Alert archive / Kentucky / Tornado Watches in 2015

Tornado Watch 22

April 3, 20155 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Apr 3, 2015, 12:14 PM CDT for 5 states. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 3, 2015, 12:14 PM CDT (17:14 UTC)
Expired
Apr 3, 2015, 8:08 PM CDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
70 kt
All 105 counties

Mississippi County, AR, Gallatin County, IL, Hardin County, IL, Johnson County, IL, Massac County, IL, Pope County, IL, Pulaski County, IL, Saline County, IL, Clark County, IN, Crawford County, IN, Dubois County, IN, Floyd County, IN, Gibson County, IN, Harrison County, IN, Jefferson County, IN, Orange County, IN, Perry County, IN, Pike County, IN, Posey County, IN, Scott County, IN, Spencer County, IN, Vanderburgh County, IN, Warrick County, IN, Washington County, IN, Allen County, KY, Ballard County, KY, Barren County, KY, Breckinridge County, KY, Bullitt County, KY, Butler County, KY, Caldwell County, KY, Calloway County, KY, Carlisle County, KY, Christian County, KY, Crittenden County, KY, Daviess County, KY, Edmonson County, KY, Fulton County, KY, Graves County, KY, Grayson County, KY, Hancock County, KY, Hardin County, KY, Hart County, KY, Henderson County, KY, Henry County, KY, Hickman County, KY, Hopkins County, KY, Jefferson County, KY, Larue County, KY, Livingston County, KY, Logan County, KY, Lyon County, KY, Marshall County, KY, McCracken County, KY, McLean County, KY, Meade County, KY, Muhlenberg County, KY, Nelson County, KY, Ohio County, KY, Oldham County, KY, Shelby County, KY, Simpson County, KY, Spencer County, KY, Todd County, KY, Trigg County, KY, Trimble County, KY, Union County, KY, Warren County, KY, Webster County, KY, Benton County, TN, Carroll County, TN, Cheatham County, TN, Chester County, TN, Crockett County, TN, Davidson County, TN, Decatur County, TN, Dickson County, TN, Dyer County, TN, Gibson County, TN, Giles County, TN, Haywood County, TN, Henderson County, TN, Henry County, TN, Hickman County, TN, Houston County, TN, Humphreys County, TN, Lake County, TN, Lauderdale County, TN, Lawrence County, TN, Lewis County, TN, Macon County, TN, Madison County, TN, Maury County, TN, Montgomery County, TN, Obion County, TN, Perry County, TN, Robertson County, TN, Rutherford County, TN, Stewart County, TN, Sumner County, TN, Tipton County, TN, Trousdale County, TN, Weakley County, TN, Williamson County, TN, Wilson County, TN

The radar

The Paducah radar (KPAH), 68 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:17 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
70%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
50%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
60%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

17 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 3, 12:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHVanderburgh25 min
Apr 3, 1:51 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLMKClark, Floyd, Harrison3 hr
Apr 3, 1:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXRobertson, Sumner34 min
Apr 3, 2:39 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLMKAnderson, Franklin, Mercer, Shelby, Spencer, Woodford3 hr
Apr 3, 3:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGLauderdale, Tipton35 min
Apr 3, 3:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHBallard, McCracken28 min
Apr 3, 3:41 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLMKBreckinridge, Bullitt, Grayson, Hardin, Larue, Meade3 hr
Apr 3, 4:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXCheatham, Davidson, Robertson, Sumner, Wilson27 min
Apr 3, 4:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXHickman, Lewis, Perry50 min
Apr 3, 4:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXDavidson, Sumner, Trousdale, Wilson34 min
Apr 3, 5:00 PM CDTTornado WarningOHXDavidson, Sumner, Trousdale, Wilson30 min
Apr 3, 5:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXDavidson, Sumner, Wilson43 min
Apr 3, 5:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXDavidson, Rutherford, Williamson47 min
Apr 3, 5:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXDeKalb, Smith, Wilson31 min
Apr 3, 5:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXCannon, DeKalb, Rutherford, Wilson35 min
Apr 3, 6:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXCannon, Coffee, Rutherford, Warren46 min
Apr 3, 7:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXGiles10 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 5.2 hours before the alert went out and 152 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2015-04-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 135 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2015-04-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 274 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
135 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-75 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
990 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
46 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
274 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
325 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.2
Supercell composite
1.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

