Severe Thunderstorm Warning 139, NWS Hastings, NE

256 
WWUS53 KGID 080138
SVSGID

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Hastings NE
838 PM CDT Sat Aug 7 2021

KSC147-NEC083-080147-
/O.CAN.KGID.SV.W.0139.000000T0000Z-210808T0215Z/
Phillips KS-Harlan NE-
838 PM CDT Sat Aug 7 2021

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN PHILLIPS AND
SOUTHEASTERN HARLAN COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the warned 
area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 100 AM CDT for
north central Kansas...and south central Nebraska.

LAT...LON 3972 9881 3981 9885 3988 9892 3992 9901
      4000 9907 4000 9918 4031 9918 4035 9916
      4035 9853 4027 9846 4000 9842 4000 9850
      3990 9851
TIME...MOT...LOC 0137Z 208DEG 34KT 4023 9912 4009 9895 4002 9883 3992
9875 3977 9872

$$

KSC183-NEC061-181-080215-
/O.CON.KGID.SV.W.0139.000000T0000Z-210808T0215Z/
Smith KS-Franklin NE-Webster NE-
838 PM CDT Sat Aug 7 2021

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 915 PM CDT
FOR NORTHERN SMITH...FRANKLIN AND WEBSTER COUNTIES...

At 837 PM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from 8 miles southwest of Hildreth to Franklin to 6 miles
southwest of Riverton to 10 miles north of Smith Center to near
Bellaire, moving northeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and half dollar size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

These severe storms will be near...
  Hildreth and Riverton around 850 PM CDT.
  Upland and Inavale around 900 PM CDT.
  Campbell around 905 PM CDT.
  Red Cloud and Bladen around 915 PM CDT.
  Cowles around 925 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3972 9881 3981 9885 3988 9892 3992 9901
      4000 9907 4000 9918 4031 9918 4035 9916
      4035 9853 4027 9846 4000 9842 4000 9850
      3990 9851
TIME...MOT...LOC 0137Z 208DEG 34KT 4023 9912 4009 9895 4002 9883 3992
9875 3977 9872

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.25 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

Heinlein

640 
WWUS53 KGID 080207
SVSGID

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Hastings NE
907 PM CDT Sat Aug 7 2021

KSC183-NEC061-181-080217-
/O.EXP.KGID.SV.W.0139.000000T0000Z-210808T0215Z/
Smith KS-Franklin NE-Webster NE-
907 PM CDT Sat Aug 7 2021

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHERN SMITH...FRANKLIN AND
WEBSTER COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 915 PM CDT...
            
The storms which prompted the warning have weakened below severe
limits, and no longer pose an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 100 AM CDT for
north central Kansas...and south central Nebraska.

LAT...LON 3972 9881 3981 9885 3988 9892 3992 9901
      4000 9907 4000 9918 4031 9918 4035 9916
      4035 9853 4027 9846 4000 9842 4000 9850
      3990 9851
TIME...MOT...LOC 0207Z 210DEG 47KT 4055 9888 4041 9871 4034 9859 4024
9851 4009 9848

$$

Heinlein

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Hastings NE
624 PM CDT Sat Aug 7 2021

...Aviation Update...

.DISCUSSION...(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 234 PM CDT Sat Aug 7 2021

The main focus in this forecast package is the threat for severe
convection this evening.

Currently, satellite and radar showers and non severe thunderstorms
continuing to percolate in areas near of just north of Interstate
80. Meanwhile areas to the south and west are mostly cloud-free
at this point, which should provide ample heating to promote
convective development late this afternoon and evening. MLCAPE
values are expected to be on the order of 2500-3500J/kg by 6pm.
Shear is not off the charts by any means, but 30-35kts will be
sufficient for organized severe updrafts.

Initially, we are still anticipating two areas for convective
development. Firstly, high-res CAMs suggest development along the
weak cold front setting along our western periphery...roughly from
McCook up to Broken Bow. This activity will likely be very slow to
move off of the front due to shear vectors remaining largely
parallel to the front. Secondly, many models, including the last
several runs of the HRRR, show convection developing near or just
south of the KS/NE state line then rapidly expanding into one or
more line segments across the southeastern half of the area. With
this area being mostly cloud-free currently, this certainly seems
like a reasonable solution.

