Alert archive / Nebraska / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 414
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Aug 7, 2021, 6:35 PM CDT for 7 counties in Iowa; 25 counties in Kansas; 32 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Aug 7, 2021, 6:35 PM CDT (23:35 UTC)
- Expired
- Aug 8, 2021, 1:00 AM CDT
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 64 counties
Fremont County, IA, Harrison County, IA, Mills County, IA, Montgomery County, IA, Page County, IA, Pottawattamie County, IA, Shelby County, IA, Barton County, KS, Clay County, KS, Cloud County, KS, Dickinson County, KS, Ellsworth County, KS, Geary County, KS, Jewell County, KS, Lincoln County, KS, Marshall County, KS, McPherson County, KS, Mitchell County, KS, Morris County, KS, Nemaha County, KS, Osborne County, KS, Ottawa County, KS, Phillips County, KS, Pottawatomie County, KS, Republic County, KS, Rice County, KS, Riley County, KS, Rooks County, KS, Russell County, KS, Saline County, KS, Smith County, KS, Washington County, KS, Adams County, NE, Butler County, NE, Cass County, NE, Clay County, NE, Colfax County, NE, Dodge County, NE, Douglas County, NE, Fillmore County, NE, Franklin County, NE, Gage County, NE, Hall County, NE, Hamilton County, NE, Jefferson County, NE, Johnson County, NE, Lancaster County, NE, Merrick County, NE, Nance County, NE, Nemaha County, NE, Nuckolls County, NE, Otoe County, NE, Pawnee County, NE, Platte County, NE, Polk County, NE, Richardson County, NE, Saline County, NE, Sarpy County, NE, Saunders County, NE, Seward County, NE, Thayer County, NE, Washington County, NE, Webster County, NE, York County, NE
The radar
The Grand Island radar (KUEX), 85 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:36 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 2%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 50%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 20%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 80%
Warnings issued inside it
53 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 6:36 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Jewell, Smith | 24 min |
| Aug 7, 6:38 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Polk | 37 min |
| Aug 7, 6:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Osborne, Rooks | 31 min |
| Aug 7, 6:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Butler, Colfax, Platte | 46 min |
| Aug 7, 6:47 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ICT | Russell | 58 min |
| Aug 7, 6:53 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Jewell, Smith | 52 min |
| Aug 7, 6:54 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Butler, Saunders | 51 min |
| Aug 7, 7:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Jewell, Mitchell, Osborne, Smith | 46 min |
| Aug 7, 7:28 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Adams, Clay, Nuckolls, Webster | 32 min |
| Aug 7, 7:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Butler, Saunders | 46 min |
| Aug 7, 7:33 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ICT | Barton, Ellsworth, Lincoln, Rice, Russell | 57 min |
| Aug 7, 7:46 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Polk | 29 min |
| Aug 7, 7:51 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Osborne, Phillips, Smith | 39 min |
| Aug 7, 7:54 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Clay, Fillmore, Hamilton, York | 51 min |
| Aug 7, 7:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Cass, Douglas, Sarpy, Saunders | 49 min |
| Aug 7, 7:59 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Adams, Clay, Hall, Hamilton, Kearney, Merrick | 31 min |
| Aug 7, 8:03 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Jewell | 42 min |
| Aug 7, 8:10 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Hall, Hamilton, Merrick, Nance, Polk, York | 50 min |
| Aug 7, 8:10 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Butler | 50 min |
| Aug 7, 8:19 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Cloud, Republic | 41 min |
| Aug 7, 8:23 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Phillips, Smith | 52 min |
| Aug 7, 8:23 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Cass, Sarpy, Saunders | 22 min |
| Aug 7, 8:24 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Adams, Clay, Hall, Hamilton | 29 min |
| Aug 7, 8:25 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ICT | Barton, Ellsworth, Lincoln, McPherson, Rice, Saline | 65 min |
| Aug 7, 8:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Saunders | 31 min |
| Aug 7, 8:41 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Mills, Pottawattamie | 49 min |
| Aug 7, 8:42 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Cloud, Ottawa | 33 min |
| Aug 7, 8:46 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Adams, Buffalo, Hall, Kearney | 44 min |
| Aug 7, 8:50 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Pottawattamie | 40 min |
| Aug 7, 8:55 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Butler, Saunders | 35 min |
| Aug 7, 8:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Clay, Riley, Washington | 49 min |
