Alert archive / Missouri / Tornado Watches in 2015
Tornado Watch 17
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Apr 2, 2015, 7:02 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 8 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Apr 2, 2015, 7:02 PM CDT (00:02 UTC)
- Expired
- Apr 3, 2015, 2:50 AM CDT
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 3 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 70 kt
All 57 counties
Baxter County, AR, Benton County, AR, Boone County, AR, Carroll County, AR, Fulton County, AR, Marion County, AR, Allen County, KS, Bourbon County, KS, Butler County, KS, Chautauqua County, KS, Cherokee County, KS, Cowley County, KS, Crawford County, KS, Elk County, KS, Greenwood County, KS, Labette County, KS, Montgomery County, KS, Neosho County, KS, Wilson County, KS, Woodson County, KS, Barry County, MO, Barton County, MO, Cedar County, MO, Christian County, MO, Dade County, MO, Dallas County, MO, Dent County, MO, Douglas County, MO, Greene County, MO, Howell County, MO, Jasper County, MO, Laclede County, MO, Lawrence County, MO, McDonald County, MO, Newton County, MO, Oregon County, MO, Ozark County, MO, Phelps County, MO, Polk County, MO, Pulaski County, MO, Shannon County, MO, Stone County, MO, Taney County, MO, Texas County, MO, Vernon County, MO, Webster County, MO, Wright County, MO, Craig County, OK, Delaware County, OK, Kay County, OK, Mayes County, OK, Nowata County, OK, Osage County, OK, Ottawa County, OK, Pawnee County, OK, Rogers County, OK, Washington County, OK
The radar
The Springfield radar (KSGF), 125 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:04 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 50%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 60%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 70%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 50%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 90%
Warnings issued inside it
68 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 7:05 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Crawford | 55 min |
| Apr 2, 7:11 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | ICT | Labette | 49 min |
| Apr 2, 7:31 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Cherokee, Crawford | 59 min |
| Apr 2, 7:41 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SGF | Cherokee, Crawford | 49 min |
| Apr 2, 7:53 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ICT | Labette, Montgomery | 52 min |
| Apr 2, 7:54 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Barton, Jasper | 51 min |
| Apr 2, 8:05 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | ICT | Labette | 40 min |
| Apr 2, 8:07 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SGF | Barton, Jasper | 23 min |
| Apr 2, 8:12 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ICT | Chautauqua, Montgomery | 48 min |
| Apr 2, 8:15 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Cedar, Dade, Polk | 45 min |
| Apr 2, 8:21 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Nowata, Osage, Washington | 39 min |
| Apr 2, 8:23 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SGF | Barton, Dade, Jasper, Lawrence | 37 min |
| Apr 2, 8:24 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Craig, Mayes, Rogers | 51 min |
| Apr 2, 8:26 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Jasper, Newton | 64 min |
| Apr 2, 8:31 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Cherokee | 14 min |
| Apr 2, 8:42 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SGF | Cherokee | 48 min |
| Apr 2, 8:56 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SGF | Dade, Lawrence | 23 min |
| Apr 2, 8:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Craig, Nowata | 47 min |
| Apr 2, 9:03 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Craig, Delaware, Mayes, Ottawa | 42 min |
| Apr 2, 9:04 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Cherokee | 26 min |
| Apr 2, 9:09 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Nowata, Osage, Washington | 21 min |
| Apr 2, 9:11 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Craig, Ottawa | 49 min |
| Apr 2, 9:18 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | TSA | Craig, Nowata | 27 min |
| Apr 2, 9:31 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Cherokee | 28 min |
| Apr 2, 9:36 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Nowata, Washington | 39 min |
| Apr 2, 9:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Craig, Delaware, Ottawa | 61 min |
| Apr 2, 9:46 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Jasper, Lawrence, Newton | 44 min |
| Apr 2, 9:48 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Benton | 42 min |
| Apr 2, 9:57 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | McDonald | 42 min |
| Apr 2, 9:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Dade, Greene, Lawrence | 32 min |
| Apr 2, 10:01 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Craig, Nowata | 44 min |
| Apr 2, 10:02 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | TSA | Craig, Delaware, Ottawa | 43 min |
| Apr 2, 10:42 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Craig, Delaware, Ottawa | 48 min |
| Apr 2, 10:43 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Delaware, Ottawa | 17 min |
| Apr 2, 10:59 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | McDonald | 46 min |
| Apr 2, 11:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Delaware, Ottawa | 21 min |
| Apr 2, 11:20 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SGF | Barry, Stone | 40 min |
| Apr 2, 11:40 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Benton, Carroll | 50 min |
| Apr 2, 11:41 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SGF | Barry | 34 min |
| Apr 3, 12:02 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | SGF | Stone, Taney | 43 min |
| Apr 3, 12:11 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Douglas | 37 min |
| Apr 3, 12:14 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | SGF | Douglas | 31 min |
| Apr 3, 12:20 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Carroll | 25 min |
| Apr 3, 12:23 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ICT | Butler, Cowley | 48 min |
| Apr 3, 12:24 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Boone | 51 min |
| Apr 3, 12:39 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | SGF | Douglas, Howell | 36 min |
| Apr 3, 12:40 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | Boone | 20 min |
