Alert archive / Kentucky / Tornado Watches in 2017
Tornado Watch 52
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 1, 2017, 3:03 AM CST for 6 states. It was in force for 5 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 1, 2017, 3:03 AM CST (09:03 UTC)
- Expired
- Mar 1, 2017, 8:00 AM CST
- In force
- 5 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 91 counties
Clay County, AR, Craighead County, AR, Crittenden County, AR, Cross County, AR, Greene County, AR, Lawrence County, AR, Mississippi County, AR, Poinsett County, AR, Randolph County, AR, St. Francis County, AR, Alexander County, IL, Edwards County, IL, Franklin County, IL, Gallatin County, IL, Hamilton County, IL, Hardin County, IL, Jackson County, IL, Jefferson County, IL, Johnson County, IL, Massac County, IL, Perry County, IL, Pope County, IL, Pulaski County, IL, Saline County, IL, Union County, IL, Wabash County, IL, Wayne County, IL, White County, IL, Williamson County, IL, Gibson County, IN, Pike County, IN, Posey County, IN, Spencer County, IN, Vanderburgh County, IN, Warrick County, IN, Ballard County, KY, Caldwell County, KY, Calloway County, KY, Carlisle County, KY, Christian County, KY, Crittenden County, KY, Daviess County, KY, Fulton County, KY, Graves County, KY, Henderson County, KY, Hickman County, KY, Hopkins County, KY, Livingston County, KY, Lyon County, KY, Marshall County, KY, McCracken County, KY, McLean County, KY, Muhlenberg County, KY, Todd County, KY, Trigg County, KY, Union County, KY, Webster County, KY, Bollinger County, MO, Butler County, MO, Cape Girardeau County, MO, Carter County, MO, Dunklin County, MO, Mississippi County, MO, New Madrid County, MO, Pemiscot County, MO, Perry County, MO, Ripley County, MO, Scott County, MO, Stoddard County, MO, Wayne County, MO, Benton County, TN, Carroll County, TN, Chester County, TN, Crockett County, TN, Decatur County, TN, Dyer County, TN, Fayette County, TN, Gibson County, TN, Hardeman County, TN, Hardin County, TN, Haywood County, TN, Henderson County, TN, Henry County, TN, Lake County, TN, Lauderdale County, TN, Madison County, TN, McNairy County, TN, Obion County, TN, Shelby County, TN, Tipton County, TN, Weakley County, TN
The radar
The Paducah radar (KPAH), 41 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:06 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 70%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 80%
Warnings issued inside it
34 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 3:06 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Lawrence, Randolph | 39 min |
| Mar 1, 3:23 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Craighead, Poinsett | 52 min |
| Mar 1, 3:28 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Clay, Greene | 47 min |
| Mar 1, 3:49 AM CST | Tornado Warning | PAH | Perry | 26 min |
| Mar 1, 3:57 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Mississippi | 48 min |
| Mar 1, 4:01 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Bollinger, Cape Girardeau | 29 min |
| Mar 1, 4:05 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Butler, Stoddard | 25 min |
| Mar 1, 4:06 AM CST | Tornado Warning | PAH | Jackson | 24 min |
| Mar 1, 4:16 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Craighead, Crittenden, Cross, Poinsett | 44 min |
| Mar 1, 4:21 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Johnson, Union | 24 min |
| Mar 1, 4:24 AM CST | Tornado Warning | MEG | Mississippi | 51 min |
| Mar 1, 4:26 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Mississippi, New Madrid, Scott, Stoddard | 34 min |
| Mar 1, 4:33 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Saline, Williamson | 27 min |
| Mar 1, 4:36 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Lake, Obion | 39 min |
| Mar 1, 4:39 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Saline, Williamson | 36 min |
| Mar 1, 4:41 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Shelby | 34 min |
| Mar 1, 4:43 AM CST | Tornado Warning | MEG | Crockett, Dyer, Gibson, Haywood, Lauderdale, Tipton | 47 min |
| Mar 1, 4:44 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Pope | 46 min |
| Mar 1, 4:50 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Alexander, Pulaski | 25 min |
| Mar 1, 4:53 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Carlisle, Fulton, Graves, Hickman | 37 min |
| Mar 1, 5:06 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Massac, Pope | 24 min |
| Mar 1, 5:07 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Carroll, Crockett, Gibson, Haywood, Madison, Weakley | 38 min |
| Mar 1, 5:18 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Caldwell, Crittenden, Daviess, Henderson, Hopkins, Livingston and 4 more | 57 min |
| Mar 1, 5:21 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Calloway, Graves, Lyon, Marshall, Trigg | 24 min |
| Mar 1, 5:24 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Benton, Carroll, Decatur, Henderson, Henry | 51 min |
| Mar 1, 5:27 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Caldwell, Crittenden, Livingston, Lyon, Marshall | 33 min |
| Mar 1, 5:40 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Daviess, McLean, Muhlenberg | 50 min |
| Mar 1, 5:44 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Caldwell, Calloway, Christian, Crittenden, Hopkins, Lyon and 2 more | 31 min |
| Mar 1, 5:48 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | St. Francis | 42 min |
| Mar 1, 6:11 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Christian, Hopkins, Muhlenberg, Todd, Trigg | 37 min |
| Mar 1, 6:53 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Fayette, Hardeman | 34 min |
| Mar 1, 6:54 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Shelby | 22 min |
| Mar 1, 7:11 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Fayette, Haywood, Tipton | 14 min |
| Mar 1, 7:20 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Chester, McNairy | 28 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 00:00Z, 9.1 hours before the alert went out and 260 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 66 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -155 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 832 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 57 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 411 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 386 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.5
The text
As transmitted.
