Alert archive / Kentucky / Tornado Watches in 2018

Tornado Watch 294

July 20, 20187 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jul 20, 2018, 6:22 PM CDT for 7 states. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 20, 2018, 6:22 PM CDT (23:22 UTC)
Expired
Jul 21, 2018, 2:00 AM CDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
3 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 199 counties

Colbert County, AL, DeKalb County, AL, Franklin County, AL, Jackson County, AL, Lauderdale County, AL, Lawrence County, AL, Limestone County, AL, Madison County, AL, Marshall County, AL, Morgan County, AL, Alexander County, IL, Gallatin County, IL, Hardin County, IL, Johnson County, IL, Massac County, IL, Pope County, IL, Pulaski County, IL, Saline County, IL, Union County, IL, White County, IL, Williamson County, IL, Clark County, IN, Crawford County, IN, Dubois County, IN, Floyd County, IN, Gibson County, IN, Harrison County, IN, Jefferson County, IN, Orange County, IN, Perry County, IN, Pike County, IN, Posey County, IN, Scott County, IN, Spencer County, IN, Vanderburgh County, IN, Warrick County, IN, Washington County, IN, Adair County, KY, Allen County, KY, Anderson County, KY, Ballard County, KY, Barren County, KY, Bourbon County, KY, Boyle County, KY, Breckinridge County, KY, Bullitt County, KY, Butler County, KY, Caldwell County, KY, Calloway County, KY, Carlisle County, KY, Casey County, KY, Christian County, KY, Clark County, KY, Clinton County, KY, Crittenden County, KY, Cumberland County, KY, Daviess County, KY, Edmonson County, KY, Fayette County, KY, Franklin County, KY, Fulton County, KY, Garrard County, KY, Graves County, KY, Grayson County, KY, Green County, KY, Hancock County, KY, Hardin County, KY, Harrison County, KY, Hart County, KY, Henderson County, KY, Henry County, KY, Hickman County, KY, Hopkins County, KY, Jefferson County, KY, Jessamine County, KY, Larue County, KY, Lincoln County, KY, Livingston County, KY, Logan County, KY, Lyon County, KY, Madison County, KY, Marion County, KY, Marshall County, KY, McCracken County, KY, McLean County, KY, Meade County, KY, Mercer County, KY, Metcalfe County, KY, Monroe County, KY, Muhlenberg County, KY, Nelson County, KY, Nicholas County, KY, Ohio County, KY, Oldham County, KY, Russell County, KY, Scott County, KY, Shelby County, KY, Simpson County, KY, Spencer County, KY, Taylor County, KY, Todd County, KY, Trigg County, KY, Trimble County, KY, Union County, KY, Warren County, KY, Washington County, KY, Webster County, KY, Woodford County, KY, Cape Girardeau County, MO, Dunklin County, MO, Mississippi County, MO, New Madrid County, MO, Pemiscot County, MO, Scott County, MO, Stoddard County, MO, Alcorn County, MS, Benton County, MS, Calhoun County, MS, Chickasaw County, MS, Coahoma County, MS, DeSoto County, MS, Itawamba County, MS, Lafayette County, MS, Lee County, MS, Marshall County, MS, Monroe County, MS, Panola County, MS, Pontotoc County, MS, Prentiss County, MS, Quitman County, MS, Tallahatchie County, MS, Tate County, MS, Tippah County, MS, Tishomingo County, MS, Tunica County, MS, Union County, MS, Yalobusha County, MS, Bedford County, TN, Benton County, TN, Cannon County, TN, Carroll County, TN, Cheatham County, TN, Chester County, TN, Clay County, TN, Coffee County, TN, Crockett County, TN, Cumberland County, TN, Davidson County, TN, Decatur County, TN, DeKalb County, TN, Dickson County, TN, Dyer County, TN, Fayette County, TN, Fentress County, TN, Franklin County, TN, Gibson County, TN, Giles County, TN, Grundy County, TN, Hardeman County, TN, Hardin County, TN, Haywood County, TN, Henderson County, TN, Henry County, TN, Hickman County, TN, Houston County, TN, Humphreys County, TN, Jackson County, TN, Lake County, TN, Lauderdale County, TN, Lawrence County, TN, Lewis County, TN, Lincoln County, TN, Macon County, TN, Madison County, TN, Marshall County, TN, Maury County, TN, McNairy County, TN, Montgomery County, TN, Moore County, TN, Obion County, TN, Overton County, TN, Perry County, TN, Pickett County, TN, Putnam County, TN, Robertson County, TN, Rutherford County, TN, Shelby County, TN, Smith County, TN, Stewart County, TN, Sumner County, TN, Tipton County, TN, Trousdale County, TN, Van Buren County, TN, Warren County, TN, Wayne County, TN, Weakley County, TN, White County, TN, Williamson County, TN, Wilson County, TN

