Alert archive / Missouri / Tornado Watches in 2015

Tornado Watch 17

April 2, 20154 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Apr 2, 2015, 7:02 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 2, 2015, 7:02 PM CDT (00:02 UTC)
Expired
Apr 3, 2015, 2:50 AM CDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
3 in
Strongest gust expected
70 kt
All 57 counties

Baxter County, AR, Benton County, AR, Boone County, AR, Carroll County, AR, Fulton County, AR, Marion County, AR, Allen County, KS, Bourbon County, KS, Butler County, KS, Chautauqua County, KS, Cherokee County, KS, Cowley County, KS, Crawford County, KS, Elk County, KS, Greenwood County, KS, Labette County, KS, Montgomery County, KS, Neosho County, KS, Wilson County, KS, Woodson County, KS, Barry County, MO, Barton County, MO, Cedar County, MO, Christian County, MO, Dade County, MO, Dallas County, MO, Dent County, MO, Douglas County, MO, Greene County, MO, Howell County, MO, Jasper County, MO, Laclede County, MO, Lawrence County, MO, McDonald County, MO, Newton County, MO, Oregon County, MO, Ozark County, MO, Phelps County, MO, Polk County, MO, Pulaski County, MO, Shannon County, MO, Stone County, MO, Taney County, MO, Texas County, MO, Vernon County, MO, Webster County, MO, Wright County, MO, Craig County, OK, Delaware County, OK, Kay County, OK, Mayes County, OK, Nowata County, OK, Osage County, OK, Ottawa County, OK, Pawnee County, OK, Rogers County, OK, Washington County, OK

The radar

The Springfield radar (KSGF), 125 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:04 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
70%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
50%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

68 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 2, 7:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFCrawford55 min
Apr 2, 7:11 PM CDTTornado WarningICTLabette49 min
Apr 2, 7:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFCherokee, Crawford59 min
Apr 2, 7:41 PM CDTTornado WarningSGFCherokee, Crawford49 min
Apr 2, 7:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTLabette, Montgomery52 min
Apr 2, 7:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFBarton, Jasper51 min
Apr 2, 8:05 PM CDTTornado WarningICTLabette40 min
Apr 2, 8:07 PM CDTTornado WarningSGFBarton, Jasper23 min
Apr 2, 8:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTChautauqua, Montgomery48 min
Apr 2, 8:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFCedar, Dade, Polk45 min
Apr 2, 8:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSANowata, Osage, Washington39 min
Apr 2, 8:23 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedSGFBarton, Dade, Jasper, Lawrence37 min
Apr 2, 8:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACraig, Mayes, Rogers51 min
Apr 2, 8:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFJasper, Newton64 min
Apr 2, 8:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFCherokee14 min
Apr 2, 8:42 PM CDTTornado WarningSGFCherokee48 min
Apr 2, 8:56 PM CDTTornado WarningSGFDade, Lawrence23 min
Apr 2, 8:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACraig, Nowata47 min
Apr 2, 9:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACraig, Delaware, Mayes, Ottawa42 min
Apr 2, 9:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFCherokee26 min
Apr 2, 9:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSANowata, Osage, Washington21 min
Apr 2, 9:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACraig, Ottawa49 min
Apr 2, 9:18 PM CDTTornado WarningTSACraig, Nowata27 min
Apr 2, 9:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFCherokee28 min
Apr 2, 9:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSANowata, Washington39 min
Apr 2, 9:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACraig, Delaware, Ottawa61 min
Apr 2, 9:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFJasper, Lawrence, Newton44 min
Apr 2, 9:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSABenton42 min
Apr 2, 9:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFMcDonald42 min
Apr 2, 9:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFDade, Greene, Lawrence32 min
Apr 2, 10:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACraig, Nowata44 min
Apr 2, 10:02 PM CDTTornado WarningTSACraig, Delaware, Ottawa43 min
Apr 2, 10:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACraig, Delaware, Ottawa48 min
Apr 2, 10:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSADelaware, Ottawa17 min
Apr 2, 10:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFMcDonald46 min
Apr 2, 11:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSADelaware, Ottawa21 min
Apr 2, 11:20 PM CDTTornado WarningSGFBarry, Stone40 min
Apr 2, 11:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSABenton, Carroll50 min
Apr 2, 11:41 PM CDTTornado WarningSGFBarry34 min
Apr 3, 12:02 AM CDTTornado WarningSGFStone, Taney43 min
Apr 3, 12:11 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFDouglas37 min
Apr 3, 12:14 AM CDTTornado WarningSGFDouglas31 min
Apr 3, 12:20 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACarroll25 min
Apr 3, 12:23 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTButler, Cowley48 min
Apr 3, 12:24 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBoone51 min
Apr 3, 12:39 AM CDTTornado WarningSGFDouglas, Howell36 min
Apr 3, 12:40 AM CDTTornado WarningLZKBoone20 min
Apr 3, 12:43 AM CDTTornado WarningSGFOzark, Taney30 min
Apr 3, 12:56 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTChautauqua, Elk, Greenwood, Montgomery, Wilson, Woodson64 min
Apr 3, 12:58 AM CDTTornado WarningLZKMarion18 min
Apr 3, 12:59 AM CDTTornado WarningSGFHowell, Oregon, Shannon46 min
Apr 3, 1:05 AM CDTTornado WarningSGFOzark40 min
Apr 3, 1:09 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBaxter, Boone, Marion51 min
Apr 3, 1:25 AM CDTTornado WarningSGFOregon, Shannon35 min
Apr 3, 1:28 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFHowell47 min
Apr 3, 1:38 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTMontgomery, Wilson27 min
Apr 3, 1:44 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBaxter, Boone, Marion46 min
Apr 3, 1:48 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBaxter, Fulton, Izard42 min
Apr 3, 1:52 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTAllen, Labette, Neosho38 min
Apr 3, 1:56 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFOregon34 min
Apr 3, 2:02 AM CDTTornado WarningICTLabette28 min
Apr 3, 2:05 AM CDTTornado WarningSGFCherokee40 min
Apr 3, 2:08 AM CDTTornado WarningTSACraig, Ottawa37 min
Apr 3, 2:09 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFCherokee, Crawford51 min
Apr 3, 2:22 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBaxter, Fulton, Izard19 min
Apr 3, 2:28 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFBarton, Jasper, Newton62 min
Apr 3, 2:42 AM CDTTornado WarningTSAOttawa17 min
Apr 3, 2:45 AM CDTTornado WarningSGFNewton45 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 0.0 hours before the alert went out and 100 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2015-04-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1838 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2015-04-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 104 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1838 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-4 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1146 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
49 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
104 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
149 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.8
Supercell composite
5.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

