Flash Flood Warning 8, NWS Wilmington, OH

078 
WGUS51 KILN 011333
FFWILN
KYC135-OHC145-011515-
/O.EXT.KILN.FF.W.0008.000000T0000Z-170301T1515Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
833 AM EST WED MAR 1 2017

The National Weather Service in Wilmington has extended the

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Northeastern Lewis County in northeastern Kentucky...
  Southeastern Scioto County in southwestern Ohio...

* Until 1015 AM EST.

* At 832 AM EST, radar indicated that thunderstorms had produced 
  heavy rain across the warned area. Additional thunderstorms will 
  push through the area, dropping another quick inch of rain on top 
  of the estimated 2 to 4 inches which has already fallen. Runoff 
  from this excessive rainfall will cause flash flooding to occur.

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
  Portsmouth, Wheelersburg, New Boston, South Webster, Rosemount,
  Clarktown, Sciotodale, Franklin Furnace, Lucasville, Saint Paul,
  Minford, Firebrick, Haverhill, West Portsmouth, Friendship,
  Mcdermott, Powellsville, Portsmouth Regional Airport and Lyra.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding.

To report flash flooding, go to our website at weather.gov/iln and
submit your report via social media, when you can do so safely.

&&

LAT...LON 3859 8285 3869 8288 3874 8287 3876 8289
      3873 8298 3873 8303 3868 8303 3861 8308
      3861 8309 3885 8311 3891 8276 3885 8276
      3885 8265 3876 8266 3875 8270 3868 8271
      3867 8277 3860 8274 3859 8275 3857 8281

$$

JDR

861 
WGUS71 KILN 011513
FFSILN

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
1013 AM EST WED MAR 1 2017

KYC135-OHC145-011522-
/O.EXP.KILN.FF.W.0008.000000T0000Z-170301T1515Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Lewis KY-Scioto OH-
1013 AM EST WED MAR 1 2017

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR northeastern Lewis and southeastern
Scioto Counties WILL EXPIRE AT 1015 AM EST...

The heavy rain has ended and while rapid rise flooding is no longer 
expected, lingering very high water remains a threat, so a flood 
warning remains across the area until 115 PM EST.

Please report previous flash flooding to the National Weather Service
by going to our website at weather.gov/iln and submitting your report
via social media.

LAT...LON 3859 8285 3869 8288 3874 8287 3876 8289
      3873 8298 3873 8303 3868 8303 3861 8308
      3861 8309 3885 8311 3891 8276 3885 8276
      3885 8265 3876 8266 3875 8270 3868 8271
      3867 8277 3860 8274 3859 8275 3857 8281

$$

JDR

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
430 AM EST Wed Mar 1 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
Thunderstorms will continue through the first part of the day
as a cold front pushes southeast across the area. Behind the
front, a cooler airmass will settle into the region through the
end of the work week. An upper level disturbance will bring a
chance of rain and snow showers to the region Thursday night.
&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
Thunderstorms are continuing to train northeast across southern
portions of our area early this morning. This is in an area of
good low level convergence along the nose of a 50 knot 925 mb
jet that will shift off to the east through mid morning. Weak
instabilities are also in place across our area with mucapes or
around 500 j/kg or so. We have been slowly eroding away the cin
across the area this morning and these storms have become more
surface based in the last couple of hours. Meanwhile, the
convective line associated with the cold front is pushing
east across central Indiana and into northwest Ohio. Hi res
cams are in decent agreement pushing this line through our area
fairly quickly this morning and have trended the forecast
accordingly. The severe threat will continue across our area
until this line moves through. Behind the front, the pressure
gradient will increase through the afternoon hours with winds
increasing and becoming gusty. We may approach wind advisory
criteria across our northern areas but will hold off on anything
at this point as it looks marginal. A few instability showers
may also develop through this afternoon, mainly across the
north and will cover this with just some lower chance pops later
today.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY/...
A few showers may linger across our north into this evening and
with the gradient remaining fairly tight, winds will likely stay
up for awhile into tonight. A clipper type system will drop down
from the northwest Thursday into Thursday night. This will lead
to an increasing chance of showers heading into Thursday
evening, especially across norther portions of our fa. Low
level thermal fields suggest that any pcpn will start off as
rain Thursday afternoon before transitioning to snow from north
to south Thursday evening. There could be some light snow
accumulations with this, mainly across northern portions of our
area where maybe an inch or so will be possible across our far
north. The pcpn should taper off later Thursday night with dry
weather on Friday as high pressure builds in.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Models continue to hint at a very weak short wave dropping down
into our area from the northwest Friday night into Saturday,
but vary in there timing and placement. With it being weak and
with some uncertainty, will just bring in some slight chance
pops across the area with this. Ptype looks to be mostly snow
but if it hangs around long enough into the day on Saturday, we
will warm up enough for any lingering pcpn to mix with some
rain.

