Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 85

April 11, 201615 counties in Oklahoma; 52 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Apr 11, 2016, 1:38 PM CDT for 15 counties in Oklahoma; 52 counties in Texas. It was in force for 9 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 11, 2016, 1:38 PM CDT (18:38 UTC)
Expired
Apr 11, 2016, 11:00 PM CDT
In force
9 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
3 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 67 counties

Atoka County, OK, Bryan County, OK, Carter County, OK, Choctaw County, OK, Coal County, OK, Garvin County, OK, Jefferson County, OK, Johnston County, OK, Love County, OK, Marshall County, OK, McCurtain County, OK, Murray County, OK, Pontotoc County, OK, Pushmataha County, OK, Stephens County, OK, Anderson County, TX, Angelina County, TX, Bowie County, TX, Camp County, TX, Cass County, TX, Cherokee County, TX, Clay County, TX, Collin County, TX, Cooke County, TX, Dallas County, TX, Delta County, TX, Denton County, TX, Ellis County, TX, Fannin County, TX, Franklin County, TX, Freestone County, TX, Grayson County, TX, Gregg County, TX, Harrison County, TX, Henderson County, TX, Hill County, TX, Hood County, TX, Hopkins County, TX, Hunt County, TX, Jack County, TX, Johnson County, TX, Kaufman County, TX, Lamar County, TX, Leon County, TX, Marion County, TX, Montague County, TX, Morris County, TX, Nacogdoches County, TX, Navarro County, TX, Palo Pinto County, TX, Panola County, TX, Parker County, TX, Rains County, TX, Red River County, TX, Rockwall County, TX, Rusk County, TX, San Augustine County, TX, Shelby County, TX, Smith County, TX, Somervell County, TX, Tarrant County, TX, Titus County, TX, Upshur County, TX, Van Zandt County, TX, Wise County, TX, Wood County, TX, Young County, TX

The radar

The Dallas/Ft Worth radar (KFWS), 132 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:41 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
40%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

41 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 11, 1:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNAtoka, Bryan, Coal47 min
Apr 11, 2:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNAtoka, Bryan, Johnston, Marshall39 min
Apr 11, 2:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAPushmataha32 min
Apr 11, 2:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNArcher, Clay, Wichita39 min
Apr 11, 2:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNBryan50 min
Apr 11, 2:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDFannin, Lamar62 min
Apr 11, 3:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNArcher, Clay52 min
Apr 11, 3:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAChoctaw48 min
Apr 11, 3:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAPushmataha16 min
Apr 11, 3:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVMcCurtain41 min
Apr 11, 3:27 PM CDTTornado WarningOUNClay48 min
Apr 11, 3:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDJack, Montague, Wise55 min
Apr 11, 3:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDCollin, Hunt58 min
Apr 11, 3:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVMcCurtain50 min
Apr 11, 3:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDLamar20 min
Apr 11, 3:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAChoctaw32 min
Apr 11, 3:59 PM CDTTornado WarningFWDJack, Montague, Wise46 min
Apr 11, 4:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDMontague34 min
Apr 11, 4:18 PM CDTTornado WarningFWDMontague, Wise27 min
Apr 11, 4:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDHopkins, Hunt, Rains65 min
Apr 11, 4:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDCooke, Denton, Montague, Wise62 min
Apr 11, 4:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVMcCurtain61 min
Apr 11, 5:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVFranklin, Wood58 min
Apr 11, 5:10 PM CDTTornado WarningFWDHopkins35 min
Apr 11, 5:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDCollin, Denton52 min
Apr 11, 5:29 PM CDTTornado WarningSHVCamp, Franklin, Upshur, Wood61 min
Apr 11, 5:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVCamp, Franklin, Gregg, Morris, Upshur, Wood53 min
Apr 11, 5:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDCollin, Dallas, Hunt, Kaufman, Rockwall61 min
Apr 11, 6:20 PM CDTTornado WarningSHVHarrison, Marion, Upshur40 min
Apr 11, 6:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDStephens, Young54 min
Apr 11, 6:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDRains, Van Zandt49 min
Apr 11, 6:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVGregg, Harrison, Marion, Upshur62 min
Apr 11, 6:55 PM CDTTornado WarningSHVHarrison, Marion53 min
Apr 11, 7:06 PM CDTTornado WarningFWDRains, Van Zandt24 min
Apr 11, 7:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVSmith, Wood64 min
Apr 11, 7:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVHarrison, Marion59 min
Apr 11, 7:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDHenderson, Van Zandt40 min
Apr 11, 7:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVSmith59 min
Apr 11, 7:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVGregg, Harrison, Smith, Upshur, Wood48 min
Apr 11, 8:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVCherokee, Gregg, Harrison, Rusk, Smith62 min
Apr 11, 9:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVPanola, Rusk49 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 12:00Z, 6.6 hours before the alert went out and 107 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Fort Worth, TX at 12:00Z on 2016-04-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1237 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Fort Worth, TX at 12:00Z on 2016-04-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 331 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1237 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-122 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
804 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
58 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
331 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
347 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.4
Supercell composite
3.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

