Alert archive / Oklahoma / Tornado Watches in 2015
Tornado Watch 540
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Nov 16, 2015, 8:17 PM CST for 28 counties in Kansas; 38 counties in Oklahoma; 37 counties in Texas. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 16, 2015, 8:17 PM CST (02:17 UTC)
- Expired
- Nov 17, 2015, 3:00 AM CST
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 65 kt
All 103 counties
Barber County, KS, Barton County, KS, Clark County, KS, Comanche County, KS, Edwards County, KS, Ellis County, KS, Ellsworth County, KS, Finney County, KS, Ford County, KS, Gray County, KS, Harper County, KS, Haskell County, KS, Hodgeman County, KS, Kingman County, KS, Kiowa County, KS, Lane County, KS, Lincoln County, KS, Meade County, KS, Ness County, KS, Pawnee County, KS, Pratt County, KS, Reno County, KS, Rice County, KS, Rush County, KS, Russell County, KS, Seward County, KS, Stafford County, KS, Trego County, KS, Alfalfa County, OK, Beaver County, OK, Beckham County, OK, Blaine County, OK, Caddo County, OK, Canadian County, OK, Cleveland County, OK, Comanche County, OK, Cotton County, OK, Custer County, OK, Dewey County, OK, Ellis County, OK, Garfield County, OK, Garvin County, OK, Grady County, OK, Grant County, OK, Greer County, OK, Harmon County, OK, Harper County, OK, Jackson County, OK, Jefferson County, OK, Kay County, OK, Kingfisher County, OK, Kiowa County, OK, Lincoln County, OK, Logan County, OK, Major County, OK, McClain County, OK, Noble County, OK, Oklahoma County, OK, Payne County, OK, Pottawatomie County, OK, Roger Mills County, OK, Stephens County, OK, Tillman County, OK, Washita County, OK, Woods County, OK, Woodward County, OK, Archer County, TX, Armstrong County, TX, Baylor County, TX, Briscoe County, TX, Carson County, TX, Childress County, TX, Clay County, TX, Collingsworth County, TX, Cottle County, TX, Crosby County, TX, Dickens County, TX, Donley County, TX, Floyd County, TX, Foard County, TX, Garza County, TX, Gray County, TX, Hale County, TX, Hall County, TX, Hansford County, TX, Hardeman County, TX, Hemphill County, TX, Hutchinson County, TX, Kent County, TX, King County, TX, Knox County, TX, Lipscomb County, TX, Lubbock County, TX, Lynn County, TX, Motley County, TX, Ochiltree County, TX, Roberts County, TX, Stonewall County, TX, Swisher County, TX, Terry County, TX, Wheeler County, TX, Wichita County, TX, Wilbarger County, TX
The radar
The Dodge City radar (KDDC), 122 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:16 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 90%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 40%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 30%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 5%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 95%
Warnings issued inside it
39 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 8:19 PM CST | Tornado Warning | AMA | Ochiltree, Roberts | 41 min |
| Nov 16, 8:28 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Carson, Gray, Hutchinson, Ochiltree, Roberts | 47 min |
| Nov 16, 8:31 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Armstrong | 44 min |
| Nov 16, 8:39 PM CST | Tornado Warning | AMA | Lipscomb | 36 min |
| Nov 16, 8:42 PM CST | Tornado Warning | OUN | Ellis | 33 min |
| Nov 16, 8:52 PM CST | Tornado Warning | AMA | Beaver | 42 min |
| Nov 16, 8:56 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DDC | Clark, Ford, Gray, Hodgeman, Meade | 34 min |
| Nov 16, 8:57 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Carson, Gray | 33 min |
| Nov 16, 9:03 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Collingsworth, Wheeler | 47 min |
| Nov 16, 9:15 PM CST | Tornado Warning | OUN | Ellis, Harper, Woodward | 30 min |
| Nov 16, 9:18 PM CST | Tornado Warning | AMA | Beaver | 42 min |
| Nov 16, 9:22 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Gray | 18 min |
| Nov 16, 9:24 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DDC | Clark, Ford, Hodgeman | 34 min |
| Nov 16, 9:45 PM CST | Tornado Warning | OUN | Harper, Woods | 33 min |
| Nov 16, 9:50 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DDC | Edwards, Ford, Hodgeman, Ness, Pawnee, Rush | 42 min |
| Nov 16, 9:55 PM CST | Tornado Warning | DDC | Barber, Comanche | 50 min |
| Nov 16, 9:55 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Beckham, Greer, Harmon, Jackson, Kiowa, Washita | 50 min |
| Nov 16, 9:56 PM CST | Tornado Warning | OUN | Harper | 49 min |
| Nov 16, 10:10 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DDC | Clark, Comanche | 65 min |
| Nov 16, 10:31 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DDC | Ellis, Rush | 28 min |
| Nov 16, 10:33 PM CST | Tornado Warning | DDC | Barber, Comanche, Kiowa, Pratt | 42 min |
| Nov 16, 10:34 PM CST | Tornado Warning | OUN | Harper | 26 min |
| Nov 16, 10:35 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Beckham, Custer, Greer, Kiowa, Washita | 40 min |
| Nov 16, 10:37 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ICT | Barton, Russell | 23 min |
| Nov 16, 10:49 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DDC | Clark, Comanche, Kiowa | 56 min |
| Nov 16, 11:19 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DDC | Barber, Comanche, Kiowa, Pratt | 41 min |
| Nov 16, 11:25 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Custer, Kingfisher, Washita | 50 min |
| Nov 17, 12:10 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Alfalfa, Major | 35 min |
| Nov 17, 12:13 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Blaine, Canadian, Garfield, Kingfisher, Major | 47 min |
| Nov 17, 12:30 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Garfield, Grant | 30 min |
