Alert archive / South Dakota / Mesoscale Discussions in 2021

Mesoscale Discussion 1428

August 6, 2021Lyon County, Sioux County, Iowa; Rock County, Minnesota; 16 counties in South Dakota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Aug 6, 2021, 11:54 PM CDT for Lyon County, Sioux County, Iowa; Rock County, Minnesota; 16 counties in South Dakota. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 6, 2021, 11:54 PM CDT (04:54 UTC)
Expired
Aug 7, 2021, 2:00 AM CDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Severe thunderstorm watch 411

Counties Lyon County, IA, Sioux County, IA, Rock County, MN, Beadle County, SD, Clay County, SD, Davison County, SD, Hamlin County, SD, Hanson County, SD, Hutchinson County, SD, Jerauld County, SD, Kingsbury County, SD, Lake County, SD, Lincoln County, SD, McCook County, SD, Miner County, SD, Minnehaha County, SD, Sanborn County, SD, Turner County, SD, Yankton County, SD

The radar

The Sioux Falls radar (KFSD), 80 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:58 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Aberdeen, SD (KABR), launched 00:00Z, 4.9 hours before the alert went out and 128 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Aberdeen, SD at 00:00Z on 2021-08-07Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 466 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Aberdeen, SD at 00:00Z on 2021-08-07The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 113 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
466 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-132 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1480 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
19 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
113 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
173 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

794 
ACUS11 KWNS 070455
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 070454 
MNZ000-IAZ000-SDZ000-070700-

Mesoscale Discussion 1428
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1154 PM CDT Fri Aug 06 2021

Areas affected...Parts of southern/eastern South Dakota

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 411...

Valid 070454Z - 070700Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 411
continues.

SUMMARY...Strong wind gusts continue, but may gradually begin to
wane with storms spreading north of Chamberlain, toward the Huron
area, during the next few hours.  At least scattered strong new
thunderstorms may   continue to develop near the Interstate 90
corridor around Sioux Falls through 1-2 AM CDT.

DISCUSSION...Strongest recent thunderstorm development has been
focused in a small cluster near the nose of a north-northeastward
surging rear inflow jet which spread across the Valentine NE/Winner
SD area earlier this evening.  This has reached areas of south
central South Dakota between Pierre and Chamberlain, where various
wind sensors continue to indicate strong to severe surface gusts,
but this may gradually wane as convection progresses into less
unstable environment near/north of Huron by 06-07Z.

Strongest boundary-layer instability, steepest lower/mid
tropospheric lapse rates and strongest shear remain focused along a
remnant baroclinic zone slowly shifting north of the eastern
Nebraska /South Dakota border area.  With a nocturnally
strengthening low-level jet focusing increasing lift associated with
warm advection along this boundary, at least scattered vigorous new
thunderstorm development may begin to initiate during the next few
hours.

..Kerr.. 08/07/2021

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...FSD...ABR...

LAT...LON   44869900 44829719 44049673 43589589 42949615 42819690
            43199820 43599835 44179897 44869900

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 7, 2:10 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCLyon, Osceola2 hr
Aug 7, 11:03 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllamakee, Black Hawk, Bremer, Buchanan, Butler, Cerro Gordo and 11 more2 hr
Aug 7, 3:46 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllamakee, Bremer, Butler, Cerro Gordo, Chickasaw, Clayton and 7 more119 min
Aug 7, 6:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCFremont, Harrison, Mills, Montgomery, Page, Pottawattamie and 1 more6 hr
Aug 6, 7:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBennett, Buffalo, Hand, Hyde, Jackson, Jones and 4 more6 hr
Aug 6, 9:09 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAurora, Bon Homme, Brule, Buffalo, Charles Mix, Clay and 17 more2 hr
Aug 6, 10:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAurora, Beadle, Bon Homme, Brule, Charles Mix, Davison and 9 more4 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in South Dakota, 2021Mesoscale Discussions in Iowa, 2021Mesoscale Discussions in Minnesota, 2021Every mesoscale discussion in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.