Alert archive / Mississippi / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2015

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 24

April 3, 2015Ashley County, Chicot County, Arkansas; 5 parishes in Louisiana; 17 counties in Mississippi

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Apr 3, 2015, 5:55 PM CDT for Ashley County, Chicot County, Arkansas; 5 parishes in Louisiana; 17 counties in Mississippi. It was in force for 4 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 3, 2015, 5:55 PM CDT (22:55 UTC)
Expired
Apr 3, 2015, 10:00 PM CDT
In force
4 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 24 counties

Ashley County, AR, Chicot County, AR, East Carroll Parish, LA, Madison Parish, LA, Morehouse Parish, LA, Richland Parish, LA, West Carroll Parish, LA, Attala County, MS, Bolivar County, MS, Carroll County, MS, Choctaw County, MS, Grenada County, MS, Holmes County, MS, Humphreys County, MS, Issaquena County, MS, Leflore County, MS, Madison County, MS, Montgomery County, MS, Sharkey County, MS, Sunflower County, MS, Warren County, MS, Washington County, MS, Webster County, MS, Yazoo County, MS

The radar

The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 120 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:56 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

2 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 3, 6:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANGrenada, Leflore53 min
Apr 3, 7:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANEast Carroll, West Carroll56 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KBYH), launched 12:00Z, 10.9 hours before the alert went out and 190 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2015-04-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 12 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2015-04-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 516 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
12 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-578 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1008 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
50 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
516 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
503 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 2, 7:02 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBaxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Fulton, Marion8 hr
Apr 2, 10:12 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Boone, Carroll, Marion93 min
Apr 3, 1:16 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Clay, Craighead and 13 more59 min
Apr 3, 1:35 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCBaxter, Boone, Clay, Cleburne, Craighead, Fulton and 14 more6 hr
Apr 3, 1:52 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBenton, Carroll4 hr
Apr 3, 5:43 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Clay, Cleburne, Craighead, Fulton, Greene and 13 more2 hr
Apr 3, 12:14 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCMississippi8 hr
Apr 3, 3:57 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Cleveland and 6 more93 min
Apr 3, 5:54 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCUnion2 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Mississippi, 2015Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Louisiana, 2015Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Arkansas, 2015Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.