Alert archive / Missouri / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2015

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 5

March 24, 20154 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Mar 24, 2015, 2:59 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 24, 2015, 2:59 PM CDT (19:59 UTC)
Expired
Mar 24, 2015, 10:00 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 81 counties

Baxter County, AR, Benton County, AR, Boone County, AR, Carroll County, AR, Crawford County, AR, Franklin County, AR, Johnson County, AR, Logan County, AR, Madison County, AR, Marion County, AR, Newton County, AR, Pope County, AR, Scott County, AR, Searcy County, AR, Sebastian County, AR, Washington County, AR, Yell County, AR, Bourbon County, KS, Cherokee County, KS, Crawford County, KS, Linn County, KS, Miami County, KS, Barry County, MO, Barton County, MO, Bates County, MO, Benton County, MO, Boone County, MO, Callaway County, MO, Camden County, MO, Cass County, MO, Cedar County, MO, Christian County, MO, Cole County, MO, Cooper County, MO, Dade County, MO, Dallas County, MO, Douglas County, MO, Greene County, MO, Henry County, MO, Hickory County, MO, Howard County, MO, Jasper County, MO, Johnson County, MO, Laclede County, MO, Lafayette County, MO, Lawrence County, MO, Maries County, MO, McDonald County, MO, Miller County, MO, Moniteau County, MO, Morgan County, MO, Newton County, MO, Osage County, MO, Ozark County, MO, Pettis County, MO, Phelps County, MO, Polk County, MO, Pulaski County, MO, Saline County, MO, St. Clair County, MO, Stone County, MO, Taney County, MO, Texas County, MO, Vernon County, MO, Webster County, MO, Wright County, MO, Adair County, OK, Cherokee County, OK, Craig County, OK, Delaware County, OK, Haskell County, OK, Latimer County, OK, LeFlore County, OK, Mayes County, OK, McIntosh County, OK, Muskogee County, OK, Ottawa County, OK, Pittsburg County, OK, Rogers County, OK, Sequoyah County, OK, Wagoner County, OK

The radar

The Springfield radar (KSGF), 55 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:05 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
20%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
70%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

44 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 24, 4:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFBourbon45 min
Mar 24, 4:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFCrawford49 min
Mar 24, 4:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXLinn47 min
Mar 24, 4:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFBarton, Vernon47 min
Mar 24, 4:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFJasper48 min
Mar 24, 4:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXBates, Cass, Henry, Johnson33 min
Mar 24, 4:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFCedar, Dade54 min
Mar 24, 4:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFNewton33 min
Mar 24, 5:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFMcDonald, Newton30 min
Mar 24, 5:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXJohnson, Lafayette36 min
Mar 24, 5:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFBarry, Lawrence52 min
Mar 24, 5:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFLawrence21 min
Mar 24, 5:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFPolk30 min
Mar 24, 5:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXLafayette, Saline27 min
Mar 24, 5:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFDade, Greene54 min
Mar 24, 5:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXJohnson, Pettis32 min
Mar 24, 5:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFChristian, Stone, Taney61 min
Mar 24, 5:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFDallas, Webster25 min
Mar 24, 5:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXCarroll, Saline25 min
Mar 24, 5:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFPolk35 min
Mar 24, 6:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSABenton, Madison, Washington24 min
Mar 24, 6:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXJohnson, Pettis23 min
Mar 24, 6:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAMadison, Washington47 min
Mar 24, 6:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFDallas30 min
Mar 24, 6:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFBarry, Stone, Taney60 min
Mar 24, 6:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFWebster41 min
Mar 24, 6:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACarroll, Madison46 min
Mar 24, 6:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFLaclede44 min
Mar 24, 6:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFTaney31 min
Mar 24, 6:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBoone, Marion28 min
Mar 24, 6:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFWright27 min
Mar 24, 6:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFWebster, Wright39 min
Mar 24, 6:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFDouglas, Ozark, Taney40 min
Mar 24, 6:55 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKBoone, Marion20 min
Mar 24, 6:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAMadison, Washington46 min
Mar 24, 7:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBoone, Marion, Newton, Searcy30 min
Mar 24, 7:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBaxter, Marion31 min
Mar 24, 7:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKJohnson, Newton, Pope30 min
Mar 24, 7:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBoone, Marion, Newton, Searcy26 min
Mar 24, 7:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBoone, Marion34 min
Mar 24, 7:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKNewton, Searcy32 min
Mar 24, 8:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSALatimer, LeFlore41 min
Mar 24, 8:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAPittsburg, Pushmataha45 min
Mar 24, 9:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCole, Gasconade, Osage44 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 8.0 hours before the alert went out and 45 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2015-03-24Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2015-03-24The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 95 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-269 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1309 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
61 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
95 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
141 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 24, 2:05 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin and 10 more85 min
Mar 24, 5:30 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Conway, Crawford and 13 more90 min
Mar 24, 5:53 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCMontgomery, Polk, Sevier3 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Missouri, 2015Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Arkansas, 2015Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Oklahoma, 2015Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.