043 
WWUS20 KWNS 111835
SEL5  
SPC WW 111835
ARZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-120200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 85
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
135 PM CDT MON APR 11 2016

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  PARTS OF SOUTHWESTERN ARKANSAS
  SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA
  PORTIONS OF NORTHERN AND EASTERN TEXAS

* EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 135 PM UNTIL
  900 PM CDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  SCATTERED LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 3
    INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
  ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
  A TORNADO OR TWO POSSIBLE

SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEGUN DEVELOPING NEAR AND JUST NORTH OF
THE RED RIVER EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...WITH CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT NEAR
AND SOUTH OF THE RIVER INTO NORTHERN -- AND EVENTUALLY EASTERN --
TEXAS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.  VERY LARGE HAIL CAN BE
EXPECTED WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS...ALONG WITH LOCALLY DAMAGING
WINDS AND POSSIBLY A TORNADO OR TWO.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES NORTHWEST
OF FORT WORTH TEXAS TO 55 MILES SOUTH OF DE QUEEN ARKANSAS.  FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 84...

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 26035.


...GOSS

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 10, 7:36 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBlaine, Caddo, Canadian, Carter, Cleveland, Coal and 23 more114 min
Apr 10, 8:42 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCraig, Kay, Nowata, Osage, Ottawa, Rogers and 1 more2 hr
Apr 10, 9:31 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeckham, Caddo, Canadian, Carter, Cleveland, Comanche and 17 more59 min
Apr 10, 9:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAtoka, Bryan, Caddo, Canadian, Carter, Cleveland and 24 more6 hr
Apr 10, 11:23 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCraig, Nowata, Osage, Ottawa, Rogers, Washington37 min
Apr 11, 12:21 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarter, Cleveland, Coal, Garvin, Hughes, Jefferson and 10 more54 min
Apr 11, 12:57 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdair, Cherokee, Choctaw, Creek, Haskell, Latimer and 10 more4 hr
Apr 11, 6:15 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBryan, Carter, Choctaw, Jefferson, Johnston, Love and 1 more3 hr
Apr 11, 12:39 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarter, Jefferson, Love, Marshall2 hr
Apr 10, 8:54 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDimmit, Edwards, Kinney, Maverick, Real, Uvalde and 2 more66 min
Apr 10, 11:06 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtascosa, Bandera, Bexar, Comal, Dimmit, Frio and 9 more54 min
Apr 11, 11:48 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBowie, Cass, Marion2 hr
Apr 11, 1:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCJasper, Newton, Sabine6 hr
Apr 11, 1:43 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAustin, Brazos, Grimes, Hardin, Harris, Liberty and 8 more3 hr
Apr 11, 3:26 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Collin, Cooke, Dallas, Delta, Denton and 18 more94 min
Apr 11, 3:42 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCNewton, Sabine93 min
Apr 11, 4:49 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCollin, Dallas, Denton, Hunt, Rains, Rockwall and 1 more86 min
Apr 11, 5:27 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArcher, Baylor, Fisher, Haskell, Jones, King and 7 more93 min
Apr 11, 6:09 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCNewton, Sabine66 min
Apr 11, 6:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCherokee, Nacogdoches, Panola, Rusk, Shelby5 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Oklahoma, 2016Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.