Alert archive / Arkansas / Tornado Watches in 2016
Tornado Watch 42
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 13, 2016, 2:10 PM CDT for 43 counties in Arkansas. It was in force for 5 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 13, 2016, 2:10 PM CDT (19:10 UTC)
- Expired
- Mar 13, 2016, 7:32 PM CDT
- In force
- 5 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 3 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 43 counties
Arkansas County, AR, Ashley County, AR, Bradley County, AR, Calhoun County, AR, Chicot County, AR, Clark County, AR, Cleveland County, AR, Columbia County, AR, Conway County, AR, Dallas County, AR, Desha County, AR, Drew County, AR, Faulkner County, AR, Garland County, AR, Grant County, AR, Hempstead County, AR, Hot Spring County, AR, Howard County, AR, Jefferson County, AR, Johnson County, AR, Lafayette County, AR, Lincoln County, AR, Little River County, AR, Logan County, AR, Lonoke County, AR, Miller County, AR, Monroe County, AR, Montgomery County, AR, Nevada County, AR, Ouachita County, AR, Perry County, AR, Pike County, AR, Polk County, AR, Pope County, AR, Prairie County, AR, Pulaski County, AR, Saline County, AR, Scott County, AR, Sevier County, AR, Union County, AR, White County, AR, Woodruff County, AR, Yell County, AR
The radar
The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 97 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:09 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 70%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 40%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 40%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 90%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 50%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 95%
Warnings issued inside it
63 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 3:18 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Howard, Sevier | 22 min |
| Mar 13, 3:21 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Polk | 24 min |
| Mar 13, 3:24 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SHV | Howard, Sevier | 36 min |
| Mar 13, 3:30 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Scott | 30 min |
| Mar 13, 3:38 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Montgomery, Pike, Polk, Scott | 37 min |
| Mar 13, 3:40 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Polk, Scott | 50 min |
| Mar 13, 3:56 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | Montgomery, Polk | 19 min |
| Mar 13, 4:01 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Logan, Scott | 44 min |
| Mar 13, 4:04 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | Scott | 26 min |
| Mar 13, 4:10 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Clark, Hot Spring | 35 min |
| Mar 13, 4:12 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | Montgomery | 18 min |
| Mar 13, 4:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Garland, Montgomery, Yell | 46 min |
| Mar 13, 4:30 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | Garland, Montgomery | 30 min |
| Mar 13, 4:33 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Logan, Scott, Yell | 42 min |
| Mar 13, 4:41 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Grant, Hot Spring, Saline | 49 min |
| Mar 13, 4:41 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Logan | 49 min |
| Mar 13, 4:52 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Garland, Montgomery, Perry, Saline, Yell | 53 min |
| Mar 13, 4:54 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | Garland, Montgomery | 36 min |
| Mar 13, 5:19 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Pulaski, Saline | 41 min |
| Mar 13, 5:28 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | Garland, Perry, Saline | 32 min |
| Mar 13, 5:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Howard, Sevier | 46 min |
| Mar 13, 5:31 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Logan, Yell | 44 min |
| Mar 13, 5:40 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Conway, Faulkner, Garland, Perry, Pulaski, Saline | 50 min |
| Mar 13, 5:41 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | Pulaski, Saline | 34 min |
| Mar 13, 5:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Johnson, Logan, Pope, Yell | 49 min |
| Mar 13, 5:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Lonoke, Pulaski | 47 min |
| Mar 13, 6:00 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | Faulkner, Perry, Pulaski, Saline | 30 min |
| Mar 13, 6:05 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | Lonoke | 40 min |
| Mar 13, 6:15 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Howard, Sevier | 45 min |
| Mar 13, 6:21 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Columbia, Union | 39 min |
| Mar 13, 6:22 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Arkansas, Jefferson, Lincoln | 38 min |
| Mar 13, 6:23 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | Faulkner, Perry, Pulaski | 37 min |
| Mar 13, 6:25 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Conway, Faulkner, Perry, Pulaski | 50 min |
| Mar 13, 6:27 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Jefferson, Lonoke, Pulaski | 48 min |
| Mar 13, 6:35 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Prairie | 40 min |
