Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2016
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 85
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Apr 11, 2016, 1:38 PM CDT for 15 counties in Oklahoma; 52 counties in Texas. It was in force for 9 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Apr 11, 2016, 1:38 PM CDT (18:38 UTC)
- Expired
- Apr 11, 2016, 11:00 PM CDT
- In force
- 9 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 3 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 67 counties
Atoka County, OK, Bryan County, OK, Carter County, OK, Choctaw County, OK, Coal County, OK, Garvin County, OK, Jefferson County, OK, Johnston County, OK, Love County, OK, Marshall County, OK, McCurtain County, OK, Murray County, OK, Pontotoc County, OK, Pushmataha County, OK, Stephens County, OK, Anderson County, TX, Angelina County, TX, Bowie County, TX, Camp County, TX, Cass County, TX, Cherokee County, TX, Clay County, TX, Collin County, TX, Cooke County, TX, Dallas County, TX, Delta County, TX, Denton County, TX, Ellis County, TX, Fannin County, TX, Franklin County, TX, Freestone County, TX, Grayson County, TX, Gregg County, TX, Harrison County, TX, Henderson County, TX, Hill County, TX, Hood County, TX, Hopkins County, TX, Hunt County, TX, Jack County, TX, Johnson County, TX, Kaufman County, TX, Lamar County, TX, Leon County, TX, Marion County, TX, Montague County, TX, Morris County, TX, Nacogdoches County, TX, Navarro County, TX, Palo Pinto County, TX, Panola County, TX, Parker County, TX, Rains County, TX, Red River County, TX, Rockwall County, TX, Rusk County, TX, San Augustine County, TX, Shelby County, TX, Smith County, TX, Somervell County, TX, Tarrant County, TX, Titus County, TX, Upshur County, TX, Van Zandt County, TX, Wise County, TX, Wood County, TX, Young County, TX
The radar
The Dallas/Ft Worth radar (KFWS), 132 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:41 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 5%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 50%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 40%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 80%
Warnings issued inside it
41 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 1:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Atoka, Bryan, Coal | 47 min |
| Apr 11, 2:06 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Atoka, Bryan, Johnston, Marshall | 39 min |
| Apr 11, 2:28 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Pushmataha | 32 min |
| Apr 11, 2:36 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Archer, Clay, Wichita | 39 min |
| Apr 11, 2:40 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Bryan | 50 min |
| Apr 11, 2:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Fannin, Lamar | 62 min |
| Apr 11, 3:08 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Archer, Clay | 52 min |
| Apr 11, 3:12 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Choctaw | 48 min |
| Apr 11, 3:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Pushmataha | 16 min |
| Apr 11, 3:19 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | McCurtain | 41 min |
| Apr 11, 3:27 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | OUN | Clay | 48 min |
| Apr 11, 3:35 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Jack, Montague, Wise | 55 min |
| Apr 11, 3:47 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Collin, Hunt | 58 min |
| Apr 11, 3:55 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | McCurtain | 50 min |
| Apr 11, 3:55 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Lamar | 20 min |
| Apr 11, 3:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Choctaw | 32 min |
| Apr 11, 3:59 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | FWD | Jack, Montague, Wise | 46 min |
| Apr 11, 4:03 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Montague | 34 min |
| Apr 11, 4:18 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | FWD | Montague, Wise | 27 min |
| Apr 11, 4:40 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Hopkins, Hunt, Rains | 65 min |
| Apr 11, 4:43 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Cooke, Denton, Montague, Wise | 62 min |
| Apr 11, 4:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | McCurtain | 61 min |
| Apr 11, 5:02 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Franklin, Wood | 58 min |
| Apr 11, 5:10 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | FWD | Hopkins | 35 min |
| Apr 11, 5:23 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Collin, Denton | 52 min |
| Apr 11, 5:29 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SHV | Camp, Franklin, Upshur, Wood | 61 min |
| Apr 11, 5:52 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Camp, Franklin, Gregg, Morris, Upshur, Wood | 53 min |
| Apr 11, 5:59 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Collin, Dallas, Hunt, Kaufman, Rockwall | 61 min |
| Apr 11, 6:20 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SHV | Harrison, Marion, Upshur | 40 min |
| Apr 11, 6:21 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Stephens, Young | 54 min |
| Apr 11, 6:41 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Rains, Van Zandt | 49 min |
| Apr 11, 6:43 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Gregg, Harrison, Marion, Upshur | 62 min |
| Apr 11, 6:55 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SHV | Harrison, Marion | 53 min |
| Apr 11, 7:06 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | FWD | Rains, Van Zandt | 24 min |
| Apr 11, 7:11 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Smith, Wood | 64 min |
| Apr 11, 7:31 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Harrison, Marion | 59 min |
| Apr 11, 7:35 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Henderson, Van Zandt | 40 min |
| Apr 11, 7:46 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Smith | 59 min |
| Apr 11, 7:59 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Gregg, Harrison, Smith, Upshur, Wood | 48 min |
| Apr 11, 8:28 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Cherokee, Gregg, Harrison, Rusk, Smith | 62 min |
| Apr 11, 9:13 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Panola, Rusk | 49 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 12:00Z, 6.6 hours before the alert went out and 107 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1237 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -122 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 804 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 58 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 331 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 347 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 1.4
- Supercell composite
- 3.7
The text
As transmitted.
