Tornado Warning 7, NWS Little Rock, AR

853 
WWUS54 KLZK 132251
SVSLZK

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
551 PM CDT SUN MAR 13 2016

ARC125-132301-
/O.CAN.KLZK.TO.W.0007.000000T0000Z-160313T2315Z/
SALINE AR-
551 PM CDT SUN MAR 13 2016

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR EAST CENTRAL SALINE COUNTY IS CANCELLED...
    
THE TORNADIC THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT
OF THE WARNED AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT FOR SOUTHEASTERN
ARKANSAS.

LAT...LON 3449 9209 3450 9225 3458 9224 3462 9225
      3473 9208 3470 9210 3463 9211 3462 9203
      3451 9203
TIME...MOT...LOC 2251Z 233DEG 17KT 3456 9221 

$$

ARC119-132315-
/O.CON.KLZK.TO.W.0007.000000T0000Z-160313T2315Z/
PULASKI AR-
551 PM CDT SUN MAR 13 2016

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 PM CDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN PULASKI COUNTY...
    
AT 551 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO
WAS LOCATED OVER WRIGHTSVILLE...OR 13 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SOUTHWEST
LITTLE ROCK...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

HAZARD...TORNADO AND HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION. 

IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT 
         SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE 
         TO ROOFS...WINDOWS...AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR.  TREE DAMAGE IS 
         LIKELY. 

THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
  WRIGHTSVILLE AROUND 600 PM CDT. 
  ESTES AROUND 610 PM CDT. 
  SCOTT AROUND 615 PM CDT. 

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS TORNADIC THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE
BREDLOW CORNER...HENSLEY...TERRY LOCK AND DAM...WOODSON AND WILLOW
BEACH.

LAT...LON 3449 9209 3450 9225 3458 9224 3462 9225
      3473 9208 3470 9210 3463 9211 3462 9203
      3451 9203
TIME...MOT...LOC 2251Z 233DEG 17KT 3456 9221 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...1.25IN

$$

CAVANAUGH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
255 PM CDT SUN MAR 13 2016

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY
SURFACE LOW IN OKLAHOMA CONTINUES TO MOVE TOWARD THE REGION...
WITH CELLS DEVELOPING ALONG THE DRY LINE AND TO THE EAST OF THE
LOW.

WILL BE AN ACTIVE EVENING FOR US...AS SHOWERS/STORMS BECOME MORE
WIDESPREAD. DISCRETE CELLS FORMING AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING LINE
WILL KEEP A TORNADO THREAT OVER THE REGION THROUGH SUNSET...AS
BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS HAVE ALLOWED MORE SURFACE-BASED INSTABILITY
TO DEVELOP...AND LOW LEVEL WIND FIELDS CONTINUE TO BACK AROUND TO
THE SOUTHEAST.

BIG THREAT FROM ANY SEVERE STORM TONIGHT WILL BE LARGE HAIL...
POSSIBLY UPWARDS OF TWO INCHES IN DIAMETER...GIVEN STEEP MID LEVEL
LAPSE RATES ASSOCIATED WITH THE APPROACHING SYSTEM. INITIAL MODE
OF CONVECTION WILL BE DISCRETE CELLS AHEAD OF THE DRYLINE...
PARTICULARLY ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ARKANSAS. THESE SHOULD
COALESCE MORE INTO A LINE ONCE PAST THE CENTRAL PORTION OF THE
AREA. HOWEVER...AS THE UPPER LOW AND COLD FRONT MOVE INTO THE AREA
LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING...ADDITIONAL DISCRETE
CELLS COULD FORM AHEAD OF THE STORMS ALONG THE FRONT...WITH
THINGS BECOMING MORE LINEAR AS THE ACTIVITY MOVES INTO
CENTRAL/EASTERN ARKANSAS AROUND/AFTER SUNSET. BEHIND THAT...
ELEVATED STORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER LOW COULD POSE AN
ADDITIONAL HAIL THREAT BEFORE THINGS COME TO AN END.

COLD FRONT WILL CLEAR THE AREA AFTER MIDNIGHT...WITH THE UPPER LOW
LAGGING A FEW HOURS BEHIND. SHOWERS/STORMS WILL COME TO AN END
BEFORE SUNRISE.

DRIER AIR WILL MOVE IN ON MONDAY...WITH WINDS COMING BACK AROUND
TO THE SOUTHWEST BY THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES ON MONDAY
AFTERNOON SHOULD HAVE NO PROBLEM REBOUNDING INTO THE 70S...AND
MUCH OF THE AREA COULD HAVE A QUICK SHOT AT 80 DEGREES ON TUESDAY
BEFORE ANOTHER FRONTAL BOUNDARY COOLS THINGS BACK DOWN TO MORE
SEASONAL LEVELS.
&&

.LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY
UPPER LOW PRESSURE WILL BE OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS TUESDAY NIGHT.
THIS UPPER LOW MOVES INTO THE GREAT LAKES WEDNESDAY AND WILL BE SLOW
TO MOVE OUT OF THE GREAT LAKES THURSDAY NIGHT. ZONAL FLOW DEVELOPS
OVER THE SOUTHERN U.S. FRIDAY WITH A LARGE RIDGE OVER THE WEST
COAST. ANOTHER UPPER LOW WILL MOVE THROUGH THE PLAINS SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY.

