Alert archive / Arkansas / Marion County
Weather alerts in Marion County, Arkansas, 2015
181 weather alerts in 2015, from the National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center. An alert counts here when it covered this county.
Marion County and its neighbors
Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2015. Tap one for its archive.
- Alerts
- 181
- Warnings
- 54
- Watches
- 33
- Advisories
- 34
- Busiest month
- March35 alerts
- Busiest day
- March 25, 201510 alerts
Over time
By month
Warning verification
How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.
0 of 3 tornado warnings covering Marion County in 2015 had a tornado report inside them.
Marion County, 2015
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tornado warnings | 3 | 0 | 100% | 0 | ||
| Severe thunderstorm warnings | 33 | 11 | 67% | 2 | 0% | |
| Flash flood warnings | 13 | 6 | 54% | 1 | 100% | 54 min |
Each office's whole area, 2015
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NWS Little Rock, AR: tornado warnings | 40 | 6 | 85% | 14 | 71% | 17 min |
| NWS Little Rock, AR: severe thunderstorm warnings | 380 | 120 | 68% | 248 | 88% | 24 min |
| NWS Little Rock, AR: flash flood warnings | 138 | 49 | 64% | 76 | 83% | 108 min |
An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.
Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.
The alerts
Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Central Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2:16 PM CST | Lake Wind Advisory | LZK | 28 hr |
| Jan 6, 2:39 PM CST | Lake Wind Advisory | LZK | 27 hr |
| Jan 7, 3:06 AM CST | Wind Chill Advisory | LZK | 19 hr |
| Jan 8, 5:41 AM CST | Wind Chill Advisory | LZK | 4 hr |
| Jan 10, 2:54 PM CST | Winter Weather Advisory | LZK | 24 hr |
| Jan 11, 10:31 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 4 hr |
| Jan 25, 2:17 AM CST | Lake Wind Advisory | LZK | 19 hr |
| Feb 1, 3:59 AM CST | Lake Wind Advisory | LZK | 26 hr |
| Feb 4, 2:40 AM CST | Lake Wind Advisory | LZK | 26 hr |
| Feb 14, 4:16 AM CST | Winter Storm Watch | LZK | 25 hr |
| Feb 15, 5:36 AM CST | Winter Storm Warning | LZK | 31 hr |
| Feb 16, 2:57 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 6 hr |
| Feb 17, 1:12 PM CST | Winter Weather Advisory | LZK | 11 hr |
| Feb 18, 1:52 PM CST | Winter Storm Watch | LZK | 24 hr |
| Feb 19, 1:37 PM CST | Winter Weather Advisory | LZK | 40 hr |
| Feb 21, 2:59 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Feb 27, 11:18 PM CST | Winter Weather Advisory | LZK | 34 hr |
| Feb 28, 7:59 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 6 hr |
| Mar 1, 2:42 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 3 hr |
| Mar 2, 4:00 AM CST | Winter Storm Watch | LZK | 23 hr |
| Mar 3, 3:22 AM CST | Winter Storm Warning | LZK | 53 hr |
| Mar 4, 6:40 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 5 hr |
| Mar 4, 1:34 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 4 hr |
| Mar 11, 3:04 PM CDT | Flash Flood Watch | LZK | 60 hr |
| Mar 24, 3:57 AM CDT | Lake Wind Advisory | LZK | 15 hr |
| Mar 24, 2:05 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 85 min |
| Mar 24, 2:59 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Mar 24, 5:30 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 90 min |
| Mar 24, 6:47 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 28 min |
| Mar 24, 6:55 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | 20 min |
| Mar 24, 7:00 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 30 min |
| Mar 24, 7:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 31 min |
| Mar 24, 7:34 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 26 min |
| Mar 24, 7:34 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 116 min |
| Mar 24, 7:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 34 min |
| Mar 24, 8:33 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 27 min |
| Mar 25, 1:30 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Mar 25, 2:16 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 8 hr |
| Mar 25, 5:33 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 87 min |
| Mar 25, 6:51 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 24 min |
| Mar 25, 7:13 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 47 min |
| Mar 25, 7:54 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 66 min |
| Mar 25, 8:01 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 34 min |
| Mar 25, 8:12 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | 3 hr |
| Mar 25, 8:40 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 50 min |
| Mar 25, 9:00 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 30 min |
| Mar 25, 9:03 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 42 min |
| Mar 25, 9:21 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 8 hr |
| Mar 25, 9:23 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 52 min |
| Mar 26, 2:47 AM CDT | Lake Wind Advisory | LZK | 13 hr |
| Mar 28, 2:21 PM CDT | Frost Advisory | LZK | 20 hr |
