Alert archive / Arkansas / Tornado Watches in 2015
Tornado Watch 83
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Apr 19, 2015, 5:46 PM CDT for 42 counties in Arkansas; 26 parishes in Louisiana. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Apr 19, 2015, 5:46 PM CDT (22:46 UTC)
- Expired
- Apr 19, 2015, 11:21 PM CDT
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 70 kt
All 68 counties
Arkansas County, AR, Ashley County, AR, Bradley County, AR, Calhoun County, AR, Chicot County, AR, Clark County, AR, Cleburne County, AR, Cleveland County, AR, Columbia County, AR, Conway County, AR, Craighead County, AR, Crittenden County, AR, Cross County, AR, Dallas County, AR, Desha County, AR, Drew County, AR, Faulkner County, AR, Garland County, AR, Grant County, AR, Hot Spring County, AR, Independence County, AR, Jackson County, AR, Jefferson County, AR, Lafayette County, AR, Lee County, AR, Lincoln County, AR, Lonoke County, AR, Mississippi County, AR, Monroe County, AR, Nevada County, AR, Ouachita County, AR, Perry County, AR, Phillips County, AR, Poinsett County, AR, Prairie County, AR, Pulaski County, AR, Saline County, AR, St. Francis County, AR, Union County, AR, Van Buren County, AR, White County, AR, Woodruff County, AR, Bienville Parish, LA, Bossier Parish, LA, Caddo Parish, LA, Caldwell Parish, LA, Catahoula Parish, LA, Claiborne Parish, LA, Concordia Parish, LA, De Soto Parish, LA, East Carroll Parish, LA, Franklin Parish, LA, Grant Parish, LA, Jackson Parish, LA, LaSalle Parish, LA, Lincoln Parish, LA, Madison Parish, LA, Morehouse Parish, LA, Natchitoches Parish, LA, Ouachita Parish, LA, Red River Parish, LA, Richland Parish, LA, Sabine Parish, LA, Tensas Parish, LA, Union Parish, LA, Webster Parish, LA, West Carroll Parish, LA, Winn Parish, LA
The radar
The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 93 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:46 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 50%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 60%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 60%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 50%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 95%
Warnings issued inside it
44 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 5:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Cleburne, Faulkner, Van Buren, White | 62 min |
| Apr 19, 6:00 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Caddo, De Soto, Red River | 60 min |
| Apr 19, 6:08 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Grant, Hot Spring, Pulaski, Saline | 52 min |
| Apr 19, 6:13 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Dallas, Grant, Jefferson, Pulaski | 47 min |
| Apr 19, 6:17 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SHV | Caddo, De Soto, Red River | 28 min |
| Apr 19, 6:24 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Bossier, Caddo | 48 min |
| Apr 19, 6:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | De Soto, Sabine | 31 min |
| Apr 19, 6:32 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Natchitoches, Sabine | 28 min |
| Apr 19, 6:42 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Cleburne, Independence, Jackson, White, Woodruff | 63 min |
| Apr 19, 6:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Conway, Faulkner, Perry | 46 min |
| Apr 19, 6:47 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SHV | Bossier, Webster | 39 min |
| Apr 19, 6:53 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Arkansas, Cleveland, Jefferson, Lincoln | 37 min |
| Apr 19, 6:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | De Soto, Sabine | 34 min |
| Apr 19, 6:59 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Lonoke, Prairie, Pulaski | 34 min |
| Apr 19, 7:02 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Sabine | 40 min |
| Apr 19, 7:02 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Grant, Natchitoches, Winn | 43 min |
| Apr 19, 7:09 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Cleveland, Jefferson, Lincoln | 51 min |
| Apr 19, 7:12 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Grant, Natchitoches | 48 min |
| Apr 19, 7:16 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Grant, Natchitoches, Winn | 29 min |
| Apr 19, 7:18 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Faulkner, Garland, Pulaski, Saline | 57 min |
| Apr 19, 7:31 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Natchitoches, Sabine | 29 min |
| Apr 19, 7:36 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Craighead, Cross, Poinsett | 39 min |
| Apr 19, 7:45 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Arkansas, Jefferson | 30 min |
| Apr 19, 7:46 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Grant, Natchitoches | 59 min |
| Apr 19, 7:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Faulkner, Lonoke, Pulaski | 47 min |
| Apr 19, 7:59 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Arkansas, Desha, Jefferson, Lincoln | 46 min |
| Apr 19, 8:12 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Grant, Natchitoches, Winn | 63 min |
| Apr 19, 8:13 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Craighead, Cross, Mississippi, Poinsett | 47 min |
| Apr 19, 8:17 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Grant, LaSalle | 28 min |
| Apr 19, 8:18 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Cross, St. Francis | 42 min |
| Apr 19, 8:21 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Franklin, Richland | 54 min |
| Apr 19, 8:24 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Phillips | 51 min |
| Apr 19, 8:40 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Caldwell, Ouachita | 35 min |
| Apr 19, 8:42 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Lee | 34 min |
| Apr 19, 8:45 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Caldwell, LaSalle, Winn | 60 min |
| Apr 19, 8:53 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Mississippi | 52 min |
| Apr 19, 9:02 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Chicot | 58 min |
| Apr 19, 9:02 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Catahoula, Concordia | 43 min |
| Apr 19, 9:09 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Phillips | 51 min |
| Apr 19, 9:09 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | East Carroll, Morehouse, West Carroll | 66 min |
| Apr 19, 9:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Franklin, Richland | 46 min |
| Apr 19, 9:27 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Morehouse, West Carroll | 48 min |
| Apr 19, 9:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Concordia | 61 min |
| Apr 19, 10:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | East Carroll, Richland, West Carroll | 47 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Shreveport, LA (KBAD), launched 12:00Z, 10.8 hours before the alert went out and 209 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 976 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 45 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 129 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 130 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
318
WWUS20 KWNS 192243
SEL3
SPC WW 192243
ARZ000-LAZ000-TXZ000-200600-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 83
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
540 PM CDT SUN APR 19 2015
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND EASTERN ARKANSAS
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL LOUISIANA
EAST TEXAS
* EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND MONDAY MORNING FROM 540 PM
UNTIL 100 AM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE
SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT GUSTS
TO 80 MPH POSSIBLE
SCATTERED LARGE HAIL LIKELY WITH ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS
TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
SUMMARY...SCATTERED SUPERCELLS EXPECTED TO SPREAD EAST ACROSS WATCH
AREA THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...WITH SOME TENDENCY TO MERGE INTO BROKEN
LINES/SMALL CLUSTERS OF STORMS. THESE MAY PRODUCE A FEW TORNADOES
IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 75 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
LITTLE ROCK ARKANSAS TO 20 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF NATCHITOCHES
LOUISIANA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 79...WW 80...WW 81...WW
82...
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27035.
...CORFIDISPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 12:43 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Benton, Carroll, Clark, Crawford, Franklin, Garland and 19 more | 2 hr |
| Apr 19, 1:42 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Baxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Conway, Crawford and 22 more | 6 hr |
| Apr 19, 1:52 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Columbia, Lafayette, Little River, Miller | 53 min |
| Apr 19, 2:31 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Columbia, Dallas and 10 more | 7 hr |
| Apr 19, 4:45 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Clark and 28 more | 2 hr |
| Apr 19, 2:06 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Ascension, Assumption, East Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Livingston, Orleans and 7 more | 84 min |
| Apr 19, 2:56 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allen, Avoyelles, Bienville, Caldwell, Catahoula, Concordia and 11 more | 94 min |
| Apr 19, 6:56 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Cameron | 64 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2015Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2015Every tornado watch in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.