Alert archive / Indiana / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2018

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 64, NWS Indianapolis, IN

July 20, 2018Jennings County, Indiana

NWS Indianapolis, IN issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 20, 2018, 4:54 PM EDT for Jennings County, Indiana. It was in force for 36 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jul 20, 2018, 4:54 PM EDT (20:54 UTC)
Expired: Jul 20, 2018, 5:30 PM EDT
In force: 36 min
Issued by: NWS Indianapolis, IN
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.0 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

County Jennings County, IN

The radar

The Indianapolis radar (KIND), 103 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:54 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jul 20, 1:37 PM EDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Lincoln, IL (KILX), launched 12:00Z, 8.9 hours before the alert went out and 290 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 265 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -249 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1579 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 36 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 273 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 343 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

914 
WUUS53 KIND 202054
SVRIND
INC079-202130-
/O.NEW.KIND.SV.W.0064.180720T2054Z-180720T2130Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
454 PM EDT FRI JUL 20 2018

The National Weather Service in Indianapolis has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Jennings County in southeastern Indiana...

* Until 530 PM EDT.

* At 454 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Vernon, or 14
  miles east of Seymour, moving east at 30 mph.

  HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage 
           to roofs, siding, and trees.

* Locations impacted include...
  North Vernon, Vernon, Country Squire Lakes, Butlerville and
  Nebraska.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3887 8571 3904 8575 3919 8544 3891 8545
      3891 8554 3888 8554
TIME...MOT...LOC 2054Z 255DEG 26KT 3898 8562 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

TDUD

2 follow-up statements

759 
WWUS53 KIND 202105
SVSIND

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
505 PM EDT FRI JUL 20 2018

INC079-202130-
/O.CON.KIND.SV.W.0064.000000T0000Z-180720T2130Z/
Jennings IN-
505 PM EDT FRI JUL 20 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 530 PM EDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN JENNINGS COUNTY...

At 505 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Vernon, or 18
miles east of Seymour, moving east at 30 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
North Vernon, Vernon, Butlerville and Nebraska. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3893 8561 3907 8566 3919 8544 3891 8545
      3891 8554 3893 8558
TIME...MOT...LOC 2105Z 253DEG 25KT 3900 8554 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

TDUD

678 
WWUS53 KIND 202132
SVSIND

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
532 PM EDT FRI JUL 20 2018

INC079-202141-
/O.EXP.KIND.SV.W.0064.000000T0000Z-180720T2130Z/
Jennings IN-
532 PM EDT FRI JUL 20 2018

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN JENNINGS COUNTY
HAS EXPIRED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning moved out of the 
warned area.  Therefore, the warning has been allowed to expire.

LAT...LON 3893 8561 3907 8566 3919 8544 3891 8545
      3891 8554 3893 8558
TIME...MOT...LOC 2131Z 255DEG 26KT 3905 8531 

$$

TDUD

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Indianapolis, IN wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 20, 4:40 PM EDT, 14 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 20, 4:40 PM EDT, 14 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
440 PM EDT Fri Jul 20 2018

.UPDATE...
The AVIATION Section has been updated below.

&&

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 300 PM EDT Fri Jul 20 2018

A unseasonably strong low pressure system will bring numerous
thunderstorms to central Indiana this weekend. Severe thunderstorms
are possible this afternoon and evening.

Temperatures will fall to below normal on Saturday in the wake of a
cold front, but return to near normal by Monday. More unsettled
weather is possible over all or parts of the area next week as a
couple of fronts move through.

&&

.NEAR TERM /Remainder of the Afternoon and Tonight/...

