Alert archive / Arkansas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2015

Mesoscale Discussion 1966

November 17, 20154 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Nov 17, 2015, 9:59 AM CST for 4 states. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Nov 17, 2015, 9:59 AM CST (15:59 UTC)
Expired
Nov 17, 2015, 12:00 PM CST
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 76 counties

Arkansas County, AR, Ashley County, AR, Baxter County, AR, Boone County, AR, Bradley County, AR, Calhoun County, AR, Chicot County, AR, Clark County, AR, Clay County, AR, Cleburne County, AR, Cleveland County, AR, Columbia County, AR, Conway County, AR, Craighead County, AR, Crittenden County, AR, Cross County, AR, Dallas County, AR, Desha County, AR, Drew County, AR, Faulkner County, AR, Fulton County, AR, Garland County, AR, Grant County, AR, Greene County, AR, Hempstead County, AR, Hot Spring County, AR, Howard County, AR, Independence County, AR, Izard County, AR, Jackson County, AR, Jefferson County, AR, Johnson County, AR, Lafayette County, AR, Lawrence County, AR, Lee County, AR, Lincoln County, AR, Logan County, AR, Lonoke County, AR, Marion County, AR, Miller County, AR, Mississippi County, AR, Monroe County, AR, Montgomery County, AR, Nevada County, AR, Newton County, AR, Ouachita County, AR, Perry County, AR, Phillips County, AR, Pike County, AR, Poinsett County, AR, Pope County, AR, Prairie County, AR, Pulaski County, AR, Randolph County, AR, Saline County, AR, Searcy County, AR, Sharp County, AR, St. Francis County, AR, Stone County, AR, Union County, AR, Van Buren County, AR, White County, AR, Woodruff County, AR, Yell County, AR, Dunklin County, MO, Howell County, MO, Oregon County, MO, Ozark County, MO, Ripley County, MO, Bolivar County, MS, Coahoma County, MS, DeSoto County, MS, Quitman County, MS, Tunica County, MS, Shelby County, TN, Tipton County, TN

The radar

The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 39 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:03 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KBYH), launched 12:00Z, 4.0 hours before the alert went out and 185 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2015-11-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 344 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2015-11-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 403 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
344 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-23 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
618 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
46 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
403 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
550 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.9
Supercell composite
8.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 17, 4:35 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Crawford, Franklin, Howard, Johnson, Logan and 9 more115 min
Nov 17, 4:48 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCHoward, Little River, Miller, Sevier4 hr
Nov 17, 6:27 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBaxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Clark, Conway and 21 more6 hr
Nov 17, 8:24 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCColumbia, Lafayette66 min
Nov 17, 8:55 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCColumbia, Hempstead, Howard, Lafayette, Little River, Miller and 3 more7 hr
Nov 17, 11:07 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCArkansas, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleburne, Cleveland and 21 more6 hr
Nov 17, 12:19 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAshley, Chicot116 min
Nov 17, 12:36 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCAshley, Chicot7 hr
Nov 17, 1:35 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Cleburne, Cleveland, Craighead, Crittenden, Cross and 25 more115 min
Nov 17, 3:15 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCCraighead, Crittenden, Cross, Lee, Mississippi, Phillips and 2 more4 hr
Nov 17, 3:19 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Fulton, Greene, Izard, Lawrence, Randolph and 1 more116 min
Nov 17, 5:36 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrittenden, Cross, Lee, Monroe, Phillips, Poinsett and 1 more84 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Arkansas, 2015Mesoscale Discussions in Mississippi, 2015Mesoscale Discussions in Missouri, 2015Every mesoscale discussion in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.