Alert archive / Oklahoma / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2015

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 80

April 19, 201528 counties in Arkansas; 38 counties in Oklahoma

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Apr 19, 2015, 1:42 PM CDT for 28 counties in Arkansas; 38 counties in Oklahoma. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 19, 2015, 1:42 PM CDT (18:42 UTC)
Expired
Apr 19, 2015, 7:52 PM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 66 counties

Baxter County, AR, Benton County, AR, Boone County, AR, Carroll County, AR, Conway County, AR, Crawford County, AR, Faulkner County, AR, Franklin County, AR, Garland County, AR, Grant County, AR, Hot Spring County, AR, Johnson County, AR, Logan County, AR, Madison County, AR, Marion County, AR, Montgomery County, AR, Newton County, AR, Perry County, AR, Polk County, AR, Pope County, AR, Pulaski County, AR, Saline County, AR, Scott County, AR, Searcy County, AR, Sebastian County, AR, Van Buren County, AR, Washington County, AR, Yell County, AR, Adair County, OK, Cherokee County, OK, Choctaw County, OK, Cleveland County, OK, Craig County, OK, Creek County, OK, Delaware County, OK, Garvin County, OK, Haskell County, OK, Hughes County, OK, Kay County, OK, Latimer County, OK, LeFlore County, OK, Lincoln County, OK, Logan County, OK, Mayes County, OK, McClain County, OK, McIntosh County, OK, Muskogee County, OK, Noble County, OK, Nowata County, OK, Okfuskee County, OK, Oklahoma County, OK, Okmulgee County, OK, Osage County, OK, Ottawa County, OK, Pawnee County, OK, Payne County, OK, Pittsburg County, OK, Pontotoc County, OK, Pottawatomie County, OK, Pushmataha County, OK, Rogers County, OK, Seminole County, OK, Sequoyah County, OK, Tulsa County, OK, Wagoner County, OK, Washington County, OK

The radar

The Tulsa radar (KINX), 45 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:46 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
90%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
60%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

34 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 19, 2:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSALeFlore34 min
Apr 19, 3:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSASebastian47 min
Apr 19, 3:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKLogan, Scott65 min
Apr 19, 3:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAFranklin, Sebastian47 min
Apr 19, 4:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKMontgomery, Pike38 min
Apr 19, 4:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKJohnson, Logan, Pope, Yell63 min
Apr 19, 4:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAMcIntosh, Muskogee37 min
Apr 19, 4:26 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKLogan, Pope, Yell34 min
Apr 19, 4:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACreek47 min
Apr 19, 4:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKLogan, Scott, Yell42 min
Apr 19, 4:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKNewton51 min
Apr 19, 4:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAPittsburg49 min
Apr 19, 4:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKGarland, Montgomery47 min
Apr 19, 4:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACherokee, Muskogee, Sequoyah46 min
Apr 19, 4:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKConway, Perry, Pope, Yell44 min
Apr 19, 4:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAHaskell, McIntosh, Muskogee43 min
Apr 19, 5:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKGarland, Grant, Hot Spring, Saline56 min
Apr 19, 5:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAWashington41 min
Apr 19, 5:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSASequoyah20 min
Apr 19, 5:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAPushmataha48 min
Apr 19, 5:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSABenton, Washington26 min
Apr 19, 5:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKConway, Faulkner, Pope, Van Buren, Yell62 min
Apr 19, 5:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKClark, Dallas, Grant, Hot Spring45 min
Apr 19, 5:32 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKCleburne, Conway, Faulkner, Van Buren43 min
Apr 19, 5:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAPushmataha34 min
Apr 19, 5:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCleburne, Faulkner, Van Buren, White62 min
Apr 19, 6:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKGrant, Hot Spring, Pulaski, Saline52 min
Apr 19, 6:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKDallas, Grant, Jefferson, Pulaski47 min
Apr 19, 6:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAFranklin29 min
Apr 19, 6:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKJohnson48 min
Apr 19, 6:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKConway, Faulkner, Perry46 min
Apr 19, 6:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKLonoke, Prairie, Pulaski34 min
Apr 19, 7:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKJohnson, Logan, Pope42 min
Apr 19, 7:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKFaulkner, Garland, Pulaski, Saline57 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 6.7 hours before the alert went out and 176 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2015-04-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2015-04-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -109 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-106 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
747 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
28 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-109 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-28 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 19, 12:43 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Carroll, Clark, Crawford, Franklin, Garland and 19 more2 hr
Apr 19, 1:52 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCColumbia, Lafayette, Little River, Miller53 min
Apr 19, 2:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Columbia, Dallas and 10 more7 hr
Apr 19, 4:45 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Clark and 28 more2 hr
Apr 19, 5:46 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCArkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Clark and 36 more6 hr
Apr 18, 7:46 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeckham, Blaine, Comanche, Custer, Dewey, Ellis and 10 more89 min
Apr 18, 8:02 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarter, Cleveland, Coal, Creek, Garvin, Hughes and 13 more88 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Oklahoma, 2015Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Arkansas, 2015Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.