Alert archive / Arkansas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2015

Mesoscale Discussion 1323

July 8, 201521 counties in Arkansas; 9 counties in Missouri; LeFlore County, Oklahoma

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jul 8, 2015, 1:58 PM CDT for 21 counties in Arkansas; 9 counties in Missouri; LeFlore County, Oklahoma. It was in force for 92 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 8, 2015, 1:58 PM CDT (18:58 UTC)
Expired
Jul 8, 2015, 3:30 PM CDT
In force
92 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
20%
All 31 counties

Baxter County, AR, Boone County, AR, Carroll County, AR, Conway County, AR, Crawford County, AR, Franklin County, AR, Fulton County, AR, Izard County, AR, Johnson County, AR, Logan County, AR, Madison County, AR, Marion County, AR, Newton County, AR, Polk County, AR, Pope County, AR, Scott County, AR, Searcy County, AR, Sebastian County, AR, Stone County, AR, Van Buren County, AR, Yell County, AR, Christian County, MO, Douglas County, MO, Greene County, MO, Howell County, MO, Ozark County, MO, Stone County, MO, Taney County, MO, Webster County, MO, Wright County, MO, LeFlore County, OK

The radar

The Western Arkansas radar (KSRX), 120 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:59 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 7.0 hours before the alert went out and 124 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2015-07-08Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 461 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2015-07-08The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 182 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
461 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-16 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
533 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
24 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
182 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
117 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 8, 2:29 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrawford, Washington3 hr
Jul 8, 1:09 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBollinger, Cape Girardeau, Carter, Crawford, Dent, Douglas and 16 more2 hr
Jul 8, 3:52 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBollinger, Cape Girardeau, Crawford, Dent, Iron, Jefferson and 11 more113 min
Jul 8, 6:05 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBollinger, Butler, Cape Girardeau, Carter, Iron, Jefferson and 10 more7 hr
Jul 8, 3:15 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCimarron60 min
Jul 8, 5:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCimarron, Texas7 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Arkansas, 2015Mesoscale Discussions in Missouri, 2015Mesoscale Discussions in Oklahoma, 2015Every mesoscale discussion in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.