Alert archive / Arkansas / Polk County
Weather alerts in Polk County, Arkansas, 2016
79 weather alerts in 2016, from the National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center. An alert counts here when it covered this county.
Polk County and its neighbors
Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2016. Tap one for its archive.
- Alerts
- 79
- Warnings
- 32
- Watches
- 7
- Advisories
- 0
- Busiest month
- April19 alerts
- Busiest day
- March 13, 20168 alerts
Over time
By month
Warning verification
How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.
0 of 1 tornado warnings covering Polk County in 2016 had a tornado report inside them.
Polk County, 2016
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tornado warnings | 1 | 0 | 100% | 0 | ||
| Severe thunderstorm warnings | 20 | 10 | 50% | 13 | 100% | 20 min |
| Flash flood warnings | 11 | 4 | 64% | 2 | 100% | 107 min |
Each office's whole area, 2016
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NWS Little Rock, AR: tornado warnings | 39 | 2 | 95% | 6 | 33% | 18 min |
| NWS Little Rock, AR: severe thunderstorm warnings | 310 | 105 | 66% | 224 | 84% | 20 min |
| NWS Little Rock, AR: flash flood warnings | 90 | 28 | 69% | 61 | 92% | 105 min |
An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.
Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.
The alerts
Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Central Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 1:47 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 88 min |
| Mar 13, 12:35 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 55 min |
| Mar 13, 2:10 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 5 hr |
| Mar 13, 3:19 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 86 min |
| Mar 13, 3:21 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 24 min |
| Mar 13, 3:38 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 37 min |
| Mar 13, 3:40 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 50 min |
| Mar 13, 3:56 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | 19 min |
| Mar 13, 5:58 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 92 min |
| Mar 17, 6:07 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 23 min |
| Mar 18, 9:51 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 84 min |
| Mar 23, 11:01 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 59 min |
| Mar 30, 11:57 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 63 min |
| Mar 30, 3:04 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 13 min |
| Apr 11, 8:52 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 38 min |
| Apr 11, 9:03 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | SHV | 27 min |
| Apr 11, 10:03 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 42 min |
| Apr 11, 1:38 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 9 hr |
| Apr 11, 4:00 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 30 min |
| Apr 26, 9:36 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 114 min |
| Apr 26, 10:21 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 9 hr |
| Apr 27, 12:31 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 59 min |
| Apr 27, 1:29 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 61 min |
| Apr 27, 1:35 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 115 min |
| Apr 29, 1:58 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Apr 29, 4:21 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
| Apr 29, 4:40 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 65 min |
| Apr 29, 5:20 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 55 min |
| Apr 29, 7:56 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | 6 hr |
| Apr 29, 1:53 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 52 min |
| Apr 29, 6:26 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | 3 hr |
| Apr 29, 9:23 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | 3 hr |
| Apr 30, 12:10 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | 4 hr |
| May 9, 1:39 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 66 min |
| May 9, 2:36 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| May 9, 5:49 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 56 min |
| May 9, 7:23 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 8 hr |
| May 9, 8:01 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 89 min |
| May 9, 8:31 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 44 min |
| May 9, 8:53 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 22 min |
| May 12, 2:48 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 87 min |
| May 12, 4:24 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 51 min |
| May 12, 4:58 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 47 min |
| May 25, 4:28 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 47 min |
| May 25, 5:52 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 38 min |
| Jun 17, 1:30 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jun 17, 6:06 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | 3 hr |
| Jun 17, 6:17 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 43 min |
| Jun 17, 6:39 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 36 min |
| Jun 17, 7:21 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 24 min |
| Jun 27, 7:45 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 45 min |
| Jun 29, 7:25 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 35 min |
| Jul 14, 3:10 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 95 min |
| Jul 14, 2:14 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 91 min |
| Jul 14, 3:05 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
| Jul 14, 3:28 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 62 min |
| Jul 14, 4:17 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 43 min |
| Jul 14, 4:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 46 min |
| Jul 23, 2:49 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 116 min |
| Jul 24, 8:47 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 28 min |
| Jul 29, 12:28 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jul 29, 6:15 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 45 min |
| Jul 29, 6:45 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 45 min |
| Jul 29, 7:29 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 46 min |
| Jul 30, 3:06 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 84 min |
| Jul 30, 3:13 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | TSA | 47 min |
| Jul 30, 3:52 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 41 min |
| Jul 30, 3:57 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | TSA | 33 min |
| Jul 30, 4:26 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | 3 hr |
| Aug 7, 2:04 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 116 min |
| Aug 7, 4:38 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 37 min |
| Aug 9, 6:40 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 50 min |
| Aug 13, 6:10 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | 3 hr |
| Aug 20, 9:33 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | 3 hr |
| Aug 20, 12:16 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | 3 hr |
| Aug 25, 7:12 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | 3 hr |
| Sep 1, 2:29 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | 3 hr |
| Sep 16, 10:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 46 min |
| Sep 17, 8:38 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 67 min |
By product
Every kind of product issued here, grouped by hazard. Each opens the same place narrowed to that product.
| Product | Alerts |
|---|---|
| Severe storms | |
| Severe Thunderstorm Warning | 20 |
| Tornado Warning | 1 |
| Severe Thunderstorm Watch | 4 |
| Tornado Watch | 3 |
| Mesoscale Discussion | 22 |
| Special Weather Statement | 18 |
| Flooding | |
| Flash Flood Warning | 11 |
The busiest days
Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.
Nearby
Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20152017
Sources
National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.