Issued at 300 PM EDT Fri Jul 20 2018

Main concern this afternoon and tonight will continue to be severe
weather as a potent system moves from southeastern Wisconsin to
southern Lake Michigan and southern Lower Michigan. Unseasonably
strong 90 plus upper jet over Missouri combined with strong
instability /mixed layer CAPEs in excess of 3000 j/kg over much of
the area/ supports the SPC Day1 moderate severe risk over
southeastern parts of the forecast area. The rest of the area is
under an enhanced risk, and more importantly, there is a Tornado
Watch in effect for southeastern parts of central Indiana through 9
pm. The dry air aloft and strong instability will continue to
support large hail and damaging winds as well as tornadoes. So far,
a couple of the southeastern storms have produced some rotation and
funnel cloud reports. However, no tornadoes have occurred.

The cold front will move across the area tonight and should be
southeast of the area after 2 am with only a few lingering showers
the remainder of the night.

With thick post frontal cloud cover, do not think temperatures will
fall any lower than the middle and upper 60s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /Saturday through Monday/...
Issued at 300 PM EDT Fri Jul 20 2018

Models in good agreement that an upper low will move over the Great
Lakes and Ohio Valley this weekend. This will bring scattered to
numerous thunderstorms to the area. It also lends high confidence in
the below normal blend temperatures. Much of the area will not see
80 degrees Saturday or Sunday.

With only weak to moderate instability, do not expect severe weather.

There will be another chance of thunderstorms on Monday as another
cold front approaches from the northwest. With southerly flow ahead
of the front, temperatures should move back to close to normal, into
the lower or middle 80s.

&&

.LONG TERM /Monday Night through Friday/...

Issued at 303 PM EDT Fri Jul 20 2018

ECMWF shows weak ridging building aloft on Monday Night through
Wednesday as the upper low over the deep south weakens slowly.
This should result in dry weather with seasonable temperatures for
the middle of the work week. By Thursday and Friday...the upper
flow becomes nor northwesterly...however forcing dynamics appear
quite limited. Thus have trended again toward a dry forecast for
now until a stronger forcing signal is seen. Given the NW flow at
that time Highs may be slightly cooler than seasonal normals.

&&

.AVIATION /Discussion for the 20/21Z TAF Update/...

Issued at 439 PM EDT Fri Jul 20 2018

Update...
Increased sustained wind speeds to 25 kts with gusts up to 32 kts
at KIND.

Previous Discussion...
VFR CConditionsarea expected this afternoon during the taf
period...however scattered thunderstorms across the area may
produce brief MVFR to IFR conditions should they strike a taf
site. Confidence for specific timing is not high enough at this
time...however we will continue to use a period of VCSH to show
the ongoing threat.

Low Pressure over Wisconsin is expected to continue to dig
southeast toward Indiana tonight...bringing better chances for
MVFR Cigs on Saturday as that cloud shield invades.

&&

.IND WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...MK
NEAR TERM...MK
SHORT TERM...MK
LONG TERM....Puma
AVIATION...JP/TDUD

Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 20, 9:12 AM EDT, 7 hours 42 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
912 AM EDT Fri Jul 20 2018

INZ021-028>031-035>049-051>057-060>065-067>072-211315-
Carroll-Warren-Tippecanoe-Clinton-Howard-Fountain-Montgomery-Boone-
Tipton-Hamilton-Madison-Delaware-Randolph-Vermillion-Parke-Putnam-
Hendricks-Marion-Hancock-Henry-Vigo-Clay-Owen-Morgan-Johnson-Shelby-
Rush-Sullivan-Greene-Monroe-Brown-Bartholomew-Decatur-Knox-Daviess-
Martin-Lawrence-Jackson-Jennings-
Including the cities of Lafayette, Frankfort, Kokomo,
Crawfordsville, Anderson, Muncie, Indianapolis, Terre Haute,
Shelbyville, Bloomington, Columbus, Vincennes, Bedford, and Seymour
912 AM EDT Fri Jul 20 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for central Indiana.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Outlook: Severe storms are expected today.

Hazards: Large hail, damaging winds, tornadoes, localized flash
flooding and frequent lightning.

Timing: Thunderstorms are possible throughout the day, but the most
likely window for severe storms is from 1 to 10 pm.