| Mar 31, 2:25 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Apr 1, 12:39 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 3 hr |
| Apr 1, 5:14 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 91 min |
| Apr 2, 7:02 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 8 hr |
| Apr 2, 10:12 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 93 min |
| Apr 3, 12:58 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | 18 min |
| Apr 3, 1:09 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 51 min |
| Apr 3, 1:16 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 59 min |
| Apr 3, 1:35 AM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
| Apr 3, 1:44 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 46 min |
| Apr 3, 5:12 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 48 min |
| Apr 3, 5:43 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Apr 3, 2:47 PM CDT | Frost Advisory | LZK | 18 hr |
| Apr 8, 2:35 PM CDT | Lake Wind Advisory | LZK | 28 hr |
| Apr 9, 3:17 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Apr 9, 5:45 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 45 min |
| Apr 9, 6:11 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 64 min |
| Apr 16, 5:01 AM CDT | Dense Fog Advisory | LZK | 4 hr |
| Apr 19, 1:42 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
| Apr 25, 3:25 AM CDT | Lake Wind Advisory | LZK | 16 hr |
| May 9, 4:03 AM CDT | Flash Flood Watch | LZK | 53 hr |
| May 10, 12:27 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | 4 hr |
| May 10, 4:27 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | 2 hr |
| May 10, 12:25 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 60 min |
| May 10, 12:30 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 45 min |
| May 16, 3:17 PM CDT | Flash Flood Watch | LZK | 43 hr |
| May 17, 1:43 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 92 min |
| May 17, 2:06 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 5 hr |
| May 17, 3:21 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | 5 hr |
| May 17, 6:25 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 65 min |
| May 17, 8:31 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | 3 hr |
| May 21, 3:02 PM CDT | Flash Flood Watch | LZK | 5 days |
| May 24, 3:52 AM CDT | Lake Wind Advisory | LZK | 15 hr |
| May 24, 12:34 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
| May 24, 3:19 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 26 min |
| May 24, 3:21 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | 24 min |
| May 24, 3:31 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 89 min |
| May 24, 5:20 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 40 min |
| May 25, 5:15 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 90 min |
| May 25, 5:51 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
| May 25, 7:36 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 26 min |
| May 25, 8:06 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 39 min |
| May 25, 8:42 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 48 min |
| May 25, 8:52 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 83 min |
| May 25, 9:09 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 51 min |
| May 25, 9:13 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | 6 hr |
| May 27, 4:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 31 min |
| May 29, 3:40 AM CDT | Flash Flood Watch | LZK | 39 hr |
| May 29, 6:31 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 3 hr |
| May 29, 8:20 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 45 min |
| Jun 5, 3:18 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 87 min |
| Jun 5, 6:11 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 34 min |
| Jun 5, 6:27 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 5 hr |
| Jun 5, 9:17 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 58 min |
| Jun 13, 3:51 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 84 min |
| Jun 16, 3:35 AM CDT | Flash Flood Watch | LZK | 3 days |
| Jun 26, 11:50 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 115 min |
| Jun 26, 11:55 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 45 min |
| Jun 26, 12:18 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Jun 26, 12:55 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 45 min |
| Jun 26, 7:13 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 62 min |
| Jul 1, 3:47 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jul 2, 2:37 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jul 2, 6:04 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 56 min |
| Jul 5, 2:23 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | 3 hr |
| Jul 7, 2:34 AM CDT | Flash Flood Watch | LZK | 40 hr |
| Jul 7, 11:45 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | 6 hr |
| Jul 7, 2:14 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | 3 hr |
| Jul 8, 1:58 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 92 min |
| Jul 8, 3:23 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 22 min |
| Jul 8, 3:56 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 49 min |
