Alert archive / Arkansas / Polk County

Weather alerts in Polk County, Arkansas, 2016

79 weather alerts in 2016, from the National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center. An alert counts here when it covered this county.

Polk County and its neighbors

Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2016. Tap one for its archive.

Alerts
79
Warnings
32
Watches
7
Advisories
0
Busiest month
April19 alerts
Busiest day
March 13, 20168 alerts

Over time

By month

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

0 of 1 tornado warnings covering Polk County in 2016 had a tornado report inside them.

Polk County, 2016

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
Tornado warnings10100%0
Severe thunderstorm warnings201050%13100%20 min
Flash flood warnings11464%2100%107 min

Each office's whole area, 2016

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
NWS Little Rock, AR: tornado warnings39295%633%18 min
NWS Little Rock, AR: severe thunderstorm warnings31010566%22484%20 min
NWS Little Rock, AR: flash flood warnings902869%6192%105 min

An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

The alerts

Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Central Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Mar 1, 1:47 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPC88 min
Mar 13, 12:35 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC55 min
Mar 13, 2:10 PM CDTTornado WatchSPC5 hr
Mar 13, 3:19 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC86 min
Mar 13, 3:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK24 min
Mar 13, 3:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK37 min
Mar 13, 3:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK50 min
Mar 13, 3:56 PM CDTTornado WarningLZK19 min
Mar 13, 5:58 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC92 min
Mar 17, 6:07 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZK23 min
Mar 18, 9:51 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC84 min
Mar 23, 11:01 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC59 min
Mar 30, 11:57 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC63 min
Mar 30, 3:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK13 min
Apr 11, 8:52 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK38 min
Apr 11, 9:03 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementSHV27 min
Apr 11, 10:03 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZK42 min
Apr 11, 1:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC9 hr
Apr 11, 4:00 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZK30 min
Apr 26, 9:36 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC114 min
Apr 26, 10:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC9 hr
Apr 27, 12:31 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK59 min
Apr 27, 1:29 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZK61 min
Apr 27, 1:35 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC115 min
Apr 29, 1:58 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Apr 29, 4:21 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC6 hr
Apr 29, 4:40 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK65 min
Apr 29, 5:20 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK55 min
Apr 29, 7:56 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZK6 hr
Apr 29, 1:53 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZK52 min
Apr 29, 6:26 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZK3 hr
Apr 29, 9:23 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZK3 hr
Apr 30, 12:10 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZK4 hr
May 9, 1:39 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC66 min
May 9, 2:36 PM CDTTornado WatchSPC7 hr
May 9, 5:49 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC56 min
May 9, 7:23 PM CDTTornado WatchSPC8 hr
May 9, 8:01 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC89 min
May 9, 8:31 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZK44 min
May 9, 8:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK22 min
May 12, 2:48 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC87 min
May 12, 4:24 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK51 min
May 12, 4:58 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK47 min
May 25, 4:28 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZK47 min
May 25, 5:52 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZK38 min
Jun 17, 1:30 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Jun 17, 6:06 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZK3 hr
Jun 17, 6:17 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZK43 min
Jun 17, 6:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK36 min
Jun 17, 7:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK24 min
Jun 27, 7:45 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZK45 min
Jun 29, 7:25 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZK35 min
Jul 14, 3:10 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC95 min
Jul 14, 2:14 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC91 min
Jul 14, 3:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC6 hr
Jul 14, 3:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK62 min
Jul 14, 4:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK43 min
Jul 14, 4:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK46 min
Jul 23, 2:49 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC116 min
Jul 24, 8:47 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZK28 min
Jul 29, 12:28 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Jul 29, 6:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK45 min
Jul 29, 6:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK45 min
Jul 29, 7:29 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZK46 min
Jul 30, 3:06 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC84 min
Jul 30, 3:13 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSA47 min
Jul 30, 3:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK41 min
Jul 30, 3:57 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSA33 min
Jul 30, 4:26 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZK3 hr
Aug 7, 2:04 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC116 min
Aug 7, 4:38 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZK37 min
Aug 9, 6:40 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZK50 min
Aug 13, 6:10 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZK3 hr
Aug 20, 9:33 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZK3 hr
Aug 20, 12:16 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZK3 hr
Aug 25, 7:12 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZK3 hr
Sep 1, 2:29 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZK3 hr
Sep 16, 10:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK46 min
Sep 17, 8:38 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC67 min

By product

Every kind of product issued here, grouped by hazard. Each opens the same place narrowed to that product.

The busiest days

Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.

Nearby

Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20152017

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.