Alert archive / Arkansas / Pope County
Weather alerts in Pope County, Arkansas, 2015
142 weather alerts in 2015, from the National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center. An alert counts here when it covered this county.
Pope County and its neighbors
Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2015. Tap one for its archive.
- Alerts
- 142
- Warnings
- 73
- Watches
- 16
- Advisories
- 0
- Busiest month
- May52 alerts
- Busiest day
- May 10, 201511 alerts
Over time
By month
Warning verification
How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.
1 of 5 tornado warnings covering Pope County in 2015 had a tornado report inside them.
Pope County, 2015
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tornado warnings | 5 | 1 | 80% | 0 | ||
| Severe thunderstorm warnings | 44 | 13 | 70% | 12 | 83% | 22 min |
| Flash flood warnings | 15 | 8 | 47% | 1 | 100% | 263 min |
Each office's whole area, 2015
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NWS Little Rock, AR: tornado warnings | 40 | 6 | 85% | 14 | 71% | 17 min |
| NWS Little Rock, AR: severe thunderstorm warnings | 380 | 120 | 68% | 248 | 88% | 24 min |
| NWS Little Rock, AR: flash flood warnings | 138 | 49 | 64% | 76 | 83% | 108 min |
An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.
Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.
The alerts
Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Central Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2:57 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 6 hr |
| Feb 28, 7:59 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 6 hr |
| Mar 24, 2:05 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 85 min |
| Mar 24, 2:59 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Mar 24, 5:30 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 90 min |
| Mar 24, 7:30 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 30 min |
| Mar 24, 7:34 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 116 min |
| Mar 25, 1:30 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Mar 25, 2:16 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 8 hr |
| Mar 25, 5:33 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 87 min |
| Mar 25, 7:54 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 66 min |
| Mar 25, 9:21 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 8 hr |
| Mar 25, 10:31 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 44 min |
| Mar 25, 11:39 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 96 min |
| Mar 31, 2:25 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Mar 31, 6:19 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 26 min |
| Apr 1, 12:39 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 3 hr |
| Apr 1, 5:14 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 91 min |
| Apr 2, 10:19 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 46 min |
| Apr 9, 2:15 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Apr 9, 3:17 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Apr 9, 5:34 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 26 min |
| Apr 9, 5:49 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 25 min |
| Apr 9, 6:11 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 64 min |
| Apr 19, 12:43 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Apr 19, 1:42 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
| Apr 19, 4:12 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 63 min |
| Apr 19, 4:26 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | 34 min |
| Apr 19, 4:46 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 44 min |
| Apr 19, 5:28 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 62 min |
| Apr 19, 7:03 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 42 min |
| Apr 19, 7:09 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Apr 19, 9:41 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 64 min |
| May 9, 12:38 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 42 min |
| May 9, 1:58 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 92 min |
| May 10, 12:27 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | 4 hr |
| May 10, 2:16 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 44 min |
| May 10, 2:39 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 66 min |
| May 10, 2:57 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 48 min |
| May 10, 4:27 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | 2 hr |
| May 10, 11:25 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| May 10, 1:04 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 46 min |
| May 10, 1:43 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 47 min |
| May 10, 1:55 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 45 min |
| May 10, 4:00 PM CDT | River Flood Warning | LZK | 65 hr |
| May 10, 5:52 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 38 min |
| May 10, 8:55 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | 3 hr |
| May 10, 10:31 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 33 min |
| May 10, 11:31 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 5 hr |
| May 10, 11:59 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | 3 hr |
| May 17, 1:43 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 92 min |
| May 17, 2:06 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 5 hr |
| May 17, 4:27 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 93 min |
| May 17, 4:38 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 32 min |
| May 17, 4:46 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 44 min |
| May 17, 5:32 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | 3 hr |
| May 17, 6:25 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 65 min |
| May 17, 8:31 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | 3 hr |
| May 20, 5:43 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | 3 hr |
| May 20, 6:14 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | 3 hr |
| May 24, 11:09 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | LZK | 11 days |
| May 24, 12:34 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
| May 24, 3:30 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 60 min |
| May 24, 3:31 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 89 min |
| May 24, 4:02 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 43 min |
