Severe Thunderstorm Warning 40, NWS Wilmington, OH

018 
WWUS51 KILN 011310
SVSILN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
810 AM EST WED MAR 1 2017

KYC135-OHC131-145-011345-
/O.CON.KILN.SV.W.0040.000000T0000Z-170301T1345Z/
Lewis KY-Pike OH-Scioto OH-
810 AM EST WED MAR 1 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 845 AM EST
FOR CENTRAL LEWIS...SOUTHERN PIKE AND SCIOTO COUNTIES...

At 810 AM EST, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from 8 miles southeast of Kincaid Springs to near
Vanceburg, moving east at 65 mph.

HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts and penny size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Expect considerable tree damage. Damage is likely to mobile 
         homes, roofs, and outbuildings. 

Locations impacted include...
Portsmouth, New Boston, Vanceburg, Head of Grassy, Rosemount,
Clarktown, Camp Dix, Lucasville, Rarden, Otway, Wakefield, Saint
Paul, Minford, Kinniconick, Friendship, Mcdermott, Petersville,
Stricklett, Mount Joy and Bear Creek.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

To report severe weather, go to our website at weather.gov/iln and
submit your report via social media, when you can do so safely.

Intense thunderstorm lines can produce brief tornadoes and widespread
significant wind damage. Although a tornado is not immediately
likely, it is best to move to an interior room on the lowest floor of
a building. These storms may cause serious injury and significant
property damage.

&&

A tornado watch remains in effect until 1100 AM EST for northeastern
Kentucky...and southwestern Ohio.

LAT...LON 3840 8341 3838 8345 3841 8353 3860 8331
      3860 8329 3862 8327 3903 8327 3901 8280
      3888 8282 3875 8288 3876 8289 3873 8303
      3868 8303 3863 8307 3859 8307 3849 8319
      3847 8319 3843 8324 3834 8323 3832 8334
TIME...MOT...LOC 1310Z 253DEG 58KT 3899 8320 3855 8341 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...0.75IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$

Hatzos

717 
WWUS51 KILN 011327
SVSILN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
827 AM EST WED MAR 1 2017

KYC135-OHC131-145-011345-
/O.CON.KILN.SV.W.0040.000000T0000Z-170301T1345Z/
Lewis KY-Pike OH-Scioto OH-
827 AM EST WED MAR 1 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 845 AM EST
FOR CENTRAL LEWIS...SOUTHEASTERN PIKE AND CENTRAL SCIOTO COUNTIES...

At 826 AM EST, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near Lucasville to near Camp Dix, moving east at 45
mph.

HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts and penny size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Expect considerable tree damage. Damage is likely to mobile 
         homes, roofs, and outbuildings. 

Locations impacted include...
Portsmouth, New Boston, Head of Grassy, Rosemount, Clarktown, Camp
Dix, Lucasville, Wakefield, Saint Paul, Minford, Kinniconick,
Friendship, Mcdermott, Petersville, Stricklett, Bear Creek, Rexton,
Stockdale, Firebrick and Harris.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

To report severe weather, go to our website at weather.gov/iln and
submit your report via social media, when you can do so safely.

Intense thunderstorm lines can produce brief tornadoes and widespread
significant wind damage. Although a tornado is not immediately
likely, it is best to move to an interior room on the lowest floor of
a building. These storms may cause serious injury and significant
property damage.

&&

A tornado watch remains in effect until 1100 AM EST for northeastern
Kentucky...and southwestern Ohio.

LAT...LON 3840 8341 3838 8345 3841 8353 3856 8336
      3857 8328 3868 8317 3902 8304 3901 8280
      3888 8282 3875 8288 3876 8289 3873 8303
      3868 8303 3863 8307 3859 8307 3849 8319
      3847 8319 3843 8324 3834 8323 3832 8334
TIME...MOT...LOC 1326Z 272DEG 38KT 3895 8296 3850 8317 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...0.75IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$

Hatzos

329 
WWUS51 KILN 011339
SVSILN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
839 AM EST WED MAR 1 2017

KYC135-OHC131-145-011348-
/O.EXP.KILN.SV.W.0040.000000T0000Z-170301T1345Z/
Lewis KY-Pike OH-Scioto OH-
839 AM EST WED MAR 1 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CENTRAL LEWIS...SOUTHEASTERN
PIKE AND CENTRAL SCIOTO COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 845 AM EST...
    
The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the area.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire. However, an 
additional severe thunderstorm warning remains in effect for eastern 
Scioto County until 915 AM.

A tornado watch remains in effect until 1100 AM EST for northeastern
Kentucky...and southwestern Ohio.

Please report previous wind damage or hail to the National Weather
Service by going to our website at weather.gov/iln and submitting
your report via social media.

LAT...LON 3840 8341 3838 8345 3841 8353 3856 8336
      3857 8328 3868 8317 3902 8304 3901 8280
      3888 8282 3875 8288 3876 8289 3873 8303
      3868 8303 3863 8307 3859 8307 3849 8319
      3847 8319 3843 8324 3834 8323 3832 8334
TIME...MOT...LOC 1338Z 262DEG 52KT 3897 8274 3852 8296 

$$

Hatzos

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
649 AM EST Wed Mar 1 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
Thunderstorms will continue through the first part of the day
as a cold front pushes southeast across the area. Behind the
front, a cooler airmass will settle into the region through the
end of the work week. An upper level disturbance will bring a
chance of rain and snow showers to the region Thursday night.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
Thunderstorms are continuing to train northeast across southern
portions of our area early this morning. This is in an area of
good low level convergence along the nose of a 50 knot 925 mb
jet that will shift off to the east through mid morning. Weak
instabilities are also in place across our area with mucapes or
around 500 j/kg or so. We have been slowly eroding away the cin
across the area this morning and these storms have become more
surface based in the last couple of hours. Meanwhile, the
convective line associated with the cold front is pushing
east across central Indiana and into northwest Ohio. Hi res
cams are in decent agreement pushing this line through our area
fairly quickly this morning and have trended the forecast
accordingly. The severe threat will continue across our area
until this line moves through. Behind the front, the pressure
gradient will increase through the afternoon hours with winds
increasing and becoming gusty. We may approach wind advisory
criteria across our northern areas but will hold off on anything
at this point as it looks marginal. A few instability showers
may also develop through this afternoon, mainly across the
north and will cover this with just some lower chance pops later
today.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY/...
A few showers may linger across our north into this evening and
with the gradient remaining fairly tight, winds will likely stay
up for awhile into tonight. A clipper type system will drop down
from the northwest Thursday into Thursday night. This will lead
to an increasing chance of showers heading into Thursday
evening, especially across norther portions of our fa. Low
level thermal fields suggest that any pcpn will start off as
rain Thursday afternoon before transitioning to snow from north
to south Thursday evening. There could be some light snow
accumulations with this, mainly across northern portions of our
area where maybe an inch or so will be possible across our far
north. The pcpn should taper off later Thursday night with dry
weather on Friday as high pressure builds in.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Models continue to hint at a very weak short wave dropping down
into our area from the northwest Friday night into Saturday,
but vary in there timing and placement. With it being weak and
with some uncertainty, will just bring in some slight chance
pops across the area with this. Ptype looks to be mostly snow
but if it hangs around long enough into the day on Saturday, we
will warm up enough for any lingering pcpn to mix with some
rain.

Brief mid level ridging will work east across the area on
Sunday before the flow becomes more amplified as a trough
approaches from the west. This will eventually help push a cold
front east across our area Monday night into Tuesday. Some WAA
pcpn will develop ahead of this Sunday night with more
widespread pcpn spreading in ahead of the front Monday into
Monday night.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Squall line pushing quickly east into western Ohio and across
northern Kentucky attm. This will affect the TAFs in the first
hour or so of the period with gusty winds likely, especially at
the southern TAF sites. More stratiform type pcpn will then
linger for a few hours behind this line before coming to an
end. Cigs will likely fluctuate between low VFR and MVFR through
much of the rest of the day with some spotty instability
showers developing later this afternoon. As the gradient
tightens through the afternoon hours, wind gusts in the 25 to 35
knot range will be possible, possibly lingering into this
evening.

OUTLOOK...MVFR ceilings and visibilities will be possible
Thursday night into Friday morning.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...Flash Flood Watch until 4 PM EST this afternoon for OHZ060>065-
     070>074-077>082-088.
KY...Flash Flood Watch until 4 PM EST this afternoon for KYZ089>100.
IN...Flash Flood Watch until 4 PM EST this afternoon for INZ058-059-
     066-073>075-080.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JGL
NEAR TERM...JGL
SHORT TERM...JGL
LONG TERM...JGL
AVIATION...JGL

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
456 AM EST Wed Mar 1 2017

INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ053>056-060>065-070>074-
077>082-088-021000-
Wayne-Fayette IN-Union IN-Franklin IN-Ripley-Dearborn-Ohio-
Switzerland-Carroll-Gallatin-Boone-Kenton-Campbell-Owen-Grant-
Pendleton-Bracken-Robertson-Mason-Lewis-Clark-Madison-Franklin OH-
Licking-Preble-Montgomery-Greene-Fayette OH-Pickaway-Fairfield-
Butler-Warren-Clinton-Ross-Hocking-Hamilton-Clermont-Brown-Highland-
Adams-Pike-Scioto-
456 AM EST Wed Mar 1 2017

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for East Central Indiana,
Southeast Indiana, Northeast Kentucky, Northern Kentucky, Central
Ohio, Southwest Ohio and West Central Ohio.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

In addition to a heavy rain and flash flood threat, severe
thunderstorms will remain possible this morning. The primary threat
will be damaging winds and isolated tornadoes.

Wind gusts of 30 to 40 mph will be possible this afternoon into this
evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report severe and heavy rain reports.

OHZ026-034-035-042>046-051-052-021000-
Hardin-Mercer-Auglaize-Darke-Shelby-Logan-Union OH-Delaware-Miami-
Champaign-
456 AM EST Wed Mar 1 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Central Ohio and West Central
Ohio.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Showers and thunderstorms will taper off through mid morning. A few
storms may become severe. The primary threat will be damaging wind
and locally heavy rain.

Wind gusts of 30 to 40 mph will be possible this afternoon into this
evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report severe and heavy rain reports.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
733 AM EST WED MAR 01 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0703 AM     TSTM WND GST     KLUK LUNKEN AIRPORT     39.10N 84.42W
03/01/2017  M46.00 MPH       HAMILTON           OH   ASOS

&&

HATZOS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
735 AM EST WED MAR 01 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0720 AM     HAIL             1 SSE WILMINGTON        39.43N 83.82W
03/01/2017  M0.75 INCH       CLINTON            OH   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

&&

JGIBSON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
740 AM EST WED MAR 01 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0640 AM     TSTM WND DMG     CARROLLTON              38.68N 85.16W
03/01/2017                   CARROLL            KY   EMERGENCY MNGR

            NUMEROUS TREES DOWN, MULTIPLE ROOFS BLOWN DOWN. TOWN IS
            WITHOUT POWER.

&&

JGIBSON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
744 AM EST WED MAR 01 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0742 AM     HEAVY RAIN       NE BLUE ASH             39.25N 84.38W
03/01/2017  M2.50 INCH       HAMILTON           OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

            24-RAIN TOTAL

&&

JGIBSON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
752 AM EST WED MAR 01 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0730 AM     TSTM WND DMG     5 ESE NEW RICHMOND      38.92N 84.19W
03/01/2017                   CLERMONT           OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

            MULTIPLE TREES DOWN. ONE HEALTHY TREE WITH ONE FOOT
            DIAMETER SNAPPED AT THE BASE.

&&

JGIBSON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
754 AM EST WED MAR 01 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0655 AM     TSTM WND DMG     3 S ERLANGER            38.97N 84.59W
03/01/2017                   KENTON             KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            DEBRIS AND ROOFING IN PARKING LOT OF UDF AT INTERSECTION
            OF TURKEY FOOT RD AND RICHARDSON RD.

&&

SHOBE2