269
WWUS20 KWNS 010901
SEL2
SPC WW 010901
ARZ000-ILZ000-INZ000-KYZ000-MOZ000-TNZ000-011400-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 52
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
305 AM CST Wed Mar 1 2017
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Northeast Arkansas
Southern Illinois
Southwest Indiana
Western Kentucky
Southeast Missouri
Western Tennessee
* Effective this Wednesday morning from 305 AM until 800 AM CST.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Bands of severe storms will move quickly eastward at up to
60 mph, with a continuing risk for damaging winds. The stronger
storms will also pose a risk for large hail, and a couple of
tornadoes will be possible with embedded circulations.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 80 statute miles
east and west of a line from 45 miles east northeast of Mount Vernon
IL to 10 miles west of Memphis TN. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 45...WW 46...WW 47...WW
48...WW 49...WW 50...WW 51...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 27050.
...ThompsonSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 7:46 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baxter, Clay, Cleburne, Craighead, Cross, Fulton and 14 more | 119 min |
| Feb 28, 8:29 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Clay, Craighead, Greene, Lawrence, Mississippi, Poinsett and 1 more | 12 hr |
| Feb 28, 9:04 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Benton, Carroll, Madison, Washington | 7 hr |
| Feb 28, 10:46 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Boone, Carroll, Conway, Crawford, Franklin, Garland and 20 more | 119 min |
| Feb 28, 11:35 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Baxter, Boone, Cleburne, Conway, Crawford, Faulkner and 24 more | 5 hr |
| Mar 1, 2:09 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Clark, Clay, Cleburne, Cleveland, Conway and 38 more | 2 hr |
| Mar 1, 4:19 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Crittenden | 56 min |
| Feb 28, 8:06 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Brown, Bureau, Cass, Champaign, Christian and 37 more | 84 min |
| Feb 28, 9:51 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Cass, Champaign, Christian, Clark, Clay, Coles and 37 more | 6 hr |
| Feb 28, 10:09 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Edwards, Franklin, Gallatin, Hamilton, Jackson, Johnson and 5 more | 66 min |
| Feb 28, 11:52 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Champaign, Ford, Iroquois, Vermilion | 53 min |
| Feb 28, 6:00 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Allen, Cass, DeKalb, Elkhart, Fulton and 14 more | 90 min |
| Feb 28, 6:37 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Allen, DeKalb, Elkhart, Fulton, Kosciusko, LaGrange and 8 more | 8 hr |
| Feb 28, 8:41 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allen, DeKalb, Elkhart, Fulton, Kosciusko, LaGrange and 9 more | 94 min |
| Feb 28, 10:03 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Allen, Bartholomew, Blackford, Boone, Carroll and 48 more | 117 min |
| Feb 28, 10:29 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Adams, Allen, Blackford, Boone, Carroll, Cass and 41 more | 8 hr |
| Mar 1, 12:44 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Allen, Blackford, Boone, Carroll, Cass and 28 more | 61 min |
| Mar 1, 1:32 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clark, Crawford, Dearborn, Dubois, Floyd, Harrison and 11 more | 88 min |
| Mar 1, 4:57 AM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Clark, Crawford, Dearborn, Dubois, Floyd, Franklin and 9 more | 5 hr |
| Mar 1, 5:28 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adair, Allen, Anderson, Barren, Bath, Bell and 88 more | 2 hr |
| Mar 1, 5:48 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Boyd, Carter, Greenup | 5 hr |
| Mar 1, 6:47 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Bath, Bell, Breathitt, Clay, Elliott, Estill and 28 more | 5 hr |
| Mar 1, 7:28 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bell, Boyd, Breathitt, Carter, Clay, Clinton and 32 more | 92 min |
| Mar 1, 2:56 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Boyd, Breathitt, Carter, Elliott, Floyd, Greenup and 8 more | 2 hr |
| Feb 28, 6:05 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adair, Audrain, Barton, Bates, Benton, Boone and 39 more | 115 min |
| Feb 28, 6:23 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Adair, Bates, Carroll, Cass, Chariton, Cooper and 15 more | 5 hr |
| Feb 28, 10:01 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Barry, Barton, Bates, Benton, Camden, Cedar and 14 more | 119 min |
| Mar 1, 12:16 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Barton, Camden, Cedar, Christian, Cole, Crawford and 28 more | 89 min |
| Mar 1, 10:08 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bedford, Bradley, Coffee, Franklin, Giles, Grundy and 11 more | 2 hr |
| Mar 1, 11:48 AM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Bledsoe, Blount, Bradley, Franklin, Hamilton, Knox and 12 more | 6 hr |
| Mar 1, 2:11 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bradley, McMinn, Polk | 2 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Kentucky, 2017Tornado Watches in Tennessee, 2017Tornado Watches in Illinois, 2017Every tornado watch in 2017
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.