The radar

The Paducah radar (KPAH), 79 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:22 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
90%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
80%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
60%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

78 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 20, 6:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKAdair, Clinton, Cumberland, Monroe, Russell36 min
Jul 20, 6:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKBoyle, Casey, Garrard, Lincoln31 min
Jul 20, 6:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKBarren, Metcalfe, Monroe31 min
Jul 20, 6:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKOldham26 min
Jul 20, 6:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHNew Madrid, Stoddard35 min
Jul 20, 6:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKAdair, Taylor33 min
Jul 20, 6:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKClark15 min
Jul 20, 6:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXClay, Jackson, Overton, Pickett22 min
Jul 20, 6:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKCrawford, Perry23 min
Jul 20, 6:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKOldham, Shelby35 min
Jul 20, 6:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKAdair, Clinton, Cumberland, Metcalfe, Monroe, Russell46 min
Jul 20, 7:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKJefferson, Shelby42 min
Jul 20, 7:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKAdair, Casey, Russell26 min
Jul 20, 7:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHSpencer19 min
Jul 20, 7:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHFulton, Hickman24 min
Jul 20, 7:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXClay, Fentress, Jackson, Overton, Pickett48 min
Jul 20, 7:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKFloyd, Harrison32 min
Jul 20, 7:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKPerry24 min
Jul 20, 7:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKMonroe21 min
Jul 20, 7:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKAnderson, Franklin, Shelby, Woodford35 min
Jul 20, 7:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXClay33 min
Jul 20, 7:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKCrawford, Orange24 min
Jul 20, 7:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKClinton, Cumberland, Monroe31 min
Jul 20, 7:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXJackson, Overton, Putnam44 min
Jul 20, 7:53 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLMKClark3 hr
Jul 20, 7:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKHarrison19 min
Jul 20, 7:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXClay, Jackson, Overton, Pickett49 min
Jul 20, 8:01 PM CDTTornado WarningLMKBreckinridge, Hancock29 min
Jul 20, 8:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKAnderson, Bullitt, Jefferson, Nelson, Shelby, Spencer29 min
Jul 20, 8:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKFloyd, Harrison26 min
Jul 20, 8:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKHarrison24 min
Jul 20, 8:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXCumberland, Overton, Putnam, White52 min
Jul 20, 8:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKBreckinridge, Grayson32 min
Jul 20, 8:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKClark28 min
Jul 20, 8:34 PM CDTTornado WarningOHXCumberland, Fentress, Overton, Putnam26 min
Jul 20, 8:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKFloyd, Harrison25 min
Jul 20, 8:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKAnderson, Boyle, Garrard, Jessamine, Mercer, Nelson and 2 more35 min
Jul 20, 8:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKHenry, Oldham, Shelby29 min
Jul 20, 8:47 PM CDTTornado WarningOHXCumberland, Putnam, White28 min
Jul 20, 8:48 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLMKAnderson, Bullitt, Jefferson, Shelby, Spencer3 hr
Jul 20, 8:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKAnderson, Bullitt, Franklin, Nelson, Shelby, Spencer25 min
Jul 20, 8:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXJackson, Putnam, White23 min
Jul 20, 8:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKBreckinridge, Grayson, Hardin36 min
Jul 20, 8:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKPerry35 min
Jul 20, 9:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHSpencer38 min
Jul 20, 9:10 PM CDTTornado WarningOHXCumberland, White35 min
Jul 20, 9:11 PM CDTTornado WarningLMKGrayson, Hardin34 min
Jul 20, 9:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKPerry32 min
Jul 20, 9:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXOverton, Putnam, White46 min
Jul 20, 9:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKShelby, Spencer27 min
Jul 20, 9:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKHarrison, Perry26 min
Jul 20, 9:19 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLMKAnderson, Mercer, Nelson, Washington, Woodford3 hr
Jul 20, 9:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCoahoma, Tunica38 min
Jul 20, 9:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKHarrison50 min
Jul 20, 9:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKGrayson, Hardin, Hart35 min
Jul 20, 9:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXCumberland, Van Buren, White46 min
Jul 20, 9:59 PM CDTTornado WarningLMKHart16 min
Jul 20, 10:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKBullitt, Hardin, Larue, Marion, Nelson29 min
Jul 20, 10:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCoahoma, Quitman, Tunica22 min
Jul 20, 10:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKHardin, Larue21 min
Jul 20, 10:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKGreen, Hart30 min
Jul 20, 10:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKBoyle, Marion, Nelson, Washington30 min
Jul 20, 10:22 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGCoahoma38 min
Jul 20, 10:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKGreen, Hardin, Hart, Larue, Marion, Nelson and 1 more37 min
Jul 20, 10:30 PM CDTTornado WarningLMKLarue15 min
Jul 20, 10:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKBreckinridge, Grayson, Hancock, Ohio26 min
Jul 20, 10:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKAdair, Green28 min
Jul 20, 10:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKGreen, Larue, Marion, Taylor19 min
Jul 20, 10:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKBreckinridge, Grayson, Hardin35 min
Jul 20, 11:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCoahoma39 min
Jul 20, 11:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCoahoma27 min
Jul 20, 11:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKAdair, Clinton, Russell24 min
Jul 21, 12:02 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXJackson, Overton, Putnam28 min
Jul 21, 12:27 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXJackson, Overton, Putnam33 min
Jul 21, 12:48 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXCumberland, Fentress, Overton, Putnam57 min
Jul 21, 1:12 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCoahoma48 min
Jul 21, 1:21 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXDeKalb, Smith, Sumner, Trousdale, Wilson39 min
Jul 21, 1:43 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKLogan32 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 11.4 hours before the alert went out and 150 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2018-07-20Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 918 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2018-07-20The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 123 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
918 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-46 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
766 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
27 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
123 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
206 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.7
Supercell composite
5.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