| Apr 3, 12:43 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | SGF | Ozark, Taney | 30 min |
| Apr 3, 12:56 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ICT | Chautauqua, Elk, Greenwood, Montgomery, Wilson, Woodson | 64 min |
| Apr 3, 12:58 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | Marion | 18 min |
| Apr 3, 12:59 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | SGF | Howell, Oregon, Shannon | 46 min |
| Apr 3, 1:05 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | SGF | Ozark | 40 min |
| Apr 3, 1:09 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Baxter, Boone, Marion | 51 min |
| Apr 3, 1:25 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | SGF | Oregon, Shannon | 35 min |
| Apr 3, 1:28 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Howell | 47 min |
| Apr 3, 1:38 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ICT | Montgomery, Wilson | 27 min |
| Apr 3, 1:44 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Baxter, Boone, Marion | 46 min |
| Apr 3, 1:48 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Baxter, Fulton, Izard | 42 min |
| Apr 3, 1:52 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ICT | Allen, Labette, Neosho | 38 min |
| Apr 3, 1:56 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Oregon | 34 min |
| Apr 3, 2:02 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | ICT | Labette | 28 min |
| Apr 3, 2:05 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | SGF | Cherokee | 40 min |
| Apr 3, 2:08 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | TSA | Craig, Ottawa | 37 min |
| Apr 3, 2:09 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Cherokee, Crawford | 51 min |
| Apr 3, 2:22 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Baxter, Fulton, Izard | 19 min |
| Apr 3, 2:28 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Barton, Jasper, Newton | 62 min |
| Apr 3, 2:42 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | TSA | Ottawa | 17 min |
| Apr 3, 2:45 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | SGF | Newton | 45 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 0.0 hours before the alert went out and 100 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1838 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -4 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1146 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 49 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 104 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 149 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.8
- Supercell composite
- 5.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
297
WWUS20 KWNS 030005
SEL7
SPC WW 030005
ARZ000-KSZ000-MOZ000-OKZ000-030700-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 17
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
705 PM CDT THU APR 2 2015
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHWEST AND NORTH-CENTRAL ARKANSAS
SOUTHEAST KANSAS
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL MISSOURI
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
* EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING FROM 705 PM
UNTIL 200 AM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE
SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT GUSTS
TO 80 MPH POSSIBLE
SCATTERED LARGE HAIL LIKELY WITH ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS
TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 65 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF
BARTLESVILLE OKLAHOMA TO 40 MILES NORTHEAST OF WEST PLAINS
MISSOURI. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
&&
DISCUSSION...RAPID THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS UNDERWAY WITH
SUPERCELLS EXPECTED TO QUICKLY EVOLVE WITH A RISK FOR VERY LARGE
HAIL AND A FEW TORNADOES. A TRANSITION TO BOWING LINE SEGMENTS
MIXED WITH SUPERCELLS WILL LIKELY OCCUR TONIGHT WITH A CONTINUED
RISK FOR TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL...AND CORRIDORS OF WIND DAMAGE.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27035.
...MEADSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 10:12 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Benton, Boone, Carroll, Marion | 93 min |
| Apr 3, 1:16 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Clay, Craighead and 13 more | 59 min |
| Apr 3, 1:35 AM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Baxter, Boone, Clay, Cleburne, Craighead, Fulton and 14 more | 6 hr |
| Apr 3, 1:52 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Benton, Carroll | 4 hr |
| Apr 3, 5:43 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baxter, Clay, Cleburne, Craighead, Fulton, Greene and 13 more | 2 hr |
| Apr 3, 12:14 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Mississippi | 8 hr |
| Apr 3, 3:57 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Cleveland and 6 more | 93 min |
| Apr 3, 5:54 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Union | 2 hr |
| Apr 3, 5:55 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Ashley, Chicot | 4 hr |
| Apr 2, 7:20 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Barton, Cloud, Edwards, Ellis, Ellsworth, Finney and 34 more | 85 min |
| Apr 2, 9:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Allen, Anderson, Barton, Butler, Chase, Chautauqua and 35 more | 5 hr |
| Apr 2, 11:44 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Butler, Elk, Greenwood, Harvey, McPherson, Reno and 3 more | 61 min |
| Apr 3, 1:57 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allen, Anderson, Coffey, Labette, Montgomery, Neosho and 2 more | 63 min |
| Apr 2, 7:32 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bollinger, Cape Girardeau, Iron, Madison, Perry, Sainte Genevieve and 3 more | 58 min |
| Apr 2, 10:41 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Bollinger, Butler, Cape Girardeau, Carter, Crawford, Iron and 13 more | 6 hr |
| Apr 3, 3:39 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Scott | 66 min |
| Apr 3, 4:37 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Christian, Dent, Douglas, Howell, Laclede, Oregon and 8 more | 83 min |
| Apr 3, 11:56 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Mississippi, Pemiscot | 94 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2015Tornado Watches in Kansas, 2015Tornado Watches in Oklahoma, 2015Every tornado watch in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.