Severe Thunderstorm Warning 138, NWS Nashville, TN

195 
WWUS54 KOHX 210115
SVSOHX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
815 PM CDT FRI JUL 20 2018

TNC027-087-133-137-210145-
/O.CON.KOHX.SV.W.0138.000000T0000Z-180721T0145Z/
Overton TN-Pickett TN-Jackson TN-Clay TN-
815 PM CDT FRI JUL 20 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 845 PM CDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN OVERTON...NORTHWESTERN PICKETT...NORTHEASTERN
JACKSON AND EASTERN CLAY COUNTIES...

At 815 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Celina, moving
east at 20 mph. 

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Livingston, Celina, Dale Hollow Lake and Standing Stone State Park. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Continuous cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Move indoors immediately. Lightning is one of nature's leading
killers. Remember, if you can hear thunder, you are close enough to
be struck by lightning.

&&

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 200 AM CDT for Middle
Tennessee.

LAT...LON 3662 8517 3630 8522 3636 8561 3661 8552
      3661 8550 3663 8527
TIME...MOT...LOC 0115Z 280DEG 16KT 3654 8547 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...0.88IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

13

619 
WWUS54 KOHX 210127
SVSOHX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
827 PM CDT FRI JUL 20 2018

TNC027-087-137-210136-
/O.CAN.KOHX.SV.W.0138.000000T0000Z-180721T0145Z/
Pickett TN-Jackson TN-Clay TN-
827 PM CDT FRI JUL 20 2018

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN PICKETT...
NORTHEASTERN JACKSON AND EASTERN CLAY COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 200 AM CDT for Middle
Tennessee.

LAT...LON 3651 8521 3649 8519 3630 8522 3634 8549
      3649 8540 3649 8538 3652 8525
TIME...MOT...LOC 0126Z 280DEG 16KT 3653 8541 

$$

TNC133-210145-
/O.CON.KOHX.SV.W.0138.000000T0000Z-180721T0145Z/
Overton TN-
827 PM CDT FRI JUL 20 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 845 PM CDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN OVERTON COUNTY...

At 826 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Celina, moving
east at 20 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Livingston and Standing Stone State Park. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Continuous cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Move indoors immediately. Lightning is one of nature's leading
killers. Remember, if you can hear thunder, you are close enough to
be struck by lightning.

&&

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 200 AM CDT for Middle
Tennessee.

LAT...LON 3651 8521 3649 8519 3630 8522 3634 8549
      3649 8540 3649 8538 3652 8525
TIME...MOT...LOC 0126Z 280DEG 16KT 3653 8541 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...0.88IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

13

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
735 PM CDT Fri Jul 20 2018

.DISCUSSION...

Updated the suite of forecast products to reflect the issuance of
Tornado Watch 294 for all of Middle TN until 2 AM CDT. With some
short term models showing the potential for rounds of shwrs/tstms
thru the watch period, went with periods of shwrs/tstms for the
entire mid state during this period. Also highlighted in the
text the potential of damaging winds, large hail, isolated
tornadoes, and frequent cloud to ground lightning through
the evening into the early morning hrs on Sat. Tweaked hrly
temps, dewpoint, and wind speed/direction grids. Remainder
of the forecast continues to be on track.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Updated late this afternoon wording in zone forecast product to
emphasize most of the potential impacts of shwrs/tstms, some tstms
possibly svr, after 7/21Z (7 PM CDT Tonight). Tweaked hrly temp,
dewpoint, and wind speed/direction grids. Initially, remainder of
the forecast looks like it continues to be on track.

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF DISCUSSION.