| May 25, 5:15 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 90 min |
| May 25, 5:51 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
| May 25, 6:26 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | 34 min |
| May 25, 6:47 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | 43 min |
| May 25, 7:05 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 55 min |
| May 25, 7:16 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | 6 hr |
| May 25, 7:28 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 32 min |
| May 25, 7:49 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 56 min |
| May 25, 8:04 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | 26 min |
| May 25, 8:06 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 39 min |
| May 25, 8:42 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 48 min |
| May 25, 9:13 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | 6 hr |
| May 25, 9:16 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | 6 hr |
| May 29, 12:33 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 87 min |
| May 29, 4:48 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 87 min |
| May 29, 6:18 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 25 min |
| May 29, 6:24 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 40 min |
| May 29, 6:31 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 3 hr |
| May 29, 7:21 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 39 min |
| May 29, 7:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 47 min |
| Jun 6, 12:27 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 28 min |
| Jun 6, 12:38 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 52 min |
| Jun 17, 5:54 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 46 min |
| Jun 18, 9:15 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | LZK | 5 days |
| Jun 26, 2:33 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 27 min |
| Jun 26, 2:54 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 31 min |
| Jun 26, 3:16 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 89 min |
| Jun 26, 3:24 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 36 min |
| Jun 26, 3:31 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 5 hr |
| Jun 26, 5:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 49 min |
| Jul 2, 2:37 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jul 3, 7:54 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 36 min |
| Jul 5, 5:14 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 31 min |
| Jul 8, 1:58 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 92 min |
| Jul 8, 3:23 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 22 min |
| Jul 8, 4:26 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 34 min |
| Jul 8, 5:45 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 45 min |
| Jul 15, 3:38 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 37 min |
| Jul 15, 4:11 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 34 min |
| Jul 15, 4:52 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 23 min |
| Jul 20, 11:11 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 34 min |
| Aug 5, 1:06 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 114 min |
| Aug 5, 1:23 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 52 min |
| Aug 5, 1:31 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 44 min |
| Aug 5, 9:21 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 39 min |
| Aug 5, 9:31 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 44 min |
| Aug 5, 10:09 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 32 min |
| Aug 7, 5:41 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 3 hr |
| Aug 22, 12:53 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Aug 23, 4:31 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 59 min |
| Aug 23, 4:51 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 3 hr |
| Aug 23, 6:54 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 66 min |
| Nov 5, 3:32 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 88 min |
| Nov 5, 4:00 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | 5 hr |
| Nov 5, 8:06 PM CST | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 39 min |
| Nov 5, 8:14 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 61 min |
| Nov 17, 6:27 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
| Nov 17, 9:59 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Nov 17, 11:07 AM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
| Nov 27, 8:53 AM CST | River Flood Warning | LZK | 4 days |
| Dec 23, 4:39 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Dec 23, 4:56 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 34 min |
| Dec 23, 5:29 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 46 min |
| Dec 23, 5:43 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LZK | 32 min |
| Dec 23, 6:20 AM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Dec 23, 7:17 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 28 min |
| Dec 23, 7:39 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 51 min |
| Dec 25, 1:13 PM CST | River Flood Warning | LZK | 9 days |
| Dec 25, 1:13 PM CST | River Flood Warning | LZK | 12 days |
| Dec 26, 11:27 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Dec 27, 2:46 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | 3 hr |
| Dec 27, 5:42 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | 6 hr |
| Dec 27, 6:29 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | 9 hr |
| Dec 27, 11:34 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | 6 hr |
| Dec 28, 3:12 AM CST | Areal Flood Warning | LZK | 24 hr |
| Dec 28, 5:05 AM CST | Areal Flood Warning | LZK | 24 hr |
| Dec 29, 5:04 AM CST | Areal Flood Warning | LZK | 12 hr |
By product
Every kind of product issued here, grouped by hazard. Each opens the same place narrowed to that product.
| Product | Alerts |
|---|---|
| Severe storms | |
| Severe Thunderstorm Warning | 44 |
| Tornado Warning | 5 |
| Severe Thunderstorm Watch | 10 |
| Tornado Watch | 6 |
| Mesoscale Discussion | 40 |
| Special Weather Statement | 13 |
| Flooding | |
| Areal Flood Warning | 3 |
| Flash Flood Warning | 15 |
| River Flood Warning | 6 |
The busiest days
Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.
Nearby
Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20142016
Sources
National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.