Alert archive / Arkansas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2015

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 362

June 26, 201539 counties in Arkansas; 7 counties in Oklahoma

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 26, 2015, 3:31 PM CDT for 39 counties in Arkansas; 7 counties in Oklahoma. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 26, 2015, 3:31 PM CDT (20:31 UTC)
Expired
Jun 26, 2015, 9:00 PM CDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 46 counties

Arkansas County, AR, Clark County, AR, Cleveland County, AR, Conway County, AR, Crawford County, AR, Cross County, AR, Dallas County, AR, Desha County, AR, Faulkner County, AR, Franklin County, AR, Garland County, AR, Grant County, AR, Hot Spring County, AR, Howard County, AR, Jefferson County, AR, Johnson County, AR, Lee County, AR, Lincoln County, AR, Logan County, AR, Lonoke County, AR, Madison County, AR, Monroe County, AR, Montgomery County, AR, Perry County, AR, Phillips County, AR, Pike County, AR, Polk County, AR, Pope County, AR, Prairie County, AR, Pulaski County, AR, Saline County, AR, Scott County, AR, Sebastian County, AR, Sevier County, AR, St. Francis County, AR, Washington County, AR, White County, AR, Woodruff County, AR, Yell County, AR, Choctaw County, OK, Haskell County, OK, Latimer County, OK, LeFlore County, OK, McCurtain County, OK, Pushmataha County, OK, Sequoyah County, OK

The radar

The Western Arkansas radar (KSRX), 90 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:31 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
5%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

22 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 26, 3:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAAdair, Cherokee, Sequoyah37 min
Jun 26, 3:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAMadison, Washington60 min
Jun 26, 3:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACrawford, Sebastian24 min
Jun 26, 4:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACrawford, Franklin, Madison, Sebastian, Washington60 min
Jun 26, 4:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKConway, Faulkner, Van Buren39 min
Jun 26, 4:47 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningTSAWashington3 hr
Jun 26, 5:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKFaulkner, Lonoke, White44 min
Jun 26, 5:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKJohnson, Logan, Newton39 min
Jun 26, 5:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKJohnson, Logan, Yell53 min
Jun 26, 5:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKFaulkner, Lonoke, Pulaski, White24 min
Jun 26, 5:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKGarland, Montgomery, Perry, Saline, Yell56 min
Jun 26, 5:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKConway, Logan, Perry, Pope, Yell49 min
Jun 26, 5:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKLonoke, Prairie, White32 min
Jun 26, 6:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSALatimer, Pittsburg53 min
Jun 26, 6:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKConway, Faulkner, Perry, Pulaski, Saline65 min
Jun 26, 6:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKLonoke, Prairie32 min
Jun 26, 6:47 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKConway, Faulkner, Perry3 hr
Jun 26, 7:11 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKFaulkner, Perry, Pulaski, Saline3 hr
Jun 26, 7:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKFaulkner, Lonoke, Prairie, Pulaski, Saline63 min
Jun 26, 7:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSALatimer, LeFlore29 min
Jun 26, 7:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVMcCurtain38 min
Jun 26, 8:47 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKMontgomery2 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 8.5 hours before the alert went out and 236 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2015-06-26Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 43 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2015-06-26The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -73 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
43 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-214 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
974 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
39 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-73 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
54 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 26, 11:50 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Boone, Clay, Craighead, Fulton, Greene and 8 more115 min
Jun 26, 12:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBaxter, Boone, Clay, Cleburne, Craighead, Crittenden and 15 more7 hr
Jun 26, 2:35 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Crawford, Franklin, Madison, Sebastian, Washington85 min
Jun 26, 3:16 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Cleburne, Conway, Craighead, Crittenden, Cross and 33 more89 min
Jun 26, 6:28 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Clark, Cleveland, Conway, Cross, Dallas and 26 more92 min
Jun 25, 7:04 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCimarron, Texas86 min
Jun 26, 5:24 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlfalfa, Beckham, Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Custer and 19 more96 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Arkansas, 2015Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Oklahoma, 2015Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.