| Jul 9, 3:26 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jul 9, 7:52 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 23 min |
| Jul 9, 8:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 46 min |
| Jul 9, 8:22 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 83 min |
| Jul 9, 8:57 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 33 min |
| Jul 12, 2:41 AM CDT | Heat Advisory | LZK | 9 days |
| Jul 15, 2:53 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jul 15, 5:01 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 44 min |
| Jul 15, 6:29 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 46 min |
| Jul 15, 7:11 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | 3 hr |
| Jul 21, 5:39 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | 4 hr |
| Jul 22, 2:15 AM CDT | Flash Flood Watch | LZK | 35 hr |
| Jul 23, 2:50 PM CDT | Heat Advisory | LZK | 6 days |
| Jul 24, 9:00 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 45 min |
| Jul 24, 9:17 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 28 min |
| Jul 24, 9:45 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 45 min |
| Jul 24, 10:07 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 23 min |
| Jul 24, 10:23 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 52 min |
| Jul 24, 10:30 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 30 min |
| Aug 5, 12:14 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 31 min |
| Aug 6, 2:44 PM CDT | Heat Advisory | LZK | 3 days |
| Aug 7, 6:16 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 44 min |
| Aug 7, 5:41 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 3 hr |
| Aug 8, 3:18 AM CDT | Heat Advisory | LZK | 41 hr |
| Aug 23, 4:31 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 59 min |
| Aug 23, 4:51 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 3 hr |
| Aug 23, 5:11 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 49 min |
| Aug 30, 4:49 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | 3 hr |
| Sep 8, 2:42 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 33 min |
| Sep 11, 2:50 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 40 min |
| Oct 17, 4:36 AM CDT | Fire Weather Watch | LZK | 23 hr |
| Oct 18, 8:47 AM CDT | Fire Weather Watch | LZK | 34 hr |
| Nov 2, 2:52 AM CST | Dense Fog Advisory | LZK | 6 hr |
| Nov 3, 3:18 AM CST | Dense Fog Advisory | LZK | 5 hr |
| Nov 5, 3:32 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 88 min |
| Nov 5, 4:00 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | 5 hr |
| Nov 5, 7:46 PM CST | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 44 min |
| Nov 5, 8:14 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 61 min |
| Nov 8, 2:45 PM CST | Frost Advisory | LZK | 17 hr |
| Nov 10, 1:54 PM CST | Lake Wind Advisory | LZK | 31 hr |
| Nov 11, 4:25 PM CST | Wind Advisory | LZK | 5 hr |
| Nov 13, 3:33 AM CST | Frost Advisory | LZK | 29 hr |
| Nov 15, 2:27 PM CST | Flash Flood Watch | LZK | 59 hr |
| Nov 16, 9:39 PM CST | Lake Wind Advisory | LZK | 14 hr |
| Nov 17, 6:27 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
| Nov 17, 9:59 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Nov 20, 2:26 PM CST | Freeze Warning | LZK | 43 hr |
| Nov 20, 2:26 PM CST | Lake Wind Advisory | LZK | 28 hr |
| Nov 25, 2:09 PM CST | Flash Flood Watch | LZK | 4 days |
| Dec 13, 3:21 AM CST | Lake Wind Advisory | LZK | 16 hr |
| Dec 14, 3:45 AM CST | Lake Wind Advisory | LZK | 8 hr |
| Dec 23, 5:29 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 46 min |
| Dec 23, 6:20 AM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Dec 24, 4:00 PM CST | Flash Flood Watch | LZK | 4 days |
| Dec 26, 11:27 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Dec 27, 6:29 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | 9 hr |
| Dec 28, 3:12 AM CST | Areal Flood Warning | LZK | 24 hr |
| Dec 28, 3:38 AM CST | Wind Advisory | LZK | 14 hr |
| Dec 29, 5:04 AM CST | Areal Flood Warning | LZK | 12 hr |
By product
Every kind of product issued here, grouped by hazard. Each opens the same place narrowed to that product.
| Product | Alerts |
|---|---|
| Severe storms | |
| Severe Thunderstorm Warning | 33 |
| Tornado Warning | 3 |
| Severe Thunderstorm Watch | 11 |
| Tornado Watch | 6 |
| Mesoscale Discussion | 43 |
| Special Weather Statement | 17 |
| Flooding | |
| Areal Flood Warning | 2 |
| Flash Flood Warning | 13 |
| Flash Flood Watch | 11 |
| Winter | |
| Winter Storm Warning | 2 |
| Winter Storm Watch | 3 |
| Winter Weather Advisory | 4 |
| Heat | |
| Heat Advisory | 4 |
| Cold | |
| Freeze Warning | 1 |
| Frost Advisory | 4 |
| Wind Chill Advisory | 2 |
| Wind and dust | |
| Lake Wind Advisory | 15 |
| Wind Advisory | 2 |
| Fire | |
| Fire Weather Watch | 2 |
| Fog and smoke | |
| Dense Fog Advisory | 3 |
The busiest days
Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.
Nearby
Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20142016
Sources
National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.