| Mar 13, 6:39 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | Arkansas, Jefferson, Lincoln | 21 min |
| Mar 13, 6:40 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Garland, Perry, Pulaski, Saline | 50 min |
| Mar 13, 6:40 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Union | 65 min |
| Mar 13, 6:41 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | Lonoke | 49 min |
| Mar 13, 6:42 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Montgomery, Pike | 48 min |
| Mar 13, 6:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Conway, Pope, Van Buren | 46 min |
| Mar 13, 6:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Calhoun, Ouachita | 61 min |
| Mar 13, 6:46 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Hempstead, Howard, Little River, Sevier | 44 min |
| Mar 13, 6:50 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Bradley, Calhoun, Cleveland | 40 min |
| Mar 13, 6:51 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Union | 54 min |
| Mar 13, 6:51 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Howard, Sevier | 12 min |
| Mar 13, 6:53 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | Faulkner, Lonoke, White | 37 min |
| Mar 13, 6:54 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | Prairie | 36 min |
| Mar 13, 6:54 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Hempstead, Howard, Little River, Sevier | 55 min |
| Mar 13, 6:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Union | 17 min |
| Mar 13, 7:02 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | Arkansas | 43 min |
| Mar 13, 7:02 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Columbia, Union | 44 min |
| Mar 13, 7:08 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SHV | Union | 11 min |
| Mar 13, 7:08 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SHV | Union | 52 min |
| Mar 13, 7:12 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | Bradley, Calhoun, Cleveland | 48 min |
| Mar 13, 7:13 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Cleburne, Faulkner, Lonoke, Perry, Pulaski, White | 47 min |
| Mar 13, 7:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Lonoke, Monroe, Prairie, Woodruff | 46 min |
| Mar 13, 7:16 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Clark, Garland, Hot Spring, Pike | 59 min |
| Mar 13, 7:21 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | Monroe, Prairie, Woodruff | 39 min |
| Mar 13, 7:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Ashley | 61 min |
| Mar 13, 7:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Bradley, Drew | 46 min |
| Mar 13, 7:29 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | Arkansas, Monroe | 46 min |
| Mar 13, 7:30 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SHV | Hempstead, Nevada | 33 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Shreveport, LA (KBAD), launched 12:00Z, 7.2 hours before the alert went out and 209 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 781 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 43 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 141 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 157 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
427
WWUS20 KWNS 131908
SEL2
SPC WW 131908
ARZ000-LAZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-140100-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 42
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
210 PM CDT SUN MAR 13 2016
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ARKANSAS
NORTHERN LOUISIANA
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
NORTHEAST TEXAS
* EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 210 PM UNTIL
800 PM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
A FEW TORNADOES LIKELY WITH A COUPLE INTENSE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
WIDESPREAD LARGE HAIL LIKELY WITH ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL
EVENTS TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP SOON OVER PARTS OF SOUTHEAST
OK/NORTHEAST TX/SOUTHWEST AR AND SPREAD ACROSS THE WATCH AREA.
SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF VERY LARGE HAIL AND A FEW TORNADOES ARE THE
MAIN CONCERN THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES NORTHWEST OF LITTLE
ROCK ARKANSAS TO 25 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF EL DORADO ARKANSAS.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 41...
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
...HARTSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 12:35 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Howard, Pike, Polk, Scott, Sevier | 55 min |
| Mar 13, 12:57 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Crawford, Franklin, Sebastian | 6 hr |
| Mar 13, 1:01 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Clark and 17 more | 89 min |
| Mar 13, 3:19 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Clark and 31 more | 86 min |
| Mar 13, 5:35 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Crawford, Franklin, Sebastian, Washington | 85 min |
| Mar 13, 5:58 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Clark and 38 more | 92 min |
| Mar 13, 6:41 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Clark and 40 more | 94 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2016Every tornado watch in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.