Alert archive / Kansas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2015

Mesoscale Discussion 1955

November 16, 201515 counties in Kansas; 11 counties in Nebraska

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Nov 16, 2015, 7:43 PM CST for 15 counties in Kansas; 11 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 92 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Nov 16, 2015, 7:43 PM CST (01:43 UTC)
Expired: Nov 16, 2015, 9:15 PM CST
In force: 92 min
Issued by: the Storm Prediction Center

All 26 counties

Decatur County, KS, Gove County, KS, Graham County, KS, Greeley County, KS, Logan County, KS, Norton County, KS, Phillips County, KS, Rawlins County, KS, Rooks County, KS, Scott County, KS, Sheridan County, KS, Thomas County, KS, Trego County, KS, Wallace County, KS, Wichita County, KS, Buffalo County, NE, Dawson County, NE, Franklin County, NE, Frontier County, NE, Furnas County, NE, Gosper County, NE, Harlan County, NE, Hitchcock County, NE, Kearney County, NE, Phelps County, NE, Red Willow County, NE

The radar

The Goodland radar (KGLD), 131 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:48 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

Tornado Watch 540Nov 16, 8:10 PM CST

The nearest sounding before it

N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE (KLBF), launched 00:00Z, 1.7 hours before the alert went out and 161 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 206 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -42 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1374 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 44 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 237 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 257 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.2
Supercell composite: 0.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Nov 16, 8:07 PM CST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Clark, Comanche, Edwards, Ford, Gray, Haskell and 7 more	83 min
Nov 16, 8:17 PM CST	Tornado Watch	SPC	Barber, Barton, Clark, Comanche, Edwards, Ellis and 22 more	7 hr
Nov 16, 10:19 PM CST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Barber, Harper, Harvey, Kingman, McPherson, Pratt and 4 more	86 min
Nov 17, 12:58 AM CST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Cowley, Harper, Harvey, Kingman, Reno, Rice and 2 more	2 hr
Nov 17, 1:48 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	Chautauqua, Cowley, Labette, Montgomery	5 hr
Nov 17, 10:27 AM CST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Cheyenne, Greeley, Hamilton, Logan, Rawlins, Sherman and 3 more	4 hr
Nov 17, 3:43 PM CST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Cheyenne, Decatur, Greeley, Hamilton, Logan, Morton and 6 more	4 hr
Nov 16, 6:50 PM CST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Custer, Garfield, Greeley, Howard, Nance, Sherman and 1 more	85 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Kansas, 2015 Mesoscale Discussions in Nebraska, 2015 Every mesoscale discussion in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.