| Nov 17, 12:34 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Caddo, Comanche, Cotton, Grady, Stephens, Tillman | 41 min |
| Nov 17, 12:43 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ICT | Harper, Sumner | 47 min |
| Nov 17, 12:45 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Archer, Clay | 45 min |
| Nov 17, 12:59 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Garfield, Grant, Kay, Kingfisher, Logan, Noble and 1 more | 46 min |
| Nov 17, 1:07 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Cotton | 23 min |
| Nov 17, 1:25 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Cotton, Jefferson, Stephens | 50 min |
| Nov 17, 1:45 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Kay, Lincoln, Logan, Noble, Payne | 45 min |
| Nov 17, 2:09 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Carter, Cleveland, Garvin, Grady, Jefferson, Love and 3 more | 51 min |
| Nov 17, 2:27 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Kay | 33 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 00:00Z, 2.3 hours before the alert went out and 123 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 994 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -42 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 812 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 63 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 351 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 399 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 2.5
- Supercell composite
- 11.3
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
724
WWUS20 KWNS 170215
SEL0
SPC WW 170215
KSZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-170900-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 540
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
810 PM CST MON NOV 16 2015
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHWEST INTO CENTRAL KANSAS
WESTERN AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
WESTERN AND NORTHWEST TEXAS
* EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING FROM 810 PM
UNTIL 300 AM CST.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT GUSTS
TO 75 MPH POSSIBLE
ISOLATED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
SUMMARY...A FEW SUPERCELLS WITH A RISK FOR TORNADOES...HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WIND EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH LATE EVENING OVER WESTERN
KANSAS...THE EASTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE AND WEST TEXAS. OTHER STORMS
EXPECTED TO FORM WEST OF THIS ACTIVITY AND MERGE INTO AN EXTENSIVE
LINE A BIT LATER TONIGHT. ALL OF THE STORMS SHOULD THEN ACCELERATE
EASTWARD INTO PARTS OF OKLAHOMA THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY...WITH A
CONTINUED RISK FOR DAMAGING WIND...MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL...AND
ISOLATED TORNADOES.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 100 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES NORTHWEST OF RUSSELL
KANSAS TO 100 MILES SOUTH OF CHILDRESS TEXAS. FOR A COMPLETE
DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 537. WATCH NUMBER 537 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER
810 PM CST. CONTINUE...WW 538...WW 539...
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22050.
...CORFIDISPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 7:43 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Decatur, Gove, Graham, Greeley, Logan, Norton and 9 more | 92 min |
| Nov 16, 8:07 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clark, Comanche, Edwards, Ford, Gray, Haskell and 7 more | 83 min |
| Nov 16, 10:19 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Barber, Harper, Harvey, Kingman, McPherson, Pratt and 4 more | 86 min |
| Nov 17, 12:58 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Cowley, Harper, Harvey, Kingman, Reno, Rice and 2 more | 2 hr |
| Nov 17, 1:48 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Chautauqua, Cowley, Labette, Montgomery | 5 hr |
| Nov 17, 10:27 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Cheyenne, Greeley, Hamilton, Logan, Rawlins, Sherman and 3 more | 4 hr |
| Nov 17, 3:43 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Cheyenne, Decatur, Greeley, Hamilton, Logan, Morton and 6 more | 4 hr |
| Nov 17, 4:35 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adair, Atoka, Cherokee, Choctaw, Craig, Delaware and 14 more | 115 min |
| Nov 17, 4:48 AM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | McCurtain | 4 hr |
| Nov 16, 6:10 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Andrews, Borden, Coke, Crane, Crockett, Dawson and 22 more | 8 hr |
| Nov 16, 8:16 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Andrews, Borden, Coke, Crane, Crockett, Dawson and 26 more | 89 min |
| Nov 16, 10:45 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Bosque, Brown, Callahan, Coleman, Collin, Comanche and 33 more | 7 hr |
| Nov 17, 2:17 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bosque, Brown, Collin, Comanche, Cooke, Coryell and 21 more | 118 min |
| Nov 17, 4:18 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Anderson, Bell, Bosque, Bowie, Brazos, Camp and 39 more | 57 min |
| Nov 17, 8:24 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Angelina, Gregg, Hardin, Harrison, Jasper, Marion and 10 more | 66 min |
| Nov 17, 8:55 AM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Angelina, Bowie, Cass, Chambers, Fort Bend, Hardin and 21 more | 7 hr |
| Nov 17, 12:19 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Hardin, Jasper, Jefferson, Newton, Orange, Sabine | 116 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Oklahoma, 2015Tornado Watches in Texas, 2015Tornado Watches in Kansas, 2015Every tornado watch in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.