Alert archive / Kentucky / Tornado Watches in 2017

Tornado Watch 52

March 1, 20176 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 1, 2017, 3:03 AM CST for 6 states. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 1, 2017, 3:03 AM CST (09:03 UTC)
Expired
Mar 1, 2017, 8:00 AM CST
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 91 counties

Clay County, AR, Craighead County, AR, Crittenden County, AR, Cross County, AR, Greene County, AR, Lawrence County, AR, Mississippi County, AR, Poinsett County, AR, Randolph County, AR, St. Francis County, AR, Alexander County, IL, Edwards County, IL, Franklin County, IL, Gallatin County, IL, Hamilton County, IL, Hardin County, IL, Jackson County, IL, Jefferson County, IL, Johnson County, IL, Massac County, IL, Perry County, IL, Pope County, IL, Pulaski County, IL, Saline County, IL, Union County, IL, Wabash County, IL, Wayne County, IL, White County, IL, Williamson County, IL, Gibson County, IN, Pike County, IN, Posey County, IN, Spencer County, IN, Vanderburgh County, IN, Warrick County, IN, Ballard County, KY, Caldwell County, KY, Calloway County, KY, Carlisle County, KY, Christian County, KY, Crittenden County, KY, Daviess County, KY, Fulton County, KY, Graves County, KY, Henderson County, KY, Hickman County, KY, Hopkins County, KY, Livingston County, KY, Lyon County, KY, Marshall County, KY, McCracken County, KY, McLean County, KY, Muhlenberg County, KY, Todd County, KY, Trigg County, KY, Union County, KY, Webster County, KY, Bollinger County, MO, Butler County, MO, Cape Girardeau County, MO, Carter County, MO, Dunklin County, MO, Mississippi County, MO, New Madrid County, MO, Pemiscot County, MO, Perry County, MO, Ripley County, MO, Scott County, MO, Stoddard County, MO, Wayne County, MO, Benton County, TN, Carroll County, TN, Chester County, TN, Crockett County, TN, Decatur County, TN, Dyer County, TN, Fayette County, TN, Gibson County, TN, Hardeman County, TN, Hardin County, TN, Haywood County, TN, Henderson County, TN, Henry County, TN, Lake County, TN, Lauderdale County, TN, Madison County, TN, McNairy County, TN, Obion County, TN, Shelby County, TN, Tipton County, TN, Weakley County, TN

The radar

The Paducah radar (KPAH), 41 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:06 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
70%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

34 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 1, 3:06 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGLawrence, Randolph39 min
Mar 1, 3:23 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCraighead, Poinsett52 min
Mar 1, 3:28 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGClay, Greene47 min
Mar 1, 3:49 AM CSTTornado WarningPAHPerry26 min
Mar 1, 3:57 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGMississippi48 min
Mar 1, 4:01 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHBollinger, Cape Girardeau29 min
Mar 1, 4:05 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHButler, Stoddard25 min
Mar 1, 4:06 AM CSTTornado WarningPAHJackson24 min
Mar 1, 4:16 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCraighead, Crittenden, Cross, Poinsett44 min
Mar 1, 4:21 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHJohnson, Union24 min
Mar 1, 4:24 AM CSTTornado WarningMEGMississippi51 min
Mar 1, 4:26 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHMississippi, New Madrid, Scott, Stoddard34 min
Mar 1, 4:33 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHSaline, Williamson27 min
Mar 1, 4:36 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGLake, Obion39 min
Mar 1, 4:39 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHSaline, Williamson36 min
Mar 1, 4:41 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGShelby34 min
Mar 1, 4:43 AM CSTTornado WarningMEGCrockett, Dyer, Gibson, Haywood, Lauderdale, Tipton47 min
Mar 1, 4:44 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHPope46 min
Mar 1, 4:50 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHAlexander, Pulaski25 min
Mar 1, 4:53 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHCarlisle, Fulton, Graves, Hickman37 min
Mar 1, 5:06 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHMassac, Pope24 min
Mar 1, 5:07 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCarroll, Crockett, Gibson, Haywood, Madison, Weakley38 min
Mar 1, 5:18 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHCaldwell, Crittenden, Daviess, Henderson, Hopkins, Livingston and 4 more57 min
Mar 1, 5:21 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHCalloway, Graves, Lyon, Marshall, Trigg24 min
Mar 1, 5:24 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGBenton, Carroll, Decatur, Henderson, Henry51 min
Mar 1, 5:27 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHCaldwell, Crittenden, Livingston, Lyon, Marshall33 min
Mar 1, 5:40 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHDaviess, McLean, Muhlenberg50 min
Mar 1, 5:44 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHCaldwell, Calloway, Christian, Crittenden, Hopkins, Lyon and 2 more31 min
Mar 1, 5:48 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGSt. Francis42 min
Mar 1, 6:11 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHChristian, Hopkins, Muhlenberg, Todd, Trigg37 min
Mar 1, 6:53 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGFayette, Hardeman34 min
Mar 1, 6:54 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGShelby22 min
Mar 1, 7:11 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGFayette, Haywood, Tipton14 min
Mar 1, 7:20 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGChester, McNairy28 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 00:00Z, 9.1 hours before the alert went out and 260 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2017-03-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 66 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2017-03-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 411 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
66 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-155 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
832 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
57 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
411 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
386 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