043
WWUS20 KWNS 111835
SEL5
SPC WW 111835
ARZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-120200-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 85
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
135 PM CDT MON APR 11 2016
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
PARTS OF SOUTHWESTERN ARKANSAS
SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA
PORTIONS OF NORTHERN AND EASTERN TEXAS
* EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 135 PM UNTIL
900 PM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SCATTERED LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 3
INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
A TORNADO OR TWO POSSIBLE
SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEGUN DEVELOPING NEAR AND JUST NORTH OF
THE RED RIVER EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...WITH CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT NEAR
AND SOUTH OF THE RIVER INTO NORTHERN -- AND EVENTUALLY EASTERN --
TEXAS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. VERY LARGE HAIL CAN BE
EXPECTED WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS...ALONG WITH LOCALLY DAMAGING
WINDS AND POSSIBLY A TORNADO OR TWO.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES NORTHWEST
OF FORT WORTH TEXAS TO 55 MILES SOUTH OF DE QUEEN ARKANSAS. FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 84...
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 26035.
...GOSSSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 7:36 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Carter, Cleveland, Coal and 23 more | 114 min |
| Apr 10, 8:42 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Craig, Kay, Nowata, Osage, Ottawa, Rogers and 1 more | 2 hr |
| Apr 10, 9:31 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Beckham, Caddo, Canadian, Carter, Cleveland, Comanche and 17 more | 59 min |
| Apr 10, 9:52 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Atoka, Bryan, Caddo, Canadian, Carter, Cleveland and 24 more | 6 hr |
| Apr 10, 11:23 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Craig, Nowata, Osage, Ottawa, Rogers, Washington | 37 min |
| Apr 11, 12:21 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Carter, Cleveland, Coal, Garvin, Hughes, Jefferson and 10 more | 54 min |
| Apr 11, 12:57 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Adair, Cherokee, Choctaw, Creek, Haskell, Latimer and 10 more | 4 hr |
| Apr 11, 6:15 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bryan, Carter, Choctaw, Jefferson, Johnston, Love and 1 more | 3 hr |
| Apr 11, 12:39 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Carter, Jefferson, Love, Marshall | 2 hr |
| Apr 10, 8:54 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Dimmit, Edwards, Kinney, Maverick, Real, Uvalde and 2 more | 66 min |
| Apr 10, 11:06 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Atascosa, Bandera, Bexar, Comal, Dimmit, Frio and 9 more | 54 min |
| Apr 11, 11:48 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bowie, Cass, Marion | 2 hr |
| Apr 11, 1:05 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Jasper, Newton, Sabine | 6 hr |
| Apr 11, 1:43 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Austin, Brazos, Grimes, Hardin, Harris, Liberty and 8 more | 3 hr |
| Apr 11, 3:26 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clay, Collin, Cooke, Dallas, Delta, Denton and 18 more | 94 min |
| Apr 11, 3:42 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Newton, Sabine | 93 min |
| Apr 11, 4:49 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Collin, Dallas, Denton, Hunt, Rains, Rockwall and 1 more | 86 min |
| Apr 11, 5:27 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Archer, Baylor, Fisher, Haskell, Jones, King and 7 more | 93 min |
| Apr 11, 6:09 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Newton, Sabine | 66 min |
| Apr 11, 6:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Cherokee, Nacogdoches, Panola, Rusk, Shelby | 5 hr |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Oklahoma, 2016Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.