Severe Thunderstorm Warning 62, NWS Indianapolis, IN

914 
WWUS53 KIND 201844
SVSIND

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
244 PM EDT FRI JUL 20 2018

INC079-201900-
/O.CON.KIND.SV.W.0062.000000T0000Z-180720T1900Z/
Jennings IN-
244 PM EDT FRI JUL 20 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM EDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN JENNINGS COUNTY...

At 244 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 8 miles south of
Vernon, or 16 miles southeast of Seymour, moving east at 20 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and half dollar size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Paris Crossing.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Continuous cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Move indoors immediately. Lightning is one of nature's leading
killers. Remember, if you can hear thunder, you are close enough to
be struck by lightning.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 900 PM EDT for southeastern
Indiana.

LAT...LON 3887 8571 3893 8564 3895 8545 3891 8544
      3891 8554 3888 8554 3888 8557 3885 8557
      3885 8561 3883 8561 3882 8562 3882 8563
      3883 8565 3882 8570 3883 8573
TIME...MOT...LOC 1844Z 277DEG 19KT 3886 8561 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Ryan

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
100 PM EDT Fri Jul 20 2018

.UPDATE...
The AVIATION Section has been updated below.

&&

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 351 AM EDT Fri Jul 20 2018

A unseasonably strong low pressure system moving through the
Great Lakes and into the Ohio Valley will bring showers and
thunderstorms to central Indiana for the weekend, as well as the
potential for severe storms today. After today temperatures will
drop to below normal for the remainder of the weekend before
returning to normal for the work week. Next week looks mainly dry
after Monday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /This afternoon/...
Issued at 1241 PM EDT Fri Jul 20 2018

Only made minor changes to PoPs, adding slight chance to the
southwestern counties. The new Day1 SPC Outlook has trimmed the
Enhanced risk. Terre Haute, Brazil, Crawfordsville and Lafayette
are now in a Slight Risk. Currently, strong storms are limited to
our far southeastern counties.

Previous discussion follows...

Issued at 955 AM EDT Fri Jul 20 2018

Surface analysis late this morning shows a deep low over southern
Wisconsin...with cyclonic flow across Central Indiana. Showers and
storms associated with a wave around the low was found across
Eastern Indiana and was pivoting northeast within the flow. GOES16
shows clearing skies across Illinois and Indiana...however dew
points remain quite highs...in the 60s to lower 70s across
Illinois.

Forecast soundings across Central Indiana this afternoon show very
steep lapse rates favorable for convection with CAPE over 3000
J/KG. A dry mid level is also noted...favorable for the production
with damaging wind gusts within storms. HRRR suggests TSRA
development this afternoon as instability develops. Thus have kept
the next 1-2 hours mainly dry expect across the east...and then
trended toward higher pops this afternoon.

Given the expected sunshine...trended highs warmer than the
Forecast builder blends as has been the pattern the past several
days.

&&

.SHORT TERM /Saturday through Sunday night/...

Issued at 351 AM EDT Fri Jul 20 2018

An upper low will settle in over central Indiana and a surface low
will slowly traverse the area. Thus expect off and on showers for
Saturday along with temperatures staying in the 70s under mostly
cloudy skies. Precip chances will continue through the weekend as
lobes of energy move through the upper low. High confidence
temperatures will run below normal. High confidence of off and on
rain for Saturday, coverage may be less on Sunday.

&&

.LONG TERM (Monday through Thursday)...

Issued at 211 AM EDT Fri Jul 20 2018

Mostly dry weather is likely Tuesday night into Wednesday night.
Otherwise forecast confidence is low.

The GFS and European models don't agree well about fronts that will
be critical to Indiana weather. Also, the latest and previous runs
of the GFS differ considerably. Possible temperature errors are 3-5
degrees.  For most of the period possible POP errors are 10-20
percent.

The exception is Tuesday night into Wednesday night. The models
concur that period will be mostly dry as high pressure crosses our
area.

&&

.AVIATION /Discussion for the 201800Z Tafs/...

Issued at 1249 PM EDT Fri Jul 20 2018

VFR CConditionsarea expected this afternoon during the taf
period...however scattered thunderstorms across the area may
produce brief MVFR to IFR conditions should they strike a taf
site. Confidence for specific timing is not high enough at this
time...however we will continue to use a period of VCSH to show
the ongoing threat.

Low Pressure over Wisconsin is expected to continue to dig
southeast toward Indiana tonight...bringing better chances for
MVFR Cigs on Saturday as that cloud shield invades.