Discussion: An unseasonably strong low pressure system will bring
thunderstorms, some severe, to central Indiana today and early
tonight. Hail larger than golf ball size is likely in some of these
storms, along with damaging winds and isolated tornadoes.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Outlook: Thunderstorms will be possible most times from Saturday
through Monday, but severe storms are not expected. There are also
small chances for storms off and on from Tuesday through Thursday,
but again none of these appear to have severe potential.

Discussion: A strong low pressure system moving through the Great
Lakes and Ohio Valley will keep chances for thunderstorms in the
forecast through Monday. After that surface fronts will bring small
off and on chances for thunderstorms through Thursday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed this afternoon and evening.

&&

More information, along with other weather, hydrological and climate
information can be found at http://weather.gov/ind

DRT

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 20, 2:43 PM EDT, 2 hours 11 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
243 PM EDT FRI JUL 20 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0220 PM     HAIL             6 N CROTHERSVILLE       38.87N 85.82W
07/20/2018  E1.75 INCH       JACKSON            IN   AMATEUR RADIO

&&

KEH

Local storm report, Jul 20, 3:37 PM EDT, 1 hour 17 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
337 PM EDT FRI JUL 20 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0333 PM     HAIL             6 NNE CROTHERSVILLE     38.87N 85.82W
07/20/2018  M0.50 INCH       JACKSON            IN   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

Local storm report, Jul 20, 3:41 PM EDT, 1 hour 13 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
341 PM EDT FRI JUL 20 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0315 PM     TSTM WND DMG     ALEXANDRIA              40.26N 85.68W
07/20/2018                   MADISON            IN   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREE BLOWN DOWN ONTO HOUSE. TIME ESTIMATED
            FROM RADAR.

&&

BHH

Local storm report, Jul 20, 3:43 PM EDT, 1 hour 11 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
343 PM EDT FRI JUL 20 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0306 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 SSE FRANKTON          40.21N 85.77W
07/20/2018                   MADISON            IN   EMERGENCY MNGR

            BROKEN UTILITY POLE. TIME ESTIMATED FROM
            RADAR.

&&

BHH

Local storm report, Jul 20, 4:13 PM EDT, 41 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
413 PM EDT FRI JUL 20 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0411 PM     HAIL             CLIFFORD                39.28N 85.87W
07/20/2018  E0.25 INCH       BARTHOLOMEW        IN   PUBLIC

            COPIOUS PEA SIZE HAIL.

&&

BHH

Local storm report, Jul 20, 4:45 PM EDT, 9 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
445 PM EDT FRI JUL 20 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0435 PM     HAIL             2 N MUNCIE              40.23N 85.39W
07/20/2018  E0.25 INCH       DELAWARE           IN   PUBLIC

&&

MK

The office that day

Everything else NWS Indianapolis, IN issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 20, 3:09 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	IND	Vigo	36 min
Jul 20, 10:03 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	IND	Delaware, Madison	42 min
Jul 20, 10:41 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	IND	Delaware	49 min
Jul 20, 11:26 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	IND	Randolph	49 min
Jul 20, 12:24 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	IND	Bartholomew	51 min
Jul 20, 12:40 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	IND	Bartholomew, Brown, Decatur, Jackson, Jennings	50 min
Jul 20, 1:27 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	IND	Bartholomew, Jackson, Jennings	48 min
Jul 20, 1:37 PM EDT	Areal Flood Warning	IND	Bartholomew, Brown, Decatur, Jackson, Jennings	3 hr
Jul 20, 1:50 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	IND	Jackson, Jennings	40 min
Jul 20, 2:28 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	IND	Jennings	32 min
Jul 20, 4:29 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	IND	Delaware, Randolph	31 min
Jul 20, 5:03 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	IND	Delaware	42 min
Jul 20, 6:08 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	IND	Jackson, Jennings	37 min
Jul 20, 6:55 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	IND	Jennings	35 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Indiana, 2018 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.