Severe convection will likely push east of the area by around
midnight, with only a few lingering showers and storms into early
Sunday morning. The rest of the day on Sunday should be dry and high
temperatures should push back into the 90s as we see rising heights
aloft. The warm pattern then continues on Monday, with the NAM and
EC even showing some areas approaching 100 degrees. Heat index
values are currently forecast to be sub-advisory (105 degrees) for
most areas, but it will be close in our south and east.

Additional chances for thunderstorms arrive Monday evening as an
upper low moves over the northern Plains and a surface cold front is
pushed into the area. Chances for thunderstorms linger on Tuesday as
well before the front departs. Temperatures are expected to remain
above normal (though not excessively so) through the rest of the
week. Daily highs are forecast to be in the upper 80s to 90s. The
rest of the week is also expected to remain largely dry, although we
will have to monitor another frontal passage in the Thursday-
Friday timeframe.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z KGRI/KEAR TAFS through 00Z Monday)
Issued at 619 PM CDT Sat Aug 7 2021

Thunderstorms developing over northern Kansas will quickly spread
northeastward over the next 1-2 hours. This may briefly impact
the terminal vicinities...especially GRI in the 01-03Z timeframe.

Skies will clear out on Sunday morning, with mostly clear skies
expected through the afternoon with light/variable winds.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

DISCUSSION...Mangels
AVIATION...Mangels

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Hastings NE
150 PM CDT Sat Aug 7 2021

KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-
081200-
Phillips-Smith-Jewell-Rooks-Osborne-Mitchell-Valley-Greeley-Nance-
Sherman-Howard-Merrick-Polk-Dawson-Buffalo-Hall-Hamilton-York-
Gosper-Phelps-Kearney-Adams-Clay-Fillmore-Furnas-Harlan-Franklin-
Webster-Nuckolls-Thayer-
150 PM CDT Sat Aug 7 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Nebraska and
portions of north central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Scattered thunderstorms are expected to redevelop late this
afternoon and early evening, and some of these storms may be
severe with hail to the size of ping pong balls and damaging wind
gusts up to 70 MPH. The main timeframe for severe weather is 6PM
to 11PM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Monday is expected to be the hottest day of the coming week, and
heat index values are expected to peak in the 100 to 105 degree
range in most spots.

There are additional chances for thunderstorms Monday evening
through Tuesday night.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed this evening, mainly between 6PM
11PM.

&&

More information may be obtained at the following web page:
   https://www.weather.gov/hastings

Mangels

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
756 PM CDT SAT AUG 7 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0755 PM     HAIL             3 WSW FAIRFIELD         40.41N 98.15W
08/07/2021  E1.50 INCH       CLAY               NE   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

MER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
759 PM CDT SAT AUG 7 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0756 PM     HAIL             FAIRFIELD               40.43N 98.11W
08/07/2021  E1.00 INCH       CLAY               NE   TRAINED SPOTTER

            EM RELAYED REPORT OF HAIL BY TRAINED SPOTTER
            IN FAIRFIELD.

&&

MER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
817 PM CDT SAT AUG 7 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0755 PM     TSTM WND GST     3 WNW JEWELL            39.68N 98.21W
08/07/2021  M54 MPH          JEWELL             KS   PUBLIC

            KS MESONET.

&&

MANGELS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
819 PM CDT SAT AUG 7 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0809 PM     HAIL             1 NW HASTINGS           40.60N 98.40W
08/07/2021  M0.88 INCH       ADAMS              NE   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

MANGELS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Hastings NE
820 PM CDT Sat Aug 7 2021

KSZ005-006-NEZ083-084-080145-
Phillips KS-Smith KS-Franklin NE-Harlan NE-
820 PM CDT Sat Aug 7 2021

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of northwestern Smith,
northeastern Phillips, western Franklin and southeastern Harlan
Counties through 845 PM CDT...

At 819 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from Harlan County Dam to 9 miles north of
Kensington. Movement was northeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Strong thunderstorms will be near...
  Naponee around 830 PM CDT.

Other locations in the path of these storms include Bloomington and
Franklin.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 100 AM CDT for
north central Kansas...and south central Nebraska.

&&

LAT...LON 4029 9909 3999 9875 3980 9904 4008 9936
TIME...MOT...LOC 0119Z 233DEG 25KT 4007 9923 3990 9904

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

Thies

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
823 PM CDT SAT AUG 7 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0808 PM     TSTM WND GST     JEWELL                  39.68N 98.15W
08/07/2021  M66 MPH          JEWELL             KS   MESONET

&&

JJW