Alert archive / Arkansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2015

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 72, NWS Memphis, TN

April 19, 2015Phillips County, Arkansas

NWS Memphis, TN issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Apr 19, 2015, 8:24 PM CDT for Phillips County, Arkansas. It was in force for 51 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Apr 19, 2015, 8:24 PM CDT (01:24 UTC)
Expired: Apr 19, 2015, 9:15 PM CDT
In force: 51 min
Issued by: NWS Memphis, TN
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.0 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

County Phillips County, AR

The radar

The Memphis radar (KNQA), 139 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:28 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Apr 19, 5:46 PM CDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	6 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KBYH), launched 00:00Z, 1.4 hours before the alert went out and 95 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 593 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -26 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1739 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 55 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 116 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 293 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.2
Supercell composite: 5.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

015 
WUUS54 KMEG 200124
SVRMEG
ARC107-200215-
/O.NEW.KMEG.SV.W.0072.150420T0124Z-150420T0215Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
824 PM CDT SUN APR 19 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  CENTRAL PHILLIPS COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS...

* UNTIL 915 PM CDT

* AT 824 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 9 MILES NORTH OF
  WHITE RIVER NATIONAL WILDLIFE REFUGE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

  HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

  SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

  IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE 
           TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. 

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  ELAINE...ST FRANCIS NATIONAL PARK...HELENA...WEST HELENA...WATKINS
  CORNER...LAKE VIEW...MODOC...GOBELL...QUARLES...HOOP SPUR...SPRING
  CREEK...HUMA...PRESTON PLACE...WYCAMP...ONEIDA...HELENA CROSSING...
  KINGTOWN...WABASH...BARTON AND RATIO.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM CDT FOR EASTERN
ARKANSAS. A TORNADO WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 AM CDT FOR
NORTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI.

LAT...LON 3430 9107 3429 9106 3434 9106 3434 9100
      3446 9100 3463 9059 3455 9054 3449 9059
      3443 9057 3437 9066 3431 9066 3432 9069
      3437 9068 3436 9077 3432 9074 3428 9076
      3422 9106 3428 9108
TIME...MOT...LOC 0124Z 247DEG 38KT 3434 9105 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

2 follow-up statements

145 
WWUS54 KMEG 200200
SVSMEG

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
900 PM CDT SUN APR 19 2015

ARC107-200215-
/O.CON.KMEG.SV.W.0072.000000T0000Z-150420T0215Z/
PHILLIPS AR-
900 PM CDT SUN APR 19 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 915 PM CDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN PHILLIPS COUNTY...

AT 859 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER HELENA...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ELAINE...WEST HELENA...ST FRANCIS NATIONAL PARK...HELENA...LAKE
VIEW...MODOC...QUARLES...HOOP SPUR...HUMA...PRESTON PLACE...
WESTOVER...HELENA CROSSING AND EWAL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM CDT FOR EASTERN
ARKANSAS. A TORNADO WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 AM CDT FOR
NORTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI.

LAT...LON 3430 9087 3436 9085 3443 9078 3463 9059
      3455 9054 3449 9059 3443 9057 3437 9066
      3431 9066 3432 9069 3437 9068 3436 9077
      3432 9074 3428 9076
TIME...MOT...LOC 0159Z 247DEG 38KT 3449 9063 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

180 
WWUS54 KMEG 200213
SVSMEG

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
913 PM CDT SUN APR 19 2015

ARC107-200223-
/O.EXP.KMEG.SV.W.0072.000000T0000Z-150420T0215Z/
PHILLIPS AR-
913 PM CDT SUN APR 19 2015

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN PHILLIPS COUNTY
WILL EXPIRE AT 915 PM CDT...
                
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSE AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.
THEREFORE THE WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM CDT FOR EASTERN
ARKANSAS. A TORNADO WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 AM CDT FOR
NORTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI.

LAT...LON 3430 9087 3436 9085 3443 9078 3463 9059
      3455 9054 3449 9059 3443 9057 3437 9066
      3431 9066 3432 9069 3437 9068 3436 9077
      3432 9074 3428 9076
TIME...MOT...LOC 0211Z 247DEG 38KT 3449 9063 

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Memphis, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Apr 19, 6:31 PM CDT, 1 hour 53 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 19, 6:31 PM CDT, 1 hour 53 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
631 PM CDT SUN APR 19 2015

.DISCUSSION...

UPDATED FOR 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 250 PM CDT SUN APR 19 2015/

SKIES ARE PARTLY SUNNY ACROSS MOST OF THE FORECAST AREAS THIS
AFTERNOON WITH TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM THE MID 60S TO MID 70S.
SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS NORTHERN AND
EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA. THIS ACTIVITY IS NOT VERY
STRONG AND WE ARE NOT EXPECTING ANY SEVERE WEATHER FROM THESE
THUNDERSTORMS.

A COLD FRONT IS MOVING OUT OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND INTO WESTERN
ARKANSAS. SOME THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED ALONG THE FRONT IN
EAST TEXAS AND BEHIND THE FRONT IN CENTRAL OKLAHOMA. MORE
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT
THIS EVENING AND SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY MAY BECOME SEVERE WITH
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS AS THE MAIN THREATS.

THE COLD FRONT WILL BE EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA MONDAY MORNING
WITH SHOWERS ENDING OVER FAR EASTERN SECTIONS. COOLER AND DRIER
AIR WILL BE MOVING INTO THE REGION WITH HIGHS ON MONDAY IN THE
UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S. HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION
MONDAY NIGHT ALLOWING SKIES TO CLEAR WHICH WILL HELP TEMPERATURES
DROP IN TO THE 40S OVER MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA. DRY WEATHER AND
SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY.

