 20, 4:08 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKBourbon, Harrison, Nicholas37 min
Jul 20, 4:14 PM EDTTornado WarningLMKMercer, Nelson, Washington25 min
Jul 20, 4:19 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKClark, Fayette, Jessamine, Madison26 min
Jul 20, 4:27 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningLMKHarrison3 hr
Jul 20, 4:36 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKAnderson, Mercer, Washington, Woodford24 min
Jul 20, 4:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKMarion, Nelson, Washington46 min
Jul 20, 4:52 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKClark, Fayette, Jessamine, Madison38 min
Jul 20, 4:54 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningINDJennings36 min
Jul 20, 4:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKAnderson, Fayette, Garrard, Jessamine, Mercer, Washington and 1 more31 min
Jul 20, 5:12 PM EDTTornado WarningLMKMarion, Nelson, Washington26 min
Jul 20, 5:20 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKGarrard, Madison25 min
Jul 20, 5:21 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKLarue, Marion, Taylor54 min
Jul 20, 5:25 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNRipley35 min
Jul 20, 5:30 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKBoyle, Garrard, Jessamine, Madison, Mercer30 min
Jul 20, 5:37 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKBoyle, Mercer, Washington38 min
Jul 20, 5:49 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKGarrard, Madison26 min
Jul 20, 5:52 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningILNRipley113 min
Jul 20, 6:01 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKAnderson, Nelson, Washington17 min
Jul 20, 6:05 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKLarue, Marion, Washington40 min
Jul 20, 6:08 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningINDJackson, Jennings37 min
Jul 20, 6:18 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKCasey, Lincoln, Marion42 min
Jul 20, 6:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKAdair, Green, Metcalfe36 min
Jul 20, 6:29 PM EDTTornado WarningLMKCasey, Lincoln61 min
Jul 20, 6:43 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKAdair, Casey, Green, Taylor32 min
Jul 20, 6:45 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKBoyle, Casey, Marion, Washington30 min
Jul 20, 6:52 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKCumberland, Metcalfe, Monroe38 min
Jul 20, 6:53 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKJefferson, Scott37 min
Jul 20, 6:55 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningINDJennings35 min
Jul 20, 6:56 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKAdair, Cumberland, Metcalfe49 min
Jul 20, 7:06 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKBoyle, Casey, Lincoln, Marion, Taylor24 min
Jul 20, 7:08 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKJefferson37 min
Jul 20, 7:10 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNSwitzerland35 min
Jul 20, 7:15 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKAdair, Green, Taylor30 min
Jul 20, 7:18 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKClark27 min
Jul 20, 7:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKAdair, Clinton, Cumberland, Monroe, Russell36 min
Jul 20, 7:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKBoyle, Casey, Garrard, Lincoln31 min
Jul 20, 7:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKBarren, Metcalfe, Monroe31 min
Jul 20, 7:34 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKOldham26 min
Jul 20, 7:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKAdair, Taylor33 min
Jul 20, 7:45 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKClark15 min
Jul 20, 7:54 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKCrawford, Perry23 min
Jul 20, 7:55 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKOldham, Shelby35 min
Jul 20, 7:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKAdair, Clinton, Cumberland, Metcalfe, Monroe, Russell46 min
Jul 20, 8:03 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKJefferson, Shelby42 min
Jul 20, 8:04 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKAdair, Casey, Russell26 min
Jul 20, 8:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKFloyd, Harrison32 min
Jul 20, 8:21 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKPerry24 min
Jul 20, 8:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKMonroe21 min
Jul 20, 8:25 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKAnderson, Franklin, Shelby, Woodford35 min
Jul 20, 8:36 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKCrawford, Orange24 min
Jul 20, 8:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKClinton, Cumberland, Monroe31 min
Jul 20, 8:53 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningLMKClark3 hr
Jul 20, 8:56 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKHarrison19 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 5.6 hours before the alert went out and 303 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2018-07-20Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 918 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2018-07-20The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 123 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
918 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-46 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
766 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
27 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
123 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
206 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.7
Supercell composite
5.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

380 
WWUS20 KWNS 201735
SEL9  
SPC WW 201735
INZ000-KYZ000-OHZ000-210100-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 289
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
135 PM EDT Fri Jul 20 2018

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Southern Indiana
  Central Kentucky
  Southwest Ohio

* Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 135 PM until
  900 PM EDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A few tornadoes likely
  Widespread large hail and scattered very large hail events to
    2.5 inches in diameter likely
  Widespread damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely

SUMMARY...Multiple rounds of strong/severe thunderstorms are
expected to affect the watch area this afternoon and evening, posing
a risk of large hail, damaging winds, and isolated tornadoes.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles
east and west of a line from 55 miles north northwest of Cincinnati
OH to 30 miles southeast of Bowling Green KY. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 28030.

...Hart

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 20, 12:43 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGibson, Posey92 min
Jul 20, 1:19 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBartholomew, Clark, Crawford, Dearborn, Decatur, Fayette and 15 more56 min
Jul 20, 1:43 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Allen, Blackford, Carroll, Cass, DeKalb and 16 more92 min
Jul 20, 1:58 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCVanderburgh62 min
Jul 20, 2:12 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCAdams, Allen, Blackford, DeKalb, Elkhart, Grant and 10 more3 hr
Jul 20, 3:43 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Crawford, Dearborn, Decatur, Floyd, Franklin and 10 more62 min
Jul 20, 3:59 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Allen, Blackford, DeKalb, Delaware, Jay and 2 more61 min
Jul 20, 6:37 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBartholomew, Brown, Clark, Crawford, Dearborn, Decatur and 22 more53 min
Jul 20, 7:22 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCClark, Crawford, Dubois, Floyd, Gibson, Harrison and 10 more8 hr
Jul 20, 12:17 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCButler, Caldwell, Calloway, Christian, Crittenden, Daviess and 11 more58 min
Jul 20, 4:16 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBath, Bell, Boyd, Breathitt, Carter, Clay and 31 more6 hr
Jul 20, 6:54 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Barren, Butler, Caldwell, Calloway, Christian and 17 more3 hr
Jul 20, 7:24 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBath, Bell, Boyd, Breathitt, Carter, Clark and 33 more96 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Kentucky, 2018Tornado Watches in Indiana, 2018Tornado Watches in Ohio, 2018Every tornado watch in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.