Alert archive / Indiana / Tornado Watches in 2017

Tornado Watch 49

February 28, 201747 counties in Indiana; 12 counties in Kentucky; 40 counties in Ohio

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Feb 28, 2017, 11:29 PM EST for 47 counties in Indiana; 12 counties in Kentucky; 40 counties in Ohio. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 28, 2017, 11:29 PM EST (04:29 UTC)
Expired
Mar 1, 2017, 7:00 AM EST
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 99 counties

Adams County, IN, Allen County, IN, Blackford County, IN, Boone County, IN, Carroll County, IN, Cass County, IN, Clinton County, IN, Dearborn County, IN, DeKalb County, IN, Delaware County, IN, Elkhart County, IN, Fayette County, IN, Fountain County, IN, Franklin County, IN, Fulton County, IN, Grant County, IN, Hamilton County, IN, Howard County, IN, Huntington County, IN, Jay County, IN, Kosciusko County, IN, LaGrange County, IN, LaPorte County, IN, Madison County, IN, Marshall County, IN, Miami County, IN, Montgomery County, IN, Noble County, IN, Ohio County, IN, Parke County, IN, Pulaski County, IN, Randolph County, IN, Ripley County, IN, Saint Joseph County, IN, Starke County, IN, Steuben County, IN, Switzerland County, IN, Tippecanoe County, IN, Tipton County, IN, Union County, IN, Vermillion County, IN, Wabash County, IN, Warren County, IN, Wayne County, IN, Wells County, IN, White County, IN, Whitley County, IN, Boone County, KY, Bracken County, KY, Campbell County, KY, Carroll County, KY, Gallatin County, KY, Grant County, KY, Kenton County, KY, Lewis County, KY, Mason County, KY, Owen County, KY, Pendleton County, KY, Robertson County, KY, Adams County, OH, Allen County, OH, Auglaize County, OH, Brown County, OH, Butler County, OH, Champaign County, OH, Clark County, OH, Clermont County, OH, Clinton County, OH, Darke County, OH, Defiance County, OH, Delaware County, OH, Fairfield County, OH, Fayette County, OH, Franklin County, OH, Fulton County, OH, Greene County, OH, Hamilton County, OH, Hardin County, OH, Henry County, OH, Highland County, OH, Hocking County, OH, Licking County, OH, Logan County, OH, Madison County, OH, Mercer County, OH, Miami County, OH, Montgomery County, OH, Paulding County, OH, Pickaway County, OH, Pike County, OH, Preble County, OH, Putnam County, OH, Ross County, OH, Scioto County, OH, Shelby County, OH, Union County, OH, Van Wert County, OH, Warren County, OH, Williams County, OH

The radar

The Indianapolis radar (KIND), 77 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:30 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

40 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 28, 11:38 PM ESTTornado WarningIWXFulton18 min
Mar 1, 12:40 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXLaPorte, Saint Joseph65 min
Mar 1, 12:51 AM ESTFlash Flood WarningILNDearborn, Ohio, Ripley9 hr
Mar 1, 12:56 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXFulton, LaPorte, Marshall, Pulaski, Starke49 min
Mar 1, 1:01 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXLaPorte, Marshall, Saint Joseph, Starke44 min
Mar 1, 1:22 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXPulaski, White38 min
Mar 1, 1:28 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNButler, Hamilton, Warren16 min
Mar 1, 1:30 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXElkhart, Kosciusko, LaGrange, Marshall, Noble, Saint Joseph45 min
Mar 1, 1:32 AM ESTFlash Flood WarningILNBoone, Campbell, Kenton8 hr
Mar 1, 1:43 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXFulton, Kosciusko, Marshall, Pulaski, Starke34 min
Mar 1, 1:59 AM ESTFlash Flood WarningILNCampbell, Kenton2 hr
Mar 1, 2:06 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXAllen, DeKalb, Kosciusko, LaGrange, Noble, Steuben and 1 more39 min
Mar 1, 2:22 AM ESTFlash Flood WarningILNBrown, Clermont, Clinton, Fayette, Highland, Warren8 hr
Mar 1, 2:29 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXAllen, DeKalb, Steuben, Whitley61 min
Mar 1, 2:31 AM ESTTornado WarningIWXAllen29 min
Mar 1, 2:34 AM ESTTornado WarningILNFayette, Highland, Ross26 min
Mar 1, 2:59 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXAdams, Allen, Blackford, Grant, Huntington, Jay and 2 more46 min
Mar 1, 3:04 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNDearborn, Ohio, Switzerland41 min
Mar 1, 3:04 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNFairfield, Hocking, Pickaway, Ross41 min
Mar 1, 3:09 AM ESTTornado WarningILNFairfield, Hocking23 min
Mar 1, 3:18 AM ESTFlash Flood WarningILNFayette, Highland, Hocking, Pickaway, Pike, Ross6 hr
Mar 1, 3:23 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXAllen, Paulding, Putnam, Van Wert52 min
Mar 1, 3:36 AM ESTTornado WarningILNClermont24 min
Mar 1, 3:55 AM ESTFlash Flood WarningILNCampbell, Kenton6 hr
Mar 1, 4:04 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNLewis, Mason26 min
Mar 1, 4:20 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNLewis40 min
Mar 1, 4:39 AM ESTTornado WarningILNLewis, Mason15 min
Mar 1, 4:48 AM ESTFlash Flood WarningILNBracken, Lewis, Mason, Robertson6 hr
Mar 1, 5:12 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNChampaign, Clark, Delaware, Greene, Logan, Madison and 3 more48 min
Mar 1, 5:46 AM ESTFlash Flood WarningILNLewis4 hr
Mar 1, 5:53 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNLewis21 min
Mar 1, 5:53 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNFayette, Greene, Madison26 min
Mar 1, 5:59 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNDearborn, Fayette, Franklin, Ripley, Union46 min
Mar 1, 6:13 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNScioto19 min
Mar 1, 6:15 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNDearborn, Ohio, Ripley, Switzerland30 min
Mar 1, 6:30 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNDearborn, Franklin30 min
Mar 1, 6:39 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNDearborn, Ohio, Switzerland36 min
Mar 1, 6:48 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNBrown, Butler, Clermont, Clinton, Greene, Hamilton and 2 more42 min
Mar 1, 6:58 AM ESTTornado WarningILNBoone, Campbell, Kenton14 min
Mar 1, 7:00 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNBracken, Campbell, Grant, Owen, Pendleton45 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 00:00Z, 4.5 hours before the alert went out and 185 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 00:00Z on 2017-03-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 126 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 00:00Z on 2017-03-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 416 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
126 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-51 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
490 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
54 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
416 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
441 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

