Alert archive / Nebraska / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 146, NWS Hastings, NE

August 7, 2021Hall County, Howard County, Merrick County, Nebraska

NWS Hastings, NE issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Aug 7, 2021, 9:55 PM CDT for Hall County, Howard County, Merrick County, Nebraska. It was in force for 17 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Aug 7, 2021, 9:55 PM CDT (02:55 UTC)
Expired: Aug 7, 2021, 10:12 PM CDT
In force: 17 min
Issued by: NWS Hastings, NE
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.25 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

Counties Hall County, NE, Howard County, NE, Merrick County, NE

The radar

The Grand Island radar (KUEX), 82 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:59 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Aug 7, 6:35 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	6 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 00:00Z, 2.9 hours before the alert went out and 163 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 2933 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -124 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1327 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 32 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 149 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 195 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.4
Supercell composite: 3.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

291 
WUUS53 KGID 080255
SVRGID
NEC079-093-121-080345-
/O.NEW.KGID.SV.W.0146.210808T0255Z-210808T0345Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Hastings NE
955 PM CDT Sat Aug 7 2021

The National Weather Service in Hastings has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Western Merrick County in central Nebraska...
  Southeastern Howard County in central Nebraska...
  Hall County in south central Nebraska...

* Until 1045 PM CDT.

* At 955 PM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
  extending from near St. Libory to near Cairo to near Wood River,
  moving east at 15 mph.

  HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and half dollar size hail.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage 
           to roofs, siding, and trees.

* Locations impacted include...
  Palmer, St. Libory, Grand Island and Archer.

This includes Interstate 80 between mile markers 304 and 316.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4106 9816 4090 9825 4087 9828 4084 9828
      4079 9831 4078 9872 4099 9872 4124 9853
      4127 9825 4126 9810 4128 9810 4130 9786
TIME...MOT...LOC 0255Z 257DEG 12KT 4114 9836 4100 9853 4086 9861 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.25 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

Heinlein

1 follow-up statement

207 
WWUS53 KGID 080312
SVSGID

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Hastings NE
1012 PM CDT Sat Aug 7 2021

NEC079-093-121-080322-
/O.CAN.KGID.SV.W.0146.000000T0000Z-210808T0345Z/
Merrick NE-Howard NE-Hall NE-
1012 PM CDT Sat Aug 7 2021

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR WESTERN MERRICK...SOUTHEASTERN
HOWARD AND HALL COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
            
The storms which prompted the warning have weakened below severe
limits, and no longer pose an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 100 AM CDT for
south central and central Nebraska.

LAT...LON 4106 9816 4090 9825 4087 9828 4084 9828
      4079 9831 4078 9872 4099 9872 4124 9853
      4127 9825 4126 9810 4128 9810 4130 9786
TIME...MOT...LOC 0311Z 257DEG 12KT 4115 9829 4101 9846 4087 9854 

$$

Heinlein

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Hastings, NE wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Aug 7, 6:24 PM CDT, 3 hours 31 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 7, 6:24 PM CDT, 3 hours 31 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Hastings NE
624 PM CDT Sat Aug 7 2021

...Aviation Update...

.DISCUSSION...(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 234 PM CDT Sat Aug 7 2021

The main focus in this forecast package is the threat for severe
convection this evening.

Currently, satellite and radar showers and non severe thunderstorms
continuing to percolate in areas near of just north of Interstate
80. Meanwhile areas to the south and west are mostly cloud-free
at this point, which should provide ample heating to promote
convective development late this afternoon and evening. MLCAPE
values are expected to be on the order of 2500-3500J/kg by 6pm.
Shear is not off the charts by any means, but 30-35kts will be
sufficient for organized severe updrafts.

Initially, we are still anticipating two areas for convective
development. Firstly, high-res CAMs suggest development along the
weak cold front setting along our western periphery...roughly from
McCook up to Broken Bow. This activity will likely be very slow to
move off of the front due to shear vectors remaining largely
parallel to the front. Secondly, many models, including the last
several runs of the HRRR, show convection developing near or just
south of the KS/NE state line then rapidly expanding into one or
more line segments across the southeastern half of the area. With
this area being mostly cloud-free currently, this certainly seems
like a reasonable solution.

Severe convection will likely push east of the area by around
midnight, with only a few lingering showers and storms into early
Sunday morning. The rest of the day on Sunday should be dry and high
temperatures should push back into the 90s as we see rising heights
aloft. The warm pattern then continues on Monday, with the NAM and
EC even showing some areas approaching 100 degrees. Heat index
values are currently forecast to be sub-advisory (105 degrees) for
most areas, but it will be close in our south and east.

Additional chances for thunderstorms arrive Monday evening as an
upper low moves over the northern Plains and a surface cold front is
pushed into the area. Chances for thunderstorms linger on Tuesday as
well before the front departs. Temperatures are expected to remain
above normal (though not excessively so) through the rest of the
week. Daily highs are forecast to be in the upper 80s to 90s. The
rest of the week is also expected to remain largely dry, although we
will have to monitor another frontal passage in the Thursday-
Friday timeframe.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z KGRI/KEAR TAFS through 00Z Monday)
Issued at 619 PM CDT Sat Aug 7 2021

Thunderstorms developing over northern Kansas will quickly spread
northeastward over the next 1-2 hours. This may briefly impact
the terminal vicinities...especially GRI in the 01-03Z timeframe.