&&

.IND WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SYNOPSIS...CP
NEAR TERM...Puma/MK
SHORT TERM...CP
LONG TERM....JK
AVIATION...JP

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
912 AM EDT Fri Jul 20 2018

INZ021-028>031-035>049-051>057-060>065-067>072-211315-
Carroll-Warren-Tippecanoe-Clinton-Howard-Fountain-Montgomery-Boone-
Tipton-Hamilton-Madison-Delaware-Randolph-Vermillion-Parke-Putnam-
Hendricks-Marion-Hancock-Henry-Vigo-Clay-Owen-Morgan-Johnson-Shelby-
Rush-Sullivan-Greene-Monroe-Brown-Bartholomew-Decatur-Knox-Daviess-
Martin-Lawrence-Jackson-Jennings-
Including the cities of Lafayette, Frankfort, Kokomo,
Crawfordsville, Anderson, Muncie, Indianapolis, Terre Haute,
Shelbyville, Bloomington, Columbus, Vincennes, Bedford, and Seymour
912 AM EDT Fri Jul 20 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for central Indiana.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Outlook: Severe storms are expected today.

Hazards: Large hail, damaging winds, tornadoes, localized flash
flooding and frequent lightning.

Timing: Thunderstorms are possible throughout the day, but the most
likely window for severe storms is from 1 to 10 pm.

Discussion: An unseasonably strong low pressure system will bring
thunderstorms, some severe, to central Indiana today and early
tonight. Hail larger than golf ball size is likely in some of these
storms, along with damaging winds and isolated tornadoes.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Outlook: Thunderstorms will be possible most times from Saturday
through Monday, but severe storms are not expected. There are also
small chances for storms off and on from Tuesday through Thursday,
but again none of these appear to have severe potential.

Discussion: A strong low pressure system moving through the Great
Lakes and Ohio Valley will keep chances for thunderstorms in the
forecast through Monday. After that surface fronts will bring small
off and on chances for thunderstorms through Thursday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed this afternoon and evening.

&&

More information, along with other weather, hydrological and climate
information can be found at http://weather.gov/ind

DRT

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
1041 AM EDT FRI JUL 20 2018

INZ040>042-049-201530-
Randolph IN-Henry IN-Madison IN-Delaware IN-
1041 AM EDT FRI JUL 20 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN MADISON...WESTERN
RANDOLPH...DELAWARE AND NORTHERN HENRY COUNTIES UNTIL 1130 AM EDT...

At 1040 AM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 6 miles northwest of Albany to 9 miles south of
Anderson. Movement was east at 45 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Muncie, Anderson, Yorktown, Chesterfield, Albany, Eaton, Daleville,
Parker City, Farmland, Gaston, Selma, Ridgeville, Markleville,
Sulphur Springs, Mooreland, Mount Summit, Losantville, Modoc, Cadiz
and Springport.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 4000 8514 4000 8520 3997 8520 3994 8571
      4038 8549 4038 8522 4031 8522 4031 8493
TIME...MOT...LOC 1440Z 249DEG 37KT 4035 8535 3996 8562

Ryan

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
1126 AM EDT FRI JUL 20 2018

INZ041-042-049-201615-
Randolph IN-Henry IN-Delaware IN-
1126 AM EDT FRI JUL 20 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR RANDOLPH...SOUTHEASTERN DELAWARE
AND NORTHEASTERN HENRY COUNTIES UNTIL 1215 PM EDT...

At 1126 AM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 6 miles southeast of Albany to New Castle.
Movement was east at 25 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Winchester, Union City, Parker City, Farmland, Lynn, Selma,
Ridgeville, Mooreland, Mount Summit, Saratoga, Losantville, Modoc,
Blountsville, Summit Lake State Park and Prairie Creek Reservoir.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 4001 8484 4000 8490 4000 8520 3997 8520
      3996 8545 4031 8518 4031 8480 4005 8481
TIME...MOT...LOC 1526Z 261DEG 21KT 4026 8514 3995 8536

Ryan

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
1224 PM EDT FRI JUL 20 2018

INZ064-065-071-072-201715-
Decatur IN-Bartholomew IN-Jackson IN-Jennings IN-
1224 PM EDT FRI JUL 20 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN DECATUR...CENTRAL
BARTHOLOMEW...NORTHEASTERN JACKSON AND NORTHERN JENNINGS COUNTIES
UNTIL 115 PM EDT...

At 1223 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 7
miles south of Columbus, moving east at 30 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Columbus, North Vernon, Westport, Elizabethtown, Hartsville,
Jonesville, Millhousen, Letts, Newbern, Butlerville, Grammer,
Nebraska, Newpoint, Azalia and Country Squire Lakes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3920 8544 3902 8545 3899 8597 3924 8601
      3933 8530 3927 8530
TIME...MOT...LOC 1623Z 263DEG 26KT 3910 8589

Ryan

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
1246 PM EDT FRI JUL 20 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1235 PM     HAIL             5 W COLUMBUS            39.18N 85.99W
07/20/2018  E0.88 INCH       BARTHOLOMEW        IN   PUBLIC

&&

KEH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
204 PM EDT FRI JUL 20 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0204 PM     HAIL             3 WNW BUTLERVILLE       39.04N 85.56W
07/20/2018  E0.50 INCH       JENNINGS           IN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            PEA AND DIME SIZE HAIL.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
223 PM EDT FRI JUL 20 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0202 PM     HAIL             2 E SEYMOUR             38.96N 85.84W
07/20/2018  M1.00 INCH       JACKSON            IN   PUBLIC

            TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR.

&&

KEH