Alert archive / Texas / Tornado Watches in 2015
Tornado Watch 543
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Nov 17, 2015, 4:48 AM CST for 4 counties in Arkansas; 45 counties in Texas. It was in force for 4 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 17, 2015, 4:48 AM CST (10:48 UTC)
- Expired
- Nov 17, 2015, 9:00 AM CST
- In force
- 4 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 0.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 49 counties
Howard County, AR, Little River County, AR, Miller County, AR, Sevier County, AR, Anderson County, TX, Angelina County, TX, Bell County, TX, Bowie County, TX, Brazos County, TX, Camp County, TX, Cass County, TX, Cherokee County, TX, Delta County, TX, Falls County, TX, Fannin County, TX, Franklin County, TX, Freestone County, TX, Gregg County, TX, Grimes County, TX, Harrison County, TX, Henderson County, TX, Hopkins County, TX, Houston County, TX, Hunt County, TX, Kaufman County, TX, Lamar County, TX, Leon County, TX, Limestone County, TX, Madison County, TX, Marion County, TX, Milam County, TX, Morris County, TX, Nacogdoches County, TX, Navarro County, TX, Panola County, TX, Rains County, TX, Red River County, TX, Robertson County, TX, Rockwall County, TX, Rusk County, TX, San Augustine County, TX, Shelby County, TX, Smith County, TX, Titus County, TX, Trinity County, TX, Upshur County, TX, Van Zandt County, TX, Walker County, TX, Wood County, TX
The radar
The Dallas/Ft Worth radar (KFWS), 160 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 10:50 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 30%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 40%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 5%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 5%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 50%
Warnings issued inside it
6 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 4:54 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Hunt | 66 min |
| Nov 17, 4:55 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | HGX | Brazos, Grimes, Madison, Walker | 17 min |
| Nov 17, 5:27 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Delta, Fannin, Lamar | 60 min |
| Nov 17, 7:35 AM CST | Tornado Warning | HGX | Grimes, Montgomery, Walker | 25 min |
| Nov 17, 8:04 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | HGX | Houston, San Jacinto, Trinity, Walker | 41 min |
| Nov 17, 8:57 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | HGX | Houston, Polk, San Jacinto, Trinity, Walker | 48 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 00:00Z, 10.8 hours before the alert went out and 170 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 683 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -156 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 712 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 53 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 444 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 505 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.6
- Supercell composite
- 4.2
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
597 WWUS20 KWNS 171045 SEL3 SPC WW 171045 ARZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-171500- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 543 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 445 AM CST TUE NOV 17 2015 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA EAST TEXAS * EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY MORNING FROM 445 AM UNTIL 900 AM CST. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE SUMMARY...A LINE OF STRONG/SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER CENTRAL TX WILL SPREAD EASTWARD ACROSS THE WATCH AREA THIS MORNING...WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS FORMING AHEAD OF THE LINE AS WELL. WIND PROFILES ARE FAVORABLE FOR AN ISOLATED TORNADO OR TWO...ALONG WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS IN THE STRONGER CELLS. THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 65 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF LUFKIN TEXAS TO 35 MILES NORTHEAST OF PARIS TEXAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 542... AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035. ...HART
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 4:35 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Benton, Crawford, Franklin, Howard, Johnson, Logan and 9 more | 115 min |
| Nov 17, 6:27 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Baxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Clark, Conway and 21 more | 6 hr |
| Nov 17, 8:24 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Columbia, Lafayette | 66 min |
| Nov 17, 8:55 AM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Columbia, Hempstead, Howard, Lafayette, Little River, Miller and 3 more | 7 hr |
| Nov 17, 9:59 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Ashley, Baxter, Boone, Bradley, Calhoun and 58 more | 2 hr |
| Nov 17, 11:07 AM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Arkansas, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleburne, Cleveland and 21 more | 6 hr |
| Nov 17, 12:19 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Ashley, Chicot | 116 min |
| Nov 17, 12:36 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Ashley, Chicot | 7 hr |
| Nov 17, 1:35 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Cleburne, Cleveland, Craighead, Crittenden, Cross and 25 more | 115 min |
| Nov 17, 3:15 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Craighead, Crittenden, Cross, Lee, Mississippi, Phillips and 2 more | 4 hr |
| Nov 17, 3:19 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clay, Fulton, Greene, Izard, Lawrence, Randolph and 1 more | 116 min |
| Nov 17, 5:36 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Crittenden, Cross, Lee, Monroe, Phillips, Poinsett and 1 more | 84 min |
| Nov 16, 6:10 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Andrews, Borden, Coke, Crane, Crockett, Dawson and 22 more | 8 hr |
| Nov 16, 8:07 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Armstrong, Borden, Briscoe, Carson, Castro, Childress and 38 more | 83 min |
| Nov 16, 8:16 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Andrews, Borden, Coke, Crane, Crockett, Dawson and 26 more | 89 min |
| Nov 16, 8:17 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Archer, Armstrong, Baylor, Briscoe, Carson, Childress and 31 more | 7 hr |
| Nov 16, 10:19 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Archer, Baylor, Callahan, Clay, Coke, Coleman and 16 more | 86 min |
| Nov 16, 10:45 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Bosque, Brown, Callahan, Coleman, Collin, Comanche and 33 more | 7 hr |
| Nov 17, 12:58 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Archer, Clay, Cooke, Montague, Wichita | 2 hr |
| Nov 17, 2:17 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bosque, Brown, Collin, Comanche, Cooke, Coryell and 21 more | 118 min |
| Nov 17, 4:18 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Anderson, Bell, Bosque, Bowie, Brazos, Camp and 39 more | 57 min |
| Nov 17, 3:43 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Dallam, Sherman | 4 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Texas, 2015Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2015Every tornado watch in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.