NO BIG CHANGES IN THE LONG TERM FORECAST. A COLD FRONT WILL
MOVE THROUGH ARKANSAS LATE TUESDAY...BUT WILL BE NEAR THE
SOUTHEAST CORNER OF THE STATE WEDNESDAY. THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT IN THE SOUTHEAST
NEAR THE FRONT. RAIN CHANCES WILL CONTINUE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SUNDAY AS A SLOW SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH THE PLAINS AND SOUTHERN
PLAINS. TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL WEDNESDAY THEN
COOLER FOR THE REST OF THE PERIOD.
&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
NO SIGNIFICANT FIRE WEATHER ISSUES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT
SEVEN DAYS.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     54  75  56  79 /  80  10   0  10
CAMDEN AR         53  80  59  83 /  70   0   0  10
HARRISON AR       50  75  54  75 /  80   0   0  10
HOT SPRINGS AR    52  77  56  79 /  80   0   0  10
LITTLE ROCK   AR  53  76  58  80 /  80   0   0  10
MONTICELLO AR     56  78  60  81 /  80   0   0  10
MOUNT IDA AR      51  78  56  79 /  60   0   0  10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  52  75  55  76 /  80   0   0  10
NEWPORT AR        54  74  56  78 /  80  10   0  10
PINE BLUFF AR     54  75  58  81 /  80   0   0  10
RUSSELLVILLE AR   51  77  53  79 /  80   0   0  10
SEARCY AR         52  74  54  79 /  80  10   0  10
STUTTGART AR      54  74  57  79 /  80   0   0  10
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...57 / LONG TERM...51

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
530 PM CDT SUN MAR 13 2016

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-140945-
BOONE-MARION-BAXTER-FULTON-SHARP-NEWTON-SEARCY-STONE-IZARD-
INDEPENDENCE-JOHNSON-POPE-VAN BUREN-CLEBURNE-JACKSON-LOGAN-CONWAY-
FAULKNER-WHITE-WOODRUFF-SCOTT-YELL-PERRY-POLK-MONTGOMERY-GARLAND-
SALINE-PULASKI-LONOKE-PRAIRIE-MONROE-PIKE-CLARK-HOT SPRING-GRANT-
JEFFERSON-ARKANSAS-DALLAS-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-DESHA-OUACHITA-
CALHOUN-BRADLEY-DREW-
530 PM CDT SUN MAR 13 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT

A STRONG SYSTEM WILL CROSS ARKANSAS...BRINGING STRONG TO SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS TO AREAS OF THE STATE. THE MAIN AREA WILL BE OVER
CENTRAL ARKANSAS. THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPED IN WESTERN ARKANSAS THIS
AFTERNOON...THEN WILL SHIFT TO CENTRAL AREAS THIS EVENING...THEN
EASTERN AREAS LATER THIS EVENING.  LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE PRIMARY
THREAT...AND DAMAGING WINDS TO A LESSER EXTENT. SOME STORMS WILL
PRODUCE TORNADOES DUE TO THE FAVORABLE WIND FIELDS. IF THE STORMS
FORM INTO A LINE...THE PRIMARY THREAT WILL TRANSITION TO MAINLY A
DAMAGING WIND AND LARGE HAIL THREAT DURING THE EVENING HOURS.

THE GROUND OVER MUCH OF SOUTHERN AND EASTERN ARKANSAS IS ALREADY
SATURATED. ANY HEAVY RAINFALL FROM A STRONG THUNDERSTORM COULD
CREATE LOCALIZED AREAS OF FLOODING...OR COULD EXACERBATE AND ONGOING
RUNOFF ISSUES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

DRY WEATHER IS FORECAST MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL
MOVE THROUGH THE REGION ON THURSDAY...BUT LITTLE CONVECTION IS
EXPECTED WITH IT AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS REQUESTED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

&&

VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO HTTP://WEATHER.GOV AND
CLICK ON CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

64/57/59

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
501 PM CDT SUN MAR 13 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0450 PM     HAIL             MALVERN                 34.36N 92.81W
03/13/2016  E1.50 INCH       HOT SPRING         AR   AMATEUR RADIO

            PING PONG SIZE HAIL REPORTED FROM AMATEUR RADIO JUST
            OUTSIDE OF MALVERN CITY LIMITS.

&&

MBROWN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
503 PM CDT SUN MAR 13 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0502 PM     HAIL             2 SW PERLA              34.34N 92.80W
03/13/2016  E1.50 INCH       HOT SPRING         AR   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

57

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
508 PM CDT SUN MAR 13 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0507 PM     HAIL             AVANT                   34.65N 93.33W
03/13/2016  E2.50 INCH       GARLAND            AR   EMERGENCY MNGR

            PING PONG TO TENNIS BALL SIZED HAIL WAS FALLING IN THE
            BUCKVILLE/AVANT AREA.

&&

57

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
509 PM CDT SUN MAR 13 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0455 PM     TSTM WND DMG     10 E MT IDA             34.55N 93.46W
03/13/2016                   MONTGOMERY         AR   PUBLIC

            TREES HAVE BLOWN BEEN BLOWN DOWN AND DOCKS RIPPED UP AT
            MOUNTAIN HARBOR RESORT.

&&

224

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
530 PM CDT SUN MAR 13 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0515 PM     HAIL             6 SE BENTON             34.51N 92.50W
03/13/2016  E1.75 INCH       SALINE             AR   BROADCAST MEDIA

            GOLFBALL SIZED HAIL WAS COVERING THE ROAD AT THE HIGHWAY
            35 AND HIGHWAY 190 JUNCTION.

&&

57

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
539 PM CDT SUN MAR 13 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0535 PM     HAIL             2 N JESSIEVILLE         34.73N 93.07W
03/13/2016  E3.00 INCH       GARLAND            AR   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            TWO TO THREE INCH DIAMETER HAIL WAS REPORTED TWO MILES
            NORTH OF JESSIEVILLE.

&&

57