Skies will clear out on Sunday morning, with mostly clear skies
expected through the afternoon with light/variable winds.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

DISCUSSION...Mangels
AVIATION...Mangels

Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 7, 1:50 PM CDT, 8 hours 5 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Hastings NE
150 PM CDT Sat Aug 7 2021

KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-
081200-
Phillips-Smith-Jewell-Rooks-Osborne-Mitchell-Valley-Greeley-Nance-
Sherman-Howard-Merrick-Polk-Dawson-Buffalo-Hall-Hamilton-York-
Gosper-Phelps-Kearney-Adams-Clay-Fillmore-Furnas-Harlan-Franklin-
Webster-Nuckolls-Thayer-
150 PM CDT Sat Aug 7 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Nebraska and
portions of north central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Scattered thunderstorms are expected to redevelop late this
afternoon and early evening, and some of these storms may be
severe with hail to the size of ping pong balls and damaging wind
gusts up to 70 MPH. The main timeframe for severe weather is 6PM
to 11PM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Monday is expected to be the hottest day of the coming week, and
heat index values are expected to peak in the 100 to 105 degree
range in most spots.

There are additional chances for thunderstorms Monday evening
through Tuesday night.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed this evening, mainly between 6PM
11PM.

&&

More information may be obtained at the following web page:
   https://www.weather.gov/hastings

Mangels

In the hours before

Local storm report, Aug 7, 8:43 PM CDT, 1 hour 12 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
843 PM CDT SAT AUG 7 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0815 PM     TSTM WND GST     SMITH CENTER AIRPORT    39.76N 98.79W
08/07/2021  M55 MPH          SMITH              KS   AWOS

&&

MH

Local storm report, Aug 7, 8:44 PM CDT, 1 hour 11 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
844 PM CDT SAT AUG 7 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0842 PM     HAIL             1 N GRAND ISLAND        40.94N 98.37W
08/07/2021  E0.75 INCH       HALL               NE   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

JJW

Local storm report, Aug 7, 8:47 PM CDT, 1 hour 8 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
847 PM CDT SAT AUG 7 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0844 PM     HAIL             2 W GRAND ISLAND        40.92N 98.40W
08/07/2021  U0.75 INCH       HALL               NE   PUBLIC

            REPORT FROM MPING: DIME (0.75 IN.).

&&

MANGELS

Local storm report, Aug 7, 9:15 PM CDT, 40 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
915 PM CDT SAT AUG 7 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0848 PM     TSTM WND GST     3 NNW CHESTER           40.05N 97.63W
08/07/2021  E51 MPH          THAYER             NE   MESONET

&&

MH

Local storm report, Aug 7, 9:21 PM CDT, 34 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
921 PM CDT SAT AUG 7 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0917 PM     HAIL             1 NE GRAND ISLAND       40.94N 98.35W
08/07/2021  E0.70 INCH       HALL               NE   NWS EMPLOYEE

            ALSO MINOR STREET FLOODING OCCURRING AROUND
            GRAND ISLAND.

&&

MH

Local storm report, Aug 7, 9:27 PM CDT, 28 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
927 PM CDT SAT AUG 7 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0920 PM     FLOOD            2 WNW GRAND ISLAND      40.94N 98.40W
08/07/2021                   HALL               NE   TRAINED SPOTTER

            MINOR FLOODING ON CITY STREETS AND
            UNDERPASSES.

&&

MH

The office that day

Everything else NWS Hastings, NE issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Aug 7, 7:25 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	GID	Polk	35 min
Aug 7, 7:28 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Adams, Clay, Nuckolls, Webster	32 min
Aug 7, 7:37 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	GID	Webster	23 min
Aug 7, 7:46 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Polk	29 min
Aug 7, 7:54 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Clay, Fillmore, Hamilton, York	51 min
Aug 7, 7:59 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Adams, Clay, Hall, Hamilton, Kearney, Merrick	31 min
Aug 7, 8:10 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Hall, Hamilton, Merrick, Nance, Polk, York	50 min
Aug 7, 8:20 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	GID	Franklin	25 min
Aug 7, 8:23 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Franklin, Harlan, Webster	52 min
Aug 7, 8:24 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Adams, Clay, Hall, Hamilton	29 min
Aug 7, 8:46 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Adams, Buffalo, Hall, Kearney	44 min
Aug 7, 8:57 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Hamilton, Merrick, Polk, York	33 min
Aug 7, 9:03 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Thayer	42 min
Aug 7, 9:27 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Hall, Hamilton, Howard, Merrick	33 min
Aug 7, 9:30 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	GID	Hall, Hamilton, Merrick, Polk, York	9 hr
Aug 7, 9:30 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Merrick, Nance, Polk	30 min
Aug 7, 9:44 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	GID	Polk	6 hr
Aug 7, 10:03 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	GID	Polk	27 min
Aug 8, 1:24 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	GID	Webster	36 min
Aug 8, 1:32 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Webster	28 min
Aug 8, 2:05 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	GID	Adams, Webster	25 min
Aug 8, 2:37 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	GID	Hall	23 min
Aug 8, 3:04 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	GID	Hall	26 min
Aug 8, 3:36 AM CDT	Areal Flood Warning	GID	Polk	7 hr
Aug 8, 2:09 PM CDT	Heat Advisory	GID	Adams, Buffalo, Clay, Fillmore, Franklin, Hall and 10 more	55 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Nebraska, 2021 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.