Alert archive / Louisiana / Tornado Watches in 2015
Tornado Watch 545
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Nov 17, 2015, 8:55 AM CST for 9 counties in Arkansas; 31 parishes in Louisiana; 27 counties in Texas. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 17, 2015, 8:55 AM CST (14:55 UTC)
- Expired
- Nov 17, 2015, 4:00 PM CST
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 67 counties
Columbia County, AR, Hempstead County, AR, Howard County, AR, Lafayette County, AR, Little River County, AR, Miller County, AR, Nevada County, AR, Sevier County, AR, Union County, AR, Acadia Parish, LA, Allen Parish, LA, Avoyelles Parish, LA, Beauregard Parish, LA, Bienville Parish, LA, Bossier Parish, LA, Caddo Parish, LA, Calcasieu Parish, LA, Caldwell Parish, LA, Cameron Parish, LA, Claiborne Parish, LA, De Soto Parish, LA, Evangeline Parish, LA, Grant Parish, LA, Jackson Parish, LA, Jefferson Davis Parish, LA, Lafayette Parish, LA, LaSalle Parish, LA, Lincoln Parish, LA, Natchitoches Parish, LA, Ouachita Parish, LA, Rapides Parish, LA, Red River Parish, LA, Sabine Parish, LA, Saint Landry Parish, LA, Saint Martin Parish, LA, Union Parish, LA, Vermilion Parish, LA, Vernon Parish, LA, Webster Parish, LA, Winn Parish, LA, Angelina County, TX, Bowie County, TX, Cass County, TX, Chambers County, TX, Fort Bend County, TX, Hardin County, TX, Harris County, TX, Harrison County, TX, Jasper County, TX, Jefferson County, TX, Liberty County, TX, Marion County, TX, Montgomery County, TX, Nacogdoches County, TX, Newton County, TX, Orange County, TX, Panola County, TX, Polk County, TX, Rusk County, TX, Sabine County, TX, San Augustine County, TX, San Jacinto County, TX, Shelby County, TX, Trinity County, TX, Tyler County, TX, Walker County, TX, Waller County, TX
The radar
The Ft Polk radar (KPOE), 128 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:59 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 5%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 5%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 60%
Warnings issued inside it
11 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 8:57 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | HGX | Houston, Polk, San Jacinto, Trinity, Walker | 48 min |
| Nov 17, 10:42 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Columbia, Hempstead, Lafayette, Nevada | 63 min |
| Nov 17, 11:13 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LCH | Allen, Beauregard, Vernon | 47 min |
| Nov 17, 11:43 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Columbia, Union | 62 min |
| Nov 17, 12:14 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Bienville, Bossier, De Soto, Natchitoches, Red River, Sabine | 61 min |
| Nov 17, 12:42 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Union | 63 min |
| Nov 17, 1:09 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Bienville, Jackson, Natchitoches, Red River, Sabine, Winn | 51 min |
| Nov 17, 1:53 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | SHV | Angelina, Cherokee, Nacogdoches, Rusk, San Augustine, Shelby | 3 hr |
| Nov 17, 1:58 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Union | 48 min |
| Nov 17, 2:26 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LCH | Beauregard, Calcasieu | 34 min |
| Nov 17, 2:26 PM CST | Tornado Warning | LCH | Allen, Beauregard, Vernon | 34 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Shreveport, LA (KBAD), launched 12:00Z, 2.9 hours before the alert went out and 145 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 559 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -11 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 703 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 31 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 264 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 404 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.5
- Supercell composite
- 4.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
980 WWUS20 KWNS 171448 SEL5 SPC WW 171448 ARZ000-LAZ000-TXZ000-CWZ000-172200- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 545 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 850 AM CST TUE NOV 17 2015 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS WESTERN AND CENTRAL LOUISIANA EASTERN AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS COASTAL WATERS * EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 850 AM UNTIL 400 PM CST. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THIS MORNING INTO AFTERNOON AS ACTIVITY SPREADS FROM WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE WATCH AREA. THE STRONGEST STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF A FEW TORNADOES AND LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS. THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF PORT ARTHUR TEXAS TO 35 MILES NORTHWEST OF EL DORADO ARKANSAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 543...WW 544... AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21035. ...MEAD
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 4:35 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Benton, Crawford, Franklin, Howard, Johnson, Logan and 9 more | 115 min |
| Nov 17, 4:48 AM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Howard, Little River, Miller, Sevier | 4 hr |
| Nov 17, 6:27 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Baxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Clark, Conway and 21 more | 6 hr |
| Nov 17, 8:24 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Columbia, Lafayette | 66 min |
| Nov 17, 9:59 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Ashley, Baxter, Boone, Bradley, Calhoun and 58 more | 2 hr |
| Nov 17, 11:07 AM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Arkansas, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleburne, Cleveland and 21 more | 6 hr |
| Nov 17, 12:19 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Ashley, Chicot | 116 min |
| Nov 17, 12:36 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Ashley, Chicot | 7 hr |
| Nov 17, 1:35 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Cleburne, Cleveland, Craighead, Crittenden, Cross and 25 more | 115 min |
| Nov 17, 3:15 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Craighead, Crittenden, Cross, Lee, Mississippi, Phillips and 2 more | 4 hr |
| Nov 17, 3:19 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clay, Fulton, Greene, Izard, Lawrence, Randolph and 1 more | 116 min |
| Nov 17, 5:36 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Crittenden, Cross, Lee, Monroe, Phillips, Poinsett and 1 more | 84 min |
| Nov 17, 2:51 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Acadia, Allen, Avoyelles, Beauregard, Calcasieu, Caldwell and 20 more | 84 min |
| Nov 17, 3:33 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Acadia, Allen, Avoyelles, Calcasieu, Cameron, Evangeline and 6 more | 4 hr |
| Nov 17, 5:54 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Acadia, Allen, Avoyelles, Calcasieu, Cameron, Evangeline and 6 more | 96 min |
| Nov 16, 6:10 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Andrews, Borden, Coke, Crane, Crockett, Dawson and 22 more | 8 hr |
| Nov 16, 8:07 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Armstrong, Borden, Briscoe, Carson, Castro, Childress and 38 more | 83 min |
| Nov 16, 8:16 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Andrews, Borden, Coke, Crane, Crockett, Dawson and 26 more | 89 min |
| Nov 16, 8:17 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Archer, Armstrong, Baylor, Briscoe, Carson, Childress and 31 more | 7 hr |
| Nov 16, 10:19 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Archer, Baylor, Callahan, Clay, Coke, Coleman and 16 more | 86 min |
| Nov 16, 10:45 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Bosque, Brown, Callahan, Coleman, Collin, Comanche and 33 more | 7 hr |
| Nov 17, 12:58 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Archer, Clay, Cooke, Montague, Wichita | 2 hr |
| Nov 17, 2:17 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bosque, Brown, Collin, Comanche, Cooke, Coryell and 21 more | 118 min |
| Nov 17, 4:18 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Anderson, Bell, Bosque, Bowie, Brazos, Camp and 39 more | 57 min |
| Nov 17, 3:43 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Dallam, Sherman | 4 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2015Tornado Watches in Texas, 2015Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2015Every tornado watch in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.