659 
WWUS20 KWNS 010427
SEL9  
SPC WW 010427
INZ000-KYZ000-OHZ000-011200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 49
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1130 PM EST Tue Feb 28 2017

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Northern through southeastern Indiana
  Extreme northern Kentucky
  Western to central Ohio

* Effective this Tuesday night and Wednesday morning from 1130 PM
  until 700 AM EST.

* Primary threats include...
  A few tornadoes possible
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
  Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY...The severe-storm threat will continue along the northern
parts of the watch near the Michigan border, and increase farther
south through the remainder of the pre-dawn hours, along and ahead
of an approaching cold front.  Damaging gusts, a few tornadoes, and
isolated hail are possible.  See SPC mesoscale discussion 228 for
initial meteorological reasoning.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles
either side of a line from 45 miles north northeast of Lafayette IN
to 30 miles south southeast of Dayton OH. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU9).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 44...WW 45...WW 46...WW
47...WW 48...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 25035.

...Edwards

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 28, 7:00 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Allen, Cass, DeKalb, Elkhart, Fulton and 14 more90 min
Feb 28, 7:37 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAllen, DeKalb, Elkhart, Fulton, Kosciusko, LaGrange and 8 more8 hr
Feb 28, 8:46 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrown, Crawford, Daviess, Dubois, Gibson, Greene and 14 more119 min
Feb 28, 9:29 PM ESTTornado WatchSPCBartholomew, Brown, Clark, Clay, Crawford, Daviess and 34 more12 hr
Feb 28, 9:41 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, DeKalb, Elkhart, Fulton, Kosciusko, LaGrange and 9 more94 min
Feb 28, 10:51 PM ESTTornado WatchSPCBenton, Jasper, Lake, Newton, Porter6 hr
Feb 28, 11:03 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Allen, Bartholomew, Blackford, Boone, Carroll and 48 more117 min
Feb 28, 11:09 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrawford, Daviess, Dubois, Gibson, Knox, Lawrence and 6 more66 min
Mar 1, 12:52 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Elkhart, Fulton, Jasper, LaPorte, Marshall and 7 more53 min
Mar 1, 1:44 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Allen, Blackford, Boone, Carroll, Cass and 28 more61 min
Mar 1, 2:32 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Crawford, Dearborn, Dubois, Floyd, Harrison and 11 more88 min
Mar 1, 4:03 AM ESTTornado WatchSPCGibson, Pike, Posey, Spencer, Vanderburgh, Warrick5 hr
Mar 1, 5:19 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHarrison, Perry, Posey, Spencer, Vanderburgh, Warrick56 min
Mar 1, 5:57 AM ESTTornado WatchSPCClark, Crawford, Dearborn, Dubois, Floyd, Franklin and 9 more5 hr
Mar 1, 3:09 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBallard, Caldwell, Calloway, Carlisle, Crittenden, Fulton and 6 more2 hr
Mar 1, 6:28 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Allen, Anderson, Barren, Bath, Bell and 88 more2 hr
Mar 1, 6:48 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBoyd, Carter, Greenup5 hr
Mar 1, 7:47 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBath, Bell, Breathitt, Clay, Elliott, Estill and 28 more5 hr
Mar 1, 8:28 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBell, Boyd, Breathitt, Carter, Clay, Clinton and 32 more92 min
Mar 1, 3:56 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoyd, Breathitt, Carter, Elliott, Floyd, Greenup and 8 more2 hr
Mar 1, 2:19 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAshland, Ashtabula, Belmont, Carroll, Columbiana, Coshocton and 22 more86 min
Mar 1, 3:24 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAshland, Ashtabula, Crawford, Cuyahoga, Erie, Geauga and 22 more4 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Indiana, 2017Tornado Watches in Ohio, 2017Tornado Watches in Kentucky, 2017Every tornado watch in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.