554 
WWUS20 KWNS 031719
SEL2  
SPC WW 031719
ARZ000-ILZ000-INZ000-KYZ000-MOZ000-TNZ000-040200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 22
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1215 PM CDT FRI APR 3 2015

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  FAR EASTERN ARKANSAS
  FAR SOUTHEASTERN ILLINOIS
  SOUTHERN INDIANA
  WESTERN AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY
  FAR SOUTHEAST MISSOURI
  WESTERN AND MIDDLE TENNESSEE

* EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1215 PM UNTIL
  900 PM CDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  A FEW TORNADOES LIKELY WITH A COUPLE INTENSE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
  SCATTERED LARGE HAIL LIKELY WITH ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS
    TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
  SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT GUSTS TO 80
    MPH POSSIBLE

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 10 MILES SOUTHEAST OF JACKSON
TENNESSEE TO 45 MILES NORTHWEST OF LOUISVILLE KENTUCKY.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

DISCUSSION...TSTMS EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND STRENGTH
WITH SFC HEATING ALONG AND AHEAD OF COLD FRONT NOW EXTENDING FROM SE
IL INTO NE AR. AIR MASS RECOVERY IN WAKE OF EARLIER MCV AND
CONTINUED INFLOW OF SEASONABLY WARM/MOIST AIR BENEATH
FAST...LOW-AMPLITUDE CYCLONIC FLOW EXPECTED TO FOSTER SCTD SUSTAINED
STORMS/SUPERCELLS GIVEN RELATIVELY MODEST LOW-LVL CONFLUENCE. SETUP
COULD SUPPORT ONE OR TWO STRONGER TORNADOES IN ADDITION TO LARGE
HAIL/DMGG WIND.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26040.


...CORFIDI

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 2, 7:02 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBaxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Fulton, Marion8 hr
Apr 2, 10:12 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Boone, Carroll, Marion93 min
Apr 3, 1:16 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Clay, Craighead and 13 more59 min
Apr 3, 1:35 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCBaxter, Boone, Clay, Cleburne, Craighead, Fulton and 14 more6 hr
Apr 3, 1:52 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBenton, Carroll4 hr
Apr 3, 5:43 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Clay, Cleburne, Craighead, Fulton, Greene and 13 more2 hr
Apr 3, 3:57 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Cleveland and 6 more93 min
Apr 3, 5:54 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCUnion2 hr
Apr 3, 5:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAshley, Chicot4 hr
Apr 2, 7:32 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Edwards, Franklin, Gallatin, Hamilton, Hardin and 17 more58 min
Apr 2, 10:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlexander, Clinton, Edwards, Franklin, Gallatin, Hamilton and 19 more6 hr
Apr 3, 3:39 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Gallatin, Hardin, Johnson, Massac, Pope and 3 more66 min
Apr 3, 11:56 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGallatin, Hardin, Johnson, Massac, Pope, Pulaski and 1 more94 min
Apr 3, 2:23 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Floyd, Harrison, Jefferson, Ohio, Perry and 2 more97 min
Apr 3, 3:10 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAdair, Anderson, Bath, Bell, Bourbon, Boyle and 53 more6 hr
Apr 3, 5:10 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoyd, Greenup95 min
Apr 3, 5:54 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCannon, Cumberland, DeKalb, Fentress, Jackson, Morgan and 9 more66 min
Apr 3, 6:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCFranklin, Lincoln, Moore4 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Kentucky, 2015Tornado Watches in Tennessee, 2015Tornado Watches in Indiana, 2015Every tornado watch in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.