297 
WWUS20 KWNS 030005
SEL7  
SPC WW 030005
ARZ000-KSZ000-MOZ000-OKZ000-030700-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 17
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
705 PM CDT THU APR 2 2015

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  NORTHWEST AND NORTH-CENTRAL ARKANSAS
  SOUTHEAST KANSAS
  SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL MISSOURI
  NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA

* EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING FROM 705 PM
  UNTIL 200 AM CDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE
  SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT GUSTS
    TO 80 MPH POSSIBLE
  SCATTERED LARGE HAIL LIKELY WITH ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS
    TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 65 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF
BARTLESVILLE OKLAHOMA TO 40 MILES NORTHEAST OF WEST PLAINS
MISSOURI.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

DISCUSSION...RAPID THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS UNDERWAY WITH
SUPERCELLS EXPECTED TO QUICKLY EVOLVE WITH A RISK FOR VERY LARGE
HAIL AND A FEW TORNADOES.  A TRANSITION TO BOWING LINE SEGMENTS
MIXED WITH SUPERCELLS WILL LIKELY OCCUR TONIGHT WITH A CONTINUED
RISK FOR TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL...AND CORRIDORS OF WIND DAMAGE.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27035.


...MEAD

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 2, 10:12 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Boone, Carroll, Marion93 min
Apr 3, 1:16 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Clay, Craighead and 13 more59 min
Apr 3, 1:35 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCBaxter, Boone, Clay, Cleburne, Craighead, Fulton and 14 more6 hr
Apr 3, 1:52 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBenton, Carroll4 hr
Apr 3, 5:43 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Clay, Cleburne, Craighead, Fulton, Greene and 13 more2 hr
Apr 3, 12:14 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCMississippi8 hr
Apr 3, 3:57 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Cleveland and 6 more93 min
Apr 3, 5:54 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCUnion2 hr
Apr 3, 5:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAshley, Chicot4 hr
Apr 2, 7:20 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarton, Cloud, Edwards, Ellis, Ellsworth, Finney and 34 more85 min
Apr 2, 9:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAllen, Anderson, Barton, Butler, Chase, Chautauqua and 35 more5 hr
Apr 2, 11:44 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCButler, Elk, Greenwood, Harvey, McPherson, Reno and 3 more61 min
Apr 3, 1:57 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Anderson, Coffey, Labette, Montgomery, Neosho and 2 more63 min
Apr 2, 7:32 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBollinger, Cape Girardeau, Iron, Madison, Perry, Sainte Genevieve and 3 more58 min
Apr 2, 10:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBollinger, Butler, Cape Girardeau, Carter, Crawford, Iron and 13 more6 hr
Apr 3, 3:39 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCScott66 min
Apr 3, 4:37 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChristian, Dent, Douglas, Howell, Laclede, Oregon and 8 more83 min
Apr 3, 11:56 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCMississippi, Pemiscot94 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2015Tornado Watches in Kansas, 2015Tornado Watches in Oklahoma, 2015Every tornado watch in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.