Alert archive / Oklahoma / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 382

July 14, 20167 counties in Arkansas; 18 counties in Oklahoma

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 14, 2016, 11:38 AM CDT for 7 counties in Arkansas; 18 counties in Oklahoma. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 14, 2016, 11:38 AM CDT (16:38 UTC)
Expired
Jul 14, 2016, 4:42 PM CDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 25 counties

Benton County, AR, Carroll County, AR, Crawford County, AR, Franklin County, AR, Madison County, AR, Sebastian County, AR, Washington County, AR, Adair County, OK, Cherokee County, OK, Creek County, OK, Delaware County, OK, Haskell County, OK, Latimer County, OK, LeFlore County, OK, Mayes County, OK, McIntosh County, OK, Muskogee County, OK, Okfuskee County, OK, Okmulgee County, OK, Pittsburg County, OK, Pushmataha County, OK, Rogers County, OK, Sequoyah County, OK, Tulsa County, OK, Wagoner County, OK

The radar

The Tulsa radar (KINX), 31 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:38 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
5%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

14 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 14, 11:48 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSANowata, Osage, Pawnee, Tulsa, Washington57 min
Jul 14, 12:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACreek, Pawnee, Tulsa42 min
Jul 14, 12:19 PM CDTTornado WarningTSACreek, Tulsa6 min
Jul 14, 12:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACreek, Muskogee, Okmulgee, Rogers, Tulsa, Wagoner59 min
Jul 14, 12:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACherokee, McIntosh, Muskogee, Okmulgee, Wagoner56 min
Jul 14, 12:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAMayes, Rogers, Wagoner67 min
Jul 14, 1:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAAdair, Cherokee, Delaware, Haskell, McIntosh, Mayes and 5 more55 min
Jul 14, 1:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAMcIntosh, Pittsburg49 min
Jul 14, 2:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACrawford, Sebastian, Washington60 min
Jul 14, 2:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSALatimer, Pittsburg, Pushmataha54 min
Jul 14, 2:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAHaskell, Latimer, LeFlore, Pushmataha60 min
Jul 14, 2:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACrawford, Franklin, Madison, Sebastian, Washington59 min
Jul 14, 3:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSALatimer, LeFlore, Pushmataha58 min
Jul 14, 3:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACrawford, Franklin, Madison, Sebastian, Washington48 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 4.6 hours before the alert went out and 181 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2016-07-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 36 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2016-07-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -84 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
36 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-347 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1320 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
46 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-84 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
223 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
14.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 14, 3:10 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHoward, Little River, Polk, Sevier95 min
Jul 14, 11:21 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Crawford, Sebastian, Washington114 min
Jul 14, 2:14 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Conway, Crawford, Dallas, Franklin, Garland and 20 more91 min
Jul 14, 3:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCArkansas, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Columbia and 32 more6 hr
Jul 14, 5:43 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Clark and 20 more2 hr
Jul 14, 5:05 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeckham, Caddo, Cimarron, Comanche, Custer, Dewey and 8 more115 min
Jul 14, 6:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBeckham, Caddo, Comanche, Cotton, Grady, Greer and 7 more7 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Oklahoma, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Arkansas, 2016Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.