BY TUESDAY NIGHT ANOTHER FRONT WILL START TO DROP SOUTH TOWARD THE
FORECAST AREA. SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE FRONT AND THIS ACTIVITY MAY REACH FAR
NORTHERN SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA. THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
CLOSER TO THE FORECAST AREA ON WEDNESDAY SO THERE WILL BE A CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS. THIS COLD FRONT WILL STALL OUT ACROSS NORTH
MISSISSIPPI SO THERE WILL STILL BE A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS FOR
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY.

BY FRIDAY...THE FRONT WILL START TO LIFT SLOWLY NORTH AS A WARM
FRONT WITH MORE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED. LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP
ALONG THE FRONT AND MOVE INTO THE REGION FRIDAY NIGHT WHICH WILL
BRING A BETTER CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA.
THE FRONT WILL EVENTUALLY MOVE OUT OF THE REGION ON SATURDAY WITH
THE THREAT OF THUNDERSTORMS GRADUALLY ENDING SATURDAY NIGHT.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL START TO BUILD INTO THE REGION NEXT SUNDAY WITH
DRY WEATHER EXPECTED. TEMPERATURES FROM WEDNESDAY THROUGH NEXT
SUNDAY WILL BE AT OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS.

ARS

&&

.AVIATION...

00Z TAF CYCLE

VFR CONDS WILL CONTINUE UNTIL A LINE OF SHRAS AND TSRAS MOVES
ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING WITH OCNL IFR VSBYS AND GUSTY WINDS.
MVFR CIGS WILL PREVAIL AFTER THE LINE MOVES THROUGH UNTIL ABOUT
MID MORNING MONDAY BEFORE VFR CONDS RETURN. SOUTHWEST WINDS AT 10
TO 15 MPH WILL TURN W/WNW OVERNIGHT AND CONTINUE...GUSTY AT TIMES
ON MONDAY.

SJM

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
MO...NONE.
MS...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 19, 11:53 AM CDT, 8 hours 31 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1153 AM CDT SUN APR 19 2015

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-
MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>022-048>055-088>092-201900-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-BENTON TN-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY-
COAHOMA-CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DESOTO-DECATUR-
DUNKLIN-DYER-FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-
HENDERSON-HENRY-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-
LEE AR-LEE MS-MADISON-MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION-
PANOLA-PEMISCOT-PHILLIPS-POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-
RANDOLPH-SHELBY-ST. FRANCIS-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON-
TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-UNION-WEAKLEY-YALOBUSHA-
1153 AM CDT SUN APR 19 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS...
THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS EASTERN
ARKANSAS...THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...SOUTHWEST TENNESSEE...AND MUCH
OF NORTH MISSISSIPPI...WITH A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE MID SOUTH TONIGHT.

NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD DEVELOP THIS EVENING ACROSS THE
ENHANCED RISK AREA AND SPREAD EASTWARD LATER TONIGHT. THESE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME SEVERE AND PRODUCE
DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL. ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY WITH ANY SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORM THAT
DEVELOPS THIS EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE LIKELY THIS EVENING.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Apr 19, 7:03 PM CDT, 1 hour 21 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
703 PM CDT SUN APR 19 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0546 PM     HAIL             3 S CARUTHERSVILLE      36.14N 89.67W
04/19/2015  E1.00 INCH       PEMISCOT           MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

ARS

Local storm report, Apr 19, 7:38 PM CDT, 46 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
738 PM CDT SUN APR 19 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0731 PM     TSTM WND GST     8 SW POCAHONTAS         36.18N 91.07W
04/19/2015  E60 MPH          RANDOLPH           AR   PUBLIC

            ESTIMATED 60 MPH WIND.

&&

ZDM

Local storm report, Apr 19, 7:49 PM CDT, 35 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
749 PM CDT SUN APR 19 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0744 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 SW FISHER             35.45N 91.02W
04/19/2015                   POINSETT           AR   STORM CHASER

            ESTIMATED 70 MPH WIND GUSTS. TREES SNAPPED OR UPROOTED.

&&

ZDM

Local storm report, Apr 19, 7:55 PM CDT, 29 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
755 PM CDT SUN APR 19 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0754 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     SW O'KEAN               36.17N 90.82W
04/19/2015                   RANDOLPH           AR   TRAINED SPOTTER

            FUNNEL CLOUD SPOTTED BETWEEN COLLEGE CITY AND OKEAN.

&&

ZDM

The office that day

Everything else NWS Memphis, TN issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Apr 19, 7:18 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MEG	Lawrence, Randolph	42 min
Apr 19, 7:36 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MEG	Craighead, Cross, Poinsett	39 min
Apr 19, 7:47 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	MEG	Clay, Greene, Randolph	18 min
Apr 19, 7:49 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MEG	Clay	41 min
Apr 19, 8:13 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MEG	Craighead, Cross, Mississippi, Poinsett	47 min
Apr 19, 8:18 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MEG	Cross, St. Francis	42 min
Apr 19, 8:32 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MEG	Clay, Greene	43 min
Apr 19, 8:42 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MEG	Lee	34 min
Apr 19, 8:53 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MEG	Mississippi	52 min
Apr 19, 9:09 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MEG	Phillips	51 min
Apr 19, 9:47 PM CDT	River Flood Advisory	MEG	Crittenden	10 days
Apr 20, 12:19 PM CDT	River Flood Warning	MEG	Mississippi	9 days

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Arkansas, 2015 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.