Alert archive / Arkansas / Tornado Watches in 2015

Tornado Watch 83

April 19, 201542 counties in Arkansas; 26 parishes in Louisiana

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Apr 19, 2015, 5:46 PM CDT for 42 counties in Arkansas; 26 parishes in Louisiana. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 19, 2015, 5:46 PM CDT (22:46 UTC)
Expired
Apr 19, 2015, 11:21 PM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
70 kt
All 68 counties

Arkansas County, AR, Ashley County, AR, Bradley County, AR, Calhoun County, AR, Chicot County, AR, Clark County, AR, Cleburne County, AR, Cleveland County, AR, Columbia County, AR, Conway County, AR, Craighead County, AR, Crittenden County, AR, Cross County, AR, Dallas County, AR, Desha County, AR, Drew County, AR, Faulkner County, AR, Garland County, AR, Grant County, AR, Hot Spring County, AR, Independence County, AR, Jackson County, AR, Jefferson County, AR, Lafayette County, AR, Lee County, AR, Lincoln County, AR, Lonoke County, AR, Mississippi County, AR, Monroe County, AR, Nevada County, AR, Ouachita County, AR, Perry County, AR, Phillips County, AR, Poinsett County, AR, Prairie County, AR, Pulaski County, AR, Saline County, AR, St. Francis County, AR, Union County, AR, Van Buren County, AR, White County, AR, Woodruff County, AR, Bienville Parish, LA, Bossier Parish, LA, Caddo Parish, LA, Caldwell Parish, LA, Catahoula Parish, LA, Claiborne Parish, LA, Concordia Parish, LA, De Soto Parish, LA, East Carroll Parish, LA, Franklin Parish, LA, Grant Parish, LA, Jackson Parish, LA, LaSalle Parish, LA, Lincoln Parish, LA, Madison Parish, LA, Morehouse Parish, LA, Natchitoches Parish, LA, Ouachita Parish, LA, Red River Parish, LA, Richland Parish, LA, Sabine Parish, LA, Tensas Parish, LA, Union Parish, LA, Webster Parish, LA, West Carroll Parish, LA, Winn Parish, LA

The radar

The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 93 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:46 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
60%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
50%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

44 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 19, 5:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCleburne, Faulkner, Van Buren, White62 min
Apr 19, 6:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVCaddo, De Soto, Red River60 min
Apr 19, 6:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKGrant, Hot Spring, Pulaski, Saline52 min
Apr 19, 6:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKDallas, Grant, Jefferson, Pulaski47 min
Apr 19, 6:17 PM CDTTornado WarningSHVCaddo, De Soto, Red River28 min
Apr 19, 6:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVBossier, Caddo48 min
Apr 19, 6:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVDe Soto, Sabine31 min
Apr 19, 6:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVNatchitoches, Sabine28 min
Apr 19, 6:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCleburne, Independence, Jackson, White, Woodruff63 min
Apr 19, 6:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKConway, Faulkner, Perry46 min
Apr 19, 6:47 PM CDTTornado WarningSHVBossier, Webster39 min
Apr 19, 6:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKArkansas, Cleveland, Jefferson, Lincoln37 min
Apr 19, 6:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVDe Soto, Sabine34 min
Apr 19, 6:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKLonoke, Prairie, Pulaski34 min
Apr 19, 7:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVSabine40 min
Apr 19, 7:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVGrant, Natchitoches, Winn43 min
Apr 19, 7:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCleveland, Jefferson, Lincoln51 min
Apr 19, 7:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVGrant, Natchitoches48 min
Apr 19, 7:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVGrant, Natchitoches, Winn29 min
Apr 19, 7:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKFaulkner, Garland, Pulaski, Saline57 min
Apr 19, 7:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVNatchitoches, Sabine29 min
Apr 19, 7:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCraighead, Cross, Poinsett39 min
Apr 19, 7:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKArkansas, Jefferson30 min
Apr 19, 7:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVGrant, Natchitoches59 min
Apr 19, 7:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKFaulkner, Lonoke, Pulaski47 min
Apr 19, 7:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKArkansas, Desha, Jefferson, Lincoln46 min
Apr 19, 8:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVGrant, Natchitoches, Winn63 min
Apr 19, 8:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCraighead, Cross, Mississippi, Poinsett47 min
Apr 19, 8:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVGrant, LaSalle28 min
Apr 19, 8:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCross, St. Francis42 min
Apr 19, 8:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANFranklin, Richland54 min
Apr 19, 8:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGPhillips51 min
Apr 19, 8:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVCaldwell, Ouachita35 min
Apr 19, 8:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGLee34 min
Apr 19, 8:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVCaldwell, LaSalle, Winn60 min
Apr 19, 8:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGMississippi52 min
Apr 19, 9:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANChicot58 min
Apr 19, 9:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCatahoula, Concordia43 min
Apr 19, 9:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGPhillips51 min
Apr 19, 9:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANEast Carroll, Morehouse, West Carroll66 min
Apr 19, 9:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANFranklin, Richland46 min
Apr 19, 9:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANMorehouse, West Carroll48 min
Apr 19, 9:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANConcordia61 min
Apr 19, 10:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANEast Carroll, Richland, West Carroll47 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Shreveport, LA (KBAD), launched 12:00Z, 10.8 hours before the alert went out and 209 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Shreveport, LA at 12:00Z on 2015-04-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Shreveport, LA at 12:00Z on 2015-04-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 129 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
976 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
45 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
129 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
130 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

318 
WWUS20 KWNS 192243
SEL3  
SPC WW 192243
ARZ000-LAZ000-TXZ000-200600-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 83
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
540 PM CDT SUN APR 19 2015

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  CENTRAL AND EASTERN ARKANSAS
  NORTHERN AND CENTRAL LOUISIANA
  EAST TEXAS

* EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND MONDAY MORNING FROM 540 PM
  UNTIL 100 AM CDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE
  SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT GUSTS
    TO 80 MPH POSSIBLE
  SCATTERED LARGE HAIL LIKELY WITH ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS
    TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE

SUMMARY...SCATTERED SUPERCELLS EXPECTED TO SPREAD EAST ACROSS WATCH
AREA THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...WITH SOME TENDENCY TO MERGE INTO BROKEN
LINES/SMALL CLUSTERS OF STORMS.  THESE MAY PRODUCE A FEW TORNADOES
IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 75 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
LITTLE ROCK ARKANSAS TO 20 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF NATCHITOCHES
LOUISIANA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 79...WW 80...WW 81...WW
82...

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27035.


...CORFIDI

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 19, 12:43 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Carroll, Clark, Crawford, Franklin, Garland and 19 more2 hr
Apr 19, 1:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBaxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Conway, Crawford and 22 more6 hr
Apr 19, 1:52 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCColumbia, Lafayette, Little River, Miller53 min
Apr 19, 2:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Columbia, Dallas and 10 more7 hr
Apr 19, 4:45 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Clark and 28 more2 hr
Apr 19, 2:06 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAscension, Assumption, East Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Livingston, Orleans and 7 more84 min
Apr 19, 2:56 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Avoyelles, Bienville, Caldwell, Catahoula, Concordia and 11 more94 min
Apr 19, 6:56 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCameron64 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2015Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2015Every tornado watch in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.