Alert archive / Arkansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2015

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 34, NWS Little Rock, AR

March 31, 2015Pope County, Searcy County, Van Buren County, Arkansas

NWS Little Rock, AR issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Mar 31, 2015, 6:19 PM CDT for Pope County, Searcy County, Van Buren County, Arkansas. It was in force for 26 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Mar 31, 2015, 6:19 PM CDT (23:19 UTC)
Expired: Mar 31, 2015, 6:45 PM CDT
In force: 26 min
Issued by: NWS Little Rock, AR
Area: Storm-based polygon

Counties Pope County, AR, Searcy County, AR, Van Buren County, AR

The radar

The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 100 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:21 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Mar 31, 5:13 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 11.3 hours before the alert went out and 168 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 504 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -112 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1012 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 34 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 143 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 166 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 1.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Little Rock, AR wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Mar 31, 3:55 PM CDT, 2 hours 24 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 31, 3:55 PM CDT, 2 hours 24 minutes before

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 31, 3:12 AM CDT, 15 hours 7 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
312 AM CDT TUE MAR 31 2015

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-011000-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
312 AM CDT TUE MAR 31 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SOME ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS
COULD BECOME STRONG TO POSSIBLY SEVERE...BUT THE THREAT FOR
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER WILL REMAIN LOW THROUGH TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THE CHANCES FOR SOME ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST FOR WEDNESDAY...SOME OF WHICH COULD
BECOME STRONG. HOWEVER...WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT
ANTICIPATED THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.

A COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTHEAST TOWARDS ARKANSAS THURSDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
INCREASING ACROSS THE NORTHERN THIRD OF THE STATE. SOME SEVERE
STORMS COULD BE SEEN ALONG AND AHEAD OF THIS FRONT LATE THURSDAY
AFTERNOON ACROSS THE NORTHWESTERN SECTIONS OF THE AREA. THE MAIN
THREATS EXPECTED WITH ANY SEVERE STORM WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS.

THIS FRONT WILL DROP SLOWLY SOUTHEAST THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MUCH
OF FRIDAY...WITH THE CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
SPREADING FURTHER SOUTH AND EAST. THE THREAT FOR SOME SEVERE
WEATHER WILL ALSO DROP FURTHER SOUTH AND EAST OVER A LARGER
PORTION OF THE AREA. THIS FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST OF THE STATE
BY FRIDAY NIGHT...WITH COOLER AND DRIER CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO
START OFF THE WEEKEND. CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
RETURN TO THE FORECAST FOR LATE THIS COMING WEEKEND INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

&&

VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO HTTP://WEATHER.GOV AND
CLICK ON CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

62

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Mar 31, 4:28 PM CDT, 1 hour 51 minutes before

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

Special weather statement, Mar 31, 4:42 PM CDT, 1 hour 37 minutes before

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

Special weather statement, Mar 31, 5:41 PM CDT, 38 minutes before

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

Special weather statement, Mar 31, 5:54 PM CDT, 25 minutes before

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

Special weather statement, Mar 31, 6:08 PM CDT, 11 minutes before

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

Special weather statement, Mar 31, 6:17 PM CDT, 2 minutes before

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

The office that day

Everything else NWS Little Rock, AR issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Mar 31, 11:26 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LZK	Lonoke	44 min
Mar 31, 11:32 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LZK	Saline	43 min
Mar 31, 11:42 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Pulaski, Saline	48 min
Mar 31, 12:26 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Grant, Jefferson, Pulaski, Saline	49 min
Mar 31, 1:12 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Arkansas, Jefferson, Lonoke, Pulaski	48 min
Mar 31, 1:44 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Jefferson	31 min
Mar 31, 2:00 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Arkansas, Jefferson	45 min
Mar 31, 2:34 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	LZK	Arkansas, Desha, Jefferson, Lincoln	26 min
Mar 31, 2:47 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Arkansas, Desha, Jefferson	43 min
Mar 31, 2:59 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	LZK	Arkansas, Desha	46 min
Mar 31, 3:39 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LZK	Van Buren	46 min
Mar 31, 4:09 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LZK	Searcy	31 min
Mar 31, 4:15 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LZK	Van Buren	30 min
Mar 31, 4:28 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LZK	Van Buren	32 min
Mar 31, 4:42 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LZK	Searcy	23 min
Mar 31, 5:41 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LZK	Fulton	29 min
Mar 31, 5:54 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LZK	Izard	31 min
Mar 31, 6:08 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LZK	Van Buren	32 min
Mar 31, 6:17 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LZK	Searcy	28 min
Mar 31, 6:30 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LZK	Sharp	20 min
Mar 31, 6:48 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LZK	Van Buren	47 min
Mar 31, 6:57 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LZK	Faulkner	33 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Arkansas, 2015 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.