| Aug 7, 8:57 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Hamilton, Merrick, Polk, York | 33 min |
| Aug 7, 9:03 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Thayer | 42 min |
| Aug 7, 9:05 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | OAX | Pottawattamie | 4 hr |
| Aug 7, 9:08 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Clay, Dickinson, Geary, Morris, Ottawa, Riley | 52 min |
| Aug 7, 9:09 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Gage, Jefferson, Saline | 51 min |
| Aug 7, 9:24 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Mills, Pottawattamie | 51 min |
| Aug 7, 9:27 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Hall, Hamilton, Howard, Merrick | 33 min |
| Aug 7, 9:30 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Merrick, Nance, Polk | 30 min |
| Aug 7, 9:35 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | OAX | Pottawattamie | 3 hr |
| Aug 7, 9:37 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Butler, Lancaster, Saunders, Seward | 22 min |
| Aug 7, 9:41 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Clay, Marshall, Pottawatomie, Riley, Washington | 49 min |
| Aug 7, 9:44 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | GID | Polk | 6 hr |
| Aug 7, 9:49 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Geary, Lyon, Morris, Pottawatomie, Riley, Wabaunsee | 41 min |
| Aug 7, 9:49 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Gage, Jefferson, Johnson, Pawnee | 41 min |
| Aug 7, 9:54 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Cass, Lancaster, Saunders | 17 min |
| Aug 7, 9:55 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Hall, Howard, Merrick | 17 min |
| Aug 7, 9:59 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Butler | 27 min |
| Aug 7, 10:19 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ICT | McPherson, Reno, Rice | 26 min |
| Aug 7, 10:25 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | OAX | Cass, Lancaster, Otoe, Sarpy, Saunders, Seward | 2 hr |
| Aug 7, 10:30 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | OAX | Pottawattamie | 89 min |
| Aug 7, 10:38 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Fremont | 52 min |
| Aug 7, 11:25 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Fremont, Mills, Montgomery, Page | 36 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Topeka, KS (KTOP), launched 12:00Z, 11.6 hours before the alert went out and 213 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 971 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -177 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1368 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 11 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -16 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 5 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 1.2
The text
As transmitted.
166 WWUS20 KWNS 072333 SEL4 SPC WW 072333 IAZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-080600- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 414 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 635 PM CDT Sat Aug 7 2021 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Southwest Iowa Northern Kansas Southeast Nebraska * Effective this Saturday night and Sunday morning from 635 PM until 100 AM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will become more numerous this evening across the watch area, with scattered intense cells expected. Damaging wind gusts and hail will be possible in the more organized clusters. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 80 statute miles east and west of a line from 40 miles south southeast of Russell KS to 35 miles northwest of Omaha NE. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 412...WW 413... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 27030. ...Hart
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 11:54 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Lyon, Sioux | 2 hr |
| Aug 7, 2:10 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Lyon, Osceola | 2 hr |
| Aug 7, 11:03 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allamakee, Black Hawk, Bremer, Buchanan, Butler, Cerro Gordo and 11 more | 2 hr |
| Aug 7, 3:46 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allamakee, Bremer, Butler, Cerro Gordo, Chickasaw, Clayton and 7 more | 119 min |
| Aug 7, 3:34 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Finney, Gove, Graham, Grant, Gray, Greeley and 18 more | 86 min |
| Aug 7, 4:01 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Barber, Clark, Comanche, Edwards, Ellis, Finney and 26 more | 7 hr |
| Aug 7, 6:11 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Barton, Clark, Clay, Cloud, Comanche, Edwards and 25 more | 2 hr |
| Aug 6, 9:09 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Boyd, Cedar, Keya Paha, Knox | 2 hr |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Nebraska, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kansas, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Iowa, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.