Alert archive / Arkansas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2016
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 385
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 14, 2016, 3:05 PM CDT for 38 counties in Arkansas; McCurtain County, Oklahoma; Bowie County, Red River County, Texas. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 14, 2016, 3:05 PM CDT (20:05 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 14, 2016, 9:00 PM CDT
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 41 counties
Arkansas County, AR, Bradley County, AR, Calhoun County, AR, Clark County, AR, Cleveland County, AR, Columbia County, AR, Conway County, AR, Dallas County, AR, Desha County, AR, Drew County, AR, Faulkner County, AR, Garland County, AR, Grant County, AR, Hempstead County, AR, Hot Spring County, AR, Howard County, AR, Jefferson County, AR, Johnson County, AR, Lafayette County, AR, Lincoln County, AR, Little River County, AR, Logan County, AR, Lonoke County, AR, Miller County, AR, Montgomery County, AR, Nevada County, AR, Ouachita County, AR, Perry County, AR, Pike County, AR, Polk County, AR, Pope County, AR, Prairie County, AR, Pulaski County, AR, Saline County, AR, Scott County, AR, Sevier County, AR, Union County, AR, Yell County, AR, McCurtain County, OK, Bowie County, TX, Red River County, TX
The radar
The Western Arkansas radar (KSRX), 87 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:06 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 5%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 2%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 50%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 30%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 10%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
21 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 14, 3:28 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Johnson, Logan, Montgomery, Newton, Polk, Pope and 2 more | 62 min |
| Jul 14, 3:51 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | McCurtain | 24 min |
| Jul 14, 4:15 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Garland, Perry, Yell | 45 min |
| Jul 14, 4:17 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Montgomery, Pike, Polk | 43 min |
| Jul 14, 4:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Conway, Garland, Johnson, Logan, Montgomery, Perry and 4 more | 46 min |
| Jul 14, 4:51 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Hempstead, Howard, Sevier | 39 min |
| Jul 14, 4:59 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Clark, Garland, Grant, Hot Spring, Montgomery, Pike and 1 more | 61 min |
| Jul 14, 5:09 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Conway, Faulkner, Perry, Pulaski, Saline | 51 min |
| Jul 14, 5:31 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Hempstead, Howard, Little River, Nevada, Sevier | 59 min |
| Jul 14, 5:38 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | Pulaski, Saline | 22 min |
| Jul 14, 5:53 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Cleveland, Dallas, Garland, Grant, Hot Spring, Jefferson and 2 more | 67 min |
| Jul 14, 5:55 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Clark, Dallas, Ouachita | 50 min |
| Jul 14, 5:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Faulkner, Lonoke, Pulaski, Saline | 49 min |
| Jul 14, 6:10 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Columbia, Hempstead, Lafayette, Nevada | 65 min |
| Jul 14, 6:30 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Bradley, Calhoun, Cleveland, Dallas, Drew, Grant and 2 more | 45 min |
| Jul 14, 6:35 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Bradley, Calhoun, Ouachita | 40 min |
| Jul 14, 6:41 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Columbia, Lafayette, Union | 64 min |
| Jul 14, 6:47 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Arkansas, Lonoke, Prairie, Pulaski | 43 min |
| Jul 14, 7:13 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Arkansas, Desha, Drew, Jefferson, Lincoln, Monroe | 47 min |
| Jul 14, 7:28 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Arkansas, Monroe, Prairie, Woodruff | 47 min |
| Jul 14, 8:03 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Arkansas, Monroe, Prairie | 42 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Shreveport, LA (KBAD), launched 12:00Z, 8.1 hours before the alert went out and 245 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 645 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -344 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1134 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 6 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -29 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 87 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 14, 3:10 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Howard, Little River, Polk, Sevier | 95 min |
| Jul 14, 11:21 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Benton, Crawford, Sebastian, Washington | 114 min |
| Jul 14, 11:38 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Benton, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin, Madison, Sebastian and 1 more | 5 hr |
| Jul 14, 2:14 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clark, Conway, Crawford, Dallas, Franklin, Garland and 20 more | 91 min |
| Jul 14, 5:43 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Clark and 20 more | 2 hr |
| Jul 14, 5:05 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Beckham, Caddo, Cimarron, Comanche, Custer, Dewey and 8 more | 115 min |
| Jul 14, 6:25 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Beckham, Caddo, Comanche, Cotton, Grady, Greer and 7 more | 7 hr |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Arkansas, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Oklahoma, 2016Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.