CKV/BNA/MQY/CSV...With so much uncertainty to what actual impacts
will occur at specific terminals with potentially rounds of
shwrs/tstms, no continuous throughout period/hard to pinpoint
if they will actually develop and/or move over specific terminals.
Some of those tstms could be svr also. Thus mentioned VCTS at all
terminals 21/00Z-21/04Z, with TEMPO groups of predominate MVFR
vsbys/ceilings, and wind gusts to 30-35kts in between. Several
amendments possible thru at least the first half of valid TAF
periods because of this uncertainty. Maybe some lingering
shwrs/tstms after 21/07Z, but as of this time main impacts on
terminals look to end by that point. It looks like another round
of shwrs/tstms potentially 21/18Z-21/24Z. Will at least mention
VCTS at all terminals again as actual uncertainty continues in
actual impacts at terminal sites, but can certainly not rule out
development in vcnty.

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

DISCUSSION......31
AVIATION........31

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Nashville TN
602 PM CDT Fri Jul 20 2018

TNZ005>011-023>034-056>066-075-077>080-093>095-210900-
Stewart-Montgomery-Robertson-Sumner-Macon-Clay-Pickett-Houston-
Humphreys-Dickson-Cheatham-Davidson-Wilson-Trousdale-Smith-
Jackson-Putnam-Overton-Fentress-Perry-Hickman-Lewis-Williamson-
Maury-Marshall-Rutherford-Cannon-De Kalb-White-Cumberland-Bedford-
Coffee-Warren-Grundy-Van Buren-Wayne-Lawrence-Giles-
602 PM CDT Fri Jul 20 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Middle
Tennessee.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

There is a moderate risk for severe thunderstorms tonight for
locations generally around and north of I-40 and generally along
and west of I-65. There is an enhanced risk for severe
thunderstorms for the remainder of Middle Tennessee. Scattered to
numerous showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop through
the evening hours across southern Kentucky, then spread
southeastward across Middle Tennessee into this evening and tonight.
With severe thunderstorms that do develop, large hail, damaging
winds, frequent cloud to ground lightning strikes, isolated
tornadoes, and brief heavy rainfall will be possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

There is a slight risk for severe thunderstorms across the
southeast half of Middle Tennessee on Saturday afternoon into
Saturday evening. There is a marginal risk for the rest of the
mid state region Saturday afternoon into Saturday evening.
A few strong to severe thunderstorms containing damaging winds
and or large hail will be possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is requested for tonight and might once again
be needed Saturday afternoon into Saturday evening across Middle
Tennessee.

Spotter Thunderstorm Reporting Criteria...

Tornado
Funnel Cloud
Flooding
Hail >= 1/2 inch
Wind > 50 mph (measured)
Structural Damage
Trees or power lines down

31

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
647 PM CDT FRI JUL 20 2018

TNZ010-011-034-210030-
Fentress TN-Pickett TN-Clay TN-
647 PM CDT FRI JUL 20 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR PICKETT...NORTHERN CLAY AND NORTH
CENTRAL FENTRESS COUNTIES UNTIL 730 PM CDT...

At 645 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong to severe
thunderstorms along a line extending from near Tompkinsville to 6
miles west of Albany. Movement was east at 35 mph. These storms
were also showing some development southward into Tennessee.

If these storms continue to develop southward, half inch hail and
winds in excess of 50 mph will be possible with these storms.
Severe thunderstorm warnings may be needed.

Locations impacted include...
Celina, Byrdstown, Wolf River Dock, Moss, Dale Hollow Lake, Pall
Mall, Pickett State Park, Boles and Ashlock.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 200 AM CDT for Middle
Tennessee.

LAT...LON 3660 8479 3653 8474 3654 8573 3662 8579
      3663 8523
TIME...MOT...LOC 2345Z 283DEG 30KT 3666 8567 3666 8525

13

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
750 PM CDT FRI JUL 20 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0730 PM     HAIL             4 NE CELINA             36.59N  85.45W
07/20/2018  E1.00 INCH       CLAY               TN   EMERGENCY MNGR

            ESTIMATED 1 INCH HAIL REPORTED IN PEA RIDGE

&&

EVENT NUMBER OHX1800289

BW