Brief mid level ridging will work east across the area on
Sunday before the flow becomes more amplified as a trough
approaches from the west. This will eventually help push a cold
front east across our area Monday night into Tuesday. Some WAA
pcpn will develop ahead of this Sunday night with more
widespread pcpn spreading in ahead of the front Monday into
Monday night.

&&

.AVIATION /09Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Cluster of thunderstorms has overspread southwest Ohio and
should continue to work its way northeastward over the next
couple of hours. This will lead to fairly persistent
thunderstorms through the predawn hours, especially at the
southern TAF sites. This will result in MVFR to IFR cigs and
vsbys through the first part of the TAF period. Meanwhile, the
convective line associated with the cold front is sagging down
across central Illinois into northwest Indiana, and this should spread
across the TAF sites through mid morning. Given the good
dynamics in place across the region, gusty winds in excess of 40
knots will be possible with some of the thunderstorms through
the morning hours. The cold front will push southeast late this
morning and into early afternoon with pcpn tapering off behind
it. The gradient winds will increase behind the front with gusts
in excess of 30 knots possible into tonight.

OUTLOOK...MVFR ceilings and visibilities will be possible
Thursday night into Friday morning.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...Flash Flood Watch through this afternoon for OHZ053>056-
     060>065-070>074-077>082-088.
KY...Flash Flood Watch through this afternoon for KYZ089>100.
IN...Flash Flood Watch through this afternoon for INZ050-058-059-
     066-073>075-080.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JGL
NEAR TERM...JGL
SHORT TERM...JGL
LONG TERM...JGL
AVIATION...JGL

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
456 AM EST Wed Mar 1 2017

INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ053>056-060>065-070>074-
077>082-088-021000-
Wayne-Fayette IN-Union IN-Franklin IN-Ripley-Dearborn-Ohio-
Switzerland-Carroll-Gallatin-Boone-Kenton-Campbell-Owen-Grant-
Pendleton-Bracken-Robertson-Mason-Lewis-Clark-Madison-Franklin OH-
Licking-Preble-Montgomery-Greene-Fayette OH-Pickaway-Fairfield-
Butler-Warren-Clinton-Ross-Hocking-Hamilton-Clermont-Brown-Highland-
Adams-Pike-Scioto-
456 AM EST Wed Mar 1 2017

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for East Central Indiana,
Southeast Indiana, Northeast Kentucky, Northern Kentucky, Central
Ohio, Southwest Ohio and West Central Ohio.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

In addition to a heavy rain and flash flood threat, severe
thunderstorms will remain possible this morning. The primary threat
will be damaging winds and isolated tornadoes.

Wind gusts of 30 to 40 mph will be possible this afternoon into this
evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report severe and heavy rain reports.

OHZ026-034-035-042>046-051-052-021000-
Hardin-Mercer-Auglaize-Darke-Shelby-Logan-Union OH-Delaware-Miami-
Champaign-
456 AM EST Wed Mar 1 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Central Ohio and West Central
Ohio.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Showers and thunderstorms will taper off through mid morning. A few
storms may become severe. The primary threat will be damaging wind
and locally heavy rain.

Wind gusts of 30 to 40 mph will be possible this afternoon into this
evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report severe and heavy rain reports.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
459 AM EST WED MAR 01 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0235 AM     TSTM WND DMG     3 SSE LEESBURG          39.31N 83.53W
03/01/2017                   HIGHLAND           OH   AMATEUR RADIO

            HOUSE DESTROYED. POSSIBLE TORNADO. TIME ESTIMATED.

&&

BINAU

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
515 AM EST WED MAR 01 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0511 AM     TSTM WND GST     KDAY DAYTON COX APT     39.90N 84.22W
03/01/2017  M56 MPH          MONTGOMERY         OH   ASOS

&&

BINAU

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
515 AM EST WED MAR 1 2017

KYZ100-OHZ088-011045-
Lewis KY-Scioto OH-
515 AM EST WED MAR 1 2017

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN LEWIS AND
SOUTHWESTERN SCIOTO COUNTIES UNTIL 545 AM EST...

At 515 AM EST, radar indicated a strong thunderstorm near Vanceburg,
moving east at 55 mph.

STORM HAZARDS INCLUDE...
Winds to 50 mph...
Pea size hail...

Locations impacted include...
Portsmouth, New Boston, Camp Dix, Rosemount, Buena Vista in Scioto
County, Saint Paul, Firebrick, West Portsmouth, Kinniconick, Tannery,
Friendship, Garrison and Rexton.

To report hazardous weather conditions, go to our website at
weather.gov/iln and submit your report via social media, when you can
do so safely.