269 
WWUS20 KWNS 010901
SEL2  
SPC WW 010901
ARZ000-ILZ000-INZ000-KYZ000-MOZ000-TNZ000-011400-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 52
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
305 AM CST Wed Mar 1 2017

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Northeast Arkansas
  Southern Illinois
  Southwest Indiana
  Western Kentucky
  Southeast Missouri
  Western Tennessee

* Effective this Wednesday morning from 305 AM until 800 AM CST.

* Primary threats include...
  A couple tornadoes possible
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
    inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY...Bands of severe storms will move quickly eastward at up to
60 mph, with a continuing risk for damaging winds.  The stronger
storms will also pose a risk for large hail, and a couple of
tornadoes will be possible with embedded circulations.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 80 statute miles
east and west of a line from 45 miles east northeast of Mount Vernon
IL to 10 miles west of Memphis TN. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 45...WW 46...WW 47...WW
48...WW 49...WW 50...WW 51...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 27050.

...Thompson

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 28, 7:46 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Clay, Cleburne, Craighead, Cross, Fulton and 14 more119 min
Feb 28, 8:29 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCClay, Craighead, Greene, Lawrence, Mississippi, Poinsett and 1 more12 hr
Feb 28, 9:04 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCBenton, Carroll, Madison, Washington7 hr
Feb 28, 10:46 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Carroll, Conway, Crawford, Franklin, Garland and 20 more119 min
Feb 28, 11:35 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCBaxter, Boone, Cleburne, Conway, Crawford, Faulkner and 24 more5 hr
Mar 1, 2:09 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Clark, Clay, Cleburne, Cleveland, Conway and 38 more2 hr
Mar 1, 4:19 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrittenden56 min
Feb 28, 8:06 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Brown, Bureau, Cass, Champaign, Christian and 37 more84 min
Feb 28, 9:51 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCCass, Champaign, Christian, Clark, Clay, Coles and 37 more6 hr
Feb 28, 10:09 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCEdwards, Franklin, Gallatin, Hamilton, Jackson, Johnson and 5 more66 min
Feb 28, 11:52 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChampaign, Ford, Iroquois, Vermilion53 min
Feb 28, 6:00 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Allen, Cass, DeKalb, Elkhart, Fulton and 14 more90 min
Feb 28, 6:37 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAllen, DeKalb, Elkhart, Fulton, Kosciusko, LaGrange and 8 more8 hr
Feb 28, 8:41 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, DeKalb, Elkhart, Fulton, Kosciusko, LaGrange and 9 more94 min
Feb 28, 10:03 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Allen, Bartholomew, Blackford, Boone, Carroll and 48 more117 min
Feb 28, 10:29 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCAdams, Allen, Blackford, Boone, Carroll, Cass and 41 more8 hr
Mar 1, 12:44 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Allen, Blackford, Boone, Carroll, Cass and 28 more61 min
Mar 1, 1:32 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Crawford, Dearborn, Dubois, Floyd, Harrison and 11 more88 min
Mar 1, 4:57 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCClark, Crawford, Dearborn, Dubois, Floyd, Franklin and 9 more5 hr
Mar 1, 5:28 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Allen, Anderson, Barren, Bath, Bell and 88 more2 hr
Mar 1, 5:48 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBoyd, Carter, Greenup5 hr
Mar 1, 6:47 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBath, Bell, Breathitt, Clay, Elliott, Estill and 28 more5 hr
Mar 1, 7:28 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBell, Boyd, Breathitt, Carter, Clay, Clinton and 32 more92 min
Mar 1, 2:56 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoyd, Breathitt, Carter, Elliott, Floyd, Greenup and 8 more2 hr
Feb 28, 6:05 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Audrain, Barton, Bates, Benton, Boone and 39 more115 min
Feb 28, 6:23 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCAdair, Bates, Carroll, Cass, Chariton, Cooper and 15 more5 hr
Feb 28, 10:01 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarry, Barton, Bates, Benton, Camden, Cedar and 14 more119 min
Mar 1, 12:16 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarton, Camden, Cedar, Christian, Cole, Crawford and 28 more89 min
Mar 1, 10:08 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBedford, Bradley, Coffee, Franklin, Giles, Grundy and 11 more2 hr
Mar 1, 11:48 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCBledsoe, Blount, Bradley, Franklin, Hamilton, Knox and 12 more6 hr
Mar 1, 2:11 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBradley, McMinn, Polk2 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Kentucky, 2017Tornado Watches in Tennessee, 2017Tornado Watches in Illinois, 2017Every tornado watch in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.