Flash Flood Warning 101, NWS Little Rock, AR

139 
WGUS74 KLZK 301048
FFSLZK

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
548 AM CDT SUN AUG 30 2015

ARC009-089-301245-
/O.CON.KLZK.FF.W.0101.000000T0000Z-150830T1245Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MARION AR-BOONE AR-
548 AM CDT SUN AUG 30 2015

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 745 AM CDT FOR
NORTHWESTERN MARION AND BOONE COUNTIES...

AT 543 AM CDT...SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUED ACROSS 
THE WARNED AREA...ESPECIALLY NORTH OF HARRISON BETWEEN OMAHA AND 
DIAMOND CITY. THE RADAR SHOWED THAT PRECIPITATION WAS GENERALLY 
WEAKENING. MUCH OF NORTHERN BOONE COUNTY RECEIVED TWO TO THREE 
INCHES OF RAIN...WITH LOCALLY OVER FOUR INCHES. GIVEN THIS MUCH RAIN 
IN JUST A COUPLE OF HOURS...FLASH FLOODING IS LIKELY IN PLACES.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
HARRISON...DIAMOND CITY...BERGMAN...LEAD HILL...OMAHA...WININGTON...
CAPPS...CLARK HILL...SELF...MYRTLE...RED BANK...WILLIS...
BELLEFONTE...CRUMPLER SUBDIVISION...ZINC...SOUTH LEAD HILL...
BATAVIA...BEAR CREEK SPRINGS...NEW HOPE IN BOONE COUNTY AND RIDGEWAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD
DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES.

&&

LAT...LON 3648 9263 3613 9311 3615 9329 3645 9328
      3646 9327 3650 9318 3650 9265

$$

46

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
432 AM CDT SUN AUG 30 2015

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT

SLOW MOVING SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS HAVE CONTINUED TO
DEVELOP DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...GENERALLY ACROSS WESTERN AND
NORTHERN ARKANSAS. DO EXPECT THESE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO
WEAKEN DURING THE MORNING HOURS...WITH HIRES MODELS AGREEING THAT
REDEVELOPMENT WILL BE LIKELY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS
ON SUNDAY. BUFR SOUNDINGS ARE GENERATING BETWEEN 2000 AND 3000 J/KG
OF MU CAPE ACROSS NORTHERN ARKANSAS WITH TEMPERATURES WARMING INTO
THE UPPER 80S.

THROUGH THE FIRST PART OF THE WEEK...A WEAK UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL
REMAIN ACROSS THE AREA. HOWEVER MODELS HAVE CONTINUED TO TREND A BIT
DRIER WITH LIMITED AVAILABLE MOISTURE ACROSS THE AREA. PRECIPITABLE
WATER VALUES WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY DECREASE THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
AS A RESULT...HAVE DECREASED POPS ON MONDAY LEADING TO NO CHANCES
FOR PRECIPITATION MONDAY THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE SHORT TERM.

HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE A BIT BELOW NORMAL TODAY ACROSS NORTHERN
ARKANSAS DUE TO THE INCREASED CLOUDS AND FORECAST PRECIP...OTHERWISE
NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL BE SEEN. THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
SHORT TERM...TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY WARM TO
SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS.

&&

.LONG TERM...THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

OVERALL...RIDGING WILL BE NOTED ACROSS MUCH OF THE SOUTH
CENTRAL/SOUTHEAST UNITED STATES. IT APPEARS THERE WILL BE A WEAK
STORM SYSTEM ALOFT ALONG THE WESTERN GULF COAST...AND THIS WILL
WOBBLE AROUND FOR A FEW DAYS. THE SYSTEM WILL MAKE THE PATTERN AT
LEAST A LITTLE UNSETTLED...WITH SMALL CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE FORECAST. ORGANIZED/WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION
IS NOT EXPECTED. UNDER THE RIDGE...TEMPERATURES WILL FEEL LIKE
SUMMER...WITH READINGS A LITTLE ABOVE NORMAL.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     88  69  89  69 /  30  10  10  10
CAMDEN AR         92  67  95  69 /  20  10  10  10
HARRISON AR       85  65  89  67 /  30  10  10  10
HOT SPRINGS AR    91  69  92  71 /  20  10  10  10
LITTLE ROCK   AR  91  69  93  71 /  20  10  10  10
MONTICELLO AR     93  69  94  71 /  20  10  10  10
MOUNT IDA AR      89  67  91  67 /  20  10  10  10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  86  67  90  68 /  30  10  10  10
NEWPORT AR        88  69  89  70 /  30  10  10  10
PINE BLUFF AR     92  68  93  70 /  20  10  10  10
RUSSELLVILLE AR   91  68  93  68 /  20  10  10  10
SEARCY AR         90  67  91  68 /  20  10  10  10
STUTTGART AR      90  69  91  71 /  20  10  10  10
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...65 / LONG TERM...58