679 
WWUS20 KWNS 202319
SEL4  
SPC WW 202319
ALZ000-ARZ000-ILZ000-INZ000-KYZ000-MOZ000-MSZ000-TNZ000-210700-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 294
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
620 PM CDT Fri Jul 20 2018

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  northern Alabama
  eastern Arkansas
  southern Illinois
  southern Indiana
  western and central Kentucky
  far southeast Missouri
  northern Mississippi
  western and middle Tennessee

* Effective this Friday night and Saturday morning from 620 PM
  until 200 AM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A few tornadoes possible
  Widespread large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3
    inches in diameter likely
  Widespread damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely

SUMMARY...Storms are ongoing across portions of southeast Missouri
and vicinity, and also across the central and eastern Kentucky
vicinity.  Expect storms to expand in coverage over the next couple
of hours, to include large portions of western Kentucky and western
and middle Tennessee.  Storms will spread southeastward with time,
into portions of northern Mississippi/northern Alabama, accompanied
by potential for large hail, damaging winds, and a few tornadoes
through the evening hours.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 130 statute miles
north and south of a line from 35 miles west northwest of Dyersburg
TN to 65 miles east of Nashville TN. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 289...WW 292...WW 293...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean
storm motion vector 29040.

...Goss

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 20, 5:54 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCColbert, Cullman, DeKalb, Franklin, Jackson, Lauderdale and 7 more3 hr
Jul 19, 9:36 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Bond, Brown, Calhoun, Cass, Christian and 23 more54 min
Jul 19, 11:43 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBond, Clay, Clinton, Cumberland, Edwards, Effingham and 13 more92 min
Jul 20, 12:58 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Gallatin, Hardin, Johnson, Massac, Pope and 4 more62 min
Jul 20, 12:19 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBartholomew, Clark, Crawford, Dearborn, Decatur, Fayette and 15 more56 min
Jul 20, 12:37 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBartholomew, Clark, Crawford, Dearborn, Decatur, Dubois and 18 more7 hr
Jul 20, 12:43 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Allen, Blackford, Carroll, Cass, DeKalb and 16 more92 min
Jul 20, 1:12 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAdams, Allen, Blackford, DeKalb, Elkhart, Grant and 10 more3 hr
Jul 20, 2:43 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Crawford, Dearborn, Decatur, Floyd, Franklin and 10 more62 min
Jul 20, 2:59 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Allen, Blackford, DeKalb, Delaware, Jay and 2 more61 min
Jul 20, 5:37 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBartholomew, Brown, Clark, Crawford, Dearborn, Decatur and 22 more53 min
Jul 20, 11:17 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCButler, Caldwell, Calloway, Christian, Crittenden, Daviess and 11 more58 min
Jul 20, 3:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBath, Bell, Boyd, Breathitt, Carter, Clay and 31 more6 hr
Jul 20, 6:24 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBath, Bell, Boyd, Breathitt, Carter, Clark and 33 more96 min
Jul 19, 8:02 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCoahoma, Tunica118 min
Jul 19, 8:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCoahoma, DeSoto, Lafayette, Marshall, Panola, Quitman and 2 more114 min
Jul 19, 11:21 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAttala, Bolivar, Calhoun, Carroll, Coahoma, Grenada and 17 more114 min
Jul 20, 1:23 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAttala, Carroll, Choctaw, Clarke, Copiah, Covington and 20 more97 min
Jul 20, 2:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCClarke, Covington, Forrest, Hinds, Jasper, Jefferson Davis and 14 more3 hr
Jul 20, 3:46 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarter, Christian, Douglas, Howell, Oregon, Ozark and 5 more59 min
Jul 20, 3:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCButler, Carter, Douglas, Howell, Oregon, Ozark and 4 more6 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Kentucky, 2018Tornado Watches in Tennessee, 2018Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2018Every tornado watch in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.