Alert archive / Arkansas / Tornado Watches in 2016

Tornado Watch 42

March 13, 201643 counties in Arkansas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 13, 2016, 2:10 PM CDT for 43 counties in Arkansas. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 13, 2016, 2:10 PM CDT (19:10 UTC)
Expired
Mar 13, 2016, 7:32 PM CDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
3 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 43 counties

Arkansas County, AR, Ashley County, AR, Bradley County, AR, Calhoun County, AR, Chicot County, AR, Clark County, AR, Cleveland County, AR, Columbia County, AR, Conway County, AR, Dallas County, AR, Desha County, AR, Drew County, AR, Faulkner County, AR, Garland County, AR, Grant County, AR, Hempstead County, AR, Hot Spring County, AR, Howard County, AR, Jefferson County, AR, Johnson County, AR, Lafayette County, AR, Lincoln County, AR, Little River County, AR, Logan County, AR, Lonoke County, AR, Miller County, AR, Monroe County, AR, Montgomery County, AR, Nevada County, AR, Ouachita County, AR, Perry County, AR, Pike County, AR, Polk County, AR, Pope County, AR, Prairie County, AR, Pulaski County, AR, Saline County, AR, Scott County, AR, Sevier County, AR, Union County, AR, White County, AR, Woodruff County, AR, Yell County, AR

The radar

The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 97 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:09 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
70%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
40%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
90%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
50%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

63 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 13, 3:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVHoward, Sevier22 min
Mar 13, 3:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKPolk24 min
Mar 13, 3:24 PM CDTTornado WarningSHVHoward, Sevier36 min
Mar 13, 3:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKScott30 min
Mar 13, 3:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKMontgomery, Pike, Polk, Scott37 min
Mar 13, 3:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKPolk, Scott50 min
Mar 13, 3:56 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKMontgomery, Polk19 min
Mar 13, 4:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKLogan, Scott44 min
Mar 13, 4:04 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKScott26 min
Mar 13, 4:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKClark, Hot Spring35 min
Mar 13, 4:12 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKMontgomery18 min
Mar 13, 4:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKGarland, Montgomery, Yell46 min
Mar 13, 4:30 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKGarland, Montgomery30 min
Mar 13, 4:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKLogan, Scott, Yell42 min
Mar 13, 4:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKGrant, Hot Spring, Saline49 min
Mar 13, 4:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKLogan49 min
Mar 13, 4:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKGarland, Montgomery, Perry, Saline, Yell53 min
Mar 13, 4:54 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKGarland, Montgomery36 min
Mar 13, 5:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKPulaski, Saline41 min
Mar 13, 5:28 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedLZKGarland, Perry, Saline32 min
Mar 13, 5:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVHoward, Sevier46 min
Mar 13, 5:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKLogan, Yell44 min
Mar 13, 5:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKConway, Faulkner, Garland, Perry, Pulaski, Saline50 min
Mar 13, 5:41 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKPulaski, Saline34 min
Mar 13, 5:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKJohnson, Logan, Pope, Yell49 min
Mar 13, 5:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKLonoke, Pulaski47 min
Mar 13, 6:00 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKFaulkner, Perry, Pulaski, Saline30 min
Mar 13, 6:05 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKLonoke40 min
Mar 13, 6:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVHoward, Sevier45 min
Mar 13, 6:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVColumbia, Union39 min
Mar 13, 6:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKArkansas, Jefferson, Lincoln38 min
Mar 13, 6:23 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKFaulkner, Perry, Pulaski37 min
Mar 13, 6:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKConway, Faulkner, Perry, Pulaski50 min
Mar 13, 6:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKJefferson, Lonoke, Pulaski48 min
Mar 13, 6:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKPrairie40 min
Mar 13, 6:39 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKArkansas, Jefferson, Lincoln21 min
Mar 13, 6:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKGarland, Perry, Pulaski, Saline50 min
Mar 13, 6:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVUnion65 min
Mar 13, 6:41 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedLZKLonoke49 min
Mar 13, 6:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKMontgomery, Pike48 min
Mar 13, 6:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKConway, Pope, Van Buren46 min
Mar 13, 6:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCalhoun, Ouachita61 min
Mar 13, 6:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVHempstead, Howard, Little River, Sevier44 min
Mar 13, 6:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBradley, Calhoun, Cleveland40 min
Mar 13, 6:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVUnion54 min
Mar 13, 6:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVHoward, Sevier12 min
Mar 13, 6:53 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedLZKFaulkner, Lonoke, White37 min
Mar 13, 6:54 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKPrairie36 min
Mar 13, 6:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVHempstead, Howard, Little River, Sevier55 min
Mar 13, 6:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVUnion17 min
Mar 13, 7:02 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKArkansas43 min
Mar 13, 7:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVColumbia, Union44 min
Mar 13, 7:08 PM CDTTornado WarningSHVUnion11 min
Mar 13, 7:08 PM CDTTornado WarningSHVUnion52 min
Mar 13, 7:12 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKBradley, Calhoun, Cleveland48 min
Mar 13, 7:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCleburne, Faulkner, Lonoke, Perry, Pulaski, White47 min
Mar 13, 7:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKLonoke, Monroe, Prairie, Woodruff46 min
Mar 13, 7:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKClark, Garland, Hot Spring, Pike59 min
Mar 13, 7:21 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKMonroe, Prairie, Woodruff39 min
Mar 13, 7:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANAshley61 min
Mar 13, 7:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBradley, Drew46 min
Mar 13, 7:29 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKArkansas, Monroe46 min
Mar 13, 7:30 PM CDTTornado WarningSHVHempstead, Nevada33 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Shreveport, LA (KBAD), launched 12:00Z, 7.2 hours before the alert went out and 209 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Shreveport, LA at 12:00Z on 2016-03-13Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Shreveport, LA at 12:00Z on 2016-03-13The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 141 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
781 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
43 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
141 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
157 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

427 
WWUS20 KWNS 131908
SEL2  
SPC WW 131908
ARZ000-LAZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-140100-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 42
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
210 PM CDT SUN MAR 13 2016

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ARKANSAS
  NORTHERN LOUISIANA
  SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
  NORTHEAST TEXAS

* EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 210 PM UNTIL
  800 PM CDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  A FEW TORNADOES LIKELY WITH A COUPLE INTENSE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
  WIDESPREAD LARGE HAIL LIKELY WITH ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL
    EVENTS TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
  SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE

SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP SOON OVER PARTS OF SOUTHEAST
OK/NORTHEAST TX/SOUTHWEST AR AND SPREAD ACROSS THE WATCH AREA. 
SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF VERY LARGE HAIL AND A FEW TORNADOES ARE THE
MAIN CONCERN THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES NORTHWEST OF LITTLE
ROCK ARKANSAS TO 25 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF EL DORADO ARKANSAS. 
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 41...

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.


...HART

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 13, 12:35 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHoward, Pike, Polk, Scott, Sevier55 min
Mar 13, 12:57 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCCrawford, Franklin, Sebastian6 hr
Mar 13, 1:01 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Clark and 17 more89 min
Mar 13, 3:19 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Clark and 31 more86 min
Mar 13, 5:35 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrawford, Franklin, Sebastian, Washington85 min
Mar 13, 5:58 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Clark and 38 more92 min
Mar 13, 6:41 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Clark and 40 more94 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2016Every tornado watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.