LAT...LON 3847 8338 3860 8330 3860 8329 3862 8327
      3865 8327 3870 8324 3880 8290 3876 8290
      3873 8298 3873 8303 3870 8304 3868 8303
      3866 8305 3864 8305 3863 8307 3859 8307
      3854 8312 3854 8314 3849 8319 3847 8319
TIME...MOT...LOC 1015Z 260DEG 47KT 3857 8320

Hatzos

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
517 AM EST WED MAR 1 2017

INZ058-059-066-073-074-OHZ060>062-070-071-011045-
Fayette IN-Union IN-Franklin IN-Ripley IN-Dearborn IN-Montgomery OH-
Warren OH-Butler OH-Preble OH-Greene OH-
517 AM EST WED MAR 1 2017

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT FRANKLIN AND NORTHERN
RIPLEY COUNTIES IN SOUTHEASTERN INDIANA...UNION COUNTY IN EAST
CENTRAL INDIANA...NORTHWESTERN DEARBORN COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN
INDIANA...SOUTHEASTERN FAYETTE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL INDIANA...
SOUTHERN PREBLE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL OHIO...BUTLER AND NORTHWESTERN
WARREN COUNTIES IN SOUTHWESTERN OHIO...WEST CENTRAL GREENE AND
SOUTHERN MONTGOMERY COUNTIES IN WEST CENTRAL OHIO UNTIL 545 AM EST...

At 516 AM EST, radar indicated strong thunderstorms along a line
extending from near Moraine to 12 miles east of Columbus Indiana,
moving east at 50 mph.

STORM HAZARDS INCLUDE...
Winds to 50 mph...
Pea size hail...
Very heavy rain...

Locations impacted include...
Dayton, Hamilton, Kettering, Middletown, Beavercreek, Xenia, Oxford,
Miamisburg, Springboro, Monroe, Trenton, Franklin, Eaton, Bellbrook,
Batesville, Moraine, Carlisle, Oakwood, Brookville and South
Middletown.

This includes the following Interstates...
 I-74 in Indiana between mile markers 145 and 166.
 I-75 in Ohio between mile markers 34 and 51.

Water will pond on roads and may quickly fill roadside ditches and
small streams.

Residents in these areas should remain alert. If these storms become
stronger, then a warning may be needed.

To report hazardous weather conditions, go to our website at
weather.gov/iln and submit your report via social media, when you can
do so safely.

LAT...LON 3920 8544 3927 8530 3946 8530 3980 8466
      3967 8388 3914 8525 3915 8544
TIME...MOT...LOC 1016Z 270DEG 43KT 3971 8427 3920 8567

Binau

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
526 AM EST WED MAR 1 2017

KYZ099-100-OHZ079-081-011100-
Mason KY-Lewis KY-Adams OH-Brown OH-
526 AM EST WED MAR 1 2017

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT MASON...WESTERN LEWIS...
SOUTHEASTERN BROWN AND SOUTHWESTERN ADAMS COUNTIES UNTIL 600 AM
EST...

At 526 AM EST, radar indicated a strong thunderstorm near Washington,
moving east at 60 mph.

STORM HAZARDS INCLUDE...
Winds to 50 mph...
Pea size hail...

Locations impacted include...
Maysville, Washington, Manchester, Aberdeen, Lewisburg, Tollesboro,
Trinity, Murphysville, Moranburg, Bradysville, Mays Lick,
Rectorville, Epworth, Ribolt, Peed, Fleming-Mason Airport,
Petersville, Orangeburg, Lowell and Helena.

To report hazardous weather conditions, go to our website at
weather.gov/iln and submit your report via social media, when you can
do so safely.

LAT...LON 3843 8358 3848 8359 3851 8361 3851 8363
      3852 8363 3852 8365 3851 8370 3846 8386
      3849 8393 3862 8394 3874 8374 3871 8352
      3860 8347 3840 8349
TIME...MOT...LOC 1026Z 256DEG 50KT 3855 8388

Hatzos

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
545 AM EST WED MAR 1 2017

KYZ100-OHZ081-088-011115-
Lewis KY-Scioto OH-Adams OH-
545 AM EST WED MAR 1 2017

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT LEWIS...SOUTHEASTERN ADAMS AND
SOUTHWESTERN SCIOTO COUNTIES UNTIL 615 AM EST...

At 545 AM EST, radar indicated a strong thunderstorm over Tollesboro,
moving east at 70 mph.

STORM HAZARDS INCLUDE...
Winds to 50 mph...
One half inch diameter hail...

Locations impacted include...
Vanceburg, Camp Dix, Tollesboro, Rome, Sandy Springs, Buena Vista in
Scioto County, Carrs, Kinniconick, Tannery, Turkey Creek Lake,
Ribolt, Charters, Garrison, Petersville, Stricklett, Glen Springs,
Rexton, Herron Hill and Friendship.

To report hazardous weather conditions, go to our website at
weather.gov/iln and submit your report via social media, when you can
do so safely.

LAT...LON 3840 8348 3840 8350 3841 8351 3841 8353
      3842 8353 3843 8358 3847 8359 3866 8358
      3878 8313 3860 8307 3854 8312 3854 8314
      3849 8319 3847 8319 3843 8324 3841 8324
      3839 8340 3840 8342 3838 8345
TIME...MOT...LOC 1045Z 251